[Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves

Moderators: Clyde Frazier, Doctor MJ, trex_8063, penbeast0, PaulieWal

User avatar
Odinn21
Analyst
Posts: 3,514
And1: 2,942
Joined: May 19, 2019
 

[Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#1 » by Odinn21 » Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:00 pm

Hello.

Link to the project thread.

Pick the top 5 individual single seasons in the Timberwolves franchise history.

As Minnesota Timberwolves from 1989-90 to today


Things to follow;
- This project is franchise bound, not city bound. Quick example; Philadelphia Warriors from 1949-50 to 1961-62 is part of the Golden State Warriors franchise history and 1952 Arizin is eligible for the GS Warriors history.
- We'll follow continuity of the franchise. I.e. Seattle SuperSonics and Oklahoma City Thunder are the same franchise. We'll use BBRef as reference for this.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/OKC/
- ABA seasons are included.
- 2020-21 season is yet to be completed, so, it's not eligible for this project.
- One season per player, no duplicates within the franchise history. Quick example; Shaquille O'Neal can be voted for only once for the LA Lakers franchise history, and he can be voted for the Orlando Magic franchise history. They are separate occasions.


- Reg. season and postseason play, both are included in evaluations.
- Votes will be counted per player, not per version of player.
- An easy going point system of 10/7/5/3/1, the same as Retro PoY project, will be used. Number of higher placement votes will be the tiebreaker (if two players are tied at 27 points for the 1st place, the player with more 1st place votes will get it).
- Explanation is needed, even in short forms.
- We'll be going alphabetically with franchise nicknames. Linked to the voting threads as well.


Results on Google Sheet

- The time frame for each franchise is 2 days (10:00 EST).

---

Spoiler:
Ainosterhaspie wrote:.

Ambrose wrote:.

Baski wrote:.

bidofo wrote:.

Blackmill wrote:.

bondom34 wrote:.

Cavsfansince84 wrote:.

Clyde Frazier wrote:.

cecilthesheep wrote:.

DCasey91 wrote:.

DJoker wrote:.

Doctor MJ wrote:.

DQuinn1575 wrote:.

Dr Positivity wrote:.

drza wrote:.

Dutchball97 wrote:.

Dupp wrote:.

E-Balla wrote:.

Eddy_JukeZ wrote:.

eminence wrote:.

euroleague wrote:.

Franco wrote:.

Goudelock wrote:.

Gregoire wrote:.

Hal14 wrote:.

HeartBreakKid wrote:.

Heej wrote:.

homecourtloss wrote:.

Hornet Mania wrote:.

Jaivl wrote:.

Joao Saraiva wrote:.

Joe Malburg wrote:.

Joey Wheeler wrote:.

LA Bird wrote:.

LukaTheGOAT wrote:.

Magic Is Magic wrote:.

Matzer wrote:.

NO-KG-AI wrote:.

Owly wrote:.

O_6 wrote:.

PaulieWal wrote:.

penbeast0 wrote:.

PistolPeteJR wrote:.

RonSwanson wrote:.

Ryoga Hibiki wrote:.

sansterre wrote:.

Senior wrote:.

SeniorWalker wrote:.

SHAQ32 wrote:.

Texas Chuck wrote:.

Tim Lehrbach wrote:.

trex_0863 wrote:.

TrueLAfan wrote:.

Whopper_Sr wrote:.

ZeppelinPage wrote:.

70sFan wrote:.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
User avatar
Odinn21
Analyst
Posts: 3,514
And1: 2,942
Joined: May 19, 2019
 

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#2 » by Odinn21 » Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:16 pm

Well, this'll probably be the biggest gap between #1 and #2 players since Garnett's peak was one of the top 15 peaks ever easily (arguably borderline top 10) and the Wolves have been the worst franchise in the league.

1. 2004 Kevin Garnett
B.... please.

gap

gap

Did I mention gap?

2. 2013-14 Kevin Love
3. 2017-18 Karl-Anthony Towns

This is basically down to my liking and also Love having better +/- metrics. Towns was ranked slightly higher in RAPM (13th to 20th) but that's mostly because Butler carried him up there. Towns' +/- numbers without Butler do not correlate with him being that high in impact.

4. 1999-00 Terrell Brandon
5. 2003-04 Sam Cassell

Both were good complementary pieces next to Garnett. Brandon's going even further in his performance against the Blazers in playoffs and Cassell going down in the Lakers series are the reasons why I have Brandon over Cassell.

