ImageImageImageImageImage

2021 Draft thread. Woo! 15th pick here we come! Hoo. Ray.

Moderators: LyricalRico, nate33, montestewart

DCsOwn
Junior
Posts: 481
And1: 126
Joined: Jul 07, 2010

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#161 » by DCsOwn » Fri Jan 29, 2021 6:40 pm

NatP4 wrote:
DCsOwn wrote:
Ruzious wrote:3.7 assists and 3.5 to's per game. Am I wrong for worrying about that?


I don't think you are. I would say that's his primary area of concern (along with solid but not elite athleticism). Kinda have to weigh that potential issue against the flaws exhibited by his competition for 1OV though, and to me, I'd be more comfortable banking on Cade improving in that area with (ostensibly) better teammates, a better offensive system, more spacing at the next level and more personal development. He's also reputed to be tremendous from an intangibles perspective so that's important.


Agreed on that. His teamates are awful, the have no spacing or shooting. His passing ability isn’t reflected in those assist totals.

Still, Suggs is the better athlete, more explosive/powerful, better at getting to the rim, better at bending the defense, better vision, significantly better defender and perimeter threat, much smarter, and much more confident on the court. He’s like if you took guys like Jalen Brunson and Fred Van Fleet and gave them better size and athleticism. He could be your star lead guard or your 9th man that plays 12 minutes and he’s going to play his ass off and impact the game positively.

The league perception probably does get Cunningham drafted before Suggs, it also got Anthony Edwards drafted 2nd instead of Haliburton. Suggs is going to be a better NBA player IMO. Cunningham will be good though.


I think the league's perception of Edwards/Haliburton in terms of their pre-draft evals has been remarkably prescient tbh. When Ford put together his final tier list (a list constructed almost entirely based on rankings made by scouts in the league), he noted the tremendous variance in opinion around the league about Edwards, noting that multiple scouts deemed Edwards a tier four prospect, which was unusual given where most people had Edwards slotted. That was a byproduct of questions about Edwards' bb IQ, his passion for the game and just how raw he was as a prospect. Even Edwards' fans in that aggregation exercise noted that he would take time to develop in the most ideal scenario, and that there was a tremendous amount of risk in his profile. Should be noted that the Wolves understood that as well, which is one of the reasons why we saw that article on RealGm the other day stating that the Wolves were still literally trying to move the pick while on the clock during the draft. That pick was an upside pick with all the attendant risk well established.

Conversely, everyone had Haliburton pegged accurately as well. In that aforementioned tier list, the consensus was that Haliburton was a tier three prospect (with tier 1s being considered transformational players, tier twos being multiple time all stars and tier threes being quality starting caliber players), with a few scouts viewing Haliburton as a potential tier two. Bunch of the scouts also fingered Haliburton as one of the most prepared players coming into the league and a kid that could contribute to winning immediately. Literally nothing we've seen has disproven either projection. Edwards went one purely as an upside play, this wasn't a situation where people got his eval wrong.

In terms of the Cunningham/Suggs comparison, I'm fine with anyone here preferring Suggs. Not like I don't like him a tremendous amount as well. But, I do think anyone valuing Suggs over Cunningham is undervaluing what size means in this league (in the postseason in particular), especially when comparing comparably talented players. Cunningham is listed at 6'8 220 with somewhere in the vicinity of a 7'0-7'1 wingspan at 19. You could be looking at a scenario in a few seasons in which you have a 6'9 220 pound primary ball handler with quality quickness for his size, with solid shooting ability and tremendous passing ability. Short of Suggs ascending to a DWade tier of primary ball handler, not sure it's possible for him to end up being more valuable than Cunningham is given just how versatile he could be. He'd have the size to guard 1-4 giving you versatility defensively in a switch heavy league, and offensively, he'll have the ability to post smaller guards (along with shooting and passing over any of them whenever he wants), and he'll be able to blow by most forwards that switch onto him. Reticent to make a direct Luka comparison for a variety of reasons, but he should present many of the same issues to teams.
NatP4
RealGM
Posts: 14,779
And1: 6,010
Joined: Jul 24, 2016
         

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#162 » by NatP4 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 6:42 pm

The real question is if we do the GS a trade and the pick does fall outside the top 3, and Mobley, Cunningham, and Suggs are all off the board, who do we take in 4-8 range? It’s very possible our own pick falls in that range as well. I have seen almost no discussion on this.

