[Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat

Moderators: penbeast0, PaulieWal, Clyde Frazier, Doctor MJ, trex_8063

User avatar
Odinn21
Analyst
Posts: 3,514
And1: 2,942
Joined: May 19, 2019
 

[Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#1 » by Odinn21 » Wed May 12, 2021 2:59 pm

Hello.

Link to the project thread.

Pick the top 5 individual single seasons in the Heat franchise history.

As Miami Heat from 1988-89 to today


Things to follow;
- This project is franchise bound, not city bound. Quick example; Philadelphia Warriors from 1949-50 to 1961-62 is part of the Golden State Warriors franchise history and 1952 Arizin is eligible for the GS Warriors history.
- We'll follow continuity of the franchise. I.e. Seattle SuperSonics and Oklahoma City Thunder are the same franchise. We'll use BBRef as reference for this.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/OKC/
- ABA seasons are included.
- 2020-21 season is yet to be completed, so, it's not eligible for this project.
- One season per player, no duplicates within the franchise history. Quick example; Shaquille O'Neal can be voted for only once for the LA Lakers franchise history, and he can be voted for the Orlando Magic franchise history. They are separate occasions.


- Reg. season and postseason play, both are included in evaluations.
- Votes will be counted per player, not per version of player.
- An easy going point system of 10/7/5/3/1, the same as Retro PoY project, will be used. Number of higher placement votes will be the tiebreaker (if two players are tied at 27 points for the 1st place, the player with more 1st place votes will get it).
- Explanation is needed, even in short forms.
- We'll be going alphabetically with franchise nicknames. Linked to the voting threads as well.
Spoiler:
Philadelphia 76ers
Milwaukee Bucks
Chicago Bulls
Cleveland Cavaliers
Boston Celtics
Los Angeles Clippers
Memphis Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks
Miami Heat
Charlotte Hornets
Utah Jazz
Sacramento Kings
New York Knicks
Los Angeles Lakers
Orlando Magic
Dallas Mavericks
Brooklyn Nets
Denver Nuggets
Indiana Pacers
New Orleans Pelicans
Detroit Pistons
Toronto Raptors
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs
Phoenix Suns
Oklahoma City Thunder
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
Golden State Warriors
Washington Wizards


Results on Google Sheet

- The time frame for each franchise is 2 days (10:00 EST).

---

Spoiler:
Ainosterhaspie wrote:.

Ambrose wrote:.

Baski wrote:.

bidofo wrote:.

Blackmill wrote:.

bondom34 wrote:.

Cavsfansince84 wrote:.

Clyde Frazier wrote:.

cecilthesheep wrote:.

DCasey91 wrote:.

DJoker wrote:.

Doctor MJ wrote:.

DQuinn1575 wrote:.

Dr Positivity wrote:.

drza wrote:.

Dutchball97 wrote:.

Dupp wrote:.

E-Balla wrote:.

Eddy_JukeZ wrote:.

eminence wrote:.

euroleague wrote:.

Franco wrote:.

Goudelock wrote:.

Gregoire wrote:.

Hal14 wrote:.

HeartBreakKid wrote:.

Heej wrote:.

homecourtloss wrote:.

Hornet Mania wrote:.

Jaivl wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

Joe Malburg wrote:.

Joey Wheeler wrote:.

LA Bird wrote:.

LukaTheGOAT wrote:.

Magic Is Magic wrote:.

Matzer wrote:.

NO-KG-AI wrote:.

Owly wrote:.

O_6 wrote:.

PaulieWal wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

PistolPeteJR wrote:.

RonSwanson wrote:.

Ryoga Hibiki wrote:.

sansterre wrote:.

Senior wrote:.

SeniorWalker wrote:.

SHAQ32 wrote:.

Texas Chuck wrote:.

Tim Lehrbach wrote:.

trex_0863 wrote:.

TrueLAfan wrote:.

Whopper_Sr wrote:.

ZeppelinPage wrote:.

