skywalker33 wrote:Well, does DEN get to pick their 1st round matchup in the 2021 playoffs ? Experts say that POR is our best matchup as we're 2-0 (one game remaining) against them but that was when we had a much different back-court. We're 1-2 against DAL but with Porzingas still nursing a knee ailment, they could be more advantageous for us. LAL remains on the outside looking in, they're currently in the play-in game but could potentially pass up DAL (who have a likelier path to a higher see) or POR (two tougher games) but LAL loses both tie-breakers so they're probably stuck in the play-in game
To me the Dallas series comes down to how much better Jokic and MPJ are than Doncic and Porzingis. While Gordon is the 5th best player in the series, I think overall the talent is pretty level between the role players for both team. To me it seems like our biggest issue with Dallas has been the bench though. Harris has always done well against Luka, Millsap has always done well against Kristaps, it has been the backups at PF that seem to kill us. When Porzingis or Boban goes to Center and Finney smith or Kleber are at PF we cannot seem to do anything to stop them. I think getting Javalle will help, but Green was inconsistent against the Mavs at best, and it is going to depend on either him or Millsap to stop the bench PFs. If Morris, Barton, and Dozier are back than I think our role players are slightly better than theirs and it will not depend so heavily on our stars, but I also expect Malone to get out coached by Carlisle.
I actually would rather avoid Portland. While we win the talent battle in the front court, we really lose the backcourt talent battle, and I think they have a bigger advantage with guard talent than we have in the front court. Especially with Simons off the bench, who do we really have that can even come close to matching their production? I also do not believe that we can keep Barton from trying hero ball again (reports are that he will be back), he was booed off the court 2 years ago when he tried it in that Portland series.
Hell the truth is I think our best matchup is against the Lakers if the Refs called the game fairly, but we all saw last year and games against the lakers this year. Even with Drummond they will struggle with our front court, and their guards are not any better than ours. It will come down to MPJ and Jokic versus Davis and Lebron still trying to come back from a hamstring. I think we can win a series against them.
Since we all know what will happen with the refs, I think I prefer to matchup with Dallas. I would however like to get to the 3rd seed if we could, I would rather not face a healthy Jazz team or Warriors team, I think we are in the Clippers heads and I am not sure the Lakers make the 2nd round if Lebron isn't close to 100%. Even if they win their way in I do not see the Spurs, Grizzlies, or Kings getting past the 1st round.