
So where does Memphis go from here?
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Prospect Dong wrote:I think you can make a case for mostly just running it back, while trying to find a guy in free agency who gives them what Winslow was supposed to and what Brooks has been trying to: a secondary scorer and ball handler.
My priority is probably Derozan, if they can afford him, but there are a bunch of roughly starter-quality wings (Powel, Richardson, Fornier) in free agency, one of whom should be available for on a deal starting at 20-something million.
Alternatively you package some smaller assets (this year's pick, Allen, maybe Melton or Anderson) to get someone who's better than the available FAs.
Finally, you keep your eye open for a consolidation trade that accelerates the timeline. That could involve just about everything outside of Ja, most notably JJJ, the GS and Jazz picks, current and up to one future Griz pick and some combination of the others for a young-ish all star or an olld-ish all NBA guy. That probably doesn't happen, and that's fine, but it's worth being open to the opportunity.
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Texas Chuck wrote:Prospect Dong wrote:I think you can make a case for mostly just running it back, while trying to find a guy in free agency who gives them what Winslow was supposed to and what Brooks has been trying to: a secondary scorer and ball handler.
My priority is probably Derozan, if they can afford him, but there are a bunch of roughly starter-quality wings (Powel, Richardson, Fornier) in free agency, one of whom should be available for on a deal starting at 20-something million.
Alternatively you package some smaller assets (this year's pick, Allen, maybe Melton or Anderson) to get someone who's better than the available FAs.
Finally, you keep your eye open for a consolidation trade that accelerates the timeline. That could involve just about everything outside of Ja, most notably JJJ, the GS and Jazz picks, current and up to one future Griz pick and some combination of the others for a young-ish all star or an olld-ish all NBA guy. That probably doesn't happen, and that's fine, but it's worth being open to the opportunity.
Can't do much better than this. Target a scorer in FA. DD a great choice. If you can't land the scorer in free agency try and sign a quality starter and then flip some of the quality depth in a trade for a scorer. I still think Gallo could pop free if Atlanta wants to retain Collins. He'd cost basically nothing in assets but could provide some easier offense and not require a long commitment.
JazzMatt13 wrote:just because I think aliens probably have to do with JFK, doesn't mean my theory that Jazz will never get Wiggins, isn't true.
E S V L wrote:0. Avoid DeRozan or similar old losers at all costs.
1. Tyus Jones to NYK for #32 (or similar trade)
2. JV + #18 + #32 to Charlotte for #11
3. Bane and Clarke to Houston for Augustin, #23, #24
4. Draft 3 BPA at #11 (I.Jackson), #23 (Springer), #24 (Prkacin)
5. Keep focusing on developing your players
6. Wait until the trade deadline for a good opportunity to trade your young assets, 2 1sts, and 30m cap for a 3d star
Colbinii wrote:E S V L wrote:0. Avoid DeRozan or similar old losers at all costs.
1. Tyus Jones to NYK for #32 (or similar trade)
2. JV + #18 + #32 to Charlotte for #11
3. Bane and Clarke to Houston for Augustin, #23, #24
4. Draft 3 BPA at #11 (I.Jackson), #23 (Springer), #24 (Prkacin)
5. Keep focusing on developing your players
6. Wait until the trade deadline for a good opportunity to trade your young assets, 2 1sts, and 30m cap for a 3d star
This is an issue I see with a lot of fans of young franchises who have a franchise cornerstone. You have a top 30-35 player in the NBA in Ja Morant who could very well be a top 15 player next season (Who knows? His potential is through the roof). When you have a franchise cornerstone like this with potential simply oozing, why get worse? Why try to accumulate these assets and put off being competitive for another 1 or 2 year?
If you take a minute to look at a different sport, the NFL, the teams most likely to win the Super Bowl are teams with a Quarterback on a rookie scale contract. The parallel here is when you have a rookie contract player like Ja Morant who is extremely underpaid for his production, your team should be attempting to field the best team possible around him.
When looking at Memphis, they clearly need a secondary ball handler and shot creator who is better than Dillon Brooks and De'Anthony Melton. What better player than DeMar DeRozan? He doesn't need to be a long term fix--he is a short term answer whose contract will be expiring in 2 years (Sign him to a 2-year deal). In terms of offensive impact, DeMar ranked in the same tier as McCollum, Paul George, Devin Booker, and Zach LaVine this past year while his advanced metrics (BPM, OWS) support that he was a borderline all-star player.