70sFan wrote:.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
User avatar
Odinn21
Analyst
Posts: 3,514
And1: 2,942
Joined: May 19, 2019
 

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#2 » by Odinn21 » Wed May 12, 2021 3:05 pm

1. 2012 LeBron James
An obvious choice. Well, I'd expect 2013 to be the popular choice but I've always had 2012 over 2013 because he was consistent as heck in 2012 playoffs and not so much in 2013 playoffs.

2. 2009 Dwyane Wade
Another obvious choice.

3. 2000 Alonzo Mourning
One of the players put the Heat on the map quite early for an expansion team in the '90s. Great regular season performance coupled with strong postseason showing.

4. 1998 Tim Hardaway
5. 2005 Shaquille O'Neal

I had to check Engelmann's PI-RAPM numbers to see if I was overrating Hardaway in any way because even with lowered production, O'Neal ranked quite high in impact numbers and Hardaway was exactly like O'Neal in those numbers. He had the impact. The tiebreaker between them is postseason performance. O'Neal was not his team's MVP in 2005 playoffs, his defense was not there and even his offensive production was down. Hardaway otoh, maintained a strong position as part of 1a/1b with Mourning in the playoffs too.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
HeartBreakKid
RealGM
Posts: 22,395
And1: 18,823
Joined: Mar 08, 2012
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#3 » by HeartBreakKid » Wed May 12, 2021 3:17 pm

edited my vote.
User avatar
Dr Positivity
RealGM
Posts: 62,538
And1: 16,335
Joined: Apr 29, 2009
       

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#4 » by Dr Positivity » Wed May 12, 2021 3:25 pm

1. Lebron 2013 - I view this as his best season

2. Wade 2009 - He wasn't that great in the playoffs in SSS but otherwise his peak year

3. Mourning 1999 - Toss up with 05 Shaq (both 2nd MVP) but Mourning puts some monster +/- numbers this year at +18.1 and ranks 1st in screamingacrossthecourt RAPM

4. Shaq 2005 - Elite offensive center still

5. Butler 2020 - Great playoff performance and shocking finals appearance
Liberate The Zoomers
HeartBreakKid
RealGM
Posts: 22,395
And1: 18,823
Joined: Mar 08, 2012
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#5 » by HeartBreakKid » Wed May 12, 2021 3:25 pm

Actually, I'll just change my vote now. Thinking about it - Butler and Hardway I think are just as good as Shaq, even if they didn't have the RS hype/impact. I didn't realize how Shaq's scoring was pretty meh in the post season in 05 and 06.

HeartBreakKid wrote:1) 2012 Lebron James - Great mix of offense and defense. A bit better than Wade at most things, and 2013 he wasn't as consistent.

2) 2010 Dwayne Wade - Just seems like a smarter version of his 06 self (and more productive). I think 06 was more him just being really hot.

3) 2000 Alonzo Mourning - He was a top tier defender during this period. I think it's much more valuable than what Shaq would give you.

4) 2005 Shaquile O'Neal - He was in much better shape than in 2004, but I'm not convinced of his defense still. I always thought 05 Shaq was a bit overrated.

5) 2020 Bam Abedayo - Probably my most controversial pick because I think most people see the 2020 team as Jimmy Butler's team. I know that the Heat struggling for a decent chunk of the 2021 season has for some reason made Abedayo's 2020 season look worse, but it kind of overlooks the Heat just had a lot of turnover from COVID and stuff. Anyway, as for Abedayo vs Butler - I think Abedayo is probably just another tier of defender. His IQ and decision making is still not the best in 2020, but just the raw athleticism and motor makes me think he's near the top of the line of defenders for the 2020 season. He's also a nice offensive tool, he can hit a 15 footer consistently, and he's a very good passer. Just seems like a center who does everything well.

I'll still think about Butler, Bosh and Hardaway. I actually might even drop Shaq out of my list.



1) 2012 Lebron James - Great mix of offense and defense. A bit better than Wade at most things, and 2013 he wasn't as consistent.

2) 2010 Dwayne Wade - Just seems like a smarter version of his 06 self (and more productive). I think 06 was more him just being really hot.

3) 2000 Alonzo Mourning - He was a top tier defender during this period. I think it's much more valuable than what Shaq would give you.

