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The Official Franz Wagner Thread

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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#361 » by Knightro » Wed Aug 11, 2021 12:17 pm

thelead wrote:I can’t believe you actually went through the tape to gather that info. Good stuff. I need more offense from him and I don’t mean just hitting his shots. He’s 19 and if we drafted solely a ‘solid 3&D guy’ with the 8th pick in a good draft, the FO needs to go. A ‘solid 3&D guy’ can’t be what the FO is hoping for with that pick. He needs to develop a go-to offensive package if he doesn’t have one.


It's only one game, but dating back to what he showed in college, it shouldn't be a huge surprise that Wagner's passing and cutting are better than his shooting right now.

There could be some ugly moments early on while he figures out the 3 part of the 3&D, especially on the possessions where he's planted in the corner and told not to move.

As Summer League progresses, I would like to see the coaches utilize him more as a screener and an initiator in the halfcourt. I don't think it needs to be done a lot, but i'd even let him initiate a few pick and rolls as the ball handler too, a couple times per half.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#362 » by Howard Mass » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:16 pm

Knightro wrote:So I went back and rewatched the first half to focus just on Wagner. I don't think he was nearly as bad as it first appeared. He did a lot more good things defensively that I didn't really pick up on watching it live.

Here's every possession he was directly involved in offensively and defensively. Good plays are in GREEN. Correct plays with poor results are in ORANGE. Poor plays are in RED.

First Quarter
9:35 Q1: Good off ball cut from the left wing to beat Kuminga to the rim. Suggs didn't see it.
8:50 Q1: Correctly defends Kuminga DHO with Hampton. Jessup misses contested 3.
7:58 Q1: Correctly defends Kuminga/Moody PNR. Kuminga misses 3.
7:50 Q1: Spots up in right corner in transition. Open C&S 3PT against flat footed Kuminga. Missed short.
7:09 Q1: Spots up in right corner off Anthony drive and kick. Looks to drive baseline on Kuminga close out, but steps out on the initial move. Turnover.
6:26 Q1: Good 1 on 1 defense on Kuminga iso. Funnels him into Teske's help. Kuminga badly misses runner.
6:20 Q1: Gets a look ahead pass in transition from Suggs. Two dribbles and sees Hampton open in right corner, but loses the handle. Turnover.
6:11 Q1: Throws a look ahead pass to Hampton in transition for an open 3PT. RJ Missed.
6:04 Q1: Takes a semi-contested C&S 3PTA off Suggs OREB and kickout. Missed short.
5:07 Q1: Beats Kuminga with another good off ball cut from the left wing. Teske hits the pass for the dunk.
4:52 Q1: Good contest on a 1 dribble pull up 3 by Kuminga who missed.
4:05 Q1: Correctly executes switch onto Moody after Kuminga DHO. Good contest on Moody late shot clock 3 who missed.
6 good plays, 3 correct plays with poor/no results, 3 poor plays.

Second Quarter
7:17 Q2: Cuts off Alston's drive on a DHO forcing him to pick up dribble. Switches onto Payton after second DHO. Switches again to McLaughlin after third DHO. But McLaughlin hits 3PT in his face. Good work seamlessly switching 3x in one possession, but poor 3PT contest.
6:35 Q2: Hustles to recover loose ball after Anthony STL. Hits look ahead bounce pass to Hampton for transition layup.
6:00 Q2: Cuts off Guy in transition after long rebound to force halfcourt possession.
5:20 Q2: Closes out too aggressively on Kuminga in semi transition and is beat for a layup.
5:01 Q2: Sets good screen for Suggs to force a switch and draws off ball foul on McLaughlin diving to the rim.
4:47 Q2: Passes up open 3PT off SLOB play. Pump fakes and kicks back out.
4:20 Q2: Correctly defends Kuminga/McLaughlin DHO with Suggs, forcing a harmless pass away from the rim.
4:05 Q2: Cuts to the rim from the left baseline on a Hampton drive. Open for dunk/layup, but Hampton throws inaccurate pass for a turnover.
3:57 Q2: Grab and go fastbreak off DREB. Hits Hampton with bounce pass who is fouled.
3:45 Q2: Spots up left wing. Open C&S 3PTA against flat footed Kuminga. Missed short.
3:08 Q2: Tries to hit Hampton on a cut, but pass was inaccurate and help defender poked it out of bounds.
2:34 Q2: Correctly executes PNR switch with Suggs and forces Ross to pass harmlessly back to the top.
1:29 Q2: Correctly rotates to help Suggs who was beat by Jessup. Suggs blocks Jessup from behind.
1:04 Q2: Kuminga drives baseline in semi-transition and uses off-arm to push off to beat him for layup.
48.9 Q2: Spots up top of the arc as Anthony draws two defenders on PNR. Hesitates on the open 3PTA and instead tries to dribble into a handoff back to Anthony. Lazy pass that Kuminga jumps for the easy steal and transition dunk. Wagner's worst play of the half by a lot.
30.0 Q2: Exact same play as before, Anthony/Wagner PNR, drive right and kick back to the top or arc. Misses the open C&S 3PTA short.
11.0 Q2: Good defense on Kuminga ISO. Force harmless pass.
8 good plays, 4 correct plays with poor/no results, 6 poor plays.

