RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 (Oscar Robertson)

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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#61 » by penbeast0 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:11 pm

mailmp wrote:Jerry Lucas was also an abysmal defender for most of his Royal career and the team repeatedly showed it did not really need him. If Jerry Lucas is why Robertson is below West then I get chills thinking about the forthcoming arguments with Nash and his incredible privilege in playing with Amar’e. :roll:

To say nothing about how ludicrous it is celebrate Twyman and Embry while taking umbrage at points about how Garnett regularly played with all-star guards on the Timberwolves...


How do you feel about Nash's incredible privilege in playing with Shawn Marion who would run all over the court covering for Stoudemire and Nash's defensive issues.

Now, like most of us here, I think Nash deserves most of the credit for the SSOL Phoenix offense during his tenure but Marion was definitely the defensive leader of the team and an outstanding offensive finisher to boot, to me clearly more valuable than Amare. Heck, when Amare was out in 2006 and Marion was the first option (except when Eddie House came in bombing away off the bench), the team was nearly as good as 2005 or 2007 in the regular season and did as well or better in the playoffs.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#62 » by No-more-rings » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:21 pm

I'm not sure Mikan would even make my top 100 of all time honestly. The game was too archaic and in it's infancy to really try and evaluate it and we're talking about a guy who played 439 games(509 if we include playoffs) in his career. That's hardly indicative of a top 15 all time player, even if we ignore all other factors.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#63 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:27 pm

mailmp wrote:If Jerry Lucas is why Robertson is below West then I get chills thinking about the forthcoming arguments with Nash and his incredible privilege in playing with Amar’e. :roll:


Tbf Amare was a very good, all-star player. Overrated by the media at the time sure, but he was no joke. He is one of the best offensive PFs of all time as far as I'm concerned.

Why should I believe that Lucas is a worse player than post knee surgery Baylor? Ok Lucas is worse defensively, it appears... But Baylor has issues too by taking a ton of shots at weak TS%. Offensively I'd take Lucas over that.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#64 » by eminence » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:33 pm

No-more-rings wrote:I'm not sure Mikan would even make my top 100 of all time honestly. The game was too archaic and in it's infancy to really try and evaluate it and we're talking about a guy who played 439 games(509 if we include playoffs) in his career. That's hardly indicative of a top 15 all time player, even if we ignore all other factors.


Missing his '47/'48 NBL seasons. 81 extra RS games, 21 more playoff games.

To note, they also played a lot of exhibition games in those days that were competitive to a degree we don't see in the modern league. See the games against the Trotters or the World Basketball Tournament - the Gears were 3rd in the '46 version and the Lakers beat the Rens in '48 for the title, Mikan tournament MVP each time.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#65 » by mailmp » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:38 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:
mailmp wrote:If Jerry Lucas is why Robertson is below West then I get chills thinking about the forthcoming arguments with Nash and his incredible privilege in playing with Amar’e. :roll:


Tbf Amare was a very good, all-star player. Overrated by the media at the time sure, but he was no joke. He is one of the best offensive PFs of all time as far as I'm concerned.

Why should I believe that Lucas is a worse player than post knee surgery Baylor? Ok Lucas is worse defensively, it appears... But Baylor has issues too by taking a ton of shots at weak TS%. Offensively I'd take Lucas over that.


Why should I believe Amar’e was a worse player than 2011/12 Kobe.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#66 » by mailmp » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:39 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
mailmp wrote:Jerry Lucas was also an abysmal defender for most of his Royal career and the team repeatedly showed it did not really need him. If Jerry Lucas is why Robertson is below West then I get chills thinking about the forthcoming arguments with Nash and his incredible privilege in playing with Amar’e. :roll:

To say nothing about how ludicrous it is celebrate Twyman and Embry while taking umbrage at points about how Garnett regularly played with all-star guards on the Timberwolves...


How do you feel about Nash's incredible privilege in playing with Shawn Marion who would run all over the court covering for Stoudemire and Nash's defensive issues.