4) 2020 Bam Adebayo - Probably my most controversial pick because I think most people see the 2020 team as Jimmy Butler's team. I know that the Heat struggling for a decent chunk of the 2021 season has for some reason made Abedayo's 2020 season look worse, but it kind of overlooks the Heat just had a lot of turnover from COVID and stuff. Anyway, as for Abedayo vs Butler - I think Abedayo is probably just another tier of defender. His IQ and decision making is still not the best in 2020, but just the raw athleticism and motor makes me think he's near the top of the line of defenders for the 2020 season. He's also a nice offensive tool, he can hit a 15 footer consistently, and he's a very good passer. Just seems like a center who does everything well.

5) 2020 Jimmy Butler - Another "do it all" guy. His scoring is just as useful as Shaq's, and he his AST:TO is way better. Jimmy can handle the rock and score from many spots on the court. He seems both more versatile AND just as effective as a scorer as Shaq. Defensively, Jimmy Butler is a rock and always one of the best perimeter scorers, Shaq is kind of just a big rim protector and that even fell off when he went to Miami. The 2020 Finals run did a lot for Butler (and Bam)'s stock.


I feel like Adebayo and Butler's defense relative to O'Neal seals the deal. Offensively, they all do things to help challenge Shaq's strengths.

Shaq feels one dimensional, and that one dimension he's good at it doesn't seem super dominant - more so in the post season. Boxscore isn't everything, but is Shaq's gravity in the paint really better than the versatility that Butler and Adebayo give you while they can also put up comparable boxscore stats?
Doctor MJ
Senior Mod
Senior Mod
Posts: 53,023
And1: 21,981
Joined: Mar 10, 2005
Location: Cali
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#6 » by Doctor MJ » Wed May 12, 2021 4:31 pm

1. '12-13 LeBron James - no reasonable debate here

2. '09-10 Dwyane Wade - Heat GOAT at the height of his powers

3. '98-99 Alonzo Mourning - was a bigger deal than people today realize, legit MVP candidate level player

4. '19-20 Jimmy Butler - a magical year, and Jimmy continues to show he's serious as a heart attack

5. '04-05 Shaquille O'Neal - I'm low on Shaq in Miami compared to many, but I feel weird elevating others ahead of him

HM:

Timmy Hardaway - a hero of mine growing up, but his efficiency and playoff issues place a ceiling on him

Chris Bosh - deserves much love for his role on the Heatles

Bam Adebayo - nearly gave him the 5th spot, but I suppose I want to see him for longer to be really certain of how good he is.
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!
User avatar
homecourtloss
RealGM
Posts: 11,316
And1: 18,722
Joined: Dec 29, 2012

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#7 » by homecourtloss » Thu May 13, 2021 2:05 am

1. 2013 LeBron. 2012 LeBron was better in the playoffs, but I don’t think because he was a better player than 2013 LeBron.

2. 2009 Wade. Did everything on a not so good team. Thought he was more explosive this year than he was in 2010.

3. 1999 Mourning. Massive impact. Heat were awful without him.

4. 2020 Butler. Helped upset the Bucks, played an incredible Finals.

5. 2005 Shaq. Still incredibly effective offensively.
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 34,243
And1: 21,850
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#8 » by Colbinii » Thu May 13, 2021 3:08 am

1. 2013 LeBron James

Fantastic season from beginning to end. The last year where LeBron gave it his all in the regular season.

2. 2009 Dwyane Wade
Not an easy choice between 2009, 2010 and 2011. Fantastic 3-year stretch, arguably best 3-year stretch from any Shooting Guard not named Jordan.

3. 2020 Jimmy Butler

Scoring resiliency in a difficult post-season environment. Clearly a tier down from LeBron and Wade but I like his offensive ability quite a bit more than the next Center.

4. 1999 Alonzo Mourning

Terrific two-way impact. Wasn't a black hole offensively as much as other years. Seemingly gets underrated as a defensive center in an all-time sense.

