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Official Trade Thread -- Part XL

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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1701 » by Ruzious » Mon May 10, 2021 3:33 pm

Frichuela wrote:A cheaper (and less risky) alternative to Otto is to sign someone like Kent Bazemore or Torrey Craig as a 3&D wing in the off season. Both would likely cost less than $5 mn/year, are strong defenders and have improved their 3 pt percentage this season to a reasonable clip. Obviously both options offer a much lower ceiling than a healthy Otto.

Interesting - Craig's always been an athletic journeyman, but he's done a lot better since he went to Phoenix. I do not know why. Maybe the Chris Paul effect?
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1702 » by Dat2U » Mon May 10, 2021 6:04 pm

Otto ain't coming back here if Brooks is still here.

I'm with doc. You gotta do better than a Bryant/Hachimura/Gafford/Bertans frontcourt. That's not going to get it done against the elite teams. We're fooling ourselves if we think it can.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1703 » by MDStar » Mon May 10, 2021 6:22 pm

In my opinion, unless he's moved, Bertans need to be the backup 3. So the conundrum is, what to do with Deni? Either he becomes the starting 3 or he bulks up a bit and becomes the backup 4, leaving us with a gaping hole at SF, as we currently do now.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1704 » by payitforward » Mon May 10, 2021 8:33 pm

Ok, I just plain don't get this:

doclinkin wrote:...With Bryant in place we had one of the worst defenses in history. ...a defensive liability at 5 is very difficult to overcome. And he can't be played with Bertans since then BOTH of your bigs are a problem....

In that case, how come it isn't Bertans who's the problem? Why is Bryant the problem?

Last year, Thomas Bryant played in 46 games. Last year, Davis Bertans played in 54 games. He played 436 more minutes than Bryant. Davis Bertans hurt our defense last year at least as much as Thomas Bryant did maybe more.

Yet, somehow, we can't do without Bertans, while Thomas Bryant is expendable? Is that because of Davis Bertans' offensive prowess?

Only one problem: Thomas Bryant has a better offensive game than Davis Bertans.

Yes, that's right. He does. Last year, Bryant scored more points than Davis per 40 minutes. & he also scored them at a higher TS% than Davis.

Of course, you also have to look at turnovers & offensive rebounds: Thomas Bryant is ahead again.

Then there are assists. An assist is an offensive plus. Bryant had more assists than Davis too.

So... please explain: why was it ok to sign Davis Bertans for $80+m, but we're ready to dump Thomas Bryant?
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1705 » by payitforward » Mon May 10, 2021 8:40 pm

This on the other hand is 10000% correct:
doclinkin wrote:In any case: I am talking Best Player Available. Not Best Compromise At Position of Need. And even better if you can trade back and get multiple players who are better than the players drafted before them. And or useful assets or future picks. If you select worse players than the teams you are competing against, then they get the better players while you are trying to patch holes. You get better long term by thinking long term.... In this draft I see a couple players that to my eye stand out as better than the guys projected to be selected ahead of them. Those players happen to be Bigs. Okay snatch one if not both, if you can trade back to get them and pull additional assets you are winning compared to teams that pick lesser talent looking for fit....

We can check back in a few years if we think Petrusev and Queta gave better value than the position they were picked. We can look back to see if they were 'mediocre centers'. I trust my assessment that they will prove better than that. And better than a few guards and wings who are picked ahead of them.

I have no opinion on whether Petrusev and/or Queta will be bargains (though I've liked Queta since the run-up to the '19 draft). But, the thinking is absolutely correct.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1706 » by doclinkin » Mon May 10, 2021 8:56 pm

payitforward wrote:Ok, I just plain don't get this:

doclinkin wrote:...With Bryant in place we had one of the worst defenses in history. ...a defensive liability at 5 is very difficult to overcome. And he can't be played with Bertans since then BOTH of your bigs are a problem....

In that case, how come it isn't Bertans who's the problem? Why is Bryant the problem?

Last year, Thomas Bryant played in 46 games. Last year, Davis Bertans played in 54 games. He played 436 more minutes than Bryant. Davis Bertans hurt our defense last year at least as much as Thomas Bryant did maybe more.

Yet, somehow, we can't do without Bertans, while Thomas Bryant is expendable? Is that because of Davis Bertans' offensive prowess?


