RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 (George Gervin)

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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#61 » by trex_8063 » Wed Dec 30, 2020 10:18 pm

euroleague wrote:.

Magic Is Magic wrote:.
Joao Saraiva wrote:.


I'll give you guys about another 4.5 hours to give your 2c on who you prefer between Miller and Gervin. If we haven't heard from you by then, we'll be forced into a sudden death runoff as per updated stipulations in the Main Project/List Thread:


Moving forward, I want to make sure everyone knows EXACTLY what to expect in a future contentious vote; so below is a flow-chart (which is consistent with precedent that has already occurred in this project):

1) ranked vote system (RVS) like we've been doing with three ordered picks. If a majority or **default victory is NOT obtained by a single player with this method.....

2) ....we go to Condorcet method [of the "finalist" players] among the original counted voters [which is a very natural "continuation" of a RVS, btw, given the entire point of the RVS is to better ensure everyone gets a counted vote] to determine a winner. BUT we will wait no longer than 24 hours after the original deadline to hear from everyone (and there's no mystery to figuring if you're one of the people I need to hear from: it's easy enough for any of you to tell without my asking each of you [if two or more of the three "finalists" were not on your original vote post, I don't know what your position is on them]).

IF the Condorcet method yields a tie OR I do not hear from every original voter wrt his player hierarchy within 24 hours of the original deadline and the tabulated Condorcet results still indicate undecided (i.e. that it could go either way if all votes were in).....

3) .....we will go to a "sudden death" runoff, wherein the first finalist to receive [at least] TWO ***new votes [which can come from one of the original Condorcet hold-outs] AND be in the lead by Condorcet method (including BOTH original voters and runoff voters) will be awarded the spot.

**All default victories will be "validity checked" via the Condorcet method. As long as the default victor does NOT lose to one of the other finalists via Condorcet, the default victory will be upheld, and he will be awarded the spot.
IF, otoh, he loses to one [or more] competitors via Condorcet method [or failing to hear from all original voters within 24 hours, with the result still in question], we will enter a "sudden death" runoff that follows the same rules as indicated in #3 above.

*** "new votes" must come from posters who have previously been established on the voter panel [even if they haven't participated in awhile]. i.e. Brand new voices will not be allowed to jump in and decide the spot.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#62 » by Cavsfansince84 » Wed Dec 30, 2020 10:21 pm

May be a bit late so don't know if it will count for this one but here goes my votes:

37. Dolph Schayes
-12x all nba(7x 1st)
-1x nba champ
-Good all around player, 9x top 5 in rebounding with good outside shot
-top 10 in scoring 11 times with career ts+ of 108 which is about 4% over league average
-known to be a solid defender from what I have learned about him
-posted very strong playoff scoring even after the shot clock(though efficiency was erratic)
-31st in career win shares

38. George Gervin
-incredibly smooth all around scoring game which I think translates well to most any system
-teams had fair amount of success with him as the star(usually 45-53 win range) while being top 3 in ORtg most every year of his prime which shows his impact there I think
-I have him above Reggie here mainly because I think he was just more dominant relative to his era and is better equipped to be a high volume #1 scoring option/offensive anchor of a team
-not only 4x scoring champ but 4 seasons with ts add over 240 and career ts+ of 107(roughly 3.5% above league average)
-9x all nba/aba(5x 1st team)
-6x 10 top in mvp voting(3x top 3)
-very strong playoff performer, leading the league in playoff ppg 6x

39. Reggie Miller
-incredible shooter obviously who just seemed innately wired for taking and making big shots in the playoffs as well as strong playoff performer
-led the Pacers in win shares 14 straight years while they lost in 4 ecf and 1 finals(while pushing MJ's Bulls to a game 7 in 98)
-very good size with decent athleticism and incredible off ball player
-career ts add of 3450 which is likely top 5 all time or thereabouts including 9 seasons with ts add over 200
-career ts+ of 116(8% above league average) while being 24th in career pts scored(nba & aba)
-18th all time in career win shares
-3x all nba 3rd team
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#63 » by trex_8063 » Wed Dec 30, 2020 10:28 pm

Cavsfansince84 wrote:Maybe a bit late so don't know if it will count for this one but here goes my votes:



Yeah sorry, as of now your votes will not be counted. Reggie is the "default" winner, but per previous decisions regarding protocol all default victors need to be validated via Condorcet method [among all voters who beat the original deadline]. That's what we're waiting on (still haven't heard from three of them).

