sansterre wrote:1. John Stockton - I realize he's not a sexy pick, but he actually really good at his peak. Super efficient shooting, high assists, low turnovers, didn't make mistakes . . . I mean, he's just a really good point guard. Stockton's drawbacks? I see two. One, he never scored in volume (and for whatever reason, everybody loves volume scoring). And two, that he played with terminator-like consistency for so long with the same team that kept coming up short corrupts his narrative. Because Utah never won it's easy to dismiss Stockton with "just wasn't good enough, and that he played for so long just makes him not good enough for longer". Was he ever a Top 5 player? I don't think so. But he was almost certainly a Top 10 player for more than a decade. If he'd been the point guard in Chicago for the duration of his career he'd be ranked in the top 20 easy. But he played in Utah with Malone and not a whole lot else to work with. He was really good for really long. And that's enough for me.
2. Scottie Pippen - Basically, name anything that isn't "1st option scoring" and Pippen was amazing at it. Passing? Great. Rebounding? Really great. Defense? Pippen may be the best defensive non-big *ever*. Could he be the first option on an offense? He could, but it wasn't what he was built for. He was built for secondary playmaking, off-ball cutting, board crashing and murderous defense. If Pippen is your first option, you'd better have an amazing team around him to make it work. But if he's your second option . . . you're in a really good position. Pippen could fit on almost any roster ever. '74 Celtics instead of Havlicek? Sure! '90 Pistons instead of Rodman? Sure! He brings everything you could possibly want to the table and then some; Pippen was crazy scalable. He's prone to being underrated because he's not a first option scorer (at a championship level) but he was great at everything else and has a history of excellent postseason play. Do you realize how many roster combinations his skillset unlocks? Scottie Pippen may not be a flashy championship piece, but that doesn't make him less valuable.
3. Clyde Drexler - I know, I know, Drexler above Curry? But seriously. Drexler. He's got a Prime WOWYR comparable to Garnett, Kareem and Russell. He's got a career WOWYR comparable to Larry Bird and Steve Nash. He's a solid high usage scorer with decent efficiency, he's a good rebounder (and one of the best offensive rebounding 2s ever), he's a good passer who doesn't turn it over much and he was a very good defender, posting high steals and blocks totals consistently. Was he a dominant first option? No. But he was good at everything. And he carried the Blazers *hard*. I've looked at that roster: I'm not saying that it was garbage, but that team won the Western Conference twice only because of Drexler. When he was traded the Blazers went from averaging 107 points per game to 101 points per game for the rest of the year; losing him knocked them from being a +6.1 team to a +1.2 team (not adjusted for opposition). He carried a huge load, posting Heliocentrism ratings of 37% and 42% for two Conference Winners (43% and 38% in the playoffs for those years). Did he fall off in the playoffs? Yeah, a little. His volume shrank slightly and his efficiency dropped a bit, but not more than you'd expect against playoff opposition. And his rebounding, passing and defense retained value just fine. It's easy to point to the player with a narrow peak who had one insane skill (if that skill is scoring). Drexler was really good for a long peak (probably an 11-year peak from '87-'97) and he was good at *everything* which means that he'd be a quality addition to most rosters.
Here's Drexler's eleven year peak compared to Curry's eleven year peak (kidding, this is his whole career) (this is per game):
Curry: 23.5 / 4.5 / 6.6, 0.7 offensive rebounds, 1.7 steals, 3.1 turnovers, 62.3% TS, over 699 games
Drexler: 22.5 / 6.7 / 5.8, 2.6 offensive rebounds, 2.1 steals, 2.8 turnovers, 55.2% TS, over 779 games
Curry: 103.2 Win Shares, 0.207 WS/48, +6.4 BPM, 50.7 VORP
Drexler: 112.2 Win Shares, 0.189 WS/48, +6.0 BPM, 57.9 VORP
Curry's the better scorer, no doubt. He's a slightly better passer. But Drexler's a much better rebounder and much better defender. And he's played in more games, which gives him more aggregate value (even if all the metrics think that Curry was slightly better per game).
But what about the playoffs?