Read back to where I said we need an upgrade or substitute for Bertans. Where I suggested we trade back to take both Petrusev (4/5 athletic multi tool big with developing range) and Queta (filling the Lopez role, but adding passing, steals, blocks). Then shop Bryant for a SF or SG.

Still, the reasoning: you can hide a defensive liability on the wing. Teams have to force you to switch a pick to get that player, which allows your defense to get set behind them. You cannot hide the player whose primary defensive assignment is to guard the basket. Even in an era of 'positionless basketball' the teams that are winning have useful defensive bigs up front. Golden State is the only team that won without a true big. You can do that if you have Stef Curry and perfect roleplayers around him, with Draymond playing genius level defense. Or if you also add Durant.

Otherwise you need a Big who can defend the outside and the interior alike. Show and recover on the pick and roll. Bryant puts up nice counting stats, looks efficient, and he is a liability on defense. Bertans doesn't put up assists because he doesn't hold the ball, he shoots as soon as he has it. We have been through his +/- effect on the team. Whatever his flaws, he is the player who has the biggest positive effect on team success in the minutes he does play. Bryant looks nice in the box score, so I feel like he will get better value on a trade market, but winning teams need mobile bigs on defense.

Until and unless Bryant becomes a credible defender, if you are playing Bryant you can't play Bertans and vice versa. Maybe that works, but Bryant will be the bigger liability if he is playing as a 5 not a 4. Either way I want an upgrade for both.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1707 » by WallToWall » Mon May 10, 2021 8:57 pm

https://tradenba.com/trades/eF1cyAuU1
What do you think of:
KAT + filler FOR Avdija + Rui + Bertans + Huchison + 2021 1st rnd pick? Consider Avidja and Rui as recent first round picks, that is in effect 3 first for KAT.
Running Bryant, Gafford, Gil, KAT as our bigs, would be good i think. In KAT, we would be acquiring our 3rd "go to" player to pair with Beal and Westbrook.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1708 » by Ruzious » Mon May 10, 2021 8:58 pm

To figuratively untangle the threads... If I can, I convert our pick (11th?) and Bryant into Butler, Petrusev and Bassey, though I'll settle for Queta if Bassey's taken. If they're picked where they're currently mocked, they'll be the best value picks in the draft. I'd like to get Duarte, too - if we don't keep Mathews. I hope we keep Mathews, but I wouldn't bet on it - considering we've under-utilized him.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1709 » by Ruzious » Mon May 10, 2021 9:04 pm

WallToWall wrote:https://tradenba.com/trades/eF1cyAuU1
What do you think of:
KAT + filler FOR Avdija + Rui + Bertans + Huchison + 2021 1st rnd pick? Consider Avidja and Rui as recent first round picks, that is in effect 3 first for KAT.
Running Bryant, Gafford, Gil, KAT as our bigs, would be good i think. In KAT, we would be acquiring our 3rd "go to" player to pair with Beal and Westbrook.

It's a lot of stuff - but no centerpiece for their franchise player. I don't think that gets KAT.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1710 » by badinage » Mon May 10, 2021 10:56 pm

I feel for KAT; what a terrifying nightmare he has endured; he seems like a good guy. But I see him as empty stats AND as a guy who doesn't want it enough. So, no.

And I am not including Avdija in ANY trade, unless it's for Giannis.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1711 » by doclinkin » Mon May 10, 2021 11:03 pm

Ruzious wrote:To figuratively untangle the threads... If I can, I convert our pick (11th?) and Bryant into Butler, Petrusev and Bassey, though I'll settle for Queta if Bassey's taken. If they're picked where they're currently mocked, they'll be the best value picks in the draft. I'd like to get Duarte, too - if we don't keep Mathews. I hope we keep Mathews, but I wouldn't bet on it - considering we've under-utilized him.


I'm good with this. I'd reverse Bassey and Queta but would be happy with this haul.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1712 » by gambitx777 » Mon May 10, 2021 11:42 pm

I absolutely wouldn't include Rui for Kat I see him as an empty stat guy who wants to be famous but doesn't wanna be a competitive. I wouldn't even offer deni either. And we don't have the filler other wise I don't believe. So naw I'll pass on kat.

I would rather use my time trying to see if Russ and beal can get a third wheel in on this bitch. Some how. Kat isn't that guy.
Ruzious wrote:
WallToWall wrote:https://tradenba.com/trades/eF1cyAuU1
What do you think of:
KAT + filler FOR Avdija + Rui + Bertans + Huchison + 2021 1st rnd pick? Consider Avidja and Rui as recent first round picks, that is in effect 3 first for KAT.
Running Bryant, Gafford, Gil, KAT as our bigs, would be good i think. In KAT, we would be acquiring our 3rd "go to" player to pair with Beal and Westbrook.