Now, like most of us here, I think Nash deserves most of the credit for the SSOL Phoenix offense during his tenure but Marion was definitely the defensive leader of the team and an outstanding offensive finisher to boot, to me clearly more valuable than Amare. Heck, when Amare was out in 2006 and Marion was the first option (except when Eddie House came in bombing away off the bench), the team was nearly as good as 2005 or 2007 in the regular season and did as well or better in the playoffs.


Marion was a good defender but there are extraordinarily few players who could lead a contender with him as an ostensible second-best player.

And unfortunately Oscar did not even have that.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#67 » by BigBoss23 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:45 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
mailmp wrote:Jerry Lucas was also an abysmal defender for most of his Royal career and the team repeatedly showed it did not really need him. If Jerry Lucas is why Robertson is below West then I get chills thinking about the forthcoming arguments with Nash and his incredible privilege in playing with Amar’e. :roll:

To say nothing about how ludicrous it is celebrate Twyman and Embry while taking umbrage at points about how Garnett regularly played with all-star guards on the Timberwolves...


How do you feel about Nash's incredible privilege in playing with Shawn Marion who would run all over the court covering for Stoudemire and Nash's defensive issues.

Now, like most of us here, I think Nash deserves most of the credit for the SSOL Phoenix offense during his tenure but Marion was definitely the defensive leader of the team and an outstanding offensive finisher to boot, to me clearly more valuable than Amare. Heck, when Amare was out in 2006 and Marion was the first option (except when Eddie House came in bombing away off the bench), the team was nearly as good as 2005 or 2007 in the regular season and did as well or better in the playoffs.


I see Marion as the Suns equivalent of Draymond Green; that is a swiss army knife on offense and great team defender, but not someone capable to being the 2nd best player on a championship team.

Kevin Garnett is probably the ultimate version of this phenomenon imo.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#68 » by penbeast0 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:51 pm

Oh, heck, I have Marion as better than Arizin in the 60s (not in the mid 50s) with Wilt, better than Sam Jones (Russell's #2 guy on the Celtic dynasty), better than Otis Thorpe (Hakeem's 2nd best guy on his first Houston title team), and that's just title teams (not contenders) not even looking beyond our top 10 list we've agreed to so far. He isn't a good 2nd option without a great 1st option admittedly, not a guy you want for an offensive 1A/1B responsibility.

Oscar had Jerry Lucas; how good Lucas was is a real question. Offensively, he was Minnesota's version of Kevin Love (great rebounding, outside shooting, very good passing) and arguably the best offensive second option in the league over that 65-69 stretch if you buy into the idea that stretch 4's open the floor. Defensively, he was also Kevin Love from what I could tell and that's an issue, particularly for a big.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#69 » by penbeast0 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 8:56 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:
mailmp wrote:If Jerry Lucas is why Robertson is below West then I get chills thinking about the forthcoming arguments with Nash and his incredible privilege in playing with Amar’e. :roll:


Tbf Amare was a very good, all-star player. Overrated by the media at the time sure, but he was no joke. He is one of the best offensive PFs of all time as far as I'm concerned.

Why should I believe that Lucas is a worse player than post knee surgery Baylor? Ok Lucas is worse defensively, it appears... But Baylor has issues too by taking a ton of shots at weak TS%. Offensively I'd take Lucas over that.


Amare is the post child for the great scoring big who doesn't pass well, even ignoring his defense. Is he really the difference maker his raw efficiency + volume scoring numbers would suggest? In our current discussion, this would be Moses Malone (though of course Malone brings GOAT contender offensive rebounding and strong but not great defense as well) so it's a question I'm interested in opening.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#70 » by sansterre » Tue Nov 10, 2020 9:34 pm

Okay. I've had a few days to brainstorm. This is either going to be cool or dumb. Or both. So here goes.