FIRST HALF TOTALS: 14 good plays, 7 correct plays without results, 9 poor plays.

He wasn't used all that much offensively in the first half. Most possessions he was spotting up in the corners or on the wing.

I counted just two possessions in the half court where he was on the ball to initiate offense with a live dribble and three possession where he was used as a ball screener.

Defensively IMO he has the goods. Kuminga beat him twice in the first half (once with a clear push off) but he stoned Kuminga 4-5 times in return.

I'll get to the second half tomorrow.


Love the effort here.

Well Done Knightro!
R.I.P. Dharam Raghubir (A.K.A. Magnumt)

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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#363 » by thelead » Wed Aug 11, 2021 3:37 pm

tiderulz wrote:
thelead wrote:I can’t believe you actually went through the tape to gather that info. Good stuff. I need more offense from him and I don’t mean just hitting his shots. He’s 19 and if we drafted solely a ‘solid 3&D guy’ with the 8th pick in a good draft, the FO needs to go. A ‘solid 3&D guy’ can’t be what the FO is hoping for with that pick. He needs to develop a go-to offensive package if he doesn’t have one.

we drafted Isaac at 5 and he is a 3&D guy (though still working on the 3)

He has not developed a go-to offensive game but at least he has DPOY type of defense. If Franz' offense is going to be as limited, it's going to be tough to play them together (unless we add 2 all-star level scorers next to them in addition to Suggs).
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#364 » by tiderulz » Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:07 pm

thelead wrote:
tiderulz wrote:
thelead wrote:I can’t believe you actually went through the tape to gather that info. Good stuff. I need more offense from him and I don’t mean just hitting his shots. He’s 19 and if we drafted solely a ‘solid 3&D guy’ with the 8th pick in a good draft, the FO needs to go. A ‘solid 3&D guy’ can’t be what the FO is hoping for with that pick. He needs to develop a go-to offensive package if he doesn’t have one.

we drafted Isaac at 5 and he is a 3&D guy (though still working on the 3)

He has not developed a go-to offensive game but at least he has DPOY type of defense. If Franz' offense is going to be as limited, it's going to be tough to play them together (unless we add 2 all-star level scorers next to them in addition to Suggs).

im just saying, you said you dont use the #8 pick on a 3&D guy and we used a #5 pick on that type of player
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#365 » by Creativetran » Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:18 pm

Howard Mass wrote:As everyone knows, I have been a critic of Franz Wagner at #8.

I do not think he is a bust by any means and will be a solid 3 and D role player who will be more of a 4 but could play some 3.

Sounds like this FO really zeroed in on Wagner, I'm curious though was that for the 5th spot or 8th spot. Also it would be interesting to know exactly how Kuminga and Wagner were ranked by this FO.

As a fan I wonder if we would have offered something like Tross and 8th for the 7th would GSW take that offer. Tross would be a good fit for them I think.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#366 » by thelead » Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:35 pm

tiderulz wrote:
thelead wrote:
tiderulz wrote:we drafted Isaac at 5 and he is a 3&D guy (though still working on the 3)

He has not developed a go-to offensive game but at least he has DPOY type of defense. If Franz' offense is going to be as limited, it's going to be tough to play them together (unless we add 2 all-star level scorers next to them in addition to Suggs).

im just saying, you said you dont use the #8 pick on a 3&D guy and we used a #5 pick on that type of player

I don't think that was the plan with JI to be honest and he has developed into a defensive monster when he actually plays. I wouldn't call JI a 3&D guy. I would call JI a team's defensive anchor. Since we have one, Franz can't be that while playing SF IMO.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#367 » by zaymon » Wed Aug 11, 2021 5:52 pm

thelead wrote:
tiderulz wrote:
thelead wrote:He has not developed a go-to offensive game but at least he has DPOY type of defense. If Franz' offense is going to be as limited, it's going to be tough to play them together (unless we add 2 all-star level scorers next to them in addition to Suggs).

im just saying, you said you dont use the #8 pick on a 3&D guy and we used a #5 pick on that type of player

I don't think that was the plan with JI to be honest and he has developed into a defensive monster when he actually plays. I wouldn't call JI a 3&D guy. I would call JI a team's defensive anchor. Since we have one, Franz can't be that while playing SF IMO.