It's a lot of stuff - but no centerpiece for their franchise player. I don't think that gets KAT.


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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1713 » by payitforward » Tue May 11, 2021 12:11 am

doclinkin wrote:
payitforward wrote:Ok, I just plain don't get this:

doclinkin wrote:...With Bryant in place we had one of the worst defenses in history. ...a defensive liability at 5 is very difficult to overcome. And he can't be played with Bertans since then BOTH of your bigs are a problem....

In that case, how come it isn't Bertans who's the problem? Why is Bryant the problem?

Last year, Thomas Bryant played in 46 games. Last year, Davis Bertans played in 54 games. He played 436 more minutes than Bryant. Davis Bertans hurt our defense last year at least as much as Thomas Bryant did maybe more.

Yet, somehow, we can't do without Bertans, while Thomas Bryant is expendable? Is that because of Davis Bertans' offensive prowess?


Read back to where I said we need an upgrade or substitute for Bertans. Where I suggested we trade back to take both Petrusev (4/5 athletic multi tool big with developing range) and Queta (filling the Lopez role, but adding passing, steals, blocks). Then shop Bryant for a SF or SG....

You're missing my point, or else I didn't make it clearly enough. I'm not questioning anything about the draft thinking. Or suggesting that you are particularly a fan/supporter of Davis.

For that matter, my point isn't to criticize Davis Bertans. My point is that a completely difference critical stance is applied to Bryant than to Bertans. Every player operates within limits; every player has strengths & weaknesses. The weaknesses used to come to judgement on Thomas Bryant, if they were employed on Davis Bertans, would result in the same judgement.

This is not about whether such judgements are warranted, or adequate, or complete, or conclusive. It's about the fact that they are employed in one case but not in the other.

doclinkin wrote:...Still, the reasoning: you can hide a defensive liability on the wing....

Not really. Or, if you can, then he's not a defensive liability. But, Davis is a defensive liability -- he was one of the sources of our lousy defense last year in exactly the way Bryant was. Except more than Bryant, since Bryant only played 1146 minutes.

1146 minutes -- that's slightly over 1/2 of 1% of a team's player-minutes in an 82-game season. Of course, only about 1/2 of that is spent playing defense. I'm pretty sure that the other 99.5% of minutes contributed enough to our lousy defense that neither you nor anyone else can pull the threads from the fabric to isolate Bryant's role. Or Bertans' role for that matter.

Moreover, I often hear that basketball is a dynamic game full of interdependencies between players -- this is usually voiced to make individual stats seem less important. Well, if that's true anywhere, it's most true on defense. It's a team effort.

Bertans plays the 4; he doesn't play defense on the wing. But, actually, I don't think you can "hide a defensive liability" anywhere.

doclinkin wrote:...Even in an era of 'positionless basketball' the teams that are winning have useful defensive bigs up front....

Better teams have better players at more positions than do teams that aren't as good. Period. Is it good to have
doclinkin wrote:...a Big who can defend the outside and the interior alike....
Of course it is!
doclinkin wrote:...Bryant puts up nice counting stats, looks efficient, and he is a liability on defense. Bertans doesn't put up assists because he doesn't hold the ball, he shoots as soon as he has it. We have been through his +/- effect on the team. Whatever his flaws, he is the player who has the biggest positive effect on team success in the minutes he does play....

This is billshut, sorry. Bertans doesn't have the biggest positive effect on team success in the minutes he plays.

If you want to use a metric to prove something in the real world, first you have to be able to prove that the metric itself correlates to real world results -- independent of what you want it to show in the case at hand.

Otherwise you're just telling me that it has to be true, because the Pope is infallible. Sorry, I'm pretty sure he's not.

Or, let me put it another way: if I get to define what it means to "make America great again," then when I say "Donald Trump made America great again," you don't get to disagree with me.

This is not about "is Thomas Bryant a great NBA player?" He isn't. But, last season he was better than Davis Bertans. & this season his 271 minutes, before he went down, were better than Davis's season has been overall. & in 2018-19 he was better with the Wizards than Davis was with the Spurs.

doclinkin wrote:...winning teams need mobile bigs on defense....

