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The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke

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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#21 » by basketballRob » Thu Jul 29, 2021 2:36 pm

drsd wrote:
Skybox wrote:Kuminga will be the leading scorer on this team next year-if we choose him. It may be ugly, selfish, inefficient basketball but he is the only one of the three who has the scorer mentality.


Of returning players, Orlando's highest ppg scorer is Ross at 15.6. It is hard to see where scoring will come from from the starters, and if Mr. #5 starts, such a rookie could lead this team in scoring.

That said, I am not sure Kuminga starts if drafted. Would you have him over Okeke? Okeke is the better player right now and this is not straight forward.

(( I also see Mr. #8 as a bench player next season ))
I think Kuminga averages 15-20 ppg no matter where he's drafted. He won't get past OKC.

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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#22 » by MartinsIzAfraud » Thu Jul 29, 2021 2:52 pm

basketballRob wrote:
drsd wrote:
Skybox wrote:Kuminga will be the leading scorer on this team next year-if we choose him. It may be ugly, selfish, inefficient basketball but he is the only one of the three who has the scorer mentality.


Of returning players, Orlando's highest ppg scorer is Ross at 15.6. It is hard to see where scoring will come from from the starters, and if Mr. #5 starts, such a rookie could lead this team in scoring.

That said, I am not sure Kuminga starts if drafted. Would you have him over Okeke? Okeke is the better player right now and this is not straight forward.

(( I also see Mr. #8 as a bench player next season ))
I think Kuminga averages 15-20 ppg no matter where he's drafted. He won't get past OKC.

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He'd have to be given 25MPG & 18 shots for him to get 15-20PPG. How's he going to magically shot better in NBA when his G League %'s were piss poor?

Kuminga rookie year will likely be 8PPG 5RPG & 2Assists with some god awful %'s.
A scoring guard.. never heard of one. :roll:
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#23 » by yoyojw17 » Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:09 pm

MartinsIzAfraud wrote:
basketballRob wrote:
drsd wrote:
Of returning players, Orlando's highest ppg scorer is Ross at 15.6. It is hard to see where scoring will come from from the starters, and if Mr. #5 starts, such a rookie could lead this team in scoring.

That said, I am not sure Kuminga starts if drafted. Would you have him over Okeke? Okeke is the better player right now and this is not straight forward.

(( I also see Mr. #8 as a bench player next season ))
I think Kuminga averages 15-20 ppg no matter where he's drafted. He won't get past OKC.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM Forums mobile app


He'd have to be given 25MPG & 18 shots for him to get 15-20PPG. How's he going to magically shot better in NBA when his G League %'s were piss poor?

Kuminga rookie year will likely be 8PPG 5RPG & 2Assists with some god awful %'s.

Shoots poorly in 13 games in the G-League where practices were minimal.... annnnnnd now his rookie season is defined? lol. Like Ziaire WIlliams... circumstances still has to play a part in my opinion.

but at the end of the day... that could be who he is.... or it could be a perfect misrepresentation and we got a steal. only time will tell.

needless to say... I'm hoping to see a Chuma and Isaac combo to start the season.
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#24 » by MartinsIzAfraud » Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:16 pm

yoyojw17 wrote:
MartinsIzAfraud wrote:
basketballRob wrote:I think Kuminga averages 15-20 ppg no matter where he's drafted. He won't get past OKC.

Sent from my SM-G950U using RealGM Forums mobile app


He'd have to be given 25MPG & 18 shots for him to get 15-20PPG. How's he going to magically shot better in NBA when his G League %'s were piss poor?

Kuminga rookie year will likely be 8PPG 5RPG & 2Assists with some god awful %'s.

Shoots poorly in 13 games in the G-League where practices were minimal.... annnnnnd now his rookie is defined? lol. Like Ziaire WIlliams... circumstances still has to play a part in my opinion.

but at the end of the day... that could be who he is.... or it could be a perfect misrepresentation and we got a steal. only time will tell.

needless to say... I'm hoping to see a Chuma and Isaac combo to start the season.


I'm not saying his rookie year is defined but taking into consideration the G league and NBA is a much much different vibe. 38% from the floor in G League for a dude who is a top 5 pick is real bad. It's not even like he got minimal shots and needed more volume or to get into the flow of the game.

Expecting him to get 15-20PPG in his rookie year is 2k fantasy land.
A scoring guard.. never heard of one. :roll:
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#25 » by drsd » Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:22 pm

yoyojw17 wrote:needless to say... I'm hoping to see a Chuma and Isaac combo to start the season.


I agree this is probable. Even if the Magic draft Mobley, I still see Okeke starting on opening night.


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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#26 » by yoyojw17 » Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:22 pm

MartinsIzAfraud wrote:
yoyojw17 wrote:
MartinsIzAfraud wrote:
He'd have to be given 25MPG & 18 shots for him to get 15-20PPG. How's he going to magically shot better in NBA when his G League %'s were piss poor?