Teams can have more than one rim protector. I think thats one of Weltmans team building strategies, all froncourt players can protect the rim if necessary. Wagner had no problem playing against athletic marvel Kuminga while still having underdeveloped body. It will only get better. I think he will have no problem guarding 3-4. To his own words he feel he is more of a 2-3. If i give someone the ball its Wagner or Okeke not Isaac. I predict we will see more 3 wing/forward lineups than 3 guard lineups in the future. Maybe Hampton develops his body into legitimate wing but we are far from that.
My money is on Banchero going number 1 !
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#368 » by thelead » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:11 pm

zaymon wrote:
thelead wrote:
tiderulz wrote:im just saying, you said you dont use the #8 pick on a 3&D guy and we used a #5 pick on that type of player

I don't think that was the plan with JI to be honest and he has developed into a defensive monster when he actually plays. I wouldn't call JI a 3&D guy. I would call JI a team's defensive anchor. Since we have one, Franz can't be that while playing SF IMO.


Teams can have more than one rim protector. I think thats one of Weltmans team building strategies, all froncourt players can protect the rim if necessary. Wagner had no problem playing against athletic marvel Kuminga while still having underdeveloped body. It will only get better. I think he will have no problem guarding 3-4. To his own words he feel he is more of a 2-3. If i give someone the ball its Wagner or Okeke not Isaac. I predict we will see more 3 wing/forward lineups than 3 guard lineups in the future. Maybe Hampton develops his body into legitimate wing but we are far from that.

I agree but my concern is not Franz's defense. It's his offense. He needs to be more than a spot up shooter. I'm worried that his playmaking ability will not translate in the NBA.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#369 » by zaymon » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:20 pm

thelead wrote:
zaymon wrote:
thelead wrote:I don't think that was the plan with JI to be honest and he has developed into a defensive monster when he actually plays. I wouldn't call JI a 3&D guy. I would call JI a team's defensive anchor. Since we have one, Franz can't be that while playing SF IMO.


Teams can have more than one rim protector. I think thats one of Weltmans team building strategies, all froncourt players can protect the rim if necessary. Wagner had no problem playing against athletic marvel Kuminga while still having underdeveloped body. It will only get better. I think he will have no problem guarding 3-4. To his own words he feel he is more of a 2-3. If i give someone the ball its Wagner or Okeke not Isaac. I predict we will see more 3 wing/forward lineups than 3 guard lineups in the future. Maybe Hampton develops his body into legitimate wing but we are far from that.

I agree but my concern is not Franz's defense. It's his offense. He needs to be more than a spot up shooter. I'm worried that his playmaking ability will not translate in the NBA.


He was in 82 percentile as a shooter off the dribble and in 73 percentile as a pnr ball handler in college. All of that at 6'9-6'11. He lacked volume becouse he is very unselfish and team oriented, but next to guys like Suggs, Okeke, Isaac and Carter he should flourish.
I am not worried about missed shots, i am happy he took them despite having bad shooting day becouse they were good looks.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#370 » by Knightro » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:21 pm

Franz Wagner Second Half

Good plays are in GREEN. Correct plays with poor results are in ORANGE. Poor plays are in RED.

Third Quarter
8:48 Q3: Spots up right wing. Gets pass and pump fakes C&S to get Kuminga in the air. Two dribbles towards the rim to draw help defender. Kicks to open Hampton on left wing for made 3PT.
8:20 Q3: Helps Hampton on Payton drive, able to recover to contest Kuminga's C&S 3PT which was missed.
7:49 Q3: Correctly switches Payton/Jessup PNR with Anthony, but Jessup hits stepback 3 off weak contest.
7:25 Q3: Transition D failure by Wagner/Anthony. Miscommunication on who is picking up Kuminga (Wagner's man, but Anthony is in front of the play in proper position). Neither picks him up, uncontested dunk.
6:30 Q3: Good transition defense on Kuminga. Mirrors his move, cuts off his driving lane and forces him baseline into a pass stolen by Hampton.
6:00 Q3: Relocates from right corner to right wing on Suggs drive. Gets pass and attacks Kuminga's closeout. Two dribbles. Kuminga recovers well, but Wagner pump fakes him into the air and draws the shooting foul.
4:46 Q3: Great 1 on 1 defense on Kuminga. Doesn't bite on side-to-side shake and nicely contests pull up from 18 that misses short.
4:38 Q3: Anthony drives middle and loses the ball. Trickles to Wagner on the right wing. Shoots uncontested 3PT and misses back rim.
4:16 Q3: Picks up McLaughlin in semi transition. Solid contest, but McLaughlin hits a 3 right in his face.
4:01 Q3: Catches Kuminga totally sleeping on a backdoor cut from the left corner. Anthony never sees him and instead forces up a shot and is fouled.

Totals: 5 good plays, 2 correct plays with poor results, 3 poor plays.

