OntZags wrote:Not to beat a dead horse but you are describing Canada's roster situation to a 'tee', as well. You do a good job updating us on Greece's roster but apparently less so following on with all of Canada's absences.
Turkey probably has to be considered the favorite here based on rosters' but it wouldn't be shocking to see any of Canada/Greece/Czech pull this off.
Barring some cray piss poor play though, it will be far from an embarrassment if Canada fails to beat Greece. Canada is missing just as many guys (& better quality on the whole) & will be going into this tourney with basically no preparation whatsoever. I'd argue the prep games alone should have Greece better positioned against this particular iteration of Canada.
Well, it's the issue of the team being led by Calathes and/or Sloukas. Calathes is a career long huge choker in club league playoffs and in national team elimination games. He was mainly responsible for Greece losing elimination games numerous times. Sloukas had an epically horrendous season with Olympiacos in terms of choking.
His team probably lost about 6 games right at the end of the game, specifically because of bat crazy BS stuff he did at the end of games. One of his choke jobs last season is already legendary in EuroLeague lore. It was almost mind boggling some of the choke he did last season.
Those two guys over and over and over have shriveled up immensely in their careers under pressure. On the other hand, Greece has some guys on the roster with a lot of moxy and guts and that are clutch. Larentzakis comes to mind right away, but none of those players will have the ball in their hands at the end of games.
With Spanoulis out, Greece went from having the clutchest EuroLeague player of all time having the ball in his hands at the end of close games, to having it in the hands os either Calathes, who can't shoot, or Sloukas, who choked over and over with Olympiacos in that role. If Sloukas plays at this tournament like he did this past season with Olympiacos......Greece will be perfectly capable of getting up by 15-20 points on anyone, and then losing the game through crazy bad decision making from the lead ball handler, even if they are up big in the 4th quarter.
It's not how good the players are, it's the issue of what kind of brain does the lead guard have, and based on this past season, Sloukas' point guard instincts, decision making, and ability to run a team are extremely low. So Greece has to have him on a very hot shooting day, where he's making most of his shot attempts, so that he doesn't have to use his brain.
When they lost Spanoulis, they lost the best closer in Europe. Hell, even at age 39, he's still the best closer. While Sloukas is one of the worst. It doesn't mean Greece couldn't qualify, because they have the ability. But it means that in order to do so Sloukas probably needs to have a good shooting game. Something like Sloukas had against Lithuania in 2019. In order to nullify Calathes making the team play 4 on 5 on offense and/or Sloukas being put in a situation where he as to think, instead of just react.
So Greece needs some good offensive efficiency now. In contrast, if they had Spanoulis and Printezis in the team, they could figure out how to win a game, even if they shot like 2-25 from 3 point range.