Theorycrafting:

1. I'm ranking by who is likely to give you the most championships.
2. The regular season does one thing. Get you into the playoffs, ideally with a good seeding.
3. Once there your playoff performance does the rest.
4. Win Shares is the only thing that applies across era. God help us.

Legwork:

1. Assembled a really quick wad of win shares, whether or not that win share total made the playoffs and what seed it got if it did.
2. Calculated how likely getting a certain win share total was to get a player into the playoffs.
3. Calculated how likely getting a certain win share total was to get you a certain seeding.
4. Calculated each candidate's career playoff WS/48, adjusted for how likely the player was to make the playoff in each season and weighted toward peak.

So here's what I get, in order of probably number of playoff appearances:

George Mikan: 6.45 playoffs, 3 (1-2 seeds), 2.98 (3-4 seeds), 0.46 (7-8 seeds)
David Robinson: 12.25 playoffs, 3 (1-2 seeds), 6.94 (3-4 seeds), 1.64 (5-6 seeds), 0.67 (7-8 seeds)
Oscar Robertson: 13.07 playoffs, 2 (1-2 seeds), 7.93 (3-4 seeds), 2.48 (5-6 seeds), 0.66 (7-8 seeds)
Julius Erving: 14.04 playoffs, 2 (1-2 seeds), 4.97 (3-4 seeds), 5.85 (5-6 seeds), 1.22 (7-8 seeds)
Moses Malone: 15.46 playoffs, 4 (3-4 seeds), 9.23 (5-6 seeds), 2.23 (7-8 seeds)
Dirk Nowitzki: 16.27 playoffs, 1 (1-2 seed), 6.96 (3-4 seeds), 5.87 (5-6 seeds), 2.44 (7-8 seeds)
Karl Malone: 17.23 playoffs, 12 (3-4 seeds), 4.17 (5-6 seeds), 1.06 (7-8 seeds)

And the adjusted Playoff WS/48 (with comparable playoff performers):

Karl Malone: 0.138
Moses Malone: 0.167
Dirk Nowitzki: 0.169
Julius Erving: 0.180 (0.147 if NBA only)
Oscar Robertson: 0.187
David Robinson: 0.198
George Mikan: No idea, 0.275 maybe?

Now if I knew the WS/48 -> championship conversion that would be delightful. But I don't have that.

So where does that leave us?

Mikan . . . basically, imagine peak Michael Jordan, but he only gets 6.5 runs at it (usually from a top seeding). That's a pretty decent scenario, right? Does Mikan have twice the chances of winning a title per year (given seeding) than Oscar does? Maybe.

David Robinson may get fewer shots than others, but it isn't a ton fewer. His regular season dominance gives him great seedings. Do I think his higher seeding and better performance give him 50% higher odds of winning a championship each year than Karl Malone? Yeah. I do. 33% higher chance than Dirk? Maybe.

Karl Malone gets a ton of appearances (not as many as you might guess) and has decent seedings. But he is pretty weak in the playoffs compared to everyone else.

Moses and Dirk are pretty comparable in terms of playoff performance, except that Dirk gets more shots at it and better seedings, so Moses ahead of Dirk (by this reasoning) makes no sense.

Erving? Some of his numbers are ABA, which I take with a grain of salt. When he comes over to the NBA there is definitely a drop-off in performance, which suggests that the ABA was a little weaker of a league. If you take ABA numbers equally valid? Then he's probably pretty close to Dirk. If you discount the ABA numbers . . . I guess it depends.

Oscar gets fewer shots than Erving (but has better seedings), and plays better. I like Oscar over Erving (however you rule about the ABA).

So where does that leave us? I'm voting:

1. David Robinson - His shorter career isn't as bad as it looks thanks to outstanding regular season performances increasing his playoff appearances and high seeding. And he drops a ton in the playoffs, but from Michael Jordan to Kevin Durant, which is still pretty damned good. I'm betting on his intersection of quality and high seeding.
2. Oscar Robertson - Still decent numbers of reps and high performance.
3. Dirk Nowitzki - Tons of playoff opportunities combined with strong (but not dominant) performances

After that I probably rank them:

Mikan
Erving
Moses
Karl
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#71 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 10, 2020 9:44 pm

70sFan wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:
70sFan wrote:What are your thoughts on Pettit vs Mikan? Was George much better at his peak than Bob?