We might end up having to pick two of Green, Johnson, Kuminga, Williams, Barnes, Kispert, Wagner, Brown.
Ruzious
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 47,909
And1: 11,582
Joined: Jul 17, 2001
       

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#163 » by Ruzious » Fri Jan 29, 2021 6:44 pm

Tbh, I don't think Cade is quite as big as he's listed - I think he's more like 6'7 210 - still that's plenty big even if he's not as big as Doncic was at that age.
"A common mistake that people make when trying to design something completely foolproof is to underestimate the ingenuity of complete fools." - Douglas Adams
DCsOwn
Junior
Posts: 481
And1: 126
Joined: Jul 07, 2010

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#164 » by DCsOwn » Fri Jan 29, 2021 6:52 pm

NatP4 wrote:The real question is if we do the GS a trade and the pick does fall outside the top 3, and Mobley, Cunningham, and Suggs are all off the board, who do we take in 4-8 range? It’s very possible our own pick falls in that range as well. I have seen almost no discussion on this.

We might end up having to pick two of Green, Johnson, Kuminga, Williams, Barnes, Kispert, Wagner, Brown.


This is a great question tbh. Quite irritating that the Wizards could finish with the worst record in the league and still end up picking fifth in this draft.
Ruzious
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 47,909
And1: 11,582
Joined: Jul 17, 2001
       

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#165 » by Ruzious » Fri Jan 29, 2021 7:16 pm

DCsOwn wrote:
NatP4 wrote:The real question is if we do the GS a trade and the pick does fall outside the top 3, and Mobley, Cunningham, and Suggs are all off the board, who do we take in 4-8 range? It’s very possible our own pick falls in that range as well. I have seen almost no discussion on this.

We might end up having to pick two of Green, Johnson, Kuminga, Williams, Barnes, Kispert, Wagner, Brown.


This is a great question tbh. Quite irritating that the Wizards could finish with the worst record in the league and still end up picking fifth in this draft.

Gotta use some mind control technique to help us win in the draft lottery. We can practice on Powerball and Megamillions. 8-)
"A common mistake that people make when trying to design something completely foolproof is to underestimate the ingenuity of complete fools." - Douglas Adams
DCsOwn
Junior
Posts: 481
And1: 126
Joined: Jul 07, 2010

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#166 » by DCsOwn » Fri Jan 29, 2021 7:20 pm

Ruzious wrote:
DCsOwn wrote:
NatP4 wrote:The real question is if we do the GS a trade and the pick does fall outside the top 3, and Mobley, Cunningham, and Suggs are all off the board, who do we take in 4-8 range? It’s very possible our own pick falls in that range as well. I have seen almost no discussion on this.

We might end up having to pick two of Green, Johnson, Kuminga, Williams, Barnes, Kispert, Wagner, Brown.


This is a great question tbh. Quite irritating that the Wizards could finish with the worst record in the league and still end up picking fifth in this draft.

Gotta use some mind control technique to help us win in the draft lottery. We can practice on Powerball and Megamillions. 8-)


:lol: Absolutely!
DCsOwn
Junior
Posts: 481
And1: 126
Joined: Jul 07, 2010

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#167 » by DCsOwn » Fri Jan 29, 2021 7:30 pm

https://www.theringer.com/nba/2021/1/28/22254571/bradley-beal-trade-warriors

The fleshing out of a trade that we discussed in earnest weeks ago on here on a national site. I remember suggesting the trade on here and the Miami fan that frequents this board IMMEDIATELY dismissed the idea as nonsensical (from GOLDEN STATE'S PERSPECTIVE lol). I'm still on board with it tbh for multiple reasons. One, I'd love to send Beal somewhere that has an actual chance of competing and where he'd be happy and likely to flourish, and two, I'm still fine with the Wiseman gamble and I'd love to add another top six or seven pick in this draft. I'd want to wait until the offseason to ensure that the pick actually fell in this draft, but yeah, seems like a reasonable deal especially considering that I think the Wizards would like to move him to a place that he'd be comfortable going.
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,155
And1: 22,580
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#168 » by nate33 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 7:38 pm

DCsOwn wrote:
NatP4 wrote:The real question is if we do the GS a trade and the pick does fall outside the top 3, and Mobley, Cunningham, and Suggs are all off the board, who do we take in 4-8 range? It’s very possible our own pick falls in that range as well. I have seen almost no discussion on this.

We might end up having to pick two of Green, Johnson, Kuminga, Williams, Barnes, Kispert, Wagner, Brown.


This is a great question tbh. Quite irritating that the Wizards could finish with the worst record in the league and still end up picking fifth in this draft.