5. 1997 Tim Hardaway

Terrific offensive hub on a team without lots of offensive talent outside of Zo.
User avatar
homecourtloss
RealGM
Posts: 11,316
And1: 18,722
Joined: Dec 29, 2012

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#9 » by homecourtloss » Thu May 13, 2021 3:42 am

LeBron with two franchise peaks. Anyone else? Kareem? (Bucks and 1977 Kareem?) CP3 with New Orleans and Clippers?
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 34,243
And1: 21,850
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#10 » by Colbinii » Thu May 13, 2021 4:00 am

homecourtloss wrote:LeBron with two franchise peaks. Anyone else? Kareem? (Bucks and 1977 Kareem?) CP3 with New Orleans and Clippers?


Shaq may actually be Orlando and Lakers.


Wilt with Warriors and 76ers though I expect Curry to get a couple of votes.
User avatar
homecourtloss
RealGM
Posts: 11,316
And1: 18,722
Joined: Dec 29, 2012

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#11 » by homecourtloss » Thu May 13, 2021 4:04 am

Colbinii wrote:
homecourtloss wrote:LeBron with two franchise peaks. Anyone else? Kareem? (Bucks and 1977 Kareem?) CP3 with New Orleans and Clippers?


Shaq may actually be Orlando and Lakers.


Wilt with Warriors and 76ers though I expect Curry to get a couple of votes.


Was thinking that about Shaq but 2003 TMac will be difficult to overcome.

Think Curry will get Warriors’ peak.
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
falcolombardi
General Manager
Posts: 9,403
And1: 7,007
Joined: Apr 13, 2021
       

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#12 » by falcolombardi » Thu May 13, 2021 4:29 am

howard and McGrady vs pre prime shaq is a interesting question but shaq likely still is better

kareem vs shaq vs magic for lakers can be insane then you have not peak but still great lebron or wilt and peak kobe. one of those last 3 being left out

another good one is spurs, ginobili, parker and gervin for last 2 spots
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 34,243
And1: 21,850
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#13 » by Colbinii » Thu May 13, 2021 4:33 am

falcolombardi wrote:howard and McGrady vs pre prime shaq is a interesting question but shaq likely still is better

kareem vs shaq vs magic for lakers can be insane then you have not peak but still great lebron or wilt and peak kobe. one of those last 3 being left out

another good one is spurs, ginobili, parker and gervin for last 2 spots


Parker/Gervin/Silas/Manu/Alvin will be interesting.

Did anyone here consider 2001 Mase?
HeartBreakKid
RealGM
Posts: 22,395
And1: 18,823
Joined: Mar 08, 2012
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#14 » by HeartBreakKid » Thu May 13, 2021 4:40 am

Doctor MJ wrote:1. '12-13 LeBron James - no reasonable debate here

2. '09-10 Dwyane Wade - Heat GOAT at the height of his powers

3. '98-99 Alonzo Mourning - was a bigger deal than people today realize, legit MVP candidate level player

4. '19-20 Jimmy Butler - a magical year, and Jimmy continues to show he's serious as a heart attack

5. '04-05 Shaquille O'Neal - I'm low on Shaq in Miami compared to many, but I feel weird elevating others ahead of him

HM:

Timmy Hardaway - a hero of mine growing up, but his efficiency and playoff issues place a ceiling on him

Chris Bosh - deserves much love for his role on the Heatles

Bam Adebayo - nearly gave him the 5th spot, but I suppose I want to see him for longer to be really certain of how good he is.

homecourtloss wrote:1. 2013 LeBron. 2012 LeBron was better in the playoffs, but I don’t think because he was a better player than 2013 LeBron.

2. 2009 Wade. Did everything on a not so good team. Thought he was more explosive this year than he was in 2010.

3. 1999 Mourning. Massive impact. Heat were awful without him.

4. 2020 Butler. Helped upset the Bucks, played an incredible Finals.

5. 2005 Shaq. Still incredibly effective offensively.