Curry: 26.5 / 5.4 / 6.3, 0.8 offensive rebounds, 1.6 steals, 3.5 turnovers, 60.9% TS (112 games)
Drexler: 21.6 / 7.2 / 6.2, 2.5 offensive rebounds, 1.9 steals, 2.7 turnovers, 53.9% TS (122 games)
Curry: 17.1 Win Shares, 0.194 WS/48, +6.9 BPM, 9.5 VORP
Drexler: 14.7 Win Shares, 0.146 WS/48, +6.1 BPM, 9.9 VORP
So at this point Curry's lead in scoring has expanded (the gap in efficiency is the same, but the volume gap has increased), but now Drexler's a comparable distributer with fewer turnovers, while being the better rebounder (especially offensive), and defender. The aggregate stats think that Curry was better in the playoffs, but not by much.
And let's not forget that Drexler has four more seasons that we're not even considering.
I'm just saying. Clyde Drexler was really good.
Clyde Drexler was really good--but he wasn't great enough to be remotely considered in the top 30. If you are seriously considering Drexler here then you should consider superior players like Reggie Miller as well.
Regular SeasonDrexler ('87-'97): 22.5 / 6.7 / 5.8, 2.6 offensive rebounds, 2.1 steals, 2.8 turnovers, 55.2% TS, over 779 games
Miller ('90-'99): 21.0 / 3.1 / 3.2, 1.2 steals, 2.0 turnovers, 62.5 TS%, over 776 games
Drexler ('87-'97): 112.2 Win Shares, .189 WS/48, +6.0 BPM, 57.9 VORP
Miller ('90-'99): 110.8 Win Shares, .192 WS/48, +4.4 BPM, 44.6 VORP
What we have here is Reggie Miller being a significantly better scorer while Clyde being a better rebounder, passer and defender. It is also worth noting a couple of things, one being the spacing Miller provided allowed his teams to routinely be top-tier offenses and two Miller's defense being underrated by counting stats. Miller could move his feet and contest shots at a good level given his lengthy frame and three Drexler started to break down from 93-97, missing 33, 14, 6, 30 and 20 games--Miller was an ironman, missing 12 total games in this time period.
Post-SeasonDrexler ('87-'97): 21.6 / 7.2 / 6.2, 2.5 offensive rebounds, 1.9 steals, 2.7 turnovers, 53.9% TS (122 games)
Miller ('90-'99): 23.0 / 2.5 / 3.0, 1.1 steals, 1.9 turnovers, 60.9 TS% (78 games)
Drexler ('87-'97): 14.7 Win Shares, .146 WS/48, +6.1 BPM, 9.9 VORP
Miller ('90-'99): 12.0 Win Shares, .194 WS/48, +5.7 BPM, 5.8 VORP
Once again the differences in these players we see grow larger, with Miller being able to increase his scoring volume at little cost to efficiency while both of Drexler's volume and efficiency decreased--not a good sign.
Miller still has 6 more seasons of high-impact basketball albeit a clear decrease in volume in his final 3 seasons.
Regular Season
Miller ('00-'05): 15.2 / 2.8 / 2.8, 0.9 steals, 1.3 turnovers
Miller ('00-'05): 52.8 Win Shares, .163 WS/48, +2.5 BPM, 17.7 VORP
Post-Season
Miller ('00-'05): 17.9 / 2.7 / 2.5, 1.0 steals, 1.7 turnovers
Miller ('00-'05): 7.9 Win Shares, .162 WS/48, +4.2 BPM, 3.6 VORP
Was he a dominant first option? No. But he was good at everything. And he carried the Blazers *hard*. I've looked at that roster: I'm not saying that it was garbage, but that team won the Western Conference twice only because of Drexler.
Drexler wasn't just not a dominant first option--he was a mediocre first option--significantly worse than Reggie Miller on that front who is not a "good first option".
As for Drexler carrying the Blazers "Hard", not close. Terry Porter was one of the best Point Guards in the early 1990s providing crucial spacing and allowed Drexler to be the 1B playmaker to Porter's 1A. In Porter's short prime ('88-'93) he was a 17/4/8 player on big-time efficiency (58.7 TS%) and performed better in the post-season, unlike Clyde. The Blazers also had all-defensive talent Buck Williams--an astonishingly efficient post-player, a very solid Jerome Kirsey on the wing, Veteran Danny Ainge off the bench and an all-star Center in Kevin Duckworth all thrown together with Rick Adelman at the helm.