HM; 2018 Jimmy Butler (Missed way too many games imho. Without a care for durability and playtime, he's #2 after Garnett for quality and impact. But he missed more than one quarter of the season, so it's kind of hard for me to have him over more consistent performances.)
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
Doctor MJ
Senior Mod
Senior Mod
Posts: 53,008
And1: 21,963
Joined: Mar 10, 2005
Location: Cali
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#3 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:18 pm

1. '03-04 Kevin Garnett - by an incredibly wide margin

2. '13-14 Kevin Love - I'm still on Minny-Love island. I think it was very possible to build a B-level contender around Love, and I still think that David Kahn's performance as GM is arguably the worst in the modern era.

3. '17-18 Jimmy Butler - crazy tenure in Minny, but I have a real hard time putting him below...

4. '18-19 Karl-Anthony Towns - a remarkable talent, still waiting to see he and his team to put it all together.

5. '03-04 Sam Cassell - the 34-year-old journeyman leaves an indelible mark
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 29,653
And1: 24,969
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#4 » by 70sFan » Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:22 pm

This is going to be horrible list...
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 34,243
And1: 21,850
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#5 » by Colbinii » Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:32 pm

1. 2004 Kevin Garnett

GOAT level peak and some stiff competition...

2. 2014 Kevin Love

Great all-around season. Terrific passer for a big man, all-time rebounder, spaced the floor and finished well all over the court.

3. 2018 Karl-Anthony Towns

We saw what he can do when he plays with NBA level players. Arguably the best floor spacing Center in NBA History. Played hard on defense and has a unique scoring arsenal for a Center.

4. 2018 Jimmy Butler

Heart and soul of a lousy ass franchise. Loved the move to go after someone like Butler to add to a depressing franchise but it didn't last long, but man was it fun.

5. 2004 Sam Cassell

The fifth spot is close between 2014 Ricky Rubio, 2000 Terrell Brandon and 2021 Anthony Edwards (JK!). Cassell was clearly the best for me when healthy but unfortunately that didn't happen. Ricky was a great defender and excellent floor general on a team with limited weapons and Brandon tends to get underrated in general.
User avatar
Dr Positivity
RealGM
Posts: 62,530
And1: 16,330
Joined: Apr 29, 2009
       

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#6 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:04 pm

1. 2004 Garnett

2. 2004 Cassell - Nice season in both boxscore and +/- helping lead to 1 seed. I'd probably put Butler 2nd if he played more games.

3. 2014 Love - Big statistical season

4. 2018 Butler - Even with the missed GP I have a hard time putting 18 Towns over 18 Butler

5. 2018 Towns - Great offense due to floor spacing/efficiency
Liberate The Zoomers
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 34,243
And1: 21,850
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#7 » by Colbinii » Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:20 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:1. 2004 Garnett

2. 2004 Cassell - Nice season in both boxscore and +/- helping lead to 1 seed. I'd probably put Butler 2nd if he played more games.

3. 2014 Love - Big statistical season

4. 2018 Butler - Even with the missed GP I have a hard time putting 18 Towns over 18 Butler

5. 2018 Towns - Great offense due to floor spacing/efficiency


What is Cassell's argument over Love?

Of course his +/- is good, he spent 2530 of 2850 minutes playing next to Garnett.
Doctor MJ
Senior Mod
Senior Mod
Posts: 53,008
And1: 21,963
Joined: Mar 10, 2005
Location: Cali
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#8 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:20 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:2. 2004 Cassell - Nice season in both boxscore and +/- helping lead to 1 seed. I'd probably put Butler 2nd if he played more games.

3. 2014 Love - Big statistical season


Oh, I think we should take a closer look here.

Cassell's year is as you say:

OnCourt: +9.7
On/Off: +12.8

But consider Love's season:

OnCourt: +5.6
On/Off: +10.9

Obviously Cassell's numbers are better, but just as indisputably, those numbers are in the shadow of Garnett's numbers:

OnCourt +9.8
On/Off: +20.7
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!
User avatar
Jaivl
Head Coach
Posts: 7,029
And1: 6,694
Joined: Jan 28, 2014
Location: A Coruña, Spain
Contact:
   

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#9 » by Jaivl » Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:25 pm

If it wasn't for that damn Sam Cassell I could have reasonably voted Ricky at #5, grrr... Oh, well...

