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2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch

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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1321 » by BKlutch » Tue Oct 20, 2020 3:32 pm

j4remi wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:Btw, I heard some disturbing reports related to climate change activist, Bill McKibbon, and those entities standing to make a lot of money from this endeavor. The upshot is that the Deal is dirty because McKibbon went rogue and partnered up with the other moneymakers thus contaminating the recipe.


From who? Ever since the Michael Moore documentary got blown up and debunked (and he doubled down on it so badly that one of his own former editors trashed him and his new fact checkers), I'm extremely curious about what sources are targeting McKibben and how they've reached their conclusions. I've seen plenty of allies fall off and sell out but I've also seen the left cannibalize its own on shoddy rumors and hearsay that seem planted (Buttar and Morse being recent examples).

The main arguments Moore made were all debunked. I'd like to show just one, to show what Moore did wrong. You can read it here, if you like: https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/bill-mckibben-climate-movement-michael-moore-993073/

The argument is that around 20 years ago, McKibbens students at a Vermont college came up with the idea that burning trees would be ok, because new trees would be grown and therefore, the net carbon effect would be zero. At that time, wind and solar were impractically expensive, and rarely used. He understands that there was a flaw in the argument back then, one he wasn't aware of. Major flaw was that trees sucked carbon out of the air many years ago, but burning them would be releasing that carbon now. It was a valid attempt to improve on burning fossile fuels, but it was flawed, and he acknowledged that long ago. There are many better ways of doing this.

The point is this doesn't prove that McKibben is in bed with any special interests, but it does show that people come up with (supposedly) helpful ideas that are later on not found to be helpful.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1322 » by j4remi » Tue Oct 20, 2020 3:39 pm

BKlutch wrote:
j4remi wrote:
HarthorneWingo wrote:Btw, I heard some disturbing reports related to climate change activist, Bill McKibbon, and those entities standing to make a lot of money from this endeavor. The upshot is that the Deal is dirty because McKibbon went rogue and partnered up with the other moneymakers thus contaminating the recipe.


From who? Ever since the Michael Moore documentary got blown up and debunked (and he doubled down on it so badly that one of his own former editors trashed him and his new fact checkers), I'm extremely curious about what sources are targeting McKibben and how they've reached their conclusions. I've seen plenty of allies fall off and sell out but I've also seen the left cannibalize its own on shoddy rumors and hearsay that seem planted (Buttar and Morse being recent examples).

The main arguments Moore made were all debunked. I'd like to show just one, to show what Moore did wrong. You can read it here, if you like: https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/bill-mckibben-climate-movement-michael-moore-993073/

The argument is that around 20 years ago, McKibbens students at a Vermont college came up with the idea that burning trees would be ok, because new trees would be grown and therefore, the net carbon effect would be zero. At that time, wind and solar were impractically expensive, and rarely used. He understands that there was a flaw in the argument back then, one he wasn't aware of. Major flaw was that trees sucked carbon out of the air many years ago, but burning them would be releasing that carbon now. It was a valid attempt to improve on burning fossile fuels, but it was flawed, and he acknowledged that long ago. There are many better ways of doing this.

The point is this doesn't prove that McKibben is in bed with any special interests, but it does show that people come up with (supposedly) helpful ideas that are later on not found to be helpful.


Yeah, thanks for fleshing this out a bit. Moore got debunked and most attacks I've seen on Mckibben fall in the realm of using the past to create strawmen that no longer fit with the direction of the climate movement. I've yet to find a good argument that he's been bought and paid for, disagreements on strategy or adjustments as new information (and technology) changes the math are a different issue altogether but require deeper context to really explore.

I've been surprised at how often his name has come up recently. With the amount of bad faith that has been involved in most attacks I've seen, I'm mostly curious to see where all the negativity is being driven from.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1323 » by Clyde_Style » Tue Oct 20, 2020 3:42 pm

BKlutch wrote:
Pointgod wrote:
BKlutch wrote:Sometimes people put in so much effort trolling that it's not even worth acknowledging or putting in the time to show how many ways the material has been debunked. I think that I'll get much more out of this site if I don't waste my time on them; in addition, I don't believe I'll engage with them over the Knicks, either, now that I know about what they are like.