If we haven't heard from them in a little over 4 hours [~9:45-10pm EST] and/or the spot is still in question, we will be entering a sudden death runoff (details in quotes of above post).
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#64 » by Dutchball97 » Wed Dec 30, 2020 10:30 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
Again, if you're talking about "longevity" in terms of him continuing to do his thing for a long time, it doesn't make sense to bring this up.

I'm not saying you can't be a Gervin skeptic based on what you don't see in the playoffs, but when you talk as if "longevity" is the issue, that's specifically a criticism of his inability to sustain his play rather than a criticism of his play. If that's not what you're looking to criticize, use a different word.


It is a criticism of his ability to have consistent deep play-off runs. He simply didn't achieve a lot in the play-offs and not all of that can be attributed to not having great teams around him.


Is it? So you're saying that you have no doubt that Gervin could lead teams to deep playoff runs with superstar play, you're just looking to point out his inconsistency in play when you talk about "longevity"? Strange but okay, speak to that then. Where did he let you down? Dive into specific years and how he played.


We have different uses of the term longevity. I've always focused on play-off runs for the most part. Maybe it's because I grew up watching soccer, where you get no awards for qualification or group stage rounds. The knockout round that actually decides who wins it all should be what matters the most and Gervin is sorely lacking on that department.

I'm going to disengage from this argument now as it isn't productive to discuss the use of the word longevity and can't say I'm a huge fan of this high horse attitude either.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#65 » by Jaqua92 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 12:05 am

Baiting comment, not worth reply. trex

Spoiler:
What a silly list this is.

Bird #10? Duncan #5?

Suddenly it all makes sense.

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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#66 » by trex_8063 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 12:39 am

DQuinn1575 wrote:Good points, but I guess my counter is that Reggie is getting beat out by John Starks, Michael Adams, Kenny Anderson etc.
It's not like he's Hal Greer or Sam Jones finishing behind West and Oscar,
or forwards in the 90s always behind Barkley and Malone. His point is that Reggie wasnt 1st or 2nd team all-nba, so not in top 10 players in league (basically), which is what he was looking at.


wrt the bolded, I actually think Reggie WAS similar to Jones or Greer in that he was somewhere around the 3rd-to-6th best guard in the league year-after-year (and distantly to the one at the top). The awards simply didn't reflect that at all in the early 90s.


Quite frequently in the front-half of that decade, I think it was something like this for guards:

Jordan

[large gap]

Drexler and/or Stockton [usually]

[smaller gap]

Reggie (along with guys like Kevin Johnson, Mark Price, Joe Dumars, or Tim Hardaway [not ALL of them, but 1 or more of them, depending on the year])



An analogous situation [to what Reggie faced multiple years in the early 90s] for Hal Greer in the mid-60s would be like this:
1st Team goes to West/Robertson
2nd Team goes to Jones/Rodgers
And additionally Lenny Wilkens and Tom Gola were made All-Stars.........while Hal Greer receives nothing.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#67 » by DQuinn1575 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 1:35 am

trex_8063 wrote:
DQuinn1575 wrote:Good points, but I guess my counter is that Reggie is getting beat out by John Starks, Michael Adams, Kenny Anderson etc.
It's not like he's Hal Greer or Sam Jones finishing behind West and Oscar,
or forwards in the 90s always behind Barkley and Malone. His point is that Reggie wasnt 1st or 2nd team all-nba, so not in top 10 players in league (basically), which is what he was looking at.


wrt the bolded, I actually think Reggie WAS similar to Jones or Greer in that he was somewhere around the 3rd-to-6th best guard in the league year-after-year (and distantly to the one at the top). The awards simply didn't reflect that at all in the early 90s.


Quite frequently in the front-half of that decade, I think it was something like this for guards:

Jordan

[large gap]

Drexler and/or Stockton [usually]

[smaller gap]

Reggie (along with guys like Kevin Johnson, Mark Price, Joe Dumars, or Tim Hardaway [not ALL of them, but 1 or more of them, depending on the year])



An analogous situation [to what Reggie faced multiple years in the early 90s] for Hal Greer in the mid-60s would be like this:
1st Team goes to West/Robertson
2nd Team goes to Jones/Rodgers
And additionally Lenny Wilkens and Tom Gola were made All-Stars.........while Hal Greer receives nothing.