More dominant on the defensive end, certainly. Pettit was a good defender, Mikan was the dominant defender of his era. ON the offensive end, it's less clear; Pettit was probably the most efficient and prolific scorer of the mid 50s, a great rebounder, and he lived at the foul line. Mikan for his era also drew the most fouls, was probably a better post passer than Pettit, and was also a prolific scorer and rebounder. I would say offensively it is close.

Are there any evidences of Mikan being strong defender? I know that Lakers were dominant defensively, but I've also heard that his supporting cast was the main reason for that - not him. I don't have any strong opinion about it, so if anyone could explain that I'd highly appreciate that.

Here is (almost) full Mikan game for anyone who'd like to watch him:



So first, thanks for sharing!

Second, the idea that Mikan wasn't a dominant defender is not what my impression was. I'm not saying you're wrong in your assessment and it's possible that I let my expectation that a superstar big man would largely be dominating through defense make me stop looking too soon when I noted that the Lakers won with defense rather than offense, and that the great defense basically lasted for the duration of Mikan's time.

Alright, my observations from the game:

The Pistons are absolutely terrified of trying to score on the interior with the exception of their big bruiser Larry Foust, who repeatedly gets his shot blocked by Mikan whenever he tries to score on the interior in the first half, even when he has time and space. When he scores with Mikan in position, he's doing a fadeaway.

I also note that Mikan has quick hands causing multiple deflections to go along with his blocks.

The Pistons were fortunate to have strong shooting from the perimeter early on to build up that lead. It didn't hold up all game, and doesn't seem to be something they could typically count on. Schaus I see scored twice as many points as he averaged that year and my impression wasn't that the Lakers were doing a bad job on the shooters (hard for me to tell which was which), shots were just being made early on.

I think it's interesting to note that Mikan doesn't actually seem that quick with his body, and he doesn't seem to have a glaring advantage when it comes to rebounding over Foust, and that Foust seemed like he was more explosive. Now Foust was arguably the 2nd best center in the game at the time and was younger than Mikan, so this isn't exactly crazy, but the main thing Mikan seems to have over Foust is length. Mikan can get his shot off against Foust, Foust cannot get his shot off against Mikan unless he really does that fade away. That's no small thing, but I was hoping to see an unusual body-quickness from Mikan for his size, and I don't really.

I'll add that after Mikan blocks a few of Foust's shots, it seems like Foust give up. He gets the ball in a position where he could easily go for the shot and he doesn't even try, just passes back out. Lesson learned I suppose.

I think you can really see how Vern Mikkelsen blended with Mikan. Between the two of them the control the interior on offense (Mikan controls the interior basically by himself on defense), and this results in scrappy rebounds, put backs, and a ton of free throws. As I say that, when I look at the data for the year, the Lakers don't appear to be getting tons of free throws and I'm not sure what to make of that. I'd have thought that the jungle ball edge they had here would have given them a free throw edge in general.

On Mikan's offense I note that the idea of gaining grown through physical strength (as in backing your man down) seems completely absent from his game. Maybe he just couldn't back down Foust? Regardless, the Laker offense is clearly trying to do everything possible to get the ball for Mikan to shoot, and often he shoots it right where he gets it and misses.

So I have to say, with all concern about confirmation bias, much of what I saw here is about what I expected in terms of Mikan's strengths and weaknesses. If Mikan played other teams the way he did the Pistons, I wouldn't expect him to be able to dominate as a scorer against guys who better approximate his own size. On the other hand, if he was able to shut down Foust like that, then yeah, the rest of his contemporaries wouldn't likely fair any better.

