bondom34 wrote:DQuinn1575 wrote:bondom34 wrote:
See my first post in the thread. That's what I was talking about, we know that a player's defensive FG% against doesn't mean much. So I'm not sure what this is telling us either.
By which I don't know what is inferred. Simply running around aimlessly isn't accomplishing anything. Knowing positioning/where to be/when to be there, and timing it best is ideal defensively.
I'd say in general it is. There's 1 ball on the court and 5 defenders. Think this was a Ben Taylor quote but in general what's overrated the most by fans seems to be on ball offense and on ball defense, because it creates highlights. But it's overall a relatively small portion of the game.
Tracking yields pretty poor results, so do steals and blocks. I'm not sure what you're saying by "RAPM yields poor results" when it's in general shown pretty decent results. Far better than whatever tracking has managed, especially in measuring actual impact on games. Giannis was 3rd on the Bucks last year in steals/36 and in DFGA/36, he remained 1st in 3 year DRAPM and was clearly the best defender in the NBA and on his own team. Using the box score to try to measure defense is just not a way to go, this isn't even a stats type take overall, its been pretty commonly known for a while.
Just counting steals/blocks, and in this case tracking stuff isn't terribly informative in terms of measuring actual impact on a game. And again given that preventing a shot would actually make this look "worse" for a player but be an unambiguously better outcome for the defense, I don't see the point.
If a player defends a shot he's "active", if he prevents the opponent from shooting he's "not as active" but its absolutely a better outcome.
Edit: Here's a quick glance at a team level of the teams who defend the most FGA/game:
These teams defensive ranks:
25th
14th
12th
30th
2nd
9th
18th
Just a glance at the top 7 but they include 2 bottom 5 defenses, and the team who's defending the most shots per game is actually the worst defense. I'm just saying...I'm not sure this data is actually informing us of anything regarding anyone's defense.
I think I’m missing something as it looks like you just pulled def field goals attempts per game. That tells you very little about a defense. If you want to look to test the theory presented, you should look at total field goals defended divided by field goals against and see how that compares to defensive rating. If the correlation is high, the the OP has some valid questions. If the result is noise, then we would draw a no conclusion.
I’d be interested in someone doing this, to see if the numbers follow all of the comments.
Nope, was pulling from the defense dashboard:
https://www.nba.com/stats/teams/defense-dash-overall/?sort=D_FGA&dir=1
The list of teams is similar, though not identical to a team's opponent FGA. As well, from Partnow's stuff it seems like the correlation of an individual's DFG% to anything is pretty random.
https://www.nba.com/stats/teams/opponent/?sort=OPP_FGA&dir=1
Bottom here is still kinda similar, but different values and ordered Nets, Thunder, Jazz, Bucks, Kings, Hawks, Spurs, Warriors (similar teams, different order). It's not really indicating anything at that level either.
No, you're basically looking at the same data, with hardly anything different - one view has Brooklyn at 94.3, the other 94.1 -
it's not like every shot but 0.2 per game are contested - I havent spent enough time at this site- but you don't have this right.
