Fourth Quarter
6:28 Q4: Now playing small ball C. Works as screener in 1/5 PNR for Dowtin. Good pick gives Dowtin a path to the basket, Dowtin draws help and kicks out to Gravett for made 3PT.
5:47 Q4: Gets DHO from Brazdeikis on the right wing. Crossover right-to-left. Two dribbles and two long strides into a scoop lefty layup.
4:29 Q4: Back to forward. Great defense on a Kuminga ISO. Mirrors his movements on an attempted Euro step. Kuminga forced to give the ball up late in the shot clock and GSW eventually turns it over.
4:08 Q4: In position to stop ball defensively in transition, but opts to swipe at the Kuminga instead. Kuminga drives into Anthony's chest and gets a shooting foul.
3:43 Q4: Stuck guarding two guys on a broken play (Suggs flew out of bounds saving a loose ball). Rotates correctly over to Payton (Suggs' man) off Kuminga, but Payton hits short jump hook anyway.
3:06 Q3: Catches Kuminga sleeping again on a backdoor cut from the left corner. Suggs never sees him and instead takes an open midrange jumper.
2:39 Q4: Successfully shows and recovers on a Guy/Kuminga PNR. This transitions into a Kuminga's ISO. Cuts off Kuminga's spin move, but is called for a dubious foul on an out-of-control floater. LOUDLY barked "THAT'S GREAT DEFENSE!" after the play.
2:24 Q4: Sets high screen for Anthony, good physical screen forces a switch. Anthony draws a foul on Kuminga with his quickness.
1:50 Q4: Executes crisp switch with Suggs on Guy/Kuminga PNR. Cuts off Guy who passes to Kuminga. Suggs deftly pulls the chair and forces a wild Kuminga miss.
1:29 Q4: Sets high screen for Anthony which frees up Cole to get into the lane. Anthony misses a runner.
1:29 Q4: Sets high screen for Suggs which forces a switch. Suggs misses a 3 on a lazy Kuminga close out.
0:42 Q4: Again successfully shows which allows Suggs to fight over on a Guy/Kuminga PNR. Guy misses a 3PT.

Totals: 6 good plays, 5 correct plays with poor results, 1 poor play.

Overtime
1:56 OT: Gets caught on a screen and beat for lob right off the OT tip. Luckily it was a bad pass and Kuminga could not finish.
1:48 OT: Wide open C&S 3PT in transition the other way. Missed short.
1:31 OT: Cuts off Kuminga's drive in transition and forces a pass. Anthony and Hampton miscommunication and lose Payton who misses a dunk and then turns it over.
1:04 OT: Comes up with a steal after Kuminga can't a low pass from Guy. Fastbreak layup the other way for the Magic - Brazdeikis to Hampton to Suggs.
19.3 OT: Successfully cuts off Kuminga's Euro Step in transition and blocks his shot, but another dubious foul called. Once again LOUDLY barked "OH MY GOD!" after the play.

Watching it a second time and being able to really dive into some of the nuances of basketball and it's easy to recognize how impactful Wagner was on a possession to possession basis.

Obviously he's going to have to make some of those open catch and shoot threes, but the good news he took them. He really only hesitated once.

But yeah. Wagner's very much a "little things" guy. Rotations. Cuts. Extra passes. Communication.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#371 » by Anti Chalmers » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:21 pm

Knightro wrote:So I went back and rewatched the first half to focus just on Wagner. I don't think he was nearly as bad as it first appeared. He did a lot more good things defensively that I didn't really pick up on watching it live.

Here's every possession he was directly involved in offensively and defensively. Good plays are in GREEN. Correct plays with poor results are in ORANGE. Poor plays are in RED.

First Quarter
9:35 Q1: Good off ball cut from the left wing to beat Kuminga to the rim. Suggs didn't see it.
8:50 Q1: Correctly defends Kuminga DHO with Hampton. Jessup misses contested 3.
7:58 Q1: Correctly defends Kuminga/Moody PNR. Kuminga misses 3.
7:50 Q1: Spots up in right corner in transition. Open C&S 3PT against flat footed Kuminga. Missed short.
7:09 Q1: Spots up in right corner off Anthony drive and kick. Looks to drive baseline on Kuminga close out, but steps out on the initial move. Turnover.
6:26 Q1: Good 1 on 1 defense on Kuminga iso. Funnels him into Teske's help. Kuminga badly misses runner.
6:20 Q1: Gets a look ahead pass in transition from Suggs. Two dribbles and sees Hampton open in right corner, but loses the handle. Turnover.
6:11 Q1: Throws a look ahead pass to Hampton in transition for an open 3PT. RJ Missed.
6:04 Q1: Takes a semi-contested C&S 3PTA off Suggs OREB and kickout. Missed short.
5:07 Q1: Beats Kuminga with another good off ball cut from the left wing. Teske hits the pass for the dunk.
4:52 Q1: Good contest on a 1 dribble pull up 3 by Kuminga who missed.
4:05 Q1: Correctly executes switch onto Moody after Kuminga DHO. Good contest on Moody late shot clock 3 who missed.
6 good plays, 3 correct plays with poor/no results, 3 poor plays.