Hal Greer was 2nd team all-NBA 7 years in a row - if I had to guess that is a record without a 1st team pick, he also was a 10 time all-star; only year he didnt make all-star team where he had any case was 71, where with expanded league he basically lost out to Jo Jo WHite, who averaged 21 ppg versus Greer's 18. Gola never beat out Greer for all-star team when he didnt deserve to. Rodgers was never all-nba.
You look at all-nba, and Greer comes out as clearly 3rd best guard in decade, behind only two all-time greats - Sam Jones only has 3 2nd team spots. so Greer is ahead of him many years - and Sam runs into 3 man limit on all-star teams so he gets hosed a couple of times.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#68 » by Joao Saraiva » Thu Dec 31, 2020 1:40 am

I have Gervin over Miller.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#69 » by Magic Is Magic » Thu Dec 31, 2020 2:10 am

Owly wrote:
Magic Is Magic wrote:
Odinn21 wrote:37. George Gervin
I'm more of a peak/prime guy. I'd take 5-7 seasons with higher chance of winning than 9-10 season with lower chance of winning. This could be challenged by looking at results Drexler's Blazers and Miller's Pacers had but Gervin didn't get to play in such deep, well constructed rosters and good coaches. On individual level, Gervin was the better player and his prime lasted long enough for me.

38. Clyde Drexler
I think he could've been a better/greater player if he wasn't that limited on half court. Not saying he was just bad. Though he was limited for a player of his quality and stature.

39. Reggie Miller
Miller got this spot over Payton, Zeke and Gilmore because his prime duration was significantly longer and those 4 didn't make up for it with their quality. I doubt if they made some TBH. Miller's off-ball play had such significance. O'Neal had massive off-ball presence / gravity because you just can't leave him 1v1. Miller OTOH, worked his ass off without the ball. He didn't have big assist numbers but despite being a 3 apg shooting guard, he created more than 5 apg shooting guards.


Reggie Miller is the most overrated player I've ever seen. Top 40 discussion when he doesn't have a single all NBA 1st or 2nd team, or on the 1st or 2nd all defense. 0 top 5 MVP votes. 0 top 5 in single season total Points, Rebounds or Assists. I was shocked when his score was the lowest based out of 55 players. He isn't close to 39. Many players did way more than him.

The thing is the awards/accolades are an indirect proxy for player performance rather than a direct one (albeit direct ones might be incomplete [boxscore composites], noisy [impact] or both). If you trust those voters heavily Miller is a long way out, if you discount it based on the belief you have better tools one may conclude Reggie belongs here (or not).

Ranking thresholds will be arbitrary, using them in counting stats for single aspects of the game also doesn't mean much (Danny Fortson was an elite rebounder but not an elite player). Leaving aside that Miller has10 top 5 ts% seasons, these single factors don't mean that much. Depending on your box composite of choice, weighting of playoff performance (and means of analysis of such), your reading of the impact of his gravity etc, I can see ways of having him here.

If you are say, into Win Shares (15th all time NBA only, 18th with ABA included) weigh the playoffs highly, factor in opponents for playoff analysis, believe that the Knicks strong defense overall in that era makes them a tough defense for shooting guards to the same degree (in appraising his playoff performance) and take a bullish view on his impact you could justify a high ranking. That's not necessarily me but I wouldn't necessarily object either if applied as a consistent criteria and if I did disagree I'd want to be clear in the reasoning for the criticism (e.g. "criteria is fundamentally flawed because ...." or "I don't think you can have applied this criteria consistently, because ..."). That Miller doesn't rate here for you is fine. Belief that he absolutely shouldn't rate here justified by him not doing so by your own criteria (without exposition why that criteria is better than the flawed, alternate angles) ... is harder to get behind.


Just to further my point about Reggie being overrated, he has the following additional individual achievements:

RS WS/48 > 0.25 = 0
RS BPM > 7 = 0
PO WS/48 > 0.25 = 0
PO BPM > 7 = 3
PO VORP > 2.5 = 0
TOP 3 in MVP = 0
Top 5 in MVP = 0
RS PER > 25.0 = 0
PO PER > 25.0 = 0

It's really bad. At least it is to me when these are sound measurements I've used to score other players from 1 to 55. Miller ranked dead last at 55.