Still undecided on Towns vs Love vs Butler. I think Towns is the better offensive player there by a margin and his reputation has unfairly suffered a lot due to playing with scrubs.
This place is a cesspool of mindless ineptitude, mental decrepitude, and intellectual lassitude. I refuse to be sucked any deeper into this whirlpool of groupthink sewage. My opinions have been expressed. I'm going to go take a shower.
User avatar
Dr Positivity
RealGM
Posts: 62,530
And1: 16,330
Joined: Apr 29, 2009
       

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#10 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:38 pm

Colbinii wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:1. 2004 Garnett

2. 2004 Cassell - Nice season in both boxscore and +/- helping lead to 1 seed. I'd probably put Butler 2nd if he played more games.

3. 2014 Love - Big statistical season

4. 2018 Butler - Even with the missed GP I have a hard time putting 18 Towns over 18 Butler

5. 2018 Towns - Great offense due to floor spacing/efficiency


What is Cassell's argument over Love?

Of course his +/- is good, he spent 2530 of 2850 minutes playing next to Garnett.


It has as much to do with being unconvinced Love is that great, I couldn't figure out at the time how he was scoring so much when he was a good but not elite level shooter and post player, and living off the line despite not having as obvious a first step move as say Bosh in Toronto. Benefitted from Rubio. I personally feel his stats falling to earth on the Cavs was more reflective of his talent level than his Wolves years.
Liberate The Zoomers
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 34,243
And1: 21,850
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#11 » by Colbinii » Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:54 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:
Colbinii wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:1. 2004 Garnett

2. 2004 Cassell - Nice season in both boxscore and +/- helping lead to 1 seed. I'd probably put Butler 2nd if he played more games.

3. 2014 Love - Big statistical season

4. 2018 Butler - Even with the missed GP I have a hard time putting 18 Towns over 18 Butler

5. 2018 Towns - Great offense due to floor spacing/efficiency


What is Cassell's argument over Love?

Of course his +/- is good, he spent 2530 of 2850 minutes playing next to Garnett.


It has as much to do with being unconvinced Love is that great, I couldn't figure out at the time how he was scoring so much when he was a good but not elite level shooter and post player. He drew an inordinate amount of fouls. Benefitted from Rubio. Obviously poor at defense. For some reason amazing at getting rebound stats. I personally feel his stats falling to earth on the Cavs was more reflective of his talent level than his Wolves years.


Thats a pretty silly thing to say.

First off, the team improved from bad Offensive (101.2 Ortg) without Love to 111.6 Ortg with him (+10.4). Thats a ridiculous increase, while defensively they were the same with and without him.

RE Scoring:

He was a good scorer for multiple reasons. One of which was because he got to the line at a 44.5% rate and converted 81% of his free throws. How did he get to the line? Because he was a smart offensive player who used his positioning and shooting ability to draw fouls.

Love was able to shoot 37.6% from 3, very respectable percentage but also shoot 67% at the rim. He shied away from the midrange (only 23% of his shots) while taking a large portion of his shots at or near the rim, behind the arc or at the free throw line.

Re Stats falling in Cleveland:

Well, no ****, right? He no longer could play near the rim because he had to maximize LeBron and Kyrie. He was no longer the player making all the decisions offensively, mind you he had a 21.4 AST% in Minnesota, and instead was a 3rd wheel in 2015 and 2016.

But Love was still a very effective 3rd option for Cleveland. He posted a >3.0 OBPM every season in Cleveland while adapting to a role he had never done before.

There seems to be this misconception that 2014 was some sort of outlier year---sure, but Love showed the ability to do everything he did right in 2014 in previous or future years. 2014 was the year where everything came together for Love--he finally had a competent roster around him, he had a lead guard Love could work off of and he had spacing to maximize his skill-set.

What exactly are you voting for in this project? What are you looking at when ranking "Best seasons"? Because Loves season clearly trumps anything Sam Cassell put together.
User avatar
Dr Positivity
RealGM
Posts: 62,530
And1: 16,330
Joined: Apr 29, 2009
       

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#12 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Jun 15, 2021 5:24 pm

Colbinii wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:
Colbinii wrote:
What is Cassell's argument over Love?

Of course his +/- is good, he spent 2530 of 2850 minutes playing next to Garnett.