Second Quarter
7:17 Q2: Cuts off Alston's drive on a DHO forcing him to pick up dribble. Switches onto Payton after second DHO. Switches again to McLaughlin after third DHO. But McLaughlin hits 3PT in his face. Good work seamlessly switching 3x in one possession, but poor 3PT contest.
6:35 Q2: Hustles to recover loose ball after Anthony STL. Hits look ahead bounce pass to Hampton for transition layup.
6:00 Q2: Cuts off Guy in transition after long rebound to force halfcourt possession.
5:20 Q2: Closes out too aggressively on Kuminga in semi transition and is beat for a layup.
5:01 Q2: Sets good screen for Suggs to force a switch and draws off ball foul on McLaughlin diving to the rim.
4:47 Q2: Passes up open 3PT off SLOB play. Pump fakes and kicks back out.
4:20 Q2: Correctly defends Kuminga/McLaughlin DHO with Suggs, forcing a harmless pass away from the rim.
4:05 Q2: Cuts to the rim from the left baseline on a Hampton drive. Open for dunk/layup, but Hampton throws inaccurate pass for a turnover.
3:57 Q2: Grab and go fastbreak off DREB. Hits Hampton with bounce pass who is fouled.
3:45 Q2: Spots up left wing. Open C&S 3PTA against flat footed Kuminga. Missed short.
3:08 Q2: Tries to hit Hampton on a cut, but pass was inaccurate and help defender poked it out of bounds.
2:34 Q2: Correctly executes PNR switch with Suggs and forces Ross to pass harmlessly back to the top.
1:29 Q2: Correctly rotates to help Suggs who was beat by Jessup. Suggs blocks Jessup from behind.
1:04 Q2: Kuminga drives baseline in semi-transition and uses off-arm to push off to beat him for layup.
48.9 Q2: Spots up top of the arc as Anthony draws two defenders on PNR. Hesitates on the open 3PTA and instead tries to dribble into a handoff back to Anthony. Lazy pass that Kuminga jumps for the easy steal and transition dunk. Wagner's worst play of the half by a lot.
30.0 Q2: Exact same play as before, Anthony/Wagner PNR, drive right and kick back to the top or arc. Misses the open C&S 3PTA short.
11.0 Q2: Good defense on Kuminga ISO. Force harmless pass.
8 good plays, 4 correct plays with poor/no results, 6 poor plays.

FIRST HALF TOTALS: 14 good plays, 7 correct plays without results, 9 poor plays.

He wasn't used all that much offensively in the first half. Most possessions he was spotting up in the corners or on the wing.

I counted just two possessions in the half court where he was on the ball to initiate offense with a live dribble and three possession where he was used as a ball screener.

Defensively IMO he has the goods. Kuminga beat him twice in the first half (once with a clear push off) but he stoned Kuminga 4-5 times in return.

I'll get to the second half tomorrow.


Good stuff! I’m not too worry about him. Fans are just overreacting like always.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#372 » by thelead » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:24 pm

zaymon wrote:
thelead wrote:
zaymon wrote:
Teams can have more than one rim protector. I think thats one of Weltmans team building strategies, all froncourt players can protect the rim if necessary. Wagner had no problem playing against athletic marvel Kuminga while still having underdeveloped body. It will only get better. I think he will have no problem guarding 3-4. To his own words he feel he is more of a 2-3. If i give someone the ball its Wagner or Okeke not Isaac. I predict we will see more 3 wing/forward lineups than 3 guard lineups in the future. Maybe Hampton develops his body into legitimate wing but we are far from that.

I agree but my concern is not Franz's defense. It's his offense. He needs to be more than a spot up shooter. I'm worried that his playmaking ability will not translate in the NBA.


He was in 82 percentile as a shooter off the dribble and in 73 percentile as a pnr ball handler in college. All of that at 6'9-6'11. He lacked volume becouse he is very unselfish and team oriented, but next to guys like Suggs, Okeke, Isaac and Carter he should flourish.
I am not worried about missed shots, i am happy he took them despite having bad shooting day becouse they were good looks.

I'm not worried at all about missed shots either. I fully expect him to improve as a shooter. Like I said, I'm worried that the playmaking will translate. Those are two VERY different skills.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#373 » by Xatticus » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:29 pm

Knightro wrote:
Spoiler:
So I went back and rewatched the first half to focus just on Wagner. I don't think he was nearly as bad as it first appeared. He did a lot more good things defensively that I didn't really pick up on watching it live.

Here's every possession he was directly involved in offensively and defensively. Good plays are in GREEN. Correct plays with poor results are in ORANGE. Poor plays are in RED.

