thedoppelganger wrote:
Shame on the Celtics for losing to us
I know this isn’t a unique thought, but it really is wild where where the Celtics are now with how set up they were with established talent, young talent, picks, and a good coach.
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thedoppelganger wrote:
Shame on the Celtics for losing to us
thedoppelganger wrote:
Shame on the Celtics for losing to us
MoneyTalks41890 wrote:No I’m myopic and shortsighted and I want my pile of draft picks.
Devilanche wrote:Old Man Game wrote:Okay, just looked again, and tankathon shows same odds for all the top 3 worst records. I swear to god it showed sligtly lower the other day (something like 50% for the 3rd worst team). I should have screen grabbed it because I thought it was weird given that all season I've heard the top 3 all had equal odds. Either way, to my original point, Mussato is still wrong insofar as he's telling his readers we want them to have the worst record in the league. That's simply incorrect as any of those 3 worst is equal. Local media misinforming our casuals in the fanbase is a pet peeve of mine.
He’s not wrong .
The percentage odds are the same that we can get Houston pick so long as Houston is amongst the worst 3 teams but the floor of the pick differs .
If Houston is worst , they can fall no further than 5th after the lotto.
If Houston is second worst, they can fall no further than 5th or 6th after the lotto.
If Houston is third worst, they can fall no further than 5th , 6th or 7th.
So if they are the worst and we get their pick it will be 5th pick for sure hence that’s our best outcome.
Old Man Game wrote:Devilanche wrote:Old Man Game wrote:Okay, just looked again, and tankathon shows same odds for all the top 3 worst records. I swear to god it showed sligtly lower the other day (something like 50% for the 3rd worst team). I should have screen grabbed it because I thought it was weird given that all season I've heard the top 3 all had equal odds. Either way, to my original point, Mussato is still wrong insofar as he's telling his readers we want them to have the worst record in the league. That's simply incorrect as any of those 3 worst is equal. Local media misinforming our casuals in the fanbase is a pet peeve of mine.
He’s not wrong .
The percentage odds are the same that we can get Houston pick so long as Houston is amongst the worst 3 teams but the floor of the pick differs .
If Houston is worst , they can fall no further than 5th after the lotto.
If Houston is second worst, they can fall no further than 5th or 6th after the lotto.
If Houston is third worst, they can fall no further than 5th , 6th or 7th.
So if they are the worst and we get their pick it will be 5th pick for sure hence that’s our best outcome.
Okay. That's useful context. I still disagree with it because as I said upthread I don't like them having better odds to keep their pick altogether and thereby have us get some mediocre first from the Heat this year in the mid-late teens. But at least there's an argument for it with the floor of the pick concept you are describing here.
Old Man Game wrote:Devilanche wrote:Old Man Game wrote:Okay, just looked again, and tankathon shows same odds for all the top 3 worst records. I swear to god it showed sligtly lower the other day (something like 50% for the 3rd worst team). I should have screen grabbed it because I thought it was weird given that all season I've heard the top 3 all had equal odds. Either way, to my original point, Mussato is still wrong insofar as he's telling his readers we want them to have the worst record in the league. That's simply incorrect as any of those 3 worst is equal. Local media misinforming our casuals in the fanbase is a pet peeve of mine.
He’s not wrong .
The percentage odds are the same that we can get Houston pick so long as Houston is amongst the worst 3 teams but the floor of the pick differs .
If Houston is worst , they can fall no further than 5th after the lotto.
If Houston is second worst, they can fall no further than 5th or 6th after the lotto.
If Houston is third worst, they can fall no further than 5th , 6th or 7th.
So if they are the worst and we get their pick it will be 5th pick for sure hence that’s our best outcome.
Okay. That's useful context. I still disagree with it because as I said upthread I don't like them having better odds to keep their pick altogether and thereby have us get some mediocre first from the Heat this year in the mid-late teens. But at least there's an argument for it with the floor of the pick concept you are describing here.
Woerzboerg wrote:Old Man Game wrote:Devilanche wrote:
He’s not wrong .
The percentage odds are the same that we can get Houston pick so long as Houston is amongst the worst 3 teams but the floor of the pick differs .
If Houston is worst , they can fall no further than 5th after the lotto.
If Houston is second worst, they can fall no further than 5th or 6th after the lotto.
If Houston is third worst, they can fall no further than 5th , 6th or 7th.
So if they are the worst and we get their pick it will be 5th pick for sure hence that’s our best outcome.
Okay. That's useful context. I still disagree with it because as I said upthread I don't like them having better odds to keep their pick altogether and thereby have us get some mediocre first from the Heat this year in the mid-late teens. But at least there's an argument for it with the floor of the pick concept you are describing here.
But there is probably no chance that Houston doesn't end up with a bottom-3 record, and then the chance we get their pick is always the same 47 %. So for us the best is Houston having the worst record.
Old Man Game wrote:Woerzboerg wrote:Old Man Game wrote:
Okay. That's useful context. I still disagree with it because as I said upthread I don't like them having better odds to keep their pick altogether and thereby have us get some mediocre first from the Heat this year in the mid-late teens. But at least there's an argument for it with the floor of the pick concept you are describing here.
But there is probably no chance that Houston doesn't end up with a bottom-3 record, and then the chance we get their pick is always the same 47 %. So for us the best is Houston having the worst record.
Right. I got it. You all have educated me more than Joe Musatto did which, no disrespect, but considering you all are anonymous internet commenters and he's credentialed media, is sort of in and of itself an indictment of his work.
cjmcallist wrote:We're headed towards top 3 odds. Fantastic news.
Anyone else liking Jerome? He's got a long way to go, but his range has been awesome. He also seems to play pretty smart.
jake_swivel wrote:Coach D and Baze got into it a little bit last night. D was yelling at him and Baze started clapping really close to D’s face. It was strange.
Not feelin Baze.
Old Man Game wrote:I wasn't clear whether they were arguing or whether he was trying to pump him up. It looked angry at first but as I watched it again Baze appears to be nodding "yes" before the clapping almost like, 'heck yeah.'
jake_swivel wrote:Old Man Game wrote:I wasn't clear whether they were arguing or whether he was trying to pump him up. It looked angry at first but as I watched it again Baze appears to be nodding "yes" before the clapping almost like, 'heck yeah.'
Heh, but D is shaking his and continuing to yell while Baze nods. Seems like D says Baze is playing soft and needs to play harder, just lip reading.
It’s probably not a big deal. I didn’t even watch the game, but I didn’t see anyone mention it here.
Weird year for Baze. Gotta be rough going from competing in the playoffs to this.
Old Man Game wrote:jake_swivel wrote:Old Man Game wrote:I wasn't clear whether they were arguing or whether he was trying to pump him up. It looked angry at first but as I watched it again Baze appears to be nodding "yes" before the clapping almost like, 'heck yeah.'
Heh, but D is shaking his and continuing to yell while Baze nods. Seems like D says Baze is playing soft and needs to play harder, just lip reading.
It’s probably not a big deal. I didn’t even watch the game, but I didn’t see anyone mention it here.
Weird year for Baze. Gotta be rough going from competing in the playoffs to this.
NBA players aren't famous for enjoying being yelled at. It'll be interesting to see how his style wears on guys. He's not Greg Popovich, and these (mostly) aren't D Leaguers.
bisme37 wrote:If there were magnets in basketballs so strong they changed the path of the ball as it flew through the air, wouldn't the ball then stick magnetically to the rim when it got there?
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