Predict Blazers # of wins in the 2020-2021 season

[d-train]

I really wanna go with 50 wins, but am going to settle on 48 wins. That's a .667 win percentage.

Where will Blazers finish in the playoffs seeding?

I wanna go with 2nd, but am going to settle on 3rd.

I just wanted a closer review of that DVM math.

[Wizenheimer]

46-26; 4th seed

[Pattycakes]

David Fizdale flat out showed his lack of relevance last night when asked if adding Kanter/Hood/Giles/DJJ/Roco is enough to push us into contending and his response was "Not a chance. There's Zion, there's Ja..."

I'm not even going to try to argue with his opinion and let the ball talk, but to act like the Pelicans or Grizzlies are a threat to place higher than us, I don't know how this man was ever considered to be respected in the basketball community.

[monopoman]

I will be adding all of the responses to the 1st post right before the season starts, every prediction must be in at least 6 hours before the first game of the season on the 23rd of December.

If people want to change their prediction and have already submitted it that is fine until the deadline also.

[DeBlazerRiddem]

I'll go with 44 with no good reasoning behind that number except that it hasn't been picked.

[Soulyss]

I am going with 47-25, 3rd in the West and a 1st round date with the Mavs.

[Epicurus]

538 with its elaborate method projects the Blazer record at 40-32 (much less than Roy the Natural's declaration that only 50 wins or more is acceptable. Indeed 538 does not project anyone to win 50 or more). It gives the Blazers at 60% chance of being in the playoffs.

[Roy The Natural]

538 with its elaborate method projects the Blazer record at 40-32 (much less than Roy the Natural's declaration that only 50 wins or more is acceptable. Indeed 538 does not project anyone to win 50 or more). It gives the Blazers at 60% chance of being in the playoffs.

50 win pace I said. Not that they should win 50, but they should pace somewhere close to it if healthy and this was a full 82 games season. I stand by that. Less games, 50 isn't likely achievable, but they should pace it over a full seasons worth of games IMO.

So my expected based on roster talent would be 44-18.

Not sure how reliable 538s projections are here either. They expect the Lakers to have the best record and have a 55 win pace over a full season. It's been over 40 years since the best record in the NBA for any given year had a win percentage worse than the Lakers are predicted to have. In fact, that win percentage would be the 2nd worse win percentage for a league leading record since 1957. Only the 76-77 Lakers had a worse percentage.

[soobias]

39-33

[DaVoiceMaster]

538 with its elaborate method projects the Blazer record at 40-32 (much less than Roy the Natural's declaration that only 50 wins or more is acceptable. Indeed 538 does not project anyone to win 50 or more). It gives the Blazers at 60% chance of being in the playoffs.

After these last 2 games, this may be a lot closer to the Blazers final record (sigh).

[Blazinaway]

I will be adding all of the responses to the 1st post right before the season starts, every prediction must be in at least 6 hours before the first game of the season on the 23rd of December.

If people want to change their prediction and have already submitted it that is fine until the deadline also.

yeah, after watching the full preseason I dropped my wins from 49 to 42 and that may be too "generous", we have a tough early schedule and could get off to a very bad start

[Epicurus]

I will be adding all of the responses to the 1st post right before the season starts, every prediction must be in at least 6 hours before the first game of the season on the 23rd of December.

If people want to change their prediction and have already submitted it that is fine until the deadline also.

yeah, after watching the full preseason I dropped my wins from 49 to 42 and that may be too "generous", we have a tough early schedule and could get off to a very bad start

I think that largely depends upon Nurk to get into condition physically and mentally. This version of him will mean the very bad start you suggest.

[d-train]

I'm thinking about raising my estimated wins. My estimation was already optimistic, but maybe not optimistic enough.

[GEE]

The performance of this team, as already mentioned, looks lost, which to me means, Stotts may have lost this team. Further evidenced by the simple look in his eyes during recent interviews... He looks tired and beat. His lame answering of questions doesn't help either. This isn't all of his fault though IMO. I think Dames' increasing power of influence over this team also plays a large part, but that's a whole other issue.

With that, I'm sad to predict 39 wins. We squeak into the 8th seed, only to get swept by the Lakers.

The coach will finally get fired, but a whole season will be waisted IMO. Moreover, Olshey will have to work much much harder to keep any of the acquired talent on this roster, resigning our RFAs, and good freakin' luck getting any new quality FA to entertain Portland. Worst case, though far less likely, we go by the way of the Rockets... after firing coach, franchise player demands trade.

Without a quick hook to Stotts, I foresee a massive trainwreck ahead. I'll be surprised if we start the season better than 2-8. How many embarrassing losses will it take?

[d-train]

I see only 37 games scheduled. I see 26 wins in those 37 games. My initial prediction was 46 wins. So, we need 20 of the final 35 games to get 46 wins. It should be probable to get 1 or 2 more games than my original estimate.

Edit 12/21: I'm going to keep my original 46-26 prediction.

[GEE]

Lazy Sunday... just finished watching a repeat game, GSW vs. SAC. Now NBATV is showing LAL vs. PHX. These games are not helping the concerns I have. Coaching really does matter, and I now think that both PHX and SAC, with their coaching staffs, could find a way to beat us out of the playoffs. That is where I feel we are right now. Tons of talent with one of the absolute worst coaching staffs in the West. We will see just how much coaching matters this year. Maybe we can get lucky though... Kings barely miss the playoffs, and they stupidly fire Walton.

1. LAKERS
2. CLIPPERS
3. NUGGETS
4. JAZZ
5. MAVERICKS
6. SUNS
7. ROCKETS
8. WARRIORS
9. KINGS
10. BLAZERS (37-35)
11. PELICANS
12. GRIZZLIES
13. SPURS
14. TIMBERWOLVES
15. THUNDER

[d-train]

Lazy Sunday... just finished watching a repeat game, GSW vs. SAC. Now NBATV is showing LAL vs. PHX. These games are not helping the concerns I have. Coaching really does matter, and I now think that both PHX and SAC, with their coaching staffs, could find a way to beat us out of the playoffs. That is where I feel we are right now. Tons of talent with one of the absolute worst coaching staffs in the West. We will see just how much coaching matters this year. Maybe we can get lucky though... Kings barely miss the playoffs, and they stupidly fire Walton.

1. LAKERS
2. CLIPPERS
3. NUGGETS
4. JAZZ
5. MAVERICKS
6. SUNS
7. ROCKETS
8. WARRIORS
9. KINGS
10. BLAZERS (37-35)
11. PELICANS
12. GRIZZLIES
13. SPURS
14. TIMBERWOLVES
15. THUNDER

Are you saying, if we lose our coaching is responsible, and if we win it's because of luck?

[Epicurus]

Exactly what he is saying. The Blazers lose due to coaching and they win despite coaching. Absolute nonsense!

[GEE]

I thought my comments were quite clear. If what you say is what I meant, I would have stated it as you suggest. So no, that is not what I think. I said it twice, coaching matters, and the mock finish shows the teams that are above us having better coaching staffs, which I believe will be the reason we miss the playoffs. And the reason for our past success has clearly been Dame's heroics, not Stott's genius.

[Epicurus]

Some of us are capable of " both/and" thinking.