aporel18 wrote:My top 5 for #16:
1a. Kai Jones. In two years he could be the PF the Cs need badly.
1b. Usman Garuba. He'll contribute in his rookie year and will grow faster than advertised. A bit undersized, so he's not 1a, but you know Ainge will love this pick.
2. Jalen Johnson. Looks great, but a bit of a gamble and only if Kai and Usman are off
3. Josh Giddey. He can be a great player, but he'll need too much time to develop
4. Ziaire Williams. Very talented, but thin as a rail... he'll need time and eating a lot
If none of the above are available, trade down so you can get more value, then draft
5. Tre Mann. The kind of guard we're missing, if he plays defense, he'll be great.
Sounds good, but:
a) Mann is projected to go in the top 15 according to some mocks I've seen. We're not going to be able to trade down from the 16 spot and get him. If you want him, you need to draft him 16th (if he's even still on the board then)
b) Giddey..yeah he might take a year or 2 to develop. But all of these guys will. they are all 18 or 19 for the most part, they're young AF. Jones is 20 but he's only been playing basketball since he was 15 and only really started playing at an elite level when he was a senior in high school when he came to the US from the Bahamas. Kemba still has 2 years left on his contract anyways. So if it takes Giddey 2 years to develop, well that's fine - we bring Giddey off the bench while we still have Kemba, and then when Kemba's contract is up at end of 2022-2023 season, you hand the keys of the offense to Giddey. That's better than just throwing a 19 year old kid into the fire as a starting PG in a new country anyways.
The bottom line with Giddey is he solves what's IMO our biggest problem and that's lack of ball movement, too much iso/hero ball. We've got 3 guys who are very high usage and all of them are shoot-first players. Giddey is a pure PG, a pass-first PG with insane passing ability, court vision, instincts and timing. We haven't seen a dude come into the league with his passing ability in awhile. With him at the 1 and Tatum and Brown on the wings, we'd be unstoppable with Giddey constantly setting the Jays up for open looks. Not to mention another weakness for our team is being too small - going from 6'0" PG to a 6'8" PG would obviously help to solve that as well, especially once Giddey fills out his frame more, which he should do in 2 years - when Kemba's contract is up..
I have Giddey no. 1 on my list of targets for the Celtics at 16. However, most mocks I've seen have him going in the 8-14 range, so I'm not getting my hopes up. If he's there at 16, we'll take him but if not, there should still be another good option. And if we don't get Giddey, I'm optimistic that Yam Madar could be that PG of the future (quick, explosive, good size at 6'3", outstanding defender, pass-first PG, floor general who also shoots 40% from 3)
c) Curious why you don't have Alperen Sengun on your listbut you do have Williams? IMO the 2 of them are comparable talent-wise, maybe a slight edge to Sengun in terms of talent, but Sengun is a significantly better fit since we need a center much more than we need another athletic wing.
As of now, my top choices for no. 16 are:
1) Giddey
2) Jones/Johnson/Sengun (still not sure on the exact order of preference but chances are only 1 of them will be still on the board at 16, if any)
Haven't seen footage or done research on Garuba yet..or Isaiah Jackson. Gonna check those guys out next..