So my point is that I've created multiple categories in which to assess these players, not just All NBA 1st/2nd and All Defense 1st/2nd. He just does not measure up. You could try to shift the argument to "but he played on a stacked team and won a bunch of rings that's why his individual stats suffered" but as we both know...Miller did not win a single championship either. Case in point.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#70 » by Magic Is Magic » Thu Dec 31, 2020 2:16 am

trex_8063 wrote:
Owly wrote:
Magic Is Magic wrote:
Reggie Miller is the most overrated player I've ever seen. Top 40 discussion when he doesn't have a single all NBA 1st or 2nd team, or on the 1st or 2nd all defense. 0 top 5 MVP votes. 0 top 5 in single season total Points, Rebounds or Assists. I was shocked when his score was the lowest based out of 55 players. He isn't close to 39. Many players did way more than him.

The thing is the awards/accolades are an indirect proxy for player performance rather than a direct one (albeit direct ones might be incomplete [boxscore composites], noisy [impact] or both). If you trust those voters heavily Miller is a long way out, if you discount it based on the belief you have better tools one may conclude Reggie belongs here (or not).

Ranking thresholds will be arbitrary, using them in counting stats for single aspects of the game also doesn't mean much (Danny Fortson was an elite rebounder but not an elite player). Leaving aside that Miller has10 top 5 ts% seasons, these single factors don't mean that much. Depending on your box composite of choice, weighting of playoff performance (and means of analysis of such), your reading of the impact of his gravity etc, I can see ways of having him here.

If you are say, into Win Shares (15th all time NBA only, 18th with ABA included) weigh the playoffs highly, factor in opponents for playoff analysis, believe that the Knicks strong defense overall in that era makes them a tough defense for shooting guards to the same degree (in appraising his playoff performance) and take a bullish view on his impact you could justify a high ranking. That's not necessarily me but I wouldn't necessarily object either if applied as a consistent criteria and if I did disagree I'd want to be clear in the reasoning for the criticism (e.g. "criteria is fundamentally flawed because ...." or "I don't think you can have applied this criteria consistently, because ..."). That Miller doesn't rate here for you is fine. Belief that he absolutely shouldn't rate here justified by him not doing so by your own criteria (without exposition why that criteria is better than the flawed, alternate angles) ... is harder to get behind.


Some fine points.
Doctor MJ already replied to him on this topic in a prior thread, particularly regarding Reggie's "standing" in terms of media-awarded accolades.
The thing about these types of awards [especially pre-databall] is that if fans or media persons were looking at two players: one averages 26 ppg on league-average TS% for a slightly below average offense, while the other averages 23 ppg on +10% rTS for a top 5-7 offense (and let's say neither is exceptional [though not necessarily "equal"] at everything else).......almost all of them will favour the first player. The reason: 26 is more than 23. It's literally that simple of an equation to them.

At some point one really needs to look at what is earned/not earned, and who is snubbed.

Where Reggie is concerned, even noting a few years of interest kind of illustrates the point.....
'91
Reggie averaged 22.6 ppg on a league-leading +11.6% rTS ( :o ) along with 4 apg and a 2.03 Ast:TO ratio, as the clear best player and offensive anchor of the 7th-rated offense in the league. Didn't miss a single game either, fwiw.
He is not invited to the All-Star game (even as a replacement for the injured Isiah Thomas), nor given All-NBA honours.

Hersey Hawkins [in the same conference]---who admittedly is better defensively, though still no All-D, fwiw----averages 22.1 ppg on +5.8% rTS, along with 3.7 apg and a 1.40 Ast:TO ratio, for the 13th-best offense [despite playing with Charles Barkley]; team no better overall either.......he IS invited to the All-Star game.

Joe Dumars [also same conference] is definitely a better defensive player [though probably overrated in this regard, imo], averaged 20.4 ppg @ +1.8% rTS, with 5.5 apg and a 2.34 Ast:TO ratio for the 12th-rated offense [and even less rebounding than Reggie]. He not only gets invited to the All-Star game, but receives All-NBA 3rd Team honours.