At the end of the day, stating 0. Avoid DeRozan or similar old losers at all costs. really only makes sense if you don't see Ja Morant as a rising star, which is a bit foolish. If you do see Ja Morant as a soon-to-be star or already one, which I believe he proved this post-season against a spectacular defense in Utah, then the goal should be to put the best team possible around him. In a scenario where Memphis signs Demar, none of their long-term or even short term assets, outside of cap space, would be wasted or used.
Colbinii wrote:At the end of the day, stating 0. Avoid DeRozan or similar old losers at all costs. really only makes sense if you don't see Ja Morant as a rising star, which is a bit foolish.
BK_2020 wrote:They are in a very bad place as far as tradeable assets go, namely a bunch of low-ceiling players. Kind of like Boston a couple years back with a bunch of mid to late FRPs as tradeable assets. And role player assets depreciate quickly as cost-controlled years dwindle.
HartfordWhalers wrote:Colbinii wrote:E S V L wrote:0. Avoid DeRozan or similar old losers at all costs.
1. Tyus Jones to NYK for #32 (or similar trade)
2. JV + #18 + #32 to Charlotte for #11
3. Bane and Clarke to Houston for Augustin, #23, #24
4. Draft 3 BPA at #11 (I.Jackson), #23 (Springer), #24 (Prkacin)
5. Keep focusing on developing your players
6. Wait until the trade deadline for a good opportunity to trade your young assets, 2 1sts, and 30m cap for a 3d star
This is an issue I see with a lot of fans of young franchises who have a franchise cornerstone. You have a top 30-35 player in the NBA in Ja Morant who could very well be a top 15 player next season (Who knows? His potential is through the roof). When you have a franchise cornerstone like this with potential simply oozing, why get worse? Why try to accumulate these assets and put off being competitive for another 1 or 2 year?
If you take a minute to look at a different sport, the NFL, the teams most likely to win the Super Bowl are teams with a Quarterback on a rookie scale contract. The parallel here is when you have a rookie contract player like Ja Morant who is extremely underpaid for his production, your team should be attempting to field the best team possible around him.
When looking at Memphis, they clearly need a secondary ball handler and shot creator who is better than Dillon Brooks and De'Anthony Melton. What better player than DeMar DeRozan? He doesn't need to be a long term fix--he is a short term answer whose contract will be expiring in 2 years (Sign him to a 2-year deal). In terms of offensive impact, DeMar ranked in the same tier as McCollum, Paul George, Devin Booker, and Zach LaVine this past year while his advanced metrics (BPM, OWS) support that he was a borderline all-star player.
At the end of the day, stating 0. Avoid DeRozan or similar old losers at all costs. really only makes sense if you don't see Ja Morant as a rising star, which is a bit foolish. If you do see Ja Morant as a soon-to-be star or already one, which I believe he proved this post-season against a spectacular defense in Utah, then the goal should be to put the best team possible around him. In a scenario where Memphis signs Demar, none of their long-term or even short term assets, outside of cap space, would be wasted or used.
Disagree.
Even if you have Ja as a top 15 player next year, that is most likely still a first round exit.
I would think you want a long term arc that goes:
'22 playoffs: 1st round out again
'23 playoffs: 1st round out, maybe swept round 2 if sneak into 4/5 matchup
'24 playoffs: Fully make noise, WCF goal.
A guy like Powell at just turned 28, then in 3 years is *just* 31 and can still be a core player (barring injury and the vagaries of time). Derozan is already close to 32, at (almost) 35 in 3 years, I think it makes him fall out of the sync up with ja's hopeful progression.
I get that waiting for year 3 as your big push feels far away, but tossing too much in now leads to a team that declines as its star progresses. And so the key is going for someone who is solid now so the present isn't wasted, but expected to stay solid or even improve, so that nebulous future can really be banked on. Downside is, thats a lot harder to do.
As an example, I liked Atlanta signing Bogdan a lot more than signing Gallo; based off that 4 year age gap. Now, maybe Embiid stays out and Atlanta gets a shocking ECF appearance; it still is all about how Trae and the other youth progress, and targeting maybe 2 years out from now ('23 playoffs). And Atlanta is definitely further on than Memphis.
Colbinii wrote:Atlanta's biggest move was trading for a massive win-now player in Capela. It doesn't matter if Capela was 25 or 30 because Capela is currently their most important player. Atlanta traded for Capela, a clear win-now move, in year 2 of Trae. Dont ignore the facts about why Atlanta is good and in their position--Atlanta made a win-now move in Trae's second season.
Yes, you can argue that Capela is a better timeliness fit but the fact is we don't know what will happen in 3 years.
Wizop wrote:I don't think DeRozan is your answer. if you have cap room for free agents, some team is likely to outbid my Pacers for Doug McDermott. good 3 point shooter and knows when to cut for the basket.
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