If we have both our own pick and the MIN pick, then the odds of us landing a top 3 pick go up considerably.
DCsOwn
Junior
Posts: 481
And1: 126
Joined: Jul 07, 2010

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#169 » by DCsOwn » Fri Jan 29, 2021 7:42 pm

nate33 wrote:
DCsOwn wrote:
NatP4 wrote:The real question is if we do the GS a trade and the pick does fall outside the top 3, and Mobley, Cunningham, and Suggs are all off the board, who do we take in 4-8 range? It’s very possible our own pick falls in that range as well. I have seen almost no discussion on this.

We might end up having to pick two of Green, Johnson, Kuminga, Williams, Barnes, Kispert, Wagner, Brown.


This is a great question tbh. Quite irritating that the Wizards could finish with the worst record in the league and still end up picking fifth in this draft.

If we have both our own pick and the MIN pick, then the odds of us landing a top 3 pick go up considerably.


Minnesota retains their pick if it falls in the top three though. We'd need to do a three way trade wherein they remove the protections on that pick for that to be the case I think, and I'm not sure they can be incentivized to do that given their state of affairs.
User avatar
nate33
Forum Mod - Wizards
Forum Mod - Wizards
Posts: 70,155
And1: 22,580
Joined: Oct 28, 2002

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#170 » by nate33 » Fri Jan 29, 2021 7:51 pm

DCsOwn wrote:
nate33 wrote:
DCsOwn wrote:
This is a great question tbh. Quite irritating that the Wizards could finish with the worst record in the league and still end up picking fifth in this draft.

If we have both our own pick and the MIN pick, then the odds of us landing a top 3 pick go up considerably.


Minnesota retains their pick if it falls in the top three though. We'd need to do a three way trade wherein they remove the protections on that pick for that to be the case I think, and I'm not sure they can be incentivized to do that given their state of affairs.
'

You are right. My bad.
DCsOwn
Junior
Posts: 481
And1: 126
Joined: Jul 07, 2010

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#171 » by DCsOwn » Fri Jan 29, 2021 8:01 pm

nate33 wrote:
DCsOwn wrote:
nate33 wrote:If we have both our own pick and the MIN pick, then the odds of us landing a top 3 pick go up considerably.


Minnesota retains their pick if it falls in the top three though. We'd need to do a three way trade wherein they remove the protections on that pick for that to be the case I think, and I'm not sure they can be incentivized to do that given their state of affairs.
'

You are right. My bad.


No worries at all Nate. Best case scenario for the Wizards with regard to that Minny pick is that it lands at four or five and that they are able to either utilize their own pick in the top 3 and still add a Green or Kuminga, or that they're able to package that pick along with their pick (outside of the top three presumably in a trade up scenario) to move up for one of Cunningham/Suggs/Mobley. Either outcome would be terrific and would kick off the reboot in style imo (Cunningham/Suggs-Green-Avdija-Hachimura-Wiseman) for example would be a very strong starting point for a refashioned core.

At the very least that Summer League team might be the most talented collection to ever hit Vegas. Doubt they have SL again given the new variants popping up everywhere, but man, that squad would look wild out there lol
Dat2U
RealGM
Posts: 24,148
And1: 7,910
Joined: Jun 23, 2001
Location: Columbus, OH
       

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#172 » by Dat2U » Fri Jan 29, 2021 8:24 pm

NatP4 wrote:The real question is if we do the GS a trade and the pick does fall outside the top 3, and Mobley, Cunningham, and Suggs are all off the board, who do we take in 4-8 range? It’s very possible our own pick falls in that range as well. I have seen almost no discussion on this.

We might end up having to pick two of Green, Johnson, Kuminga, Williams, Barnes, Kispert, Wagner, Brown.


If we're high enough on one of those 3, you tell GS to trade up. They have the assets to do so. I think this is my preference to any other packages now.
The Consiglieri
Veteran
Posts: 2,824
And1: 1,013
Joined: May 09, 2007

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#173 » by The Consiglieri » Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:33 pm

nate33 wrote:
Ruzious wrote:
Of the 3 players, we need Mobley. I think Suggs will go before Cunningham, because there's probably going to be concern about Cunningham's assist/to's. I think Suggs has the higher floor, while Cunningham has the higher ceiling. So then, it's about risk tolerance, imo. It might depend on who you have at the 2. If your 2 has point guard skills, then pick Cunningham. If he doesn't, pick Suggs. If you're able to add someone like Jared Butler, pick Cunningham. If you get someone like Moody, pick Suggs.