Bernard King [also in the same conference]----who is definitely NOT better defensively than Reggie in this year----averages 28.4 ppg @ -0.7% rTS [just want to emphasize this is more than 12% worse than Reggie] with 4.6 apg though a horrid turnover economy (4.0 topg--->double what Reggie averaged) for the offense that is tied for 23rd [of 27] in the league; a team that won just 30 games total. AND King missed 18 games besides.
He is invited to the All-Star game AND receives All-NBA 3rd Team honours [though as a forward, but still: a "wing"].

Does all of this^^^^ seem fair, justified, or correct?
I would say that quite obviously it does not.


'92
Reggie averaged 20.7 ppg @ +9.8% rTS, with 3.8 apg and a 2.00 Ast:TO ratio, as the clear best player and offensive anchor for the 6th-rated offense in the league. A somewhat better than usual 3.9 rpg this year, too, fwiw, and again not missing a single game.
He is not invited to the All-Star game, nor does he get All-NBA honours.

Michael Adams [in the same conference] averages 18.1/4.0/7.6 on -2.5% rTS (again: more than 12% worse than Reggie) for the 24th-rated offense, a team that won just 25 games. AND Adams was a clear defensive liability [Reggie was not].
Adams is invited to the All-Star game.

Reggie Lewis [same conference, same position] averages 20.8 ppg (with just 4.8 rpg and just 2.3 apg, similar overall turnover economy) @ +1.9% rTS for the 8th-rated offense.
He is invited to the All-Star game.

Joe Dumars again, too, fwiw.

Does all of this seem fair, justified, or correct?
I would again say quite obviously no (Michael Adams at the very least).


'93
Reggie averaged 21.2 ppg @ +8.1% rTS, with 3.2 apg for the 5th-rated offense [just 1.0 worse than Jordan's Bulls, and BETTER THAN the Malone/Stockton Jazz]. Again doesn't miss a single game.
He is not invited to the All-Star game, nor does he get All-NBA honours.

Drazen Petrovic [same conference] averaged 20.6 ppg @ +5.1% rTS, with 3.1 apg and a worse turnover economy for the [tied for] 18th-rated offense. No better defensively or rebounding, either.
He is invited to the All-Star game, and gets All-NBA 3rd Team.

Isiah Thomas is still putting up somewhat big(ish) numbers (17.6/8.5), though is at this point in his career really tanking in efficiency (-4.8% rTS, 13% worse than Reggie), while "anchoring" the [tied for] 18th-rated offense, a team that wins only 40 games.
He is invited to the All-Star game.

For that matter Isiah's teammate Joe Dumars is again an All-Star and All-NBA 2nd Team. So apparently the team that had one All-NBA 2nd team guard, another All-Star guard, AND an All-Defensive 1st Team forward........was incapable of even a winning record. That in and of itself is suggestive that they may have got some of these wrong. But I'll again ask: does all of ^^^this seem fair, justified, or correct?


'94
Reggie averages 19.9 ppg on a league-leading +10.8% rTS, with 3.1 apg for the 11th-rated offense (47 wins, +3.26 SRS overall).
He is not invited to the All-Star team, nor does he get All-NBA honours.

BJ Armstrong [same conference] averages 14.8 ppg @ +1.9% rTS with 3.9 apg, solid turnover economy, though an obvious defensive liability; this for part of a solid 55-win team, though only 14th-rated offense.
He makes the All-Star Team.

Kenny Anderson [same conference] averages 18.8 ppg and 9.6 apg, though on -3.7% rTS (14.5%! worse than Reggie), for the offense tied for 12th in the league (45 wins overall).
He makes the All-Star team.

John Starks [same conference] is admittedly a much better defensive guard than Reggie. otoh, he averages 19.0 ppg @ -1.2% rTS (12% worse than Reggie) and 5.9 apg for the 16th-rated offense in the league; AND misses 23 games [Reggie missed only 3].
He makes the All-Star team.

Does all of this seem fair, justified, and correct?


I'll stop there, but one is hopefully getting the picture. Reggie was arguably snubbed of at least All-Star selections in '97 and '99, as well.

