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2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation

Moderators: bwgood77, lilfishi22, Qwigglez

Grade the Suns off-season moves so far

A
4
5%
B
40
53%
C
23
30%
D
8
11%
F
1
1%
 
Total votes: 76

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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3601 » by Ghost of Kleine » Thu Aug 19, 2021 4:05 am

Spoiler:
SunsLyf3 wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
Saberestar wrote:The players that I listed have been in the league a good amount of years for a reason.

We are contenders, we are not trying to develop players or tryingto to experiment with G-League players. We have enough of that with Jalen Smith and T. Alexander.

I would prefer a known commodity over an unproven guy because we need reliable players with Saric out. We will have only 14 players on our roster and this season will have 82 games...and then tough playoffs.


No, I really get all that man! :nod:
But again, we're talking about vet minimum depth players. So it's not like they're a huge risk to our cores' success. The premise is to add further depth around the edges, But at a discount if at all possible to our imminent bloated payroll will otherwise not allow us a broader range of options. These players by the way have played in the league, Maybe not for as long as some of the players that you've mentioned, But to their credit they also don't have as much wear and tear or are as worn down/ washed over the years either. They basically still have much more left in the tank. So in that regard, You get more value on your minimal investment anyways.

I also get what your saying about preferring a known commodity too. But that can also be a double edged sword again in that the NBA's littered with known commodities that at one point had an impact, But have lingered around the league with little to no remaining value due to being washed or extensive wear/ tear and age related deficits. If you're looking to bring in such players in a mentoring capacity, then that makes more sense. But if your looking go add tangible depth and impact throughout your rotation, it's better to take a gamble on upside. This again is especially important for contending teams with bloated contracts and restrictive payroll implications in order to maintain a balance of value throughout the roster.

These "known commodity" players that you've mentioned for comparison are now in their current classification as vet minimum/ still unsigned players because it's known that they can no longer impact games as they previously did due to age , wear and tear, regression over time. This is why their value is diminished so. At least with these younger players, They still maintain their upside, high end athleticism, speed and strength that can impact a game. For a minimal investment, as a 14th player or whatever, it's only good business to invest on these players potential impact and upside as their value can actually increase in terms of being a tradable asset to be included for a more premium returning piece. And their low contractual cost only furthers their percieved value to potential trade suitors.

Also the premise of these known players being reliable or consistent based upon their tenure in the league is obviously not a legitimate guarantee though. Over the years, there have been countless veteran nba players that regardless of their years of experience offered little to no reliability and consistency when it matters most. We've had more than our share of those players already (tenured vets by the way). Players such as Jared Dudley, Chris Andersen, Tyler Johnson, Jamal Crawford, and more recently even in Saric and Kaminsky, Wherrin you have no legitimate idea of what to expect in terms of production and impact from game to game. So using years/ tenure and being a known commodity just isn't a reliable or accurate barometer for impact/ production either.

So for my part, If considering best value on the fringe of the rotation, I'm choosing to bank on potential, upside, durability, athleticism to promote depth, As well as to accumulate ( percieved) higher value tradable assets that can be flipped upon increased value percieved upside for other rotation pieces in a restrictive payroll environment. That's just my preference though. :dontknow:


How can you develop said potential and upside if they're not going to get PT? That's why I understand the point about going for a vet. With a vet you already know what you're going to get and the reason they're signed is in case of emergency.


It's really not that complicated is it. In every season, There'll be injuries, cases of load management, or any other number of varying circumstances that can result in opportunities for playing time. There'll also be instances of situational need and mismatch experimentation throughout the season or even games in which we've already secured the win via blowout, etc.

So any of these variables would allow for increased playing time whether it's older vets, or younger vets?? But the case remains that younger vets with remaining upside will likely yield a higher percieved return that those already on the downside or twilight of their careers. Lastly, I keep hearing this " You know what your gonna get with a vet" and consistency argument. But it's really not a valid argument in that them being tenured vets doesn't at all guarantee consistency or dependability regardless of yrs of experience. I've already pointed out examples of this. Ryan Anderson, Tyler Johnson, Jared Dudley, Jamal Crawford, Even Dario Saric and Frank Kaminsky are all tenured veterans, did we know what kind of consistency and/ or production we could count on from any of them either? Regardless of the vet being young ( 1-2 years in the league) or old (6-10+ yrs in the league ) doesn't guarantee you anything in terms of consistency or reliability. What translates to impact is athleticism, durability, skillset and positional fit. The age/ experience argument is simply not reliable enough to provide an accurate assessment. :wink:
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3602 » by SunsLyf3 » Thu Aug 19, 2021 4:23 am

