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2021 Draft

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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#381 » by darealjuice » Wed Jul 28, 2021 3:12 pm

Jesus_H_Macy wrote:Does anyone remember around draft time last year a poster had found (either themselves or from some online source) a set of metrics that seemed to be what Jones was using to make his draft decisions? I can’t remember the details but IIRC Bridges, Johnson, Jerome, and Smith were all towards the top of that metrics set. Ring any bells for anyone? I’m curious how the players who are expected to be available around 29 rank on there.


BPM is definitely one of them lol
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#382 » by Saberestar » Wed Jul 28, 2021 3:31 pm

DirtyDez wrote:If both are available in really hoping they go McBride over Bones. Neither were on Gambo’s big-4.

Who are Gambo's big-4?
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#383 » by darealjuice » Wed Jul 28, 2021 3:50 pm

Saberestar wrote:
DirtyDez wrote:If both are available in really hoping they go McBride over Bones. Neither were on Gambo’s big-4.

Who are Gambo's big-4?


Jared Butler, Ayo Dosunmu, Quentin Grimes, and Joel Ayayi were the names that they discussed yesterday. Also mentioned Josh Christopher.

Quentin Grimes draft stock surprises me. He was awful at Kansas after being very hyped as a freshman, but it looks like he improved some since. Not particularly interested personally.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#384 » by Ghost of Kleine » Wed Jul 28, 2021 5:26 pm

Jesus_H_Macy wrote:Does anyone remember around draft time last year a poster had found (either themselves or from some online source) a set of metrics that seemed to be what Jones was using to make his draft decisions? I can’t remember the details but IIRC Bridges, Johnson, Jerome, and Smith were all towards the top of that metrics set. Ring any bells for anyone? I’m curious how the players who are expected to be available around 29 rank on there.


Well recently, Juice found an interesting correlation ( on Tankathon perhaps) between the players that Jones selected and their BPMs' as well as an elite skillset attribute. All had high IQs' elite shooting ( offensive potential) and would be switchable.

Could it have been something along these lines
perhaps?
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.brightsideofthesun.com/platform/amp/2020/8/22/21396633/james-jones-still-looking-for-mature-high-bball-iq-prospects-at-no-10-in-the-2020-nba-draft

How will James evaluate players and what is he looking for when adding to the depth-chart?

“Our system is a dynamic system,” James talks about positive changes on the court. “If you watch the minor improvements that we made in the Bubble. Our focus on rebounding, offensive rebounding, moving the ball, sharing the ball, being a low turnover team.

All those things require a guys that can think on their feet. Guys that have great ball skills. Not necessarily great ball handing skills, but knowing how to move their body and how to move the ball and how to share the game. It takes a level of basketball IQ and maturity.”

James also added, “We’ve just decided that every day we’re going to continue to watch the guys that fit our style of play and play for coach Monty.”

“Always looking for experience,” Jones said. “We’re always looking for capacity. I don’t go based on age. My experience that the older players are the more seasoned veteran players tend to posses a greater capacity from day one to contribute to your team.


Also this though:
https://www.google.com/amp/s/arizonasports.com/story/2454766/suns-gm-james-jones-stuck-to-his-plan-by-drafting-jalen-smith/amp/%3fshow=comments

Jones also seems to be sticking to a coherent plan. He values experienced, highly-competitive players who can shoot the lights out. He refuses to go all-in on unproven rookies, most of whom are all swag and raw skill, coming to the league with very little polish or basketball education.


So basically he looks for:
- High IQ.
- highly competitive.
- expierenced ( older college prospects with actual playing time under their belts).
- off ball movement/ relocation.
- versatility ( multipositional 3 and D).
- elite shooting OR at least one elite skillset (rebounding or shotblocking or SHOOTING) etc. Basically potential as a specialist.

Looking at the immediate prospects realistically in our range at 29. The prospects which best fit those requisites are:

- Ayo Dosunma. ( 9.5 BPM)
High IQ, Very consistent production across the board, and great size = multipositional versatility ( switchability).

- Tre Mann. ( 7.0 BPM)
Elite shooting/ limitless range,
Potentially elite ballhandling ability. High IQ. Great size at 6'5.

- Miles McBride.( 9.5 BPM)
Potentially elite two way player. Elite strength at guard position. High IQ.

- Trey Murphy. ( 8.4 BPM)
Great size at 6'9 ( multipositional versatility), Elite shooting metrics, potentially elite perimeter defender. High IQ ( Psychology major). He's actually the perfect Jones candidate. But likely won't be available when we pick.

- Neemias Queta. ( 12.2 BPM)
Elite shotblocker, Elite rebounder, Really solid passer, high IQ. Overall elite defender.

- Jaden Springer. ( 6.9 BPM)
Good size at 6'4, Elite strength, elite lockdown defender potential ( Marcus Smart), High IQ.