How effective do you feel Shaq's offense was though? He's a big body inside, but everything else is not particularly great.
Doctor MJ
Senior Mod
Senior Mod
Posts: 53,023
And1: 21,981
Joined: Mar 10, 2005
Location: Cali
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#15 » by Doctor MJ » Thu May 13, 2021 4:58 am

HeartBreakKid wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:1. '12-13 LeBron James - no reasonable debate here

2. '09-10 Dwyane Wade - Heat GOAT at the height of his powers

3. '98-99 Alonzo Mourning - was a bigger deal than people today realize, legit MVP candidate level player

4. '19-20 Jimmy Butler - a magical year, and Jimmy continues to show he's serious as a heart attack

5. '04-05 Shaquille O'Neal - I'm low on Shaq in Miami compared to many, but I feel weird elevating others ahead of him

HM:

Timmy Hardaway - a hero of mine growing up, but his efficiency and playoff issues place a ceiling on him

Chris Bosh - deserves much love for his role on the Heatles

Bam Adebayo - nearly gave him the 5th spot, but I suppose I want to see him for longer to be really certain of how good he is.

homecourtloss wrote:1. 2013 LeBron. 2012 LeBron was better in the playoffs, but I don’t think because he was a better player than 2013 LeBron.

2. 2009 Wade. Did everything on a not so good team. Thought he was more explosive this year than he was in 2010.

3. 1999 Mourning. Massive impact. Heat were awful without him.

4. 2020 Butler. Helped upset the Bucks, played an incredible Finals.

5. 2005 Shaq. Still incredibly effective offensively.



How effective do you feel Shaq's offense was though? He's a big body inside, but everything else is not particularly great.


Well, I tend to see Shaq's offense as remarkably robust, and the Heat this year seemed to have more ORtg correlation to Shaq than anyone else.

I'll tell you though, the more I evaluate Shaq's defense from a modern lens, the more flawed I see him against a league that can shoot. Haven't fully reckoned with what that means in comparisons like this.
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!
Djoker
Starter
Posts: 2,108
And1: 1,814
Joined: Sep 12, 2015
 

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#16 » by Djoker » Thu May 13, 2021 5:51 am

1. 2012-2013 Lebron James

2. 2005-2006 Dwyane Wade

Wade was so ridiculously good and most people forget it these days. I honestly believe the gap between and (peak) Lebron isn't that big. Lebron has a bit better court vision and his size makes him better defensively but Wade was just so devastating as a scorer maybe more so than Lebron with how he shredded defenses at times. He is #2 by a mile here. As I've stated before. Wade IMO has one of the top 10 best peaks in history. Flash might be the greatest nickname ever too.

3. 1998-1999 Alonzo Mourning

Zo was just a monster defensive player and an all-star on offense which puts him in pretty select company. He gets the nod over Heat Shaq who was merely good on defense compared to Zo. Zo also had a good series against the Knicks and outplayed Ewing despite Miami losing in a decisive 5th game.

4. 2004-2005 Shaquille O'Neal

While removed from his prime, the big guy had serious impact this season. However, his age made him more and more of a liability on defense navigating screens and he became largely motionless on defense for huge stretches. His playoff decline also makes me a bit hesitant. In the 2005 playoffs, the Heat became Wade's team. Shaq made them contenders but he wasn't the main driving force. My gut still tells me that his spot here is quite safe. I can even see a case for #3.

5. 2019-2020 Jimmy Butler

Good two way players with a phenomenal finals series against the Lakers.

HM: 1996-1997 Tim Hardaway, 2010-2011 Chris Bosh, 2019-2020 Bam Adebayo
HeartBreakKid
RealGM
Posts: 22,395
And1: 18,823
Joined: Mar 08, 2012
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#17 » by HeartBreakKid » Thu May 13, 2021 7:22 am

Djoker wrote: Flash might be the greatest nickname ever too.


Since then we've had The Big Penguin and The Time Lord.

The newer generation shall always surpass the old. 8-)
Dutchball97
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,406
And1: 5,001
Joined: Mar 28, 2020
   

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#18 » by Dutchball97 » Thu May 13, 2021 11:07 am

1. LeBron James, 2012/13 - I do agree that his 2012 play-offs were better than his 2013 play-offs but his 2013 regular season is so good with the post-season nontheless being amazing so I prefer it over his 11/12 season. Clear number #1 either way though.