I think Cunningham will go before Suggs because he is the ideal 6-8 wing prototype that most teams need. You can't teach height. We happen to be chock full of forwards so Suggs is more appealing to us, but most other teams would prefer the forward.

I agree with you that, for our purposes, it should be Mobley > Suggs > Cunningham


I think they should simply see how they evaluate the talent, ceiling/potential, long term value, and select whomever has the most. Draft for value, trade for need.

With that done, I'm now gonna cry in the corner having recognized the sheer horror and timing of the lottery changes from a few years ago. Playing the sim the other night I got 5 again and again and again over and over. It just felt so wizards/boulez. Glad I'm not the guy sitting their on lottery night.

Would really love to have another lottery first to play with.
User avatar
SUPERBALLMAN
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,549
And1: 1,278
Joined: Aug 08, 2006
     

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#174 » by SUPERBALLMAN » Sat Jan 30, 2021 9:06 pm

Chance to watch Cunningham OK State on now 4pm ESPN2. Suggs & Gonzaga on ESPN @ 8!
"I love it when a plan comes together" - Colonel John "Hannibal" Smith
queridiculo
RealGM
Posts: 17,930
And1: 9,312
Joined: Mar 29, 2005
Location: So long Wizturdz.
   

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#175 » by queridiculo » Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:09 pm

Cade Cunningham makes it look so easy. Cold blooded how he knocked down the step back jay for what turned out to be the game winner.
prime1time
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,934
And1: 2,184
Joined: Nov 02, 2016
         

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#176 » by prime1time » Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:14 pm

DCsOwn wrote:https://www.theringer.com/nba/2021/1/28/22254571/bradley-beal-trade-warriors

The fleshing out of a trade that we discussed in earnest weeks ago on here on a national site. I remember suggesting the trade on here and the Miami fan that frequents this board IMMEDIATELY dismissed the idea as nonsensical (from GOLDEN STATE'S PERSPECTIVE lol). I'm still on board with it tbh for multiple reasons. One, I'd love to send Beal somewhere that has an actual chance of competing and where he'd be happy and likely to flourish, and two, I'm still fine with the Wiseman gamble and I'd love to add another top six or seven pick in this draft. I'd want to wait until the offseason to ensure that the pick actually fell in this draft, but yeah, seems like a reasonable deal especially considering that I think the Wizards would like to move him to a place that he'd be comfortable going.

I don't consider the trade unless Beal wants out. But it's a solid trade if Beal wants to go. Much more likely that GS stay pat, keep the pick and now have 2 elite young players to pair with Steph, Green and Klay.
Dat2U
RealGM
Posts: 24,148
And1: 7,910
Joined: Jun 23, 2001
Location: Columbus, OH
       

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#177 » by Dat2U » Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:24 am

I've come to the following conclusion:

1. Somehow someway land Evan Mobley
2. ...
3. ...
4. Win Championship!
User avatar
doclinkin
RealGM
Posts: 15,043
And1: 6,784
Joined: Jul 26, 2004
Location: .wizuds.

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#178 » by doclinkin » Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:20 am

Dat2U wrote:I've come to following conclusion:

1. Some how someway land Evan Mobley
2. ...
3. ...
4. Win Championship!


He is so damn smooth.
Topofthekey
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,732
And1: 1,885
Joined: Nov 18, 2017
 

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#179 » by Topofthekey » Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:22 am

DCsOwn wrote:https://www.theringer.com/nba/2021/1/28/22254571/bradley-beal-trade-warriors

The fleshing out of a trade that we discussed in earnest weeks ago on here on a national site. I remember suggesting the trade on here and the Miami fan that frequents this board IMMEDIATELY dismissed the idea as nonsensical (from GOLDEN STATE'S PERSPECTIVE lol). I'm still on board with it tbh for multiple reasons. One, I'd love to send Beal somewhere that has an actual chance of competing and where he'd be happy and likely to flourish, and two, I'm still fine with the Wiseman gamble and I'd love to add another top six or seven pick in this draft. I'd want to wait until the offseason to ensure that the pick actually fell in this draft, but yeah, seems like a reasonable deal especially considering that I think the Wizards would like to move him to a place that he'd be comfortable going.

Heat posters are trashing any Beal trades that don't involve Beal heading to Miami for loose change
DCsOwn
Junior
Posts: 481
And1: 126
Joined: Jul 07, 2010

Re: 2021 Draft thread. Cade Cunnigham here we come! :) 

Post#180 » by DCsOwn » Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:31 am

Return to Washington Wizards