lilfishi22 wrote:
SunsLyf3 wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
No, I really get all that man! :nod:
But again, we're talking about vet minimum depth players. So it's not like they're a huge risk to our cores' success. The premise is to add further depth around the edges, But at a discount if at all possible to our imminent bloated payroll will otherwise not allow us a broader range of options. These players by the way have played in the league, Maybe not for as long as some of the players that you've mentioned, But to their credit they also don't have as much wear and tear or are as worn down/ washed over the years either. They basically still have much more left in the tank. So in that regard, You get more value on your minimal investment anyways.

I also get what your saying about preferring a known commodity too. But that can also be a double edged sword again in that the NBA's littered with known commodities that at one point had an impact, But have lingered around the league with little to no remaining value due to being washed or extensive wear/ tear and age related deficits. If you're looking to bring in such players in a mentoring capacity, then that makes more sense. But if your looking go add tangible depth and impact throughout your rotation, it's better to take a gamble on upside. This again is especially important for contending teams with bloated contracts and restrictive payroll implications in order to maintain a balance of value throughout the roster.

These "known commodity" players that you've mentioned for comparison are now in their current classification as vet minimum/ still unsigned players because it's known that they can no longer impact games as they previously did due to age , wear and tear, regression over time. This is why their value is diminished so. At least with these younger players, They still maintain their upside, high end athleticism, speed and strength that can impact a game. For a minimal investment, as a 14th player or whatever, it's only good business to invest on these players potential impact and upside as their value can actually increase in terms of being a tradable asset to be included for a more premium returning piece. And their low contractual cost only furthers their percieved value to potential trade suitors.

Also the premise of these known players being reliable or consistent based upon their tenure in the league is obviously not a legitimate guarantee though. Over the years, there have been countless veteran nba players that regardless of their years of experience offered little to no reliability and consistency when it matters most. We've had more than our share of those players already (tenured vets by the way). Players such as Jared Dudley, Chris Andersen, Tyler Johnson, Jamal Crawford, and more recently even in Saric and Kaminsky, Wherrin you have no legitimate idea of what to expect in terms of production and impact from game to game. So using years/ tenure and being a known commodity just isn't a reliable or accurate barometer for impact/ production either.

So for my part, If considering best value on the fringe of the rotation, I'm choosing to bank on potential, upside, durability, athleticism to promote depth, As well as to accumulate ( percieved) higher value tradable assets that can be flipped upon increased value percieved upside for other rotation pieces in a restrictive payroll environment. That's just my preference though. :dontknow:

How can you develop said potential and upside if they're not going to get PT? That's why I understand the point about going for a vet. With a vet you already know what you're going to get and the reason they're signed is in case of emergency.

Player development occur during practice as well. A lot of opportunities to develop where we don't see so not having playing time doesn't mean development is at a standstill. And if the said end of bench guy isn't likely to play anyway, it's fine to take a punt on youth. Alex Caruso for example barely played in his first two seasons in the league and turned into a solid contributor for the Lakers. Another example would be THT, he played even fewer minutes than Stix in his rookie year and this past season, he's been halfway decent in some games

For me, if we're talking about the 14th man, I think a young player with some upside is fine in that position. If we're talking 9th man, 10th man or 11th man then I probably would lean towards some experience and competency that would come with a smart vet who can come in and do work if called upon.

Also every team, from lotto teams to contenders have one or two young guys you've never even heard of that rides the pine for basically all but maybe a handful of games a season. They are just practice players mostly but depending on how they play in practice, there could be potential. I mean, no team brings in a young guy with zero potential.

We have our 1-2 guys already though. Ty and Stix.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3603 » by Ghost of Kleine » Thu Aug 19, 2021 4:44 am

Spoiler:
SunsLyf3 wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
SunsLyf3 wrote:How can you develop said potential and upside if they're not going to get PT? That's why I understand the point about going for a vet. With a vet you already know what you're going to get and the reason they're signed is in case of emergency.

Player development occur during practice as well. A lot of opportunities to develop where we don't see so not having playing time doesn't mean development is at a standstill. And if the said end of bench guy isn't likely to play anyway, it's fine to take a punt on youth. Alex Caruso for example barely played in his first two seasons in the league and turned into a solid contributor for the Lakers. Another example would be THT, he played even fewer minutes than Stix in his rookie year and this past season, he's been halfway decent in some games

For me, if we're talking about the 14th man, I think a young player with some upside is fine in that position. If we're talking 9th man, 10th man or 11th man then I probably would lean towards some experience and competency that would come with a smart vet who can come in and do work if called upon.