- Bones Hyland. ( 8.2 BPM)
Elite shooting/ limitless range, solid on ball defense.

- Joel Ayayi. ( 9.6 BPM)
Good size at 6'5, elite field goal efficiency, consistent across the board.
So taking this information into consideration, My ranking for these prospects would likely be:

1- Trey Murphy 3rd. ( Will be gone before29)!
2- Neemias Queta.
3- Jaden Springer. ( Will be gone before29)!
4- Ayo Dosunma.
5- Miles McBride.
6- Tre Mann.
7- Joel Ayayi.
8- Nashon Hyland.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#385 » by Jesus_H_Macy » Wed Jul 28, 2021 5:47 pm

Ghost of Kleine wrote:
Jesus_H_Macy wrote:Does anyone remember around draft time last year a poster had found (either themselves or from some online source) a set of metrics that seemed to be what Jones was using to make his draft decisions? I can’t remember the details but IIRC Bridges, Johnson, Jerome, and Smith were all towards the top of that metrics set. Ring any bells for anyone? I’m curious how the players who are expected to be available around 29 rank on there.


Well recently, Juice found an interesting correlation ( on Tankathon perhaps) between the players that Jones selected and their BPMs' as well as an elite skillset attribute. All had high IQs' elite shooting ( offensive potential) and would be switchable.

Could it have been something along these lines
perhaps?
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.brightsideofthesun.com/platform/amp/2020/8/22/21396633/james-jones-still-looking-for-mature-high-bball-iq-prospects-at-no-10-in-the-2020-nba-draft

How will James evaluate players and what is he looking for when adding to the depth-chart?

“Our system is a dynamic system,” James talks about positive changes on the court. “If you watch the minor improvements that we made in the Bubble. Our focus on rebounding, offensive rebounding, moving the ball, sharing the ball, being a low turnover team.

All those things require a guys that can think on their feet. Guys that have great ball skills. Not necessarily great ball handing skills, but knowing how to move their body and how to move the ball and how to share the game. It takes a level of basketball IQ and maturity.”

James also added, “We’ve just decided that every day we’re going to continue to watch the guys that fit our style of play and play for coach Monty.”

“Always looking for experience,” Jones said. “We’re always looking for capacity. I don’t go based on age. My experience that the older players are the more seasoned veteran players tend to posses a greater capacity from day one to contribute to your team.


Also this though:
https://www.google.com/amp/s/arizonasports.com/story/2454766/suns-gm-james-jones-stuck-to-his-plan-by-drafting-jalen-smith/amp/%3fshow=comments

Jones also seems to be sticking to a coherent plan. He values experienced, highly-competitive players who can shoot the lights out. He refuses to go all-in on unproven rookies, most of whom are all swag and raw skill, coming to the league with very little polish or basketball education.


So basically he looks for:
- High IQ.
- highly competitive.
- expierenced ( older college prospects with actual playing time under their belts).
- off ball movement/ relocation.
- versatility ( multipositional 3 and D).
- elite shooting OR at least one elite skillset (rebounding or shotblocking or SHOOTING) etc. Basically potential as a specialist.

Looking at the immediate prospects realistically in our range at 29. The prospects which best fit those requisites are:

- Ayo Dosunma. ( 9.5 BPM)
High IQ, Very consistent production across the board, and great size = multipositional versatility ( switchability).

- Tre Mann. ( 7.0 BPM)
Elite shooting/ limitless range,
Potentially elite ballhandling ability. High IQ. Great size at 6'5.

- Miles McBride.( 9.5 BPM)
Potentially elite two way player. Elite strength at guard position. High IQ.

- Trey Murphy. ( 8.4 BPM)
Great size at 6'9 ( multipositional versatility), Elite shooting metrics, potentially elite perimeter defender. High IQ ( Psychology major). He's actually the perfect Jones candidate. But likely won't be available when we pick.

- Neemias Queta. ( 12.2 BPM)
Elite shotblocker, Elite rebounder, Really solid passer, high IQ. Overall elite defender.

- Jaden Springer. ( 6.9 BPM)
Good size at 6'4, Elite strength, elite lockdown defender potential ( Marcus Smart), High IQ.

- Bones Hyland. ( 8.2 BPM)
Elite shooting/ limitless range, solid on ball defense.

- Joel Ayayi. ( 9.6 BPM)
Good size at 6'5, elite field goal efficiency, consistent across the board.
So taking this information into consideration, My ranking for these prospects would likely be:

1- Trey Murphy 3rd. ( Will be gone before29)!
2- Neemias Queta.
3- Jaden Springer. ( Will be gone before29)!
4- Ayo Dosunma.
5- Miles McBride.
6- Tre Mann.
7- Joel Ayayi.
8- Nashon Hyland.