And when I project Mikan into the future - which I know not everyone does, but I feel I need to to try to get a sense of competition levels across eras - I do see him as a solid defensive anchor for any era, but as someone who I'd likely be looking to focus in a support, non-volume capacity on offense.

Last note, the strategy on the perimeter seems pretty flawed on both ends, which makes sense and isn't meant as a shot on the BBIQ of the players themselves who I think showed plenty of ability to think quickly.

But on offense you see a lot of excess passing that doesn't serve any purpose. I'm not just talking about the tendency to run the same type of hand off repeatedly on the same play, but literally two guys just pass the ball back and forth while their defensive man just catches a breather. I'd imagine that this is a relic of times when dribbling just wasn't a part of the game for equipment reasons combined with a philosophy of getting others involved, but in terms of direct possession impact, doesn't seem like it's doing much.

As I say that, when the offenses run those hand off passes, they do seem to bait defenders into going for steals which opens up spacing. The Lakers seem to do this more and then feed the ball into Mikan for the quick shot. Can quibble about this being the best strategy, but it's doing some work for them. The funny thing to me is that in the modern game space manipulation is done almost entirely through shooting threat, but in this game it seems more about giving defenders the chance to steal the ball and then take advantage when the steals don't come. It works when it works...but there's also a ton of turnovers, so dubious approach overall.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#72 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 10, 2020 9:50 pm

BigBoss23 wrote:I see Marion as the Suns equivalent of Draymond Green; that is a swiss army knife on offense and great team defender, but not someone capable to being the 2nd best player on a championship team.

Kevin Garnett is probably the ultimate version of this phenomenon imo.


I think it's worth noting that Green is the smartest player and best passer on the Warriors, and Marion wasn't known for any of that. This is a huge difference because Green was a second round draft pick before we realized his brain was an outlier.

Now of course, Marion wasn't a second round pick. Marion is much more explosive than Green, and scouts could see that. This means you can still argue Marion vs Green, but in terms of the analogy, it's a huge factor. Normalize for brains and Wilt beats Russell every time.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#73 » by Odinn21 » Tue Nov 10, 2020 10:08 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:
Odinn21 wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:1. Dirk Nowitzki
2. Karl Malone
3. Oscar Robertson

Dirk and Malone both have among the best longevity left, I like Dirk's scoring game more to the high end skill and spacing, it reflected in the playoffs leading to 2011 run. Malone however is a good passer and defender to make up for it.

Oscar's great obviously, I just think his teams underperformed in the 60s for their talent and his personality is arguably more grating than Dirk or Malone. Not sure about his defense either.

How so?
Roberton's and West's team situations were discussed to death in the #13 thread, and if you go back and look at them, you'd see that if the Royals underperformed, the Lakers underperformed even more and you had West on your ballot.

I'd like you to elaborate how Robertson's teams underperformed and more than that, how it is decider going against Robertson when you vote for even more questionable names for their underperformed seasons - playoffs?


Oscar's Royals teams had about the same success as KG's Wolves despite having a variety of good players in my opinion as TrueLAFan said last htread

Still thinking about switching off my Oscar vote to Malone or Dirk. I’m reading the support of Oscar’s “winning” with moderate interest, but not a whole lot of belief. And I personally think the “team makeup” favors Oscar over West. Oscar didn’t just have decent teams behind him; they were relatively well-balanced teams. He almost always had an effective frontcourt player (Lucas/Embry), another good to very good perimeter player (Twyman/Van Arsdale), an adequate SG (Bucky Bockhorn/Adrian Smith), and some good defensive role players, often in the frontcourt to complement Embry/Lucas (Boozer/Hairston/Hawkins). I just don’t how see how teams like that with a superstar player stay around .500 every year.


Personally I like Jerry Lucas game a lot with Oscar, he is one of the best floor spacing bigs in the league, led the league in TS multiple times, elite rebounder. The combination of Oscar and Lucas (elite ballhandling guard, spacing big) is decades ahead of time. Twyman early on was elite level scorer, others like Embry are pretty good.