Also every team, from lotto teams to contenders have one or two young guys you've never even heard of that rides the pine for basically all but maybe a handful of games a season. They are just practice players mostly but depending on how they play in practice, there could be potential. I mean, no team brings in a young guy with zero potential.

We have our 1-2 guys already though. Ty and Stix.

True, But all things being fluid, Jones has already stated his intent to have Smith play an increased role as an actual rotation player, That would move him into our actual rotation, And off of our two way development classification. Thusly creating another two way opening. But even aside from that in our current situation, And with Tyshon Alexander, We currently have an open two way position. So we either maintain an open two way development position or have two potential two ways should Smith show out and work his way into our rotation.

Also, What if he doesn't, AND a trade comes along wherein we send out any of Smith/ Alexander/ Crowder/ Saric / etc. In a two for one or a three for one upgrade? Any one of these proposed vet minimum upside players could build their value to be included in various trades, with the intent of allowing us to hopefully keep our 6-10 rotation players together as opposed to HAVING to include them for value disparity. Or even worse case scenario in which we must include them for our target upgrade. These vet minimum ( with upside / potential still) could fill in those gaps ON THE MINIMUM for us to possibly sustain our success. The reality is for any contending team with large core salaries, that they need to acquire such cost controlled assets in order to maintain enough flexibility for necessary roster adjustments and upgrades to maintain our competitive viability.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3604 » by lilfishi22 » Thu Aug 19, 2021 5:31 am

SunsLyf3 wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
SunsLyf3 wrote:How can you develop said potential and upside if they're not going to get PT? That's why I understand the point about going for a vet. With a vet you already know what you're going to get and the reason they're signed is in case of emergency.

Player development occur during practice as well. A lot of opportunities to develop where we don't see so not having playing time doesn't mean development is at a standstill. And if the said end of bench guy isn't likely to play anyway, it's fine to take a punt on youth. Alex Caruso for example barely played in his first two seasons in the league and turned into a solid contributor for the Lakers. Another example would be THT, he played even fewer minutes than Stix in his rookie year and this past season, he's been halfway decent in some games

For me, if we're talking about the 14th man, I think a young player with some upside is fine in that position. If we're talking 9th man, 10th man or 11th man then I probably would lean towards some experience and competency that would come with a smart vet who can come in and do work if called upon.

Also every team, from lotto teams to contenders have one or two young guys you've never even heard of that rides the pine for basically all but maybe a handful of games a season. They are just practice players mostly but depending on how they play in practice, there could be potential. I mean, no team brings in a young guy with zero potential.

We have our 1-2 guys already though. Ty and Stix.

Ty's on a 2way contract so he's not part of the official roster count as far as I'm aware. So it's really only Stix.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3605 » by SunsLyf3 » Thu Aug 19, 2021 5:32 am

Ghost of Kleine wrote:True, But all things being fluid, Jones has already stated his intent to have Smith play an increased role as an actual rotation player, That would move him into our actual rotation, And off of our two way development classification. Thusly creating another two way opening. But even aside from that in our current situation, And with Tyshon Alexander, We currently have an open two way position. So we either maintain an open two way development position or have two potential two ways should Smith show out and work his way into our rotation.

Also, What if he doesn't, AND a trade comes along wherein we send out any of Smith/ Alexander/ Crowder/ Saric / etc. In a two for one or a three for one upgrade? Any one of these proposed vet minimum upside players could build their value to be included in various trades, with the intent of allowing us to hopefully keep our 6-10 rotation players together as opposed to HAVING to include them for value disparity. Or even worse case scenario in which we must include them for our target upgrade. These vet minimum ( with upside / potential still) could fill in those gaps ON THE MINIMUM for us to possibly sustain our success. The reality is for any contending team with large core salaries, that they need to acquire such cost controlled assets in order to maintain enough flexibility for necessary roster adjustments and upgrades to maintain our competitive viability.