Kuminga rookie year will likely be 8PPG 5RPG & 2Assists with some god awful %'s.

Shoots poorly in 13 games in the G-League where practices were minimal.... annnnnnd now his rookie is defined? lol. Like Ziaire WIlliams... circumstances still has to play a part in my opinion.

but at the end of the day... that could be who he is.... or it could be a perfect misrepresentation and we got a steal. only time will tell.

needless to say... I'm hoping to see a Chuma and Isaac combo to start the season.


I'm not saying his rookie year is defined but taking into consideration the G league and NBA is a much much different vibe. 38% from the floor in G League for a dude who is a top 5 pick is real bad. It's not even like he got minimal shots and needed more volume or to get into the flow of the game.

Expecting him to get 15-20PPG in his rookie year is 2k fantasy land.

got ya! but yeah... I would tame my expectations on all rookies that's for sure. BUT.... would i be surprised by 15-20pnt... on 44% shooting from him. not at all. :-)
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#27 » by yoyojw17 » Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:42 pm

drsd wrote:
yoyojw17 wrote:needless to say... I'm hoping to see a Chuma and Isaac combo to start the season.


I agree this is probable. Even if the Magic draft Mobley, I still see Okeke starting on opening night.


..

Yeah... he deserves it. PG, SG, and C.... much more leeway for sure.
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#28 » by Xatticus » Thu Jul 29, 2021 4:28 pm

MagicMatic wrote:What this debate is really about in my opinion comes down to logical roster construction. I’ve been saying this for… I don’t know… The last 4 seasons.

No 3 player combination of Okeke/ Isaac / Barnes / Kuminga make sense on a basketball court together. Why? Because they individually don’t provide enough offense and Orlando’s back court isn’t talented enough to shoulder their lack of floor spacing. Not many back courts would be, apart from Curry/Klay or Lillard/McCollum.

The response to this criticism has lately been “who cares we’ll figure it all out later after we get the talent”. I disagree with that notion simply because you have to put players in the best chance to highlight their strengths and succeed. Flipping young prospects rarely gets you the same return as making a good selection or trading your pick.


That's not what it's about to me. I see no evidence whatsoever to indicate that Kuminga is a better offensive player than Barnes at present. "Potential" is the word we use when something isn't there, but we hope that it will be some day. Scottie Barnes was objectively more efficient at the offensive end.

"Bucket getters" are shot thieves. They will invariably steal shots from their teammates. They aren't creating possessions. This is tolerable if they are actually good enough to justify their extra usage. If they aren't, then they are just damaging the offense. Kuminga made his team's offense worse, not better.

Orlando tied with Denver for 8th in the league in field goal attempts per game. Our offensive problems have nothing to do with a lack of field goal attempts. Basketball is quite simple. Teams trade possessions. The only ways to create extra possessions are via turnovers and rebounds. A higher usage rate is not inherently superior to a lower usage rate. A player's offensive value lies not in how many points that player scores, but rather in their impact on their team's offensive efficiency.

I have learned recently that most people around here have only a vague familiarity with Magic Johnson. I haven't made the comparison myself, though I do see similarities. The fact is that despite those similarities, Magic Johnson was just a much better player at the same age. That said, Magic Johnson was not a good shooter. He wasn't a great athlete. He was very smart and he was selfless. He didn't settle for crappy shots he couldn't hit. He attacked the paint and he found his open teammates. He took high percentage shots and he got to the free throw line.

I have no delusions about Barnes' skill set. He isn't going to become what most around here want. He can, however, become a very good offensive player. That's well within his reach.
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#29 » by VFX » Thu Jul 29, 2021 5:13 pm

Xatticus wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:What this debate is really about in my opinion comes down to logical roster construction. I’ve been saying this for… I don’t know… The last 4 seasons.

No 3 player combination of Okeke/ Isaac / Barnes / Kuminga make sense on a basketball court together. Why? Because they individually don’t provide enough offense and Orlando’s back court isn’t talented enough to shoulder their lack of floor spacing. Not many back courts would be, apart from Curry/Klay or Lillard/McCollum.

The response to this criticism has lately been “who cares we’ll figure it all out later after we get the talent”. I disagree with that notion simply because you have to put players in the best chance to highlight their strengths and succeed. Flipping young prospects rarely gets you the same return as making a good selection or trading your pick.


That's not what it's about to me. I see no evidence whatsoever to indicate that Kuminga is a better offensive player than Barnes at present. "Potential" is the word we use when something isn't there, but we hope that it will be some day. Scottie Barnes was objectively more efficient at the offensive end.