Magic Is Magic, I might suggest as an experiment--->see what happens if instead of 5 All-Star appearances and 3 All-NBA 3rd Teams, input into your formula TEN All-Star appearances, 3 All-NBA 3rd Teams, and 2 All-NBA 2nd Teams......because that's more in line with what Reggie actually merited (even before getting into things like the "Reggie assist" or how he frequently elevated his play in the playoffs).
Where does your formula put him then?


Hello Trex, thank you for the great reply. I will put those figures into the formula and get back to you. I will admit I did not include All-Star selections for the formula, instead I went with All NBA and All Defensive and Top 3 and top 5 MVP voting. Do you feel I should also include All-Star selections or would that be a bit redundant? Or do you feel all-star selections are valued but just not as much as all-nba (which is my take on it).
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#71 » by Magic Is Magic » Thu Dec 31, 2020 2:17 am

trex_8063 wrote:
euroleague wrote:.

Magic Is Magic wrote:.
Joao Saraiva wrote:.


I'll give you guys about another 4.5 hours to give your 2c on who you prefer between Miller and Gervin. If we haven't heard from you by then, we'll be forced into a sudden death runoff as per updated stipulations in the Main Project/List Thread:


Moving forward, I want to make sure everyone knows EXACTLY what to expect in a future contentious vote; so below is a flow-chart (which is consistent with precedent that has already occurred in this project):

1) ranked vote system (RVS) like we've been doing with three ordered picks. If a majority or **default victory is NOT obtained by a single player with this method.....

2) ....we go to Condorcet method [of the "finalist" players] among the original counted voters [which is a very natural "continuation" of a RVS, btw, given the entire point of the RVS is to better ensure everyone gets a counted vote] to determine a winner. BUT we will wait no longer than 24 hours after the original deadline to hear from everyone (and there's no mystery to figuring if you're one of the people I need to hear from: it's easy enough for any of you to tell without my asking each of you [if two or more of the three "finalists" were not on your original vote post, I don't know what your position is on them]).

IF the Condorcet method yields a tie OR I do not hear from every original voter wrt his player hierarchy within 24 hours of the original deadline and the tabulated Condorcet results still indicate undecided (i.e. that it could go either way if all votes were in).....

3) .....we will go to a "sudden death" runoff, wherein the first finalist to receive [at least] TWO ***new votes [which can come from one of the original Condorcet hold-outs] AND be in the lead by Condorcet method (including BOTH original voters and runoff voters) will be awarded the spot.

**All default victories will be "validity checked" via the Condorcet method. As long as the default victor does NOT lose to one of the other finalists via Condorcet, the default victory will be upheld, and he will be awarded the spot.
IF, otoh, he loses to one [or more] competitors via Condorcet method [or failing to hear from all original voters within 24 hours, with the result still in question], we will enter a "sudden death" runoff that follows the same rules as indicated in #3 above.

*** "new votes" must come from posters who have previously been established on the voter panel [even if they haven't participated in awhile]. i.e. Brand new voices will not be allowed to jump in and decide the spot.


Definitely Gervin over Miller. Thank you, sir.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37 

Post#72 » by trex_8063 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 3:11 am

Magic Is Magic wrote:Hello Trex, thank you for the great reply. I will put those figures into the formula and get back to you. I will admit I did not include All-Star selections for the formula, instead I went with All NBA and All Defensive and Top 3 and top 5 MVP voting. Do you feel I should also include All-Star selections or would that be a bit redundant? Or do you feel all-star selections are valued but just not as much as all-nba (which is my take on it).


I wouldn't necessarily use ANY of them as the basis of ranking [at least not a major factor]. I'd more use things like this as a means of pointing out, "hey, there's a guy I should probably take a serious look at", and then go by what a more detailed analysis tells you.

You could incorporate All-Stars, though again there I'd maybe look at what was/wasn't legitimately earned [both in terms of gifted awards that weren't strictly earned AND awards that should have been but were snubbed].

Including them would open up for consideration of some pretty good seasons that are otherwise being ignored if looking only at All-NBA 1st/2nd Team years.
For instance, is ONE All-NBA 2nd Team selection more valuable than TEN All-Star seasons?

It all depends on what you want your criteria to select for [but for me personally: 10 All-Star level years easily trumps a single All-NBA 2nd Team level year].
Similarly I'd take a half-dozen seasons >.200 WS/48 over a single >.250 season.
For that matter I'd note rate metrics aren't exactly equal year-to-year, something I'd explored in this study.