First Quarter
9:35 Q1: Good off ball cut from the left wing to beat Kuminga to the rim. Suggs didn't see it.
8:50 Q1: Correctly defends Kuminga DHO with Hampton. Jessup misses contested 3.
7:58 Q1: Correctly defends Kuminga/Moody PNR. Kuminga misses 3.
7:50 Q1: Spots up in right corner in transition. Open C&S 3PT against flat footed Kuminga. Missed short.
7:09 Q1: Spots up in right corner off Anthony drive and kick. Looks to drive baseline on Kuminga close out, but steps out on the initial move. Turnover.
6:26 Q1: Good 1 on 1 defense on Kuminga iso. Funnels him into Teske's help. Kuminga badly misses runner.
6:20 Q1: Gets a look ahead pass in transition from Suggs. Two dribbles and sees Hampton open in right corner, but loses the handle. Turnover.
6:11 Q1: Throws a look ahead pass to Hampton in transition for an open 3PT. RJ Missed.
6:04 Q1: Takes a semi-contested C&S 3PTA off Suggs OREB and kickout. Missed short.
5:07 Q1: Beats Kuminga with another good off ball cut from the left wing. Teske hits the pass for the dunk.
4:52 Q1: Good contest on a 1 dribble pull up 3 by Kuminga who missed.
4:05 Q1: Correctly executes switch onto Moody after Kuminga DHO. Good contest on Moody late shot clock 3 who missed.
6 good plays, 3 correct plays with poor/no results, 3 poor plays.

Second Quarter
7:17 Q2: Cuts off Alston's drive on a DHO forcing him to pick up dribble. Switches onto Payton after second DHO. Switches again to McLaughlin after third DHO. But McLaughlin hits 3PT in his face. Good work seamlessly switching 3x in one possession, but poor 3PT contest.
6:35 Q2: Hustles to recover loose ball after Anthony STL. Hits look ahead bounce pass to Hampton for transition layup.
6:00 Q2: Cuts off Guy in transition after long rebound to force halfcourt possession.
5:20 Q2: Closes out too aggressively on Kuminga in semi transition and is beat for a layup.
5:01 Q2: Sets good screen for Suggs to force a switch and draws off ball foul on McLaughlin diving to the rim.
4:47 Q2: Passes up open 3PT off SLOB play. Pump fakes and kicks back out.
4:20 Q2: Correctly defends Kuminga/McLaughlin DHO with Suggs, forcing a harmless pass away from the rim.
4:05 Q2: Cuts to the rim from the left baseline on a Hampton drive. Open for dunk/layup, but Hampton throws inaccurate pass for a turnover.
3:57 Q2: Grab and go fastbreak off DREB. Hits Hampton with bounce pass who is fouled.
3:45 Q2: Spots up left wing. Open C&S 3PTA against flat footed Kuminga. Missed short.
3:08 Q2: Tries to hit Hampton on a cut, but pass was inaccurate and help defender poked it out of bounds.
2:34 Q2: Correctly executes PNR switch with Suggs and forces Ross to pass harmlessly back to the top.
1:29 Q2: Correctly rotates to help Suggs who was beat by Jessup. Suggs blocks Jessup from behind.
1:04 Q2: Kuminga drives baseline in semi-transition and uses off-arm to push off to beat him for layup.
48.9 Q2: Spots up top of the arc as Anthony draws two defenders on PNR. Hesitates on the open 3PTA and instead tries to dribble into a handoff back to Anthony. Lazy pass that Kuminga jumps for the easy steal and transition dunk. Wagner's worst play of the half by a lot.
30.0 Q2: Exact same play as before, Anthony/Wagner PNR, drive right and kick back to the top or arc. Misses the open C&S 3PTA short.
11.0 Q2: Good defense on Kuminga ISO. Force harmless pass.
8 good plays, 4 correct plays with poor/no results, 6 poor plays.

FIRST HALF TOTALS: 14 good plays, 7 correct plays without results, 9 poor plays.

He wasn't used all that much offensively in the first half. Most possessions he was spotting up in the corners or on the wing.

I counted just two possessions in the half court where he was on the ball to initiate offense with a live dribble and three possession where he was used as a ball screener.

Defensively IMO he has the goods. Kuminga beat him twice in the first half (once with a clear push off) but he stoned Kuminga 4-5 times in return.

I'll get to the second half tomorrow.


I thought it was a really poor game. The pass that was picked off by Kuminga was just a dreadful play. It was probably a full 2-point swing in the outcome of the game. It reduced the EV of that possession by about a point and increased the value of the ensuing possession for GS by about a point. It's a losing play.

I was also a bit surprised by how much space he was giving to shooters. I saw him as comparable to Mikal Bridges at the defensive end. If he has to give up that much space to prevent guys from getting past him, then that sort of defensive ceiling is probably outside of his reach. You generally prefer to give up that long shot, but he was sagging too far to contest.

All of that said, I'm not making anything out of that performance. I said I wouldn't complain about the pick, so I won't. He wasn't my preference, but I think he will be just fine in the long run. For those out here that were expecting more from him offensively, this is what he is. If you expect more from him, you are just projecting hope. I'm not saying he can't improve, but this is what he is.