"Bucket getters" are shot thieves. They will invariably steal shots from their teammates. They aren't creating possessions. This is tolerable if they are actually good enough to justify their extra usage. If they aren't, then they are just damaging the offense. Kuminga made his team's offense worse, not better.

Orlando tied with Denver for 8th in the league in field goal attempts per game. Our offensive problems have nothing to do with a lack of field goal attempts. Basketball is quite simple. Teams trade possessions. The only ways to create extra possessions are via turnovers and rebounds. A higher usage rate is not inherently superior to a lower usage rate. A player's offensive value lies not in how many points that player scores, but rather in their impact on their team's offensive efficiency.

I have learned recently that most people around here have only a vague familiarity with Magic Johnson. I haven't made the comparison myself, though I do see similarities. The fact is that despite those similarities, Magic Johnson was just a much better player at the same age. That said, Magic Johnson was not a good shooter. He wasn't a great athlete. He was very smart and he was selfless. He didn't settle for crappy shots he couldn't hit. He attacked the paint and he found his open teammates. He took high percentage shots and he got to the free throw line.

I have no delusions about Barnes' skill set. He isn't going to become what most around here want. He can, however, become a very good offensive player. That's well within his reach.


Right. I wouldn't vouch for Kuminga either. That wasn't really the crux of my post. I would even say I'm less enthralled with him as a prospect compared to Barnes - if thats possible.

I don't think Orlando needs outright "Bucket getters". I think Orlando needs players that have at least shown a penchant for being able to be 3 level scorers while being, or learning to become, more efficient. I'm not even saying Barnes cannot become more efficient at what it is that he already does well.

The point in what I'm saying is about the overall roster construction and the style of play. You cannot keep defenses honest if every player on a young team has to cut to the basket to score. The investments they have made with Isaac, RJ, and Okeke are not to be overlooked in terms of making coherent lineups. I could care less about the deficiencies about 1-2 players (likely starters on large contracts) offensively IF there is variety in skill sets elsewhere on the roster.

If Orlando selects Barnes, then so be it. Just know that his deficiencies will be further highlighted and his selling points as a prospect will be slightly diminished playing next to the other prospects on this roster. Others might view that as “fine” because of the options available. I don’t view that as setting up a player for success.
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#30 » by Skin » Thu Jul 29, 2021 6:04 pm

Xatticus wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:What this debate is really about in my opinion comes down to logical roster construction. I’ve been saying this for… I don’t know… The last 4 seasons.

No 3 player combination of Okeke/ Isaac / Barnes / Kuminga make sense on a basketball court together. Why? Because they individually don’t provide enough offense and Orlando’s back court isn’t talented enough to shoulder their lack of floor spacing. Not many back courts would be, apart from Curry/Klay or Lillard/McCollum.

The response to this criticism has lately been “who cares we’ll figure it all out later after we get the talent”. I disagree with that notion simply because you have to put players in the best chance to highlight their strengths and succeed. Flipping young prospects rarely gets you the same return as making a good selection or trading your pick.


That's not what it's about to me. I see no evidence whatsoever to indicate that Kuminga is a better offensive player than Barnes at present. "Potential" is the word we use when something isn't there, but we hope that it will be some day. Scottie Barnes was objectively more efficient at the offensive end.

"Bucket getters" are shot thieves. They will invariably steal shots from their teammates. They aren't creating possessions. This is tolerable if they are actually good enough to justify their extra usage. If they aren't, then they are just damaging the offense. Kuminga made his team's offense worse, not better.

Orlando tied with Denver for 8th in the league in field goal attempts per game. Our offensive problems have nothing to do with a lack of field goal attempts. Basketball is quite simple. Teams trade possessions. The only ways to create extra possessions are via turnovers and rebounds. A higher usage rate is not inherently superior to a lower usage rate. A player's offensive value lies not in how many points that player scores, but rather in their impact on their team's offensive efficiency.

I have learned recently that most people around here have only a vague familiarity with Magic Johnson. I haven't made the comparison myself, though I do see similarities. The fact is that despite those similarities, Magic Johnson was just a much better player at the same age. That said, Magic Johnson was not a good shooter. He wasn't a great athlete. He was very smart and he was selfless. He didn't settle for crappy shots he couldn't hit. He attacked the paint and he found his open teammates. He took high percentage shots and he got to the free throw line.

I have no delusions about Barnes' skill set. He isn't going to become what most around here want. He can, however, become a very good offensive player. That's well within his reach.

Getting harder to find good conversation here lately, but I like where MMatic's head is at. I too value roster construction. Picking the right guy trumps picking BPA. Side note: BPA is an opinion, and obviously you don't pass up on BPA if the drop off is clear and you can secure an elite prospect. However, in most cases unless you're picking in the Top 5, it's hard to clearly put a ranking on BPA. So roster construction is going to be more important for the majority of the time.