The Bucks played amazingly well when he got there but they were already headed for an elite season as they had won 56 games with rookie Kareem and Dandridge who both then got better in year 2. That's not to take away from how Oscar took him to another level, but adding any top 20 all time player to that team makes them unstoppable.

That looks like name reading. That is like saying “Garnett had Szczerbiak, Billups, Brandon and Nesterovic and the Wolves underperformed”.
The Royals had good potential on offense but not so good fit and their defense was terrible despite Robertson being slightly positive defender.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#74 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Nov 10, 2020 10:08 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:
mailmp wrote:If Jerry Lucas is why Robertson is below West then I get chills thinking about the forthcoming arguments with Nash and his incredible privilege in playing with Amar’e. :roll:


Tbf Amare was a very good, all-star player. Overrated by the media at the time sure, but he was no joke. He is one of the best offensive PFs of all time as far as I'm concerned.

Why should I believe that Lucas is a worse player than post knee surgery Baylor? Ok Lucas is worse defensively, it appears... But Baylor has issues too by taking a ton of shots at weak TS%. Offensively I'd take Lucas over that.


Amare is the post child for the great scoring big who doesn't pass well, even ignoring his defense. Is he really the difference maker his raw efficiency + volume scoring numbers would suggest? In our current discussion, this would be Moses Malone (though of course Malone brings GOAT contender offensive rebounding and strong but not great defense as well) so it's a question I'm interested in opening.


I value him a ton on offense as I view him as one of the best pick and roll bigs, allowing him to make a high impact without ever needing the ball that much, especially when teamed with Nash. Defensively and rebounding obviously is a different story.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#75 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 10, 2020 10:08 pm

BigBoss23 wrote:Actually, no. Durant's stats weren't "vastly" inflated at GSW, if they were even inflated at all. His efficiency was always elite and trending up even at OKC, much like Lebron's efficiency shot through the roof in Miami then dropped dramatically in his first season back in Cleveland.


If you look at the playoff TS% from his last year in OKC to his first year in GS, the difference is utterly massive. Perfectly find to argue small sample size and be cautious in your assessment, but you've got to at least acknowledge in conversation that you see what others see or else we just think "Okay, he's trying to say we're all overreacting but hasn't really looked at all the data himself."
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#76 » by freethedevil » Tue Nov 10, 2020 10:10 pm

BigBoss23 wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:
mailmp wrote:Jerry Lucas was also an abysmal defender for most of his Royal career and the team repeatedly showed it did not really need him. If Jerry Lucas is why Robertson is below West then I get chills thinking about the forthcoming arguments with Nash and his incredible privilege in playing with Amar’e. :roll:

To say nothing about how ludicrous it is celebrate Twyman and Embry while taking umbrage at points about how Garnett regularly played with all-star guards on the Timberwolves...


How do you feel about Nash's incredible privilege in playing with Shawn Marion who would run all over the court covering for Stoudemire and Nash's defensive issues.

Now, like most of us here, I think Nash deserves most of the credit for the SSOL Phoenix offense during his tenure but Marion was definitely the defensive leader of the team and an outstanding offensive finisher to boot, to me clearly more valuable than Amare. Heck, when Amare was out in 2006 and Marion was the first option (except when Eddie House came in bombing away off the bench), the team was nearly as good as 2005 or 2007 in the regular season and did as well or better in the playoffs.


I see Marion as the Suns equivalent of Draymond Green; that is a swiss army knife on offense and great team defender, but not someone capable to being the 2nd best player on a championship team.

Kevin Garnett is probably the ultimate version of this phenomenon imo.


Squints in 2015, 2016 and 2019

This is why value and assessment should be based on outcomes first and presumptions about proccess second. You may assume that scoring is > versatility, but if "versatile" is consistently having a greater influence on winning than "scoring" by every holistic measure, then you really should be questioning what ever assumption led you to the conclusion klay thompson is a better player than draymond green.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#77 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Nov 10, 2020 10:11 pm

Odinn21 wrote:That looks like name reading. That is like saying “Garnett had Szczerbiak, Billups, Brandon and Nesterovic and the Wolves underperformed”.