It has as much to do with being unconvinced Love is that great, I couldn't figure out at the time how he was scoring so much when he was a good but not elite level shooter and post player. He drew an inordinate amount of fouls. Benefitted from Rubio. Obviously poor at defense. For some reason amazing at getting rebound stats. I personally feel his stats falling to earth on the Cavs was more reflective of his talent level than his Wolves years.


Thats a pretty silly thing to say.

First off, the team improved from bad Offensive (101.2 Ortg) without Love to 111.6 Ortg with him (+10.4). Thats a ridiculous increase, while defensively they were the same with and without him.

RE Scoring:

He was a good scorer for multiple reasons. One of which was because he got to the line at a 44.5% rate and converted 81% of his free throws. How did he get to the line? Because he was a smart offensive player who used his positioning and shooting ability to draw fouls.

Love was able to shoot 37.6% from 3, very respectable percentage but also shoot 67% at the rim. He shied away from the midrange (only 23% of his shots) while taking a large portion of his shots at or near the rim, behind the arc or at the free throw line.

Re Stats falling in Cleveland:

Well, no ****, right? He no longer could play near the rim because he had to maximize LeBron and Kyrie. He was no longer the player making all the decisions offensively, mind you he had a 21.4 AST% in Minnesota, and instead was a 3rd wheel in 2015 and 2016.

But Love was still a very effective 3rd option for Cleveland. He posted a >3.0 OBPM every season in Cleveland while adapting to a role he had never done before.

There seems to be this misconception that 2014 was some sort of outlier year---sure, but Love showed the ability to do everything he did right in 2014 in previous or future years. 2014 was the year where everything came together for Love--he finally had a competent roster around him, he had a lead guard Love could work off of and he had spacing to maximize his skill-set.

What exactly are you voting for in this project? What are you looking at when ranking "Best seasons"? Because Loves season clearly trumps anything Sam Cassell put together.


A 20/8 PG doesn't have to be worse on offense than a 26ppg scoring PF. Yea the Wolves were better on offense when he sat, just look at their bench. Rubio was also +12 on offense.

Love is a good player who I still rated over some other solid seasons like Towns and Butler, I'm just skeptical of players who put up big scoring stats on below average teams.

In addition Cassell in 2004 is a very good season. He finishes 4th in win shares (5th in WS/48) and is 8th in VORP (10th in BPM), 16th in RAPM. He is one of the most elite midrange shooting PGs of all time and solid on 3P% on underused volume. He is the main reason for the Wolves outlier year much like the Clippers two years later. Their team still sucked outside of KG/Cassell.
Liberate The Zoomers
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 34,243
And1: 21,850
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#13 » by Colbinii » Tue Jun 15, 2021 5:26 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:
Colbinii wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:
It has as much to do with being unconvinced Love is that great, I couldn't figure out at the time how he was scoring so much when he was a good but not elite level shooter and post player. He drew an inordinate amount of fouls. Benefitted from Rubio. Obviously poor at defense. For some reason amazing at getting rebound stats. I personally feel his stats falling to earth on the Cavs was more reflective of his talent level than his Wolves years.


Thats a pretty silly thing to say.

First off, the team improved from bad Offensive (101.2 Ortg) without Love to 111.6 Ortg with him (+10.4). Thats a ridiculous increase, while defensively they were the same with and without him.

RE Scoring:

He was a good scorer for multiple reasons. One of which was because he got to the line at a 44.5% rate and converted 81% of his free throws. How did he get to the line? Because he was a smart offensive player who used his positioning and shooting ability to draw fouls.

Love was able to shoot 37.6% from 3, very respectable percentage but also shoot 67% at the rim. He shied away from the midrange (only 23% of his shots) while taking a large portion of his shots at or near the rim, behind the arc or at the free throw line.

Re Stats falling in Cleveland:

Well, no ****, right? He no longer could play near the rim because he had to maximize LeBron and Kyrie. He was no longer the player making all the decisions offensively, mind you he had a 21.4 AST% in Minnesota, and instead was a 3rd wheel in 2015 and 2016.

But Love was still a very effective 3rd option for Cleveland. He posted a >3.0 OBPM every season in Cleveland while adapting to a role he had never done before.