And again, for me----where awards are concerned----it's about what they actually deserved [not what was given]; cannot underscore this enough. Yeah, it takes more leg-work on your part, but it yields a far better [imo] result.


If you take a year like '94, for example [with Jordan out of the league]: I think Reggie was easily at least an All-NBA 2nd Team guard (especially if the playoffs are considered as part of what he was that year), and arguably even 1st Team worthy.

Sprewell was, imo, grossly overrated that year because of some big volume numbers that were largely created by the fact that the Warriors had the 2nd-fastest pace in the league, and Spree played >43 mpg. But note he averaged just 23.6 pts/100 possession (league average was about 21.3); so he's barely scoring at an above average rate. His shooting efficiency was +0.4% rTS (almost negligibly above average).

He averaged 5.5 reb/100 (league average was 9.0); 5.5 was extraordinarily average even for a SG.

He averaged 5.3 ast/100 (league average [all positions] was just over 5.1); so he was almost exactly average (and perhaps even marginally below average for a SG).
He averaged 3.1 tov/100 (league average was about 3.3-3.4); so again just slightly above average. His overall turnover economy is good, but not great.

He was a very good defensive guard though.

So outside of defensively, he was really just average or marginally above at EVERYTHING else. Overall he was only a little above average when on the court: which is why his PER is just 15.9, his WS/48 is .108, his BPM is +1.9.
To his credit, he had the motor to give you that "above average" play for 43+ mpg; and that's not nothing. Is it All-NBA 1st Team worthy, though? Well, I don't think so anyway.

imo, probably the best guard in the league that Jordan-less season was John Stockton. And imo, the 2nd-best was either Reggie Miller or Mookie Blaylock (both of whom I think were top-12 players in the league that year [between them I hedge toward Reggie]). Mark Price is close behind (but a horrid 3-game showing in the playoffs is enough edge him just behind for me).

Reggie that year was:
*18th in the league in PER (5th among all guards)
**5th in the league in WS/48 (2nd among all guards)
***12th in the league in BPM (5th among all guards [11th in league and 4th, respectively, if we exclude anyone who played <26 mpg])
****12th in the league in a rs-only pseudo-APM model (and 5th among guards (10th and 3rd, respectively, if we exclude those who played <26 mpg])

Add to it that he put up a 23/3/3 @ +5.3% rTS with only 2.0 topg in the playoffs, as best player on a team that went to the CF, losing in seven while playing the opponent to a draw in MOV.
*He was 8th in the league in playoff PER (4th among guards--->TWO of the three guards with higher did so on a mere 4-game sample [remember what Donovan Mitchell and Jamal Murray were doing last year on small samples?]).
**He was 2nd in the league in playoff WS/48 (1st among all guards); remember this was as part of a deep [7 games into the conference finals] run.
***He was 3rd in the league in playoff BPM (1st among all guards).

To me, ^^^this has all the hallmarks of a guy who was probably a top 10 player in the league or at least REALLY close to it, and [rather easily] a top 4 guard in the league.
But recall: he didn't even get an invite to the All-Star game (the perils of relying on awards received as the gauge of goodness).
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37--->RUNOFF (sudden death): Gervin v Miller 

Post#73 » by trex_8063 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 3:19 am

Well, our protocols kinda dictate that to properly participate one has to PARTICIPATE. Unfortunately one of the original voters is MIA and has not responded (and the outcome is still in question). So while this kinda stinks, we'll have to kick it into a sudden death runoff: Gervin vs Miller.

I've got a super-early shift tomorrow, and likely cannot wait up to see how this turns out, so I may not count and settle the outcome until tomorrow. The runoff does NOT necessarily run until tomorrow, only until the rules previously laid out are satisfied (first come, first serve, as it were).

If you've already voted for one of them or otherwise made clear your pick between them, I've got you recorded; it'll be new votes that decide it.

Spoiler:
Ainosterhaspie wrote:.

Ambrose wrote:.

Baski wrote:.

bidofo wrote:.

Blackmill wrote:.

Cavsfansince84 wrote:.

Clyde Frazier wrote:.

Doctor MJ wrote:.

DQuinn1575 wrote:.