2. Dwyane Wade, 2005/06 - While I picked the better regular season for LeBron, I'm swayed more by post-season for Wade. His 2009 and 2010 seasons were clearly better than 2006 in the regular season and his play-off performance in both 2009 and 2010 were stellar. The thing is that 7 and 5 games sample size is a bit on the low side and when we've got a 23 game post-season in 2006 where Wade played at a high level throughout on the way to the Heat's first championship.

3. Alonzo Mourning, 1999/00 - Amazing defender and the best offensive player for the team at the same time. Mourning wasn't great for all that long but I really need to remember just how good he was at his best.

4. Jimmy Butler, 2019/20 - I thought about putting Butler at 3rd but I think Mourning's role for his team was bigger than what Butler provided last year. It was great to finally see Butler string together a deep play-off run and show just how good he is.

5. Bam Adebayo, 2019/20 - Hardaway and Shaq fell off too hard in the play-offs for my liking in their relevant seasons. I do think Butler was the main guy for the Heat but Bam was nearly just as important and I expect him to climb a place or two in the future.
User avatar
Odinn21
Analyst
Posts: 3,514
And1: 2,942
Joined: May 19, 2019
 

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#19 » by Odinn21 » Thu May 13, 2021 11:35 am

I think having both of 2020 Butler and Adebayo in the top 5 is a bit too generous because 2020 Heat were considerably deeper than the previous iterations those had Mourning&Hardaway and Wade&O'Neal as core.
2005 Heat were one of the frontrunners for the best team title in a very competitive season with Spurs, Suns, Pistons, Mavs. Wade's improvement from the previous season and Shaq made them so. The amount of extra wins Shaq brought were so obvious in that season.
Shaq had some problems in the playoffs but I just don't see 2005 Heat being that competitive with 2020 Adebayo instead of 2005 Shaq.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
sansterre
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,312
And1: 1,816
Joined: Oct 22, 2020

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Heat 

Post#20 » by sansterre » Thu May 13, 2021 12:58 pm

1. 2013 LeBron James - You know how good LeBron was in 2013? That going up against 2006/2009 Wade, one of the highest peaks of any player ever, it's not close. 19.3 Win Shares, 9.9 VORP, 24.8 Wins Added in PIPM and a +8.4 OBPM in the playoffs. Yeesh.

2. 2009 Dwyane Wade - On almost any other franchise this would be the #1 season. The guy was unbelievably good. One of the all-time great floor-raisers. But not as good as '13 LeBron.

3. 1998 Tim Hardaway - This was insanely tight race between him and Mourning. Their Win Shares, VORP, PIPM and AuRPM are all neck and neck. In the end I'm giving it to Hardaway for a +7.7 OBPM in the playoffs, but Mourning has an absolute argument for this spot. Hardaway has a weird footprint. He's like pre-McGrady. His shooting actually wasn't nuts (25%ish usage, +0.6% rTS) but his passing is weirdly effective (40+% assist, sub 15% TO) and his AuRPM was actually 6th in the league this year.

4. 2000 Alonzo Mourning - A defensive monster who also played strong offense. It's a shame his peak didn't coincide with Hardaway's, only two years before.

5. 2020 Jimmy Butler - It's really easy to remember a few great performances in the Finals and make that his whole season. But don't forget he missed 15 of his team's 73 games during the regular season. Here's the breakdown between him, 'Zo, Hardaway and '05 Shaq by the numbers (I adjusted Butler's numbers from 73 to 82 games to not punish him for the short season):

Win Shares: Mourning 12.9, Hardaway 11.7, Shaq 11.0, Butler 10.1
VORP: Hardaway 5.5, Mourning 5.0, Shaq 4.6, Butler 4.2
Playoff OBPM: Hardaway +7.7, Butler +4.4, Mourning +3.7, Shaq +0.6

It's really, really, really hard to make a case for '20 Butler over Mourning or Hardaway if you're taking the regular season at all seriously. You'd have to be looking at pretty much playoffs only to support Butler here (Hardaway's OBPM is clearly higher, but Butler's the better defender and his team went farther which counts for . . . something).

But I do feel comfortable with Butler over Shaq, in light of Shaq's weak playoffs.
"If you wish to see the truth, hold no opinions."

"Trust one who seeks the truth. Doubt one who claims to have found the truth."

Return to Player Comparisons