jbk1234 wrote:With the addition of a starting caliber wing, I could see that changing dramatically. It's just that we're really thin at the wing so we're entirely dependent upon on internal growth from guys like Windler, Okoro, and Wade. Cedi could have a bit of a bounce back year. It's hard to feel good about having to rely on those possibilities.
Maybe Love contributes enough off the bench that a protected 1st and him return Harris and Ross in season.
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We are actually less thin at SF this year because you don't expect as many PG injuries to shift Sexton to PG and Okoro over to SG. Whether that's a positive or a negative, there's a reasonable expectation that we're not shifting everyone's matchup if someone gets hurt.
To use Win Shares as a crude comparison, last year's performances of Rubio, Pangos, Valentine and Markkanen should add at least 5-6 win shares over the contributions of Exum, Delly, Dotson, Martin, Thomas, and Nance. Mobley, if he has a rookie year somewhere between Mo Bamba and Derrick Favors (which would be a disappointment), adds at least a win share over Hartenstein as backup center. A full year of Allen adds at least the contributions that Drummond made. The season is 10 games longer, so we'd expect 3 more wins just from that.
This should be a 30-win team even if we get no development from the young guys or positive regression from Osman/Love, unless health becomes a bigger problem than it was last year. Competent backups matter!