There seems to be this misconception that 2014 was some sort of outlier year---sure, but Love showed the ability to do everything he did right in 2014 in previous or future years. 2014 was the year where everything came together for Love--he finally had a competent roster around him, he had a lead guard Love could work off of and he had spacing to maximize his skill-set.

What exactly are you voting for in this project? What are you looking at when ranking "Best seasons"? Because Loves season clearly trumps anything Sam Cassell put together.


A 20/8 PG doesn't have to be worse on offense than a 26ppg scoring PF. Yea the Wolves were better on offense when he sat, just look at their bench. Rubio was also +12 on offense.

Love is a good player who I still rated over some other solid seasons like Towns and Butler, I'm just skeptical of players who put up big scoring stats on below average teams.

In addition Cassell in 2004 is a very good season. He finishes 4th in win shares (5th in WS/48) and is 8th in VORP (10th in BPM), 16th in RAPM. He is one of the most elite midrange shooting PGs of all time and solid on 3P% on underused volume. He is the main reason for the Wolves outlier year much like the Clippers two years later. Their team still sucked outside of KG/Cassell.


The Timberwolves were still a 50-win team without Cassell.

The Wolves dropped 11 SRS after losing Love...

It's night and day.
Dutchball97
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,406
And1: 5,001
Joined: Mar 28, 2020
   

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#14 » by Dutchball97 » Tue Jun 15, 2021 5:37 pm

1. Kevin Garnett, 2003/04 - Easily the best regular season and literally the only one here with a high level deep play-off run.

2. Kevin Love, 2013/14 - Truely incredible season for Love and a shame he didn't get the chance to show what he was worth in the post-season. His 8.9 BPM and 7.7 VORP are well out of reach of any of the others and none of them have a post-season good enough to make a difference on this cursed franchise.

3. Terrell Brandon, 1999/00 - KAT, Butler and Cassell had better regular seasons but Brandon wasn't far behind. In fact I think he's close enough that his play-offs performance puts him over the top. Out of these four Brandon is the only one who really did himself any favors in the post-season. Even though it was a very small 4 game sample size, him having such a strong showing is enough for me to have him at #3. Love was a much better player overall though and Brandon's short but strong post-season isn't nearly enough to close that gap.

4. Karl-Anthony Towns, 2017/2018 - While his play-off performance was lackluster I do think his regular season was straight up better than Cassell's and more valuable than Jimmy's due to Butler's missed games. Neither of them did enough in the post-season to make up for that in my opinion.

5. Sam Cassell, 2003/04 - Butler was a better player but with Cassell playing significantly more in both the regular season and post-season I do think the value of this season is higher than Butler's as the difference in level of play wasn't massively in favor of Butler either.
Doctor MJ
Senior Mod
Senior Mod
Posts: 53,008
And1: 21,963
Joined: Mar 10, 2005
Location: Cali
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#15 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Jun 15, 2021 9:53 pm

Dr Positivity wrote:
Colbinii wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:1. 2004 Garnett

2. 2004 Cassell - Nice season in both boxscore and +/- helping lead to 1 seed. I'd probably put Butler 2nd if he played more games.

3. 2014 Love - Big statistical season

4. 2018 Butler - Even with the missed GP I have a hard time putting 18 Towns over 18 Butler

5. 2018 Towns - Great offense due to floor spacing/efficiency


What is Cassell's argument over Love?

Of course his +/- is good, he spent 2530 of 2850 minutes playing next to Garnett.


It has as much to do with being unconvinced Love is that great, I couldn't figure out at the time how he was scoring so much when he was a good but not elite level shooter and post player, and living off the line despite not having as obvious a first step move as say Bosh in Toronto. Benefitted from Rubio. I personally feel his stats falling to earth on the Cavs was more reflective of his talent level than his Wolves years.


Dude, c'mon, in '10-11, Rubio was in Europe, and Kahn was trumpeting Beasley & Darko as the focal point of the team that year.

TS Add:
Kevin Love +127.3
Everybody Else -376.1

Rubio was a good player, but he did not turn Love into a statistical monster. Love did that himself in a context that was essentially trying to bury him.