Case in point, I think Chuma was drafted due to roster construction when we reached for him. He would've been a fair pick if he had been healthy, but he wasn't. He was a clear reach. The part that I disagree with MMatic here is that I don't consider Chuma and Isaac strictly as inside scorers. Both need to continue to mature, and I don't think they have topped out yet. Aggressive Chuma is gold. Passive Chuma is mold. Isaac's shine is wearing, but we've got to believe. He is a 3 level scorer. Until he crushes our hearts, we just have to remain hopeful.

Does Barnes/Kuminga fit with us? Ideally no. But why? Not because of Chuma or Isaac. But rather, because even having 1 inefficient shooter is 1 too many in today's game. We already have that with Fultz. Fultz is the reason why Barnes and Kuminga are hard to fall in love with. Not too mention, the chucker that Cole is (you might want to patent "shot thief", I love it!) and the rawness of RJ. Coin Toss Ross doesn't help and Gary Harris is just a guy. Our backcourt is the reason why Barnes and Kuminga don't work because none of them are reliable deep threats. Put them on Golden St and Barnes/Kuminga might flourish way more than they would in ORL. Team, coach, system, winning environment means just as much to a player's success.

This is why I would aggressively trade up for Suggs. Green is a lock at HOU. No use in chasing there. However, Suggs is definitely within reach. Masai loving Barnes is not a smoke screen imo. We could entice him to do a no-brainer trade with us. He gets his guy and picks up more assets. While we get Suggs. Suggs settles the chaos. Brings pace and control, making the smart play, has ice in his veins and could be the one piece to turn this team around quickly.

If we do end up with Barnes, I'll force myself to get behind him. I won't fool myself into thinking that we got ourselves a star, but I'll take a guy who can defend opposing 3s and 4s and pass the ball. To be clear, he passes the ball because he knows he can't shoot... not that he has some great passing vision. I cringed at the mention of Magic Johnson. The Kawhi and Draymond comps are crazy too.

If we do end up with Kuminga, it will feel better than settling, because I'm a glass is half full kinda guy. If he ends up hurting the team because he takes ill advised shots, then he'll flame out of the league. But I'm just not ready to proclaim him to be that kind of player after only 13 G-League games. He really does possess a rare combination of athleticism, fluidity and physique. I do think that he moves like a real fluid wing. Unlike Barnes. Hiring a guy like Moseley is the ideal type of coach he needs.
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#31 » by PrimeThyme » Thu Jul 29, 2021 7:57 pm

Part of my trepidation with selecting Barnes is that I just can't talk myself into him being the Blue-chip or foundational piece of a team. He's a guy who if you already have that player, you'd love to pair him next to. If we were coming away with one of the star top 4 guys in this draft, && could select Barnes at 8, I'd be pretty ecstatic.

But now I'm being asked to get excited about him at 5 as the first foundational piece of a rebuild && I just can't. I think he will be a good player for us for a long time, but we still are on the hunt for our star.
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#32 » by Skybox » Thu Jul 29, 2021 8:17 pm

drsd wrote:
Skybox wrote:Kuminga will be the leading scorer on this team next year-if we choose him. It may be ugly, selfish, inefficient basketball but he is the only one of the three who has the scorer mentality.


Of returning players, Orlando's highest ppg scorer is Ross at 15.6. It is hard to see where scoring will come from from the starters, and if Mr. #5 starts, such a rookie could lead this team in scoring.

That said, I am not sure Kuminga starts if drafted. Would you have him over Okeke? Okeke is the better player right now and this is not straight forward.

(( I also see Mr. #8 as a bench player next season ))


I didn't say he'd be good or that we'd win games...just that he'd be the leading scorer :roll:
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#33 » by VFX » Thu Jul 29, 2021 8:25 pm

PrimeThyme wrote:Part of my trepidation with selecting Barnes is that I just can't talk myself into him being the Blue-chip or foundational piece of a team. He's a guy who if you already have that player, you'd love to pair him next to. If we were coming away with one of the star top 4 guys in this draft, && could select Barnes at 8, I'd be pretty ecstatic.

But now I'm being asked to get excited about him at 5 as the first foundational piece of a rebuild && I just can't. I think he will be a good player for us for a long time, but we still are on the hunt for our star.


This is where I am.

A more athletic rookie Draymond Green on this roster isn’t going to be very effective without the aforementioned players. None of this matters if Orlando solved square 1 by acquiring a guy that can efficiently score in more ways than one.
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Re: The Big SF Debate - Kuminga vs Barnes vs Okeke 

Post#34 » by drsd » Thu Jul 29, 2021 10:05 pm

Skybox wrote:I didn't say he'd be good or that we'd win games...just that he'd be the leading scorer :roll:


Orlando's leading scorer as a returning starter is Anthony. Yes there is a good chance Mr. #5 could be Orlando's leading scorer next year.


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