I wanted Sengun. I thought it was an easy decision. I'll try not to bring it up on a nightly basis. The problem with Wagner at 8 is that you can get that sort of player much later. If you press me to answer who will be better in the long run between Murphy and Wagner, I probably have to give the edge to Murphy because he is just a much better shooter. I know that Wagner is quite a bit younger, but I'm not sure what skills you expect him to add or improve, so I don't really see the upside.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#374 » by Ducklett » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:34 pm

Knightro, I think you missed a play where he incorrectly switched off Kuminga so RJ had to rush over to try and stop the drive which led to an easy Kuminga lay-up. I am fairly certain in was in the first quarter.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#375 » by basketballRob » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:47 pm

Hopefully it was a bad case of nerves. Maybe he didn't sleep well.

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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#376 » by YosemiteSam » Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:56 pm

Xatticus wrote:I thought it was a really poor game. The pass that was picked off by Kuminga was just a dreadful play. It was probably a full 2-point swing in the outcome of the game. It reduced the EV of that possession by about a point and increased the value of the ensuing possession for GS by about a point. It's a losing play.

I was also a bit surprised by how much space he was giving to shooters. I saw him as comparable to Mikal Bridges at the defensive end. If he has to give up that much space to prevent guys from getting past him, then that sort of defensive ceiling is probably outside of his reach. You generally prefer to give up that long shot, but he was sagging too far to contest.

All of that said, I'm not making anything out of that performance. I said I wouldn't complain about the pick, so I won't. He wasn't my preference, but I think he will be just fine in the long run. For those out here that were expecting more from him offensively, this is what he is. If you expect more from him, you are just projecting hope. I'm not saying he can't improve, but this is what he is.

I wanted Sengun. I thought it was an easy decision. I'll try not to bring it up on a nightly basis. The problem with Wagner at 8 is that you can get that sort of player much later. If you press me to answer who will be better in the long run between Murphy and Wagner, I probably have to give the edge to Murphy because he is just a much better shooter. I know that Wagner is quite a bit younger, but I'm not sure what skills you expect him to add or improve, so I don't really see the upside.


Can you please explain why you were/are so down on Vuc but up on Sengun? To me Sengun is a younger, shorter Vuc, which is why I didn't want us to take him. Not because I don't value that but I couldn't take the board hate of Vuc and Fournier and didn't want a new white Euro whipping boy. But now we have that anyway in Wagner. But your Sengun support confuses me. Honest question
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#377 » by zaymon » Wed Aug 11, 2021 8:03 pm

Xatticus wrote:All of that said, I'm not making anything out of that performance. I said I wouldn't complain about the pick, so I won't. He wasn't my preference, but I think he will be just fine in the long run. For those out here that were expecting more from him offensively, this is what he is. If you expect more from him, you are just projecting hope. I'm not saying he can't improve, but this is what he is.

I wanted Sengun. I thought it was an easy decision. I'll try not to bring it up on a nightly basis. The problem with Wagner at 8 is that you can get that sort of player much later. If you press me to answer who will be better in the long run between Murphy and Wagner, I probably have to give the edge to Murphy because he is just a much better shooter. I know that Wagner is quite a bit younger, but I'm not sure what skills you expect him to add or improve, so I don't really see the upside.


Its hard to find tall shooters, but its even harder to find tall ball handlers. If Franz is 6'10 he is second tallest pick and roll ball handler after Evan Mobley. Murphy is a stationary shooter with no ball handling skills on offense and very limited rim protection on defense, he has limited upside.
We will see how Franz develops, but i dont see a comparison to Murphy. Different skill sets.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#378 » by Xatticus » Wed Aug 11, 2021 8:26 pm

zaymon wrote:
Xatticus wrote:All of that said, I'm not making anything out of that performance. I said I wouldn't complain about the pick, so I won't. He wasn't my preference, but I think he will be just fine in the long run. For those out here that were expecting more from him offensively, this is what he is. If you expect more from him, you are just projecting hope. I'm not saying he can't improve, but this is what he is.

I wanted Sengun. I thought it was an easy decision. I'll try not to bring it up on a nightly basis. The problem with Wagner at 8 is that you can get that sort of player much later. If you press me to answer who will be better in the long run between Murphy and Wagner, I probably have to give the edge to Murphy because he is just a much better shooter. I know that Wagner is quite a bit younger, but I'm not sure what skills you expect him to add or improve, so I don't really see the upside.


Its hard to find tall shooters, but its even harder to find tall ball handlers. If Franz is 6'10 he is second tallest pick and roll ball handler after Evan Mobley. Murphy is a stationary shooter with no ball handling skills on offense and very limited rim protection on defense, he has limited upside.
We will see how Franz develops, but i dont see a comparison to Murphy. Different skill sets.