Yeah no one should even respond to his nonsense. Just let him shout into the void and his own eco chamber. It definitely makes you question the character and sanity of a lot of posters on realgm.

Trolls can make up whatever new thing they want, and then they put the onus on us to prove them wrong. As soon a we do, they make up another new thing. And so on and so forth...

We enable them by engaging on issues that have no merit. That's what they want. It is tiresome. Why would we even want to do that? I don't.


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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1324 » by Clyde_Style » Tue Oct 20, 2020 3:46 pm

Are We Ther Yet wrote:So....everything about Hunter Bidens laptop is fake news? I can't anymore. Anything damaging against either side is fake news. Everyone claims this. So what isn't fake news?


The only people who yell fake news are Trumpers. It insulates them when they keep pumping out fake news, because then when somebody says "Fake News" about them they pretend the shoe is on the other foot, thus Aha! you're doing it too! when in fact that is exactly what is not happening.

What is happening is Giuliani is a rogue operative who directly worked with a well-known Kremlin operative to plant fake evidence. That's fake news.

Reporting on Giuliani planting fake news is the actual news.

There is a difference
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1325 » by Clyde_Style » Tue Oct 20, 2020 3:48 pm

KnicksGod wrote:What does Trump even stand for? Goldman Sachs in the administration. He stands for weird stuff like QAnon and even on that, he is just keeping them as an ally. I still can't come up with a short sentence of stuff Trump has fought for or what he believes. The populist stuff is fully a bunch of BS.

Now granted, Biden is not a populist either. He is a moderate who will try to fix problems ... for now that's about as good as it gets.

He took on China with uncertain results that are more symbolic it seems than substantive, improved NAFTA a little. The rest is a bunch of phony populism and very crazy conspiracy stuff with no founding in reality. And of course he's also a traditional conservative ... protecting rich people and businesses.


Biden does policy.

Trump does transactions.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1326 » by BKlutch » Tue Oct 20, 2020 4:02 pm

j4remi wrote:
BKlutch wrote:
j4remi wrote:
From who? Ever since the Michael Moore documentary got blown up and debunked (and he doubled down on it so badly that one of his own former editors trashed him and his new fact checkers), I'm extremely curious about what sources are targeting McKibben and how they've reached their conclusions. I've seen plenty of allies fall off and sell out but I've also seen the left cannibalize its own on shoddy rumors and hearsay that seem planted (Buttar and Morse being recent examples).

The main arguments Moore made were all debunked. I'd like to show just one, to show what Moore did wrong. You can read it here, if you like: https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/bill-mckibben-climate-movement-michael-moore-993073/

The argument is that around 20 years ago, McKibbens students at a Vermont college came up with the idea that burning trees would be ok, because new trees would be grown and therefore, the net carbon effect would be zero. At that time, wind and solar were impractically expensive, and rarely used. He understands that there was a flaw in the argument back then, one he wasn't aware of. Major flaw was that trees sucked carbon out of the air many years ago, but burning them would be releasing that carbon now. It was a valid attempt to improve on burning fossile fuels, but it was flawed, and he acknowledged that long ago. There are many better ways of doing this.

The point is this doesn't prove that McKibben is in bed with any special interests, but it does show that people come up with (supposedly) helpful ideas that are later on not found to be helpful.


Yeah, thanks for fleshing this out a bit. Moore got debunked and most attacks I've seen on Mckibben fall in the realm of using the past to create strawmen that no longer fit with the direction of the climate movement. I've yet to find a good argument that he's been bought and paid for, disagreements on strategy or adjustments as new information (and technology) changes the math are a different issue altogether but require deeper context to really explore.

I've been surprised at how often his name has come up recently. With the amount of bad faith that has been involved in most attacks I've seen, I'm mostly curious to see where all the negativity is being driven from.

I'd like to know this, too. In general, a lot of trolling is just a false attempt to reduce the apparent credibility of those who are doing good work for progressive causes. And I must say, how sad that protection from COVID-19 and addressing climate change have had to become progressive, instead of universal, causes in this politically charged environment.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1327 » by Pointgod » Tue Oct 20, 2020 4:07 pm

KnicksGod wrote:What does Trump even stand for? Goldman Sachs in the administration. He stands for weird stuff like QAnon and even on that, he is just keeping them as an ally. I still can't come up with a short sentence of stuff Trump has fought for or what he believes. The populist stuff is fully a bunch of BS.