Thanks, I'm sure this must be what I was thinking of. Thought I remembered seeing some lists of players with our picks being near the top but maybe it was just a BPM list (ayo DaReal). Either way, good info :D
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#386 » by Ghost of Kleine » Wed Jul 28, 2021 5:49 pm

Jackson Frank (@jackfrank_jjf) Tweeted:
Tre Mann has dazzled to start the year, averaging 18 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds and 2.5 steals on 66.1% TS (.545/.750/.818 split).

His elite handle, shiftiness and pull-up shooting have popped. He looks like a legit prospect again: https://t.co/dRA5p0ZVTb
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#387 » by Ghost of Kleine » Wed Jul 28, 2021 5:58 pm

Zona (@ZonaHoops_) Tweeted:
Full list of players (to my knowledge) connected to the Suns pre-draft process so far:

•Jaden Springer
•Trey Murphy III
•Tre Mann
•Miles McBride
•Bones Hyland
•Quentin Grimes
•Aamir Simms
•Feron Hunt
•Neemias Queta
•Aaron Wiggins
•Eugene Omoruyi
•Jayvon Graves
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#388 » by bwgood77 » Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:03 pm

Jesus_H_Macy wrote:Does anyone remember around draft time last year a poster had found (either themselves or from some online source) a set of metrics that seemed to be what Jones was using to make his draft decisions? I can’t remember the details but IIRC Bridges, Johnson, Jerome, and Smith were all towards the top of that metrics set. Ring any bells for anyone? I’m curious how the players who are expected to be available around 29 rank on there.


I would say shooting #1, then defense (though Cam and Jerome were not known for that), then more intangible things like experience, character, etc.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#389 » by darealjuice » Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:27 pm

bwgood77 wrote:
Jesus_H_Macy wrote:Does anyone remember around draft time last year a poster had found (either themselves or from some online source) a set of metrics that seemed to be what Jones was using to make his draft decisions? I can’t remember the details but IIRC Bridges, Johnson, Jerome, and Smith were all towards the top of that metrics set. Ring any bells for anyone? I’m curious how the players who are expected to be available around 29 rank on there.


I would say shooting #1, then defense (though Cam and Jerome were not known for that), then more intangible things like experience, character, etc.


I think he means statistical metrics though. I distinctly remember someone posting that all of James Jones-related picks had certain statistical metrics all above threshold. Mikal, Cam, Ty, and Smith for instance all had very high BPM for their class (12.9 (2nd), 12.9 (3rd), 11.5 (11th), and 12 (4th) respectively) and solid 3PT% (44, 46, 40, 37 respectively) while being on good college teams. Don't remember exactly which stats, and it's probably just a coincidence, but it's funny/interesting to see.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#390 » by bwgood77 » Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:31 pm

darealjuice wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
Jesus_H_Macy wrote:Does anyone remember around draft time last year a poster had found (either themselves or from some online source) a set of metrics that seemed to be what Jones was using to make his draft decisions? I can’t remember the details but IIRC Bridges, Johnson, Jerome, and Smith were all towards the top of that metrics set. Ring any bells for anyone? I’m curious how the players who are expected to be available around 29 rank on there.


I would say shooting #1, then defense (though Cam and Jerome were not known for that), then more intangible things like experience, character, etc.


I think he means statistical metrics though. I distinctly remember someone posting that all of James Jones-related picks had certain statistical metrics all above threshold. Mikal, Cam, Ty, and Smith for instance all had very high BPM for their class (12.9 (2nd), 12.9 (3rd), 11.5 (11th), and 12 (4th) respectively) and solid 3PT% (44, 46, 40, 37 respectively) while being on good college teams. Don't remember exactly which stats, and it's probably just a coincidence, but it's funny/interesting to see.


Most guys who are ranked in the top 20-25 who shoot well and are experienced probably have good BPMs..especially if they pass well like Jerome probably did.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#391 » by Ghost of Kleine » Wed Jul 28, 2021 7:08 pm

#RingerNBA (@ringernba) Tweeted:
New @KevinOConnorNBA mock draft ✅
New additions to the big board ✅

This and more in our @ringernba 2021 Draft Guide here:

https://t.co/Czjqb4FuY2
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#392 » by Ghost of Kleine » Wed Jul 28, 2021 7:37 pm

Zona (@ZonaHoops_) Tweeted:
Can confirm another Suns draft workout. Add Houston guard Quentin Grimes to the list.

6’5” guard that shot 40% from three-point range on 8+ attempts per game. Former 5 star recruit, on the older side… seems like a JJ type
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Zona (@ZonaHoops_) Tweeted:
Source tells me Clemson’s Aamir Simms has worked out for the Phoenix Suns.