Wally is not Jerry Lucas. Lucas is a 3x 1st team All-NBA, HOF player. Wally is a perimeter midrange shooter who doesn't play defense. The Love comparison I could understand, I guess. 02 Billups was pre prime. 2004 Cassell was really good but KG played with him at that level a lot less than Oscar did with Lucas. I will admit I don't know how to judge the Royals bench as much compared to other teams at the time but the Wolves was horrid due to Joe Smith situation compared to KG's contract.

My point is not to make a direct comparison between Wolves and Royals, it's that the Royals era was pretty weak success wise, like the Wolves. Only 1 outlier big year. Missing the playoffs several times in the stars prime.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#78 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 10, 2020 10:15 pm

Sublime187 wrote:For all the people voting Mikan.

Don't you think he should be even more scrutinized for his era then we are currently doing? For his career he played with a limited amount of black athletes. If the black athletes were allowed in full force into the league I do not think there is anyway he reaches the heights that he did.

Yes, again he played in the era given to him but this is not just a weak era this is basically him going up against players who are definitely not the best in the world.

Look at the top 20, we might have two white guys that make the list. This is no doubt a sport dominated by black players and Mikan had to play against only a few black athletes. If we take guys that dominated even the 60 and 70s they would absolutely destroy the league Mikan played in. Hell, even a guy like say Andrew Bynum would be the player in the world in that setting.

Just my thoughts. I just feel that this is not some era where the talent pool just wasn't great, it was in fact a specific demographic that usually dominates the game that had a quota on how many can play in the league. How do we know there were not better players then Mikan out there that were just not allowed in the league. Was there some kind of propaganda going on to make sure the best player in the league was white? Just too many variables and unknowns to consider Mikan this early...


On the note of black athletes, something I have to note:

Mikan's (and Kurland's) dominance as super-bigs wasn't just novel for White basketball, it was novel for any basketball.

When the Lakers played the Globetrotters in 1948, the Globetrotters center was 6'3", and it was just a glaring weakness next to Mikan. The Globetrotters still managed to win the game, but they soon acquired Sweetwater Clifton who was 6'8" (although bkref has him at 6'6" and I'm not going to profess to know which number was right there) to be their new center.

All this to say while I'd love to take more about the great Black players of that era and all the myriad effects of White basketball leagues not letting Blacks play, I don't think we have a Negro league-type situation like we do in baseball. Mikan's advantage wasn't that he didn't have to play Blacks, it's that before him, people weren't telling guys his size to play basketball.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#79 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 10, 2020 10:22 pm

eminence wrote:Thought again on my modern Mikan comparison - a bought in Cousins with better defensive instincts is about the closest I can come up with. Anybody else have any thoughts? Emotional on court (not as much off court), very physical, high skill, strongest in the league sort.


I don't really see Mikan as being thick like Cousins. I think if Mikan played today he'd be seen as pretty typical build for his size.

The first guy that comes to mind for me is Andrew Bogut. I don't really want to justify that - the fact I thought of another white guy is awkward - but Bogut is a guy who is big but not overwhelmingly big, great smart defender, and an excellent scorer against slightly lower levels of competition.

I'll also say that if that seems super-damning, keep in mind that I respect Bogut a ton and consider his career fundamentally damaged by injury. To me he's a guy who could have been All-NBA 1st team in year without top tier superstars at the center position (Shaq, Dwight).
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #14 

Post#80 » by Joao Saraiva » Tue Nov 10, 2020 10:31 pm

The gap in longevity of Malone and Dirk against Mikan should be enough for him not to be even considered.

Oscar has a longer career, so that gap might not be so important... but please. I wouldn't even consider Mikan against Moses, Oscar, Jerry, Dirk, Malone, etc.
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