I will say: He clearly was never able to conjure this again in Cleveland and this was a major disappointment for me, but I do think it speaks to how physically dominant he was able to be when he was young (poor man's Barkley), and that this really wasn't something he could sustain into middle-age NBA body maturity.
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!
User avatar
OldSchoolNoBull
General Manager
Posts: 9,051
And1: 4,443
Joined: Jun 27, 2003
Location: Ohio
 

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#16 » by OldSchoolNoBull » Tue Jun 15, 2021 10:01 pm

Just asking...doesn't Thunder come before Timberwolves?
User avatar
Odinn21
Analyst
Posts: 3,514
And1: 2,942
Joined: May 19, 2019
 

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#17 » by Odinn21 » Tue Jun 15, 2021 10:07 pm

I don't get it, playing next to Rubio is a reason to peg Love down when the comparison is Cassell who was playing next to Kevin Garnett at his absolute best?

---

OldSchoolNoBull wrote:Just asking...doesn't Thunder come before Timberwolves?

Lmao, good catch. We're going back in the next thread lads! My mistake.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
User avatar
Dr Positivity
RealGM
Posts: 62,530
And1: 16,330
Joined: Apr 29, 2009
       

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#18 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Jun 15, 2021 11:08 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:I will say: He clearly was never able to conjure this again in Cleveland and this was a major disappointment for me, but I do think it speaks to how physically dominant he was able to be when he was young (poor man's Barkley), and that this really wasn't something he could sustain into middle-age NBA body maturity.


It would have to be a coincidence that Love went from his PEAK to totally not the same guy physically/mentally over the course of a summer, just as Lebron got him. Plausible, but it seems more likely that it had everything to do with playing for a new team and as the 3rd guy, to me. One of the best comparables for the midcareer falloff physically and mentally in Deron Williams, but he still put up a few NJ and BKN seasons that raw boxscore wise aren't miles off before it went.

Why is "Love underperformed statistically with Cleveland" less plausible than "Love overperformed statistically with Minnesota?" As I said when I look at Love's game in Cleveland, which I think is underrated if anything and caused a lot of issues in playoff matchups for opponents in particular, "only" being a solid 17-19ppg 3rd option scorer seems perfectly fine for his skillset as an average size and athleticism PF who's good at several things offensively but not lights out at any of them. He shouldn't be as good in the post as a player like Pau or LMA when looking at his size and skill level down there, his 3pt shot was never spectacular just pretty good which still makes him one of the best shooting PFs, and his passing was above average but hardly a dominant thing to me. The problem with Cavs Love appears to be talent as much as anything else, it wasn't like he was this enigma who brought out the Minnesota version once every 2 weeks but checked out mentally.

When it comes to Lebron hurting his numbers, I see more of an excuse for Bosh than Love. Wade and Lebron's slashing style of play and volume (2015 Irving for example only averaged 19.6ppg) meant they really needed Bosh in the floor spacer role rather than iso-ing like in Toronto, whereas if Love was dominant in the paint I think the shots would have been there beside Irving. Furthermore played a lot of time in Cleveland without Irving between injuries like Irving missing the whole start of 2016 and Irving missing 2018 giving lots of opportunity for Love to be the outright #2 in a way Bosh never really got, and then after Lebron left unlike Bosh who went back up to 21ppg before the blood clots, the old Love didn't return even a little bit. I would suggest the old Love was simply gone from the moment he started playing in Cleveland, whether it's because he lost too much weight or something, had a bad summer mentally or because on a good team he couldn't do that stat stuffing anymore. I don't mean to make this too much about Cavs Love since the question is about the TWolves version, but considering the results in Minnesota were always so mediocre it's worth looking at the bigger picture to see if he was that good. I don't really care that he went 40-42 with a good point differential one year, congrats... Bosh once won 40 games with Calderon, rookie Derozan, just got paid Hedo and Bargnani as the rest of his starting lineup. Julius Randle had the equivalent of 47 Ws this year playing with not that much talent. It's not that much of an accomplishment especially when you stack it up against some seasons like 2011 where they're HOLY SH*T bad, or 2012 where they play well with Rubio but then completely go in the tank without him. The 2013 team is also hardly the worst team in history despite getting nothing from Love that year.

I have no problem with 2014 Love being rated 2nd but I think Cassell is pretty strong, I'm also the only one so far to put him over players like Towns and Butler (who would be 2nd for me if not for GP). It's nearly impossible to use +/- stats for example to pick between Love and Cassell as they both played with crap depth.
Liberate The Zoomers
HeartBreakKid
RealGM
Posts: 22,395
And1: 18,823
Joined: Mar 08, 2012
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#19 » by HeartBreakKid » Wed Jun 16, 2021 3:09 am

1) 2004 MVP - He just barely squeaks by the competition. I wont even list thy name, the other players are not worthy to see his grace

2) 2018 Jimmy Butler - 59 games is just enough for me to consider his season canon. Best two way player in their history after KG. Is pretty high up in terms of their best defenders in general...and scorers. When he was active they were the third seed.