He joins Neemias Queta, Feron Hunt, Aaron Wiggins, Eugene Omoruyi, Jayvon Graves, and Tyson Etienne (withdrawn) of draft workouts I’ve confirmed. Phoenix holds the 29th pick.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#393 » by Barkley6 » Wed Jul 28, 2021 7:39 pm

Ghost of Kleine wrote:#RingerNBA (@ringernba) Tweeted:
New @KevinOConnorNBA mock draft ✅
New additions to the big board ✅

This and more in our @ringernba 2021 Draft Guide here:

https://t.co/Czjqb4FuY2
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McBride for us at #29 :nod:
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#394 » by Ghost of Kleine » Thu Jul 29, 2021 2:04 am

Evan Sidery (@esidery) Tweeted:
With a lot of buzz surrounding guards for the Suns at No. 29, keep in mind James Jones loves shooters. Here are five prospects who shot +40% on 3s last season:

Jared Butler, Baylor
Miles McBride, West Virginia
Jaden Springer, Tennessee
Quentin Grimes, Houston
Tre Mann, Florida
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#395 » by Ghost of Kleine » Thu Jul 29, 2021 2:28 am

Evan Sidery (@esidery) Tweeted:
With the Suns making surprise picks under GM James Jones — Cam Johnson and Jalen Smith — one name to watch out for is Clemson’s Aamir Simms.

Projected 2nd-round pick, but is a perfect Suns fit: shooting, defense, 0.5 passing, 4-year starter. Potential Torrey Craig replacement.
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Samir Simms would be a very solid replacement IF we anticipate losing Craig!!
Check out what he brings.


He reminds of a more athletic David West conveniently. :wink:
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#396 » by Ghost of Kleine » Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:21 am

Evan Sidery (@esidery) Tweeted:
Looking over the last five years, the No. 29 pick has a high hit rate:

2016 = Dejounte Murray
2017 = Derrick White
2018 = Dzanan Musa
2019 = Keldon Johnson
2020 = Malachi Flynn

If the Suns are able to draft a role player for around $10 million over four years, that’s huge.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#397 » by Ghost of Kleine » Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:53 am



Kevin O'connor of the ringer mentions Jadon Preston as a surprise sleeper pick for Phoenix at 29. And I have to tell you, I like it! He's an elite passer, and also a very good shooter. Similar flair to his passing as that of Rubio honestly. Only better shooter and crafty scorer around the rim. :nod:
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#398 » by Revived » Thu Jul 29, 2021 5:14 am

I’ve been arguably the biggest advocate on this forum for adding a quality backup big immediately after discovering that Damian Jones was hot trash.

That being said, if CP3 comes back and then plan is to “win now” then I don’t think drafting a backup big is the right idea. Bigs in general take very long to develop and wouldn’t fit exactly with CP3’s timeline. Plus we already have a young backup big Jalen Smith who was a very good draft prospect yet couldn’t beat out Frank Kaminsky for minutes all season long. I think that may repeat itself.

I think backup big is something that should be addressed in free agency or trade with a veteran guy that has the weight, strength, height and ability to battle in the paint.

Unless the Suns see a big man who is super NBA ready and basically a “plug and play” prospect, I’d pass. And usually “plug and play” guys don’t fall this late to the first round. There’s been some rare cases sure but not usually.

I think adding a player with ball handling and playmaking skills should be the move here. Whether that’s a wing or a PG (future CP3 successor or Payne replacement) doesn’t matter all that much imo.

Right now Suns have 3 ball handlers on the roster capable of playmaking and that’s CP3, Book and Payne. Problem is that playing all three together shrinks the Suns size significantly. If there is a 6’5+ player with a strong frame that can solve this then it would help the team quite a bit regardless of if CP3 returns or not.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#399 » by AtheJ415 » Thu Jul 29, 2021 7:24 am

darealjuice wrote:
Saberestar wrote:
DirtyDez wrote:If both are available in really hoping they go McBride over Bones. Neither were on Gambo’s big-4.

Who are Gambo's big-4?


Jared Butler, Ayo Dosunmu, Quentin Grimes, and Joel Ayayi were the names that they discussed yesterday. Also mentioned Josh Christopher.

Quentin Grimes draft stock surprises me. He was awful at Kansas after being very hyped as a freshman, but it looks like he improved some since. Not particularly interested personally.


Grimes was good at Houston but very uneven. I'm not sure he was their top player in reality despite the numbers. Their conference POY transferred to Florida State mid season and I think their younger guards play smarter than him. And sometimes harder.

Butler and Ayayi are the smarter players here and who I would go for. I could understand Donsunmu based on resume but his decisionmaking was questionable at times last year. McBride's measurables were way better than expected at the combine and I think for me I'd consider that route but I'm hoping one of the better options slides that isn't in this group. Butler would probably be the guy for me of these.
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Re: 2021 Draft 

Post#400 » by Saberestar » Thu Jul 29, 2021 8:45 am

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