I think Wagner is a 3nD guy without a 3. The shot is a big question mark. The FT percentages give some hope, but he needs to rework his shot. He looks like he flicks it right now. It's long and slow and he struggled from the college 3-point line, so there isn't much hope that it is going to work for him right out of the box. Maybe he evolves some PnR skills, but he is slow and methodical on the move, so the upside is limited. I think he'll make good decisions and he has the height and length to make passes over or around the defense. I don't see Turkoglu upside though. He is a guy that can put the ball on the floor for a dribble or two off of a closeout and find the open shooter on the opposite side of the floor. That's his upside. Everything else is a figment of the imagination.
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#379 » by Skin » Wed Aug 11, 2021 8:43 pm

Maybe he can be like Mike Dunleavy Jr. We need some players on the team that will be good role players who are affordable to keep. lol
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Re: WELCOME TO ORLANDO FRANZ WAGNER 

Post#380 » by Xatticus » Wed Aug 11, 2021 8:49 pm

YosemiteSam wrote:
Xatticus wrote:I thought it was a really poor game. The pass that was picked off by Kuminga was just a dreadful play. It was probably a full 2-point swing in the outcome of the game. It reduced the EV of that possession by about a point and increased the value of the ensuing possession for GS by about a point. It's a losing play.

I was also a bit surprised by how much space he was giving to shooters. I saw him as comparable to Mikal Bridges at the defensive end. If he has to give up that much space to prevent guys from getting past him, then that sort of defensive ceiling is probably outside of his reach. You generally prefer to give up that long shot, but he was sagging too far to contest.

All of that said, I'm not making anything out of that performance. I said I wouldn't complain about the pick, so I won't. He wasn't my preference, but I think he will be just fine in the long run. For those out here that were expecting more from him offensively, this is what he is. If you expect more from him, you are just projecting hope. I'm not saying he can't improve, but this is what he is.

I wanted Sengun. I thought it was an easy decision. I'll try not to bring it up on a nightly basis. The problem with Wagner at 8 is that you can get that sort of player much later. If you press me to answer who will be better in the long run between Murphy and Wagner, I probably have to give the edge to Murphy because he is just a much better shooter. I know that Wagner is quite a bit younger, but I'm not sure what skills you expect him to add or improve, so I don't really see the upside.


Can you please explain why you were/are so down on Vuc but up on Sengun? To me Sengun is a younger, shorter Vuc, which is why I didn't want us to take him. Not because I don't value that but I couldn't take the board hate of Vuc and Fournier and didn't want a new white Euro whipping boy. But now we have that anyway in Wagner. But your Sengun support confuses me. Honest question


I don't see them as being comparable at all. They are both centers, I suppose. Sengun has a huge advantage in mobility and athleticism. He is far more skilled. Have you ever seen Vucevic go end to end with his dribble to set up a transition basket for a teammate? Have you ever seen Vucevic catch an alley oop? He scarcely ever gets more than a couple inches off the floor.

Sengun is a better pick-and-roll guy right now than Vucevic will ever be. Vucevic didn't really learn how to screen until we hired Clifford. He slipped every screen before that. Sengun slips on some and lays the wood on others. He really mixes it up and he screens incessantly. He greases the wheels for the offense. If the ball handler rejects a screen, he immediately swings around and sets an off-ball screen.

Sengun has much more defensive upside. He posted high block and steal rates in Turkey. We've seen this in summer league as well. He has blocked four shots in each game. His mobility is a huge advantage in this regard, but he also has really good anticipation and he is high energy at the defensive end. He understands verticality and he gets out to contest people away from the rim. He gets his body into guys while keeping his arms up. Vucevic, by contrast, simply sags under the basket. He has no mobility. He is ineffectual even when he is right next to someone. He just fades under the hoop and stretches out his arms.

Sengun is far more dynamic offensively. He creates offense in the same way that Jokic creates offense. He'll catch the ball and advance his position to force the defense to react. This opens up passing lanes and frees up shooters. Vucevic can't really move after he catches the ball. He is a stationary threat, which is far more limited. Sengun is a threat in the post. Vucevic isn't. Sengun posted absurd efficiency numbers from the post. Vucevic has been below average in post efficiency in almost every season.

Even if they were comparable, which I'd argue they aren't, Sengun is the far superior talent. He's really good at basketball right now. He has some bad habits that can be cleaned up, but I don't think I've ever seen a more skilled 18-year-old big in my lifetime. His offensive rebounding is amazing, Vucevic's is non-existent.

For what it's worth, I don't believe I'm down on Vucevic. I've praised his ability to make quick decisions. He is a good ball mover and good decision-maker. He is a good 3-point shooter at this point. He is solid as a defensive rebounder. These are his positive attributes. He is deficient at pretty much everything else. He is a disaster at the defensive end. I don't think it's a lack of effort. I just think he has zero talent defensively. I just believe he is a bench big that this franchise tried to turn into a centerpiece.

The short version of all of this is one of the two guys is much more mobile, much more athletic, much more intuitive, and much more skilled than the other.
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