For sure. But, you can't prove anything with nostrums, doc. It's good to be mobile, you bet. Yet, with Jarrett Allen, Cleveland has 21 wins. On the other hand, how mobile were you saying Nikola Jokic is?

Winning teams need many things. & if they have them all, they win it all. In exactly the same way, if Bryant could do well the things he can't do well, he'd be a star. Rinse & repeat for Davis Bertans.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1714 » by doclinkin » Tue May 11, 2021 2:45 am

payitforward wrote: My point is that a completely difference critical stance is applied to Bryant than to Bertans.


They play different roles on a team. Different positions have different responsibilities. Bertans is a floor stretching specialist. A perimeter big. He comes off the bench because he is a force on one end, and a liability on the other. Starters tend to be 2 way players, not single use specialists.

Bryant is a starting center. A player who is primarily charged with defending the paint on that end of the court. He has more responsibility on team wins and losses, more possessions are directed towards his position.

doclinkin wrote:...Still, the reasoning: you can hide a defensive liability on the wing....

Bertans plays the 4; he doesn't play defense on the wing.


Yes he does. He is rarely on the interior snatching rebounds, he is most often chasing around on the perimeter, much like he does on offense.

This is not about "is Thomas Bryant a great NBA player?" He isn't. But, last season he was better than Davis Bertans. & this season his 271 minutes, before he went down, were better than Davis's season has been overall. & in 2018-19 he was better with the Wizards than Davis was with the Spurs.


And yet consistently Bertans has the among the best on/off +/- effect on his team. This year behind only Gafford after sifting garbage time players. Last year behind only Garrison.

doclinkin wrote:...winning teams need mobile bigs on defense....

It's good to be mobile, you bet. Yet, with Jarrett Allen, Cleveland has 21 wins. On the other hand, how mobile were you saying Nikola Jokic is?


And I predict Nikola Jokic won't win the chip. Opposing bigs detonate on that team regularly.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1715 » by JAR69 » Tue May 11, 2021 12:28 pm

I guess we can scratch Bazemore off the 3 and D list.


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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1716 » by Frichuela » Tue May 11, 2021 1:23 pm

JAR69 wrote:I guess we can scratch Bazemore off the 3 and D list.


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You bet :lol:

Torrey Craig and Otto Porter are other possibilities as 3&D...though Porter may not want to come back here with Scotty at the helm. Perhaps a new coach could entice him...

PS: Yesterday's last play versus the Hawks and Gafford's (unexplained) reduced minute count are two more examples of Scotty's ineptitude.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1717 » by Dat2U » Tue May 11, 2021 2:30 pm

Anyone wanna kick the tires on Cam Reddish this offseason? I killed him during the draft process and he's been just as bad as I thought he might be but he does have all the tools to be high end 3&D guy and is still very young. I don't think he'd cost too much to aquire and could be a good reclamation project for Russ & Brad on the cheap.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1718 » by payitforward » Tue May 11, 2021 3:15 pm

Frichuela wrote:
JAR69 wrote:I guess we can scratch Bazemore off the 3 and D list.


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You bet :lol: ...

Unless the $$ is right -- in which case... kiss & make up! :)
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1719 » by Ruzious » Tue May 11, 2021 3:19 pm

Dat2U wrote:Anyone wanna kick the tires on Cam Reddish this offseason? I killed him during the draft process and he's been just as bad as I thought he might be but he does have all the tools to be high end 3&D guy and is still very young. I don't think he'd cost too much to aquire and could be a good reclamation project for Russ & Brad on the cheap.

I'd wait. Hawks exercised his option for next season at $4,670,160. Maybe they decline his 4th year option at $5,954,454. That's when I'd pounce if the price is more like $3 million as a UFA. He is a talented 2-way player with very good switchable size/length/athleticism able to defend 2's through 4's. He has good form on his 3's - he's just not consistent.
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Re: Official Trade Thread -- Part XL 

Post#1720 » by mhd » Tue May 11, 2021 3:20 pm

Dat2U wrote:Anyone wanna kick the tires on Cam Reddish this offseason? I killed him during the draft process and he's been just as bad as I thought he might be but he does have all the tools to be high end 3&D guy and is still very young. I don't think he'd cost too much to aquire and could be a good reclamation project for Russ & Brad on the cheap.



If Hutchinson could finish around the basket, he'd be a good player. I don't really see what Reddish has besides draft position. He has no value. Troy Brown had better value.

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