Now granted, Biden is not a populist either. He is a moderate who will try to fix problems ... for now that's about as good as it gets.

He took on China with uncertain results that are more symbolic it seems than substantive, improved NAFTA a little. The rest is a bunch of phony populism and very crazy conspiracy stuff with no founding in reality. And of course he's also a traditional conservative ... protecting rich people and businesses.


Trump stands for his own ego and lining his own pocket that’s literally it. Everything else is just marketing and smoke and mirrors publicity stunts. Nothing he says or does matters and that’s why everything is contradictory and inconsistent. There’s only two things Drumpf could do to lose support:

1. Raise taxes which would immediately turn his billionaire backers against him.
2. Start being PC which would turn his constantly angry and petulant base against him.

Everything else is meaningless.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1328 » by robillionaire » Tue Oct 20, 2020 4:10 pm

there is an epistemic gulf in this country, I have said before that the US us having an epistemological crisis, we live in completely different realities with tribal sources of media and facts, so at the end of the day there is no conversation to be had with people in the opposite tribe, they have their own sets of facts and perspective of reality and none of us will likely ever have a common ground discussion with one another ever again because we have no semblance of a common neutral arbiter of what facts to believe anymore. the GOP has their own media, their own science, they have rejected all the institutions that once were accepted as being credible, this is a permanent impasse that the country will never heal from. So it's only reasonable that nobody believes them and they will never believe anything coming from a source they don't subscribe to. Our perception of the world around us is radically different to the point we are alien to one another and personally I don't know how long this can remain a country which is why I think we need to be looking more seriously at secession and balkanization
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1329 » by Clyde_Style » Tue Oct 20, 2020 4:35 pm

robillionaire wrote:there is an epistemic gulf in this country, I have said before that the US us having an epistemological crisis, we live in completely different realities with tribal sources of media and facts, so at the end of the day there is no conversation to be had with people in the opposite tribe, they have their own sets of facts and perspective of reality and none of us will likely ever have a common ground discussion with one another ever again because we have no semblance of a common neutral arbiter of what facts to believe anymore. the GOP has their own media, their own science, they have rejected all the institutions that once were accepted as being credible, this is a permanent impasse that the country will never heal from. So it's only reasonable that nobody believes them and they will never believe anything coming from a source they don't subscribe to. Our perception of the world around us is radically different to the point we are alien to one another and personally I don't know how long this can remain a country which is why I think we need to be looking more seriously at secession and balkanization


Urban vs. Rural is the broad stroke, but the data does show that this cultural divide often falls within this basic framework. If the electorial system is retained, then mapping it strictly to congressional districts will help address this divide at least by showing where the real power lies.

Also, covid accelerated the dispersion of educated professionals to non-urban areas. Remote work is going to spread the influence of Democratic leaning voters in areas they were not previously located.

Culturally, I think your analysis is correct. The country will continue to balkanize as significant numbers of people are lost in their rabbit holes and are unreachable by facts or science.

But it is still possible for some reformations of the political representation to more accurately give reason its voice and proper representation as long as the majority remains sane and capable of reason.

Omaha may produce a single electoral vote for Biden in this election from an otherwise dominantly Red state. The urban vote in Nebraska is not necessarily wanting the GOP any longer. There can be shifts in the power structures for the better.

In the event of seccession though I nominate Cap to be the POTUS of the NW Territories
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1330 » by BKlutch » Tue Oct 20, 2020 4:47 pm

robillionaire wrote:there is an epistemic gulf in this country, I have said before that the US us having an epistemological crisis, we live in completely different realities with tribal sources of media and facts, so at the end of the day there is no conversation to be had with people in the opposite tribe, they have their own sets of facts and perspective of reality and none of us will likely ever have a common ground discussion with one another ever again because we have no semblance of a common neutral arbiter of what facts to believe anymore. the GOP has their own media, their own science, they have rejected all the institutions that once were accepted as being credible, this is a permanent impasse that the country will never heal from. So it's only reasonable that nobody believes them and they will never believe anything coming from a source they don't subscribe to. Our perception of the world around us is radically different to the point we are alien to one another and personally I don't know how long this can remain a country which is why I think we need to be looking more seriously at secession and balkanization

In debates and arguments all over this country and, to an extent, globally, there is no real attempt to find the truth. That woud require people to investigate the facts at the basis of their own beliefs, something most people are unwilling to do.