Dr Positivity wrote:.

drza wrote:.

Dutchball97 wrote:.

Eddy_JukeZ wrote:.

eminence wrote:.

euroleague wrote:.

Franco wrote:.

Gregoire wrote:.

Hal14 wrote:.

HeartBreakKid wrote:.

Hornet Mania wrote:.

iggymcfrack wrote:.

Jaivl wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

Joey Wheeler wrote:.

Jordan Syndrome wrote:.

LA Bird wrote:.

lebron3-14-3 wrote:.

limbo wrote:.

Magic Is Magic wrote:.

Matzer wrote:.

Moonbeam wrote:.

Odinn21 wrote:.

Owly wrote:.

O_6 wrote:.

PaulieWal wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

PistolPeteJR wrote:.

RSCD3_ wrote:.

[quote=”sansterre”].[/quote]
Senior wrote:.

SeniorWalker wrote:.

SHAQ32 wrote:.

Texas Chuck wrote:.

Tim Lehrbach wrote:.

TrueLAfan wrote:.

Whopper_Sr wrote:.

ZeppelinPage wrote:.

2klegend wrote:.

70sFan wrote:.

876Stephen wrote:.

90sAllDecade wrote:.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37--->RUNOFF (sudden death): Gervin v Miller 

Post#74 » by Clyde Frazier » Thu Dec 31, 2020 3:21 am

Gervin for me.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37--->RUNOFF (sudden death): Gervin v Miller 

Post#75 » by Dr Positivity » Thu Dec 31, 2020 3:22 am

Miller
It's going to be a glorious day... I feel my luck could change
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37--->RUNOFF (sudden death): Gervin v Miller 

Post#76 » by Cavsfansince84 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 3:23 am

I had Gervin ahead of Reggie.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37--->RUNOFF (sudden death): Gervin v Miller 

Post#77 » by trex_8063 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 3:25 am

Clyde Frazier wrote:Gervin for me.


Typical of a Knick fan; sour grapes :wink: :D
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37--->RUNOFF (sudden death): Gervin v Miller 

Post#78 » by Clyde Frazier » Thu Dec 31, 2020 3:26 am

trex_8063 wrote:
Clyde Frazier wrote:Gervin for me.


Typical of a Knick fan; sour grapes :wink: :D


Lol I do think very highly of reggie fwiw, especially as a longevity guy.
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Re: RealGM 2020 Top 100 Project: #37--->RUNOFF (sudden death): Gervin v Miller 

Post#79 » by trex_8063 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 3:27 am

OK, damn that was a quick runoff! I guess that's why we call it "sudden" death.

Gervin was the first to get two votes AND he is now solidly ahead in Condorcet (8-5). So he takes this spot. Will get the next up in a minute....

Spoiler:
Ainosterhaspie wrote:.

Ambrose wrote:.

Baski wrote:.

bidofo wrote:.

Blackmill wrote:.

Cavsfansince84 wrote:.

Clyde Frazier wrote:.

Doctor MJ wrote:.

DQuinn1575 wrote:.

Dr Positivity wrote:.

drza wrote:.

Dutchball97 wrote:.

Eddy_JukeZ wrote:.

eminence wrote:.

euroleague wrote:.

Franco wrote:.

Gregoire wrote:.

Hal14 wrote:.

HeartBreakKid wrote:.

Hornet Mania wrote:.

iggymcfrack wrote:.

Jaivl wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

Joey Wheeler wrote:.

Jordan Syndrome wrote:.

LA Bird wrote:.

lebron3-14-3 wrote:.

limbo wrote:.

Magic Is Magic wrote:.

Matzer wrote:.

Moonbeam wrote:.

Odinn21 wrote:.

Owly wrote:.

O_6 wrote:.

PaulieWal wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

PistolPeteJR wrote:.

RSCD3_ wrote:.

[quote=”sansterre”].[/quote]
Senior wrote:.

SeniorWalker wrote:.

SHAQ32 wrote:.

Texas Chuck wrote:.

Tim Lehrbach wrote:.

TrueLAfan wrote:.

Whopper_Sr wrote:.

ZeppelinPage wrote:.

2klegend wrote:.

70sFan wrote:.

876Stephen wrote:.

90sAllDecade wrote:.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire

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