MGB8 wrote:fleet wrote:coldfish wrote:
It feels good but when its put into practice, it becomes a treadmill.
Step 1: Draft a player at #4
Step 2: Set up the team to lose
Step 3: Watch the team lose and then when the player is up for an extension, don't do it because the guy has never won and then either watch him leave for nothing or pennies on the dollar
Step 4: Draft another player at #4
Just as a general note, a team can only really develop 3 or 4 guys at once. When you put 6 or 7 guys on their rookie deals together, they start screwing with each other's development. Basic fundamental things fall apart and there is no one to keep things functioning well enough to learn. Massive numbers of picks and young players is a videogame philosophy that doesn't work in the real world.
Could happen. Probably will happen. But Giannis just proved one thing, the new max rules give teams in non-destination cities a fighting chanceto keep drafted franchise talent. And Chicago isn't as bad as Milwakee. And, whoever you traded for is leaving under the same duress in the alternative. You also don't have to sit around with all young kids if you don't want to if you were lucky enough to draft well on a bellcow. My overall thesis is, nothing works as much as anything else. There are no solid plans. But the draft is a possible wellspring for unusual success, as Duck said about which I agree to. It's fine to point out flaws in one plan, but everyone should remember that there are no better ideas than other ideas in terms of becoming finals teams. Detroit model? That's as rare as anything.
"Tanking" as most people define it is being purposefully bad enough to have a reasonable shot at a superstar in the draft - meaning a top 3 or top 4 pick - repeatedly. The issue is exactly what was discussed above - that the scenario Cold layed out "probably will happen."
Most really bad teams - bad enough to pick top 3/top 4 repeatedly, don't actually become contenders. The recent exceptions have been the Cavs, the Thunder (for about 3 years), and the Sixers. Of those three, only the Cavs having won (one) ring (because Lebron and Akron, not really because of Anthony Bennett and Tristan Thompson, though Wiggins netted Love). Only one of those teams remains a (possible) contender - the Sixers. And that tanking happened before the lotto odds were made worse.
Meanwhile, outside of drafting the rare "Lebron's" of the world, most teams get to contention level by smart drafting/trades or big signings, not tanking.
* Toronto (FA-or-trade for Lowry, swap Ross for Ibaka, late pick gold in Siakam, late pick silver in FVV, then the big trade for Leonard and Danny Green plus other trade for Gasol).
* Last year's Miami team (trade for Jimmy, gold mid-round-draft pick in Bam, FA Dragic, gold-UFA Dunn and Robinson, silver mid-round-draft-pick in Herro, FA Olynyk, trade for Crowder).
* Detroit's grime years (drafting Wallace and Prince, bringing in Sheed, Rip and not-yet-blossomed Billups).
* Dallas brining in Kidd, Chandler and older-Marion to surround Dirk. Boston's big 3.
* Building Golden State with a #7 (Curry), a #11 (Klay), a #7 (Barnes), a #35 (Draymond), FA Livingston and I think a trade for Iggy. The Warriors weren't purposefully bad to maximize lotto odds.
* Lakers with mid-round-pick Kobe and then FA in Shaq and trade for Pau.
* The Bucks with gold-mid-round-pick Giannis, FA or trade 2nd round gem Kris Middleton, FA Brook Lopez, etc.
* Houston getting Harden for Kevin Martin, Jeremy Lamb, and a couple of future picks...
Of course you can also just be a destination location for big FAs, a la Miami with Lebron or the Lakers with Lebron...
But remember that Brooklyn only attracted Kyrie and Durant (as a package) because Brooklyn started winning enough to make them a non-laughingstock.