I think it's amazing that when Einstein first proposed he theory of relativity, going against the grain of hundreds of years of callsical Newtonian mechanics, scientists looked at it with open eyes and accepted, sometimes pending proof, his theories. That degree of open mindedness is incredible, but I really hope it is not limited to scientists. Ordinary lay people should also seek the truth, no matter what that does to our preceonceived notions -- but this rarely happens. Are people just too insecure to look beyond the ends of their noses? Or do people have so strong a need to conform to the beliefs of others that they refuse to look?
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1331 » by BKlutch » Tue Oct 20, 2020 4:50 pm

Clyde_Style wrote:
Spoiler:
robillionaire wrote:there is an epistemic gulf in this country, I have said before that the US us having an epistemological crisis, we live in completely different realities with tribal sources of media and facts, so at the end of the day there is no conversation to be had with people in the opposite tribe, they have their own sets of facts and perspective of reality and none of us will likely ever have a common ground discussion with one another ever again because we have no semblance of a common neutral arbiter of what facts to believe anymore. the GOP has their own media, their own science, they have rejected all the institutions that once were accepted as being credible, this is a permanent impasse that the country will never heal from. So it's only reasonable that nobody believes them and they will never believe anything coming from a source they don't subscribe to. Our perception of the world around us is radically different to the point we are alien to one another and personally I don't know how long this can remain a country which is why I think we need to be looking more seriously at secession and balkanization


Urban vs. Rural is the broad stroke, but the data does show that this cultural divide often falls within this basic framework. If the electorial system is retained, then mapping it strictly to congressional districts will help address this divide at least by showing where the real power lies.

Also, covid accelerated the dispersion of educated professionals to non-urban areas. Remote work is going to spread the influence of Democratic leaning voters in areas they were not previously located.

Culturally, I think your analysis is correct. The country will continue to balkanize as significant numbers of people are lost in their rabbit holes and are unreachable by facts or science.

But it is still possible for some reformations of the political representation to more accurately give reason its voice and proper representation as long as the majority remains sane and capable of reason.

Omaha may produce a single electoral vote for Biden in this election from an otherwise dominantly Red state. The urban vote in Nebraska is not necessarily wanting the GOP any longer. There can be shifts in the power structures for the better.


In the event of seccession though I nominate Cap to be the POTUS of the NW Territories

Actually, wouldn't he be called POTNWT?
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1332 » by Pointgod » Tue Oct 20, 2020 5:17 pm

Don’t get overconfident. Continue to push, sign up 5 people you know to vote and make sure they have a voting plan. This model should make people hopeful (not sure how reliable the pollster is) but remember the only way these results come true is if Democrats show up and vote and vote in large numbers so Trump can’t steal the election. Continue to encourage people to vote and vote early

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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1333 » by BKlutch » Tue Oct 20, 2020 5:23 pm

Pointgod wrote:Don’t get overconfident. Continue to push, sign up 5 people you know to vote and make sure they have a voting plan. This model should make people hopeful (not sure how reliable the pollster is) but remember the only way these results come true is if Democrats show up and vote and vote in large numbers so Trump can’t steal the election. Continue to encourage people to vote and vote early

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This is good to see, but according to FivethirtyEight.com, these numbers are optimistic. They put Biden's chance of winning at ony 87% and the chances of the Dems winning the Senate at 80% with the most likely number as 51 or 52 seats. I'm not sure if that includes Bernie.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1334 » by rammagen » Tue Oct 20, 2020 5:54 pm

