Post#626 » by GoBlue72391 » Mon Apr 12, 2021 4:24 am
I hated the PWill pick at the time of the draft but I drank the kool-aid after those videos of him hooping with NBA players over the summer, the solid start he began the season with, and pretty much went with the general consensus that we have a future stud on our hands, but I'm leaning back towards hating the pick. I see the reason for the optimism, and if everything goes perfectly we'll have a hell of a player on our hands, but how often do things go perfectly? We as fans ALWAYS overrate our rookies. Always. We take their absolute best case scenario and convince ourselves it's also the most likely outcome, when in reality the player ends up somewhere in the middle of the best case scenario and worst case scenario. People were really thinking Coby was on an all star/Gilbert Arenas path last season. They thought WCJ had a high floor and would turn out like Al Horford. They thought Lauri was the next Dirk.
Management obviously saw something in him and it's easy to see why, but I also think they and us as fans tried too hard to see things in him that aren't really there. We tried to hope him into the player we want him to be. Like his defense for example. He came in with a reputation of an NBA ready defender who has the tools and athleticism to eventually become this modern lockdown, versatile, switchable, mult-positional defender, but what has he done to warrant such a ceiling? Yes he's lengthy and has prototypical size for the modern SF/PF, but his foot speed/lateral quickness is absurdly slow for his position/size/archetype and he struggles staying in front of just decent wings, let alone stars. Foot speed/lateral quickness is typically not something you can improve upon a whole lot. Even if he does reach his potential, I think it will mostly be because of his offense, and I don't think he'll ever become the kind of defender we hoped/wished he would.
And his passiveness and mentality...yeesh. That is often the difference between a role player and a star, and it's a very bad habit to break because you're essentially asking someone to change their personality. People think it's cute how he responds to media questions like "I don't care, I'm just trying to play basketball", but it's a red flag to me and it'll be a lot less cute if he maintains this mindset going forward. I haven't seen an ounce of passion or fire in the guy. Hell, even Lauri flashes some fire and aggression from time to time. PWill makes Lauri look hyper aggressive in comparison.
I always felt PWill was a boom or bust pick and nothing has made me feel different. He's either going to be a stud or a very pedestrian bench player. Regardless, it's probably time to re-adjust our expectations and it's definitely time to move him to the bench.