3) 2004 Sam Cassell - Not as much of a defensive liability as the others. Offensively well rounded offensive economical player. Long history of his impact showing up on other teams. I suppose he is "carried" by Garnett, but everyone on this list would be as well. Cassell is enough of an impact player to help boost the Wolves from 1st round elimination team to serious championship contender (replacing Billups who had a good season), and if he didn't hurt his weiner they probably get past the Lakers at the very least in 2004 who were stacked.

4) 2000 Terrell Brandon - Underrated player. Would easily, easily, be like a 22/10 guy today on great efficiency. If him and KG played more pick and roll back then like they do today it would have made a huge difference for the Wolves offense. Sadly, the T-Wolves were not much of visionaries or innovators.

5) 2014 Kevin Love - Always seemed like a player who's stats were better than his actual ability. Never thought he was a top 5 player in 2014, and since then he hasn't done much to correct that (if anything I've been lower on him, though I think he was legitimately a better player in 2014 than he was on the Cavs). The 2014 Wolves caught a bad break with injuries otherwise they would have been an 8th seedish team - but at the same time I am fairly convinced Love would have scored horribly in the post season since he's not a real #1 option (neither is anyone else on this list). Basically, I'm ranking him number 4 because **** him (and I just don't think he's that good). I did have him as a top ten player at the time, but meh...twas weak years. (I had Howard in my top ten, and Griffin in my top 5)


2003 Chauncey Billups was a close mention, but I dont want more people to flame me for giving Love a bad ranking. It's telling that as Billups was finally understanding the game at a high level the Wolves traded his ass.

Not a fan of Towns, but it's possible that his offense is so good that if he's paired with another great player it won't matter about his defense (which has improved...I guess?). Sadly, the only chance he had to play with another good guy (Butler) was in 2018, and he wasn't that impressive. He was also beyond horrible in the playoffs, wasn't even a sample size thing the guy just looked lost. Since then the Wolves have been at the bottom of the standings, and even if Towns is healthy it probably wouldn't change much. Need to see him in better situations for me to give him the benefit of the doubt, as of now I'll pass on Mr.Lottery.
Doctor MJ
Senior Mod
Senior Mod
Posts: 53,008
And1: 21,963
Joined: Mar 10, 2005
Location: Cali
     

Re: [Project] Top 5 single season peaks by franchises: The Timberwolves 

Post#20 » by Doctor MJ » Thu Jun 17, 2021 1:15 am

Dr Positivity wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:I will say: He clearly was never able to conjure this again in Cleveland and this was a major disappointment for me, but I do think it speaks to how physically dominant he was able to be when he was young (poor man's Barkley), and that this really wasn't something he could sustain into middle-age NBA body maturity.


It would have to be a coincidence that Love went from his PEAK to totally not the same guy physically/mentally over the course of a summer, just as Lebron got him. Plausible, but it seems more likely that it had everything to do with playing for a new team and as the 3rd guy, to me. One of the best comparables for the midcareer falloff physically and mentally in Deron Williams, but he still put up a few NJ and BKN seasons that raw boxscore wise aren't miles off before it went.

Why is "Love underperformed statistically with Cleveland" less plausible than "Love overperformed statistically with Minnesota?" As I said when I look at Love's game in Cleveland, which I think is underrated if anything and caused a lot of issues in playoff matchups for opponents in particular, "only" being a solid 17-19ppg 3rd option scorer seems perfectly fine for his skillset as an average size and athleticism PF who's good at several things offensively but not lights out at any of them. He shouldn't be as good in the post as a player like Pau or LMA when looking at his size and skill level down there, his 3pt shot was never spectacular just pretty good which still makes him one of the best shooting PFs, and his passing was above average but hardly a dominant thing to me. The problem with Cavs Love appears to be talent as much as anything else, it wasn't like he was this enigma who brought out the Minnesota version once every 2 weeks but checked out mentally.