Pointgod wrote:Don’t get overconfident. Continue to push, sign up 5 people you know to vote and make sure they have a voting plan. This model should make people hopeful (not sure how reliable the pollster is) but remember the only way these results come true is if Democrats show up and vote and vote in large numbers so Trump can’t steal the election. Continue to encourage people to vote and vote early

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I voted and live by the early voting location and I am surprised by the amount of Minority voters showing up and voting every day there is a line of a few hours since the 12th. People were polite sharing food and drinks while staying socially distant. I live just north of Atlanta and that is one reason why Georgia is up for grabs this yr.
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1335 » by HarthorneWingo » Tue Oct 20, 2020 6:09 pm

j4remi wrote:
BKlutch wrote:
j4remi wrote:
From who? Ever since the Michael Moore documentary got blown up and debunked (and he doubled down on it so badly that one of his own former editors trashed him and his new fact checkers), I'm extremely curious about what sources are targeting McKibben and how they've reached their conclusions. I've seen plenty of allies fall off and sell out but I've also seen the left cannibalize its own on shoddy rumors and hearsay that seem planted (Buttar and Morse being recent examples).

The main arguments Moore made were all debunked. I'd like to show just one, to show what Moore did wrong. You can read it here, if you like: https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/bill-mckibben-climate-movement-michael-moore-993073/

The argument is that around 20 years ago, McKibbens students at a Vermont college came up with the idea that burning trees would be ok, because new trees would be grown and therefore, the net carbon effect would be zero. At that time, wind and solar were impractically expensive, and rarely used. He understands that there was a flaw in the argument back then, one he wasn't aware of. Major flaw was that trees sucked carbon out of the air many years ago, but burning them would be releasing that carbon now. It was a valid attempt to improve on burning fossile fuels, but it was flawed, and he acknowledged that long ago. There are many better ways of doing this.

The point is this doesn't prove that McKibben is in bed with any special interests, but it does show that people come up with (supposedly) helpful ideas that are later on not found to be helpful.


Yeah, thanks for fleshing this out a bit. Moore got debunked and most attacks I've seen on Mckibben fall in the realm of using the past to create strawmen that no longer fit with the direction of the climate movement. I've yet to find a good argument that he's been bought and paid for, disagreements on strategy or adjustments as new information (and technology) changes the math are a different issue altogether but require deeper context to really explore.

I've been surprised at how often his name has come up recently. With the amount of bad faith that has been involved in most attacks I've seen, I'm mostly curious to see where all the negativity is being driven from.


Yes, it was on a recent Moore podcast where he went off on McKibbon. Now that I read the Rolling Stone article, I’m reminded of that movie Moore put out. I watched some of it and thought Moore swung and missed on this one.

Sorry Bill McKibbon
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1336 » by Pointgod » Tue Oct 20, 2020 6:23 pm

Democrats have public support for most of these policies. They need to emphasize

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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1337 » by HarthorneWingo » Tue Oct 20, 2020 6:35 pm

Trump threatening to use kompromat on a sitting U.S. Senator? I wonder who he got that idea from?

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/10/trump-casually-suggests-he-could-blackmail-a-us-senator
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1338 » by Oscirus » Tue Oct 20, 2020 7:04 pm

Why would eric do this? He had the coveted 50 endorsement and even had enough people doubting ice cube, why go this extra step?

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/ice-cube-responds-eric-trump-165116608.html
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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1339 » by 3toheadmelo » Tue Oct 20, 2020 7:06 pm

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Re: 2020 Presidential Election Thread: The Homestretch 

Post#1340 » by HarthorneWingo » Tue Oct 20, 2020 7:39 pm

Pointgod wrote:Democrats have public support for most of these policies. They need to emphasize

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A couple thoughts:

1. I'm surprised the polling isn't more favorable for increasing the corporate tax rate. People forget about all of the "tax incentives" these corporations get for setting up shop in any particularly location.

2. The $2 trillion for climate change/infrastructure is a drop in the bucket for what is going to be needed.

3. "Purchase" government healthcare plan? Huh? Like COBRA? lol

4. Yep, people are meh about the ACA ... bc, while a vast improvement over "if you get sick, you die", it doesn't get the job done.

5. Increasing public safety nets is a must. Why not trim some fat off the back of the over-bloated Defense Budget?

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