When it comes to Lebron hurting his numbers, I see more of an excuse for Bosh than Love. Wade and Lebron's slashing style of play and volume (2015 Irving for example only averaged 19.6ppg) meant they really needed Bosh in the floor spacer role rather than iso-ing like in Toronto, whereas if Love was dominant in the paint I think the shots would have been there beside Irving. Furthermore played a lot of time in Cleveland without Irving between injuries like Irving missing the whole start of 2016 and Irving missing 2018 giving lots of opportunity for Love to be the outright #2 in a way Bosh never really got, and then after Lebron left unlike Bosh who went back up to 21ppg before the blood clots, the old Love didn't return even a little bit. I would suggest the old Love was simply gone from the moment he started playing in Cleveland, whether it's because he lost too much weight or something, had a bad summer mentally or because on a good team he couldn't do that stat stuffing anymore. I don't mean to make this too much about Cavs Love since the question is about the TWolves version, but considering the results in Minnesota were always so mediocre it's worth looking at the bigger picture to see if he was that good. I don't really care that he went 40-42 with a good point differential one year, congrats... Bosh once won 40 games with Calderon, rookie Derozan, just got paid Hedo and Bargnani as the rest of his starting lineup. Julius Randle had the equivalent of 47 Ws this year playing with not that much talent. It's not that much of an accomplishment especially when you stack it up against some seasons like 2011 where they're HOLY SH*T bad, or 2012 where they play well with Rubio but then completely go in the tank without him. The 2013 team is also hardly the worst team in history despite getting nothing from Love that year.

I have no problem with 2014 Love being rated 2nd but I think Cassell is pretty strong, I'm also the only one so far to put him over players like Towns and Butler (who would be 2nd for me if not for GP). It's nearly impossible to use +/- stats for example to pick between Love and Cassell as they both played with crap depth.


I'm sorry I wasn't clear before. I was referring to Love in the post-LeBron years rather than the LeBron years. Love's smaller box score presence, as well as impact, is to be expected given the role he had, and the role he had made a lot of sense given that not just LeBron but Kyrie as well was given primacy over him.

I had hoped that Love would be able to take on more of a Minnesota-type role after LeBron left, but he really no longer seemed to be physically able to do what he did when he was young.

Re: Nearly impossible to use +/- to pick between Love & Cassell. 2 things:

1. I see a clear edge for Love. The reality that the Garnett T-Wolves had a much, much, much better player in Kevin Garnett who already had a super-massive On/Off with a high OnCourt the previous year, and Cassell played 90% of his minutes with Garnett and still has a worse OnCourt and far worse On/Off than Garnett really to me makes clear we shouldn't get carried away here based on an assumption of unexpected impact.

Cassell was the #2 man and best new addition on a team that went from winning 51 games to winning 58. With that, he makes my Top 5 for the franchise, but I don't feel any major pull to put him above the multi-time all-stars you have him above.

2. In general, if I can't see a major edge in +/- style data between two guys with excellent +/-, I do tend to really consider when one guy is taking on a considerably bigger primacy burden than the other. Not saying you have to do the same, but I struggle to see what you're using to elevate Cassell over Love other than the fact that he was contributing to a better team at the time.

Now, I want to be clear that I do understand you choosing Cassell over Love if you think his game scales better to championship teams than Love, so I get if that's how you're thinking.

I would point out though that in the year in question Love had a higher OnCourt than Cassell possibly in any season other than '03-04, so it's not like Cassell was in general playing on far more successful line ups than Love. And I would also point out that Love played a higher primacy role on a champion than Cassell ever did. So just be careful with any notion of categorizing one guy as a winner and one guy as not.

3. I believe earlier you mentioned Rubio, and if so I know what happened. Based on +/- just in that year, Rubio looks like he secretly as valuable as Love. But I think at this point we've seen that Rubio really doesn't have any magical ability to give guys stats like Love got, nor any impact so exceptional that it keeps teams from giving him up over and over again.

I think it makes sense to take that massive fall-off after Love left as evidence that he was doing legit work. Yes Rubio was injured for much of that year anyway and frankly I don't want to talk like I don't think Rubio isn't a good player - I think he's a classic sub-all-star level guy, Top 50 rather than Top 25. But to me you only end up lowering Love relative to a guy like Cassell if you're being super-skeptical of many different indicators that he was a bad ass in Minnesota, and I just can't justify that.
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!

Return to Player Comparisons