Assuming Stix develops it would be a good idea to sign another 2 way/unsigned draftee. Right now, since Stix is still an unknown, I would prefer a vet. That's just my 2 cents. It's just the 15th guy on the roster so regardless of the move it won't really matter unless something catastrophic happens. *knock on wood*.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3606 » by Mulhollanddrive » Thu Aug 19, 2021 10:38 am

Aren't we getting a PF anyway, so it's not dependent on Smith.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3607 » by Ghost of Kleine » Thu Aug 19, 2021 4:03 pm

https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/nba/suns/2021/08/19/suns-set-begin-year-2-chris-paul-they-open-season-against-nuggets/8183022002/

Phoenix Suns step into life as the hunted after reaching NBA Finals. Here's how the West challengers will look

Duane Rankin

Arizona Republic

Head coach: 
Monty Williams

Starters: 
PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C Deandre Ayton.

Second unit: 
PG Cameron Payne, SG Landry Shamet, SF Cam Johnson, PF Jalen Smith, C JaVale McGee.

Remaining bench:
 PF Dario Saric (injured), PG Elfrid Payton, SF Abdel Nader, F/C Frank Kaminsky, SG Ty-Shon Alexander (two-way).

Five questions

1. How much better will Suns be in Year 2 with Paul?

2. Can Ayton become a consistent 20 and 12 player?

3. Is Johnson ready to start at the four for Crowder?

4. Is 2020 first rounder Smith going to crack the rotation?

5. Are the Suns up for the challenge of being the hunted?

The Western Conference still is strong, with several teams reloading, retooling and looking to get healthy going into the postseason:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have made major moves with the additions of Russell Westbrook, Carmelo Anthony and Dwight Howard to join LeBron James and Anthony Davis.

• Los Angeles Clippers have enough to hold it down until Kawhi Leonard returns from a knee injury he suffered in the conference semifinals.

• The same can be said for the Denver Nuggets, but Jamal Murray is closer to returning from his season-ending knee injury.

• Golden State Warriors hope Klay Thompson can finally return from injuries to see if they can recapture their championship formula with Stephen Curry and Draymond Green.

• Utah Jazz pretty much stayed pat after posting NBA's best record.

• Dallas Mavericks are 1000% Luka Doncic after signing him to a supermax rookie extension for five years, $207 million.

• Portland Trail Blazers have a new head coach in Chauncey Billups who they hope can work magic with Damian Lillard.

• Memphis Grizzlies are looking to build off making the playoffs.

• Green may be the answer at head coach for talented, but very young New Orleans Pelicans led by Zion Williamson.

• San Antonio Spurs are always going to compete with Gregg Popovich, who is coming off winning gold in Tokyo Olympics.

Sacramento Kings, Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets seem a ways away from contending for the playoffs, but have young talent to build around.

The Suns have gone through all these phases every other team is experiencing right now, but are the only ones who reached the finals last year.

They're now looking to do it again this season, but win it all this time.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3608 » by Ghost of Kleine » Thu Aug 19, 2021 5:57 pm

Tim Reynolds (@ByTimReynolds) Tweeted:
Teams will play 41 road AND 41 home games this season, per sources. All games will be scheduled for 48 minutes in length. The NBA hates your team and Scott Foster has a personal vendetta against you, yes, you personally, you. This is your NBA schedule update.
Read on Twitter
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3609 » by lilfishi22 » Thu Aug 19, 2021 11:10 pm

I thought we were sticking with the 72 game schedule but I guess for revenue reasons, 82 games makes sense.

How would play-in's work? Extra 2 games for the play-in teams?
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3610 » by Ghost of Kleine » Fri Aug 20, 2021 12:02 am

lilfishi22 wrote:I thought we were sticking with the 72 game schedule but I guess for revenue reasons, 82 games makes sense.

How would play-in's work? Extra 2 games for the play-in teams?


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.basketballnetwork.net/the-play-in-tournament-is-back-for-the-2021-22-nba-season/amp/

April 10, 2022: Regular season concludes

• April 12-15, 2022: Play-In Tournament

• April 16, 2022: Playoffs begin

• June 2, 2022: NBA Finals begin

• June 19, 2022: Game 7 of NBA Finals (if necessary)

• June 23, 2022: NBA Draft

The NBA will have its first 82-game regular season since 2018-2019, starting on October 19. The final regular-season game will be played two days before the play-in starts, on April 10.
The 2022 NBA Playoffs will begin on April 16, a day after eight seeds from both conferences are determined through the play-in tournament.


Something like a double elimination format perhaps? One thing is for sure with a full 82 games, Load management and full use of positional depth to keep our core fresh will be paramount for us! :nod:
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3611 » by lilfishi22 » Fri Aug 20, 2021 4:50 am

The good thing is that it seems the regular season's 82 game is spread across roughly the same time period as it used to so there shouldn't be too many of those 5 games in 7 days type situations
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3612 » by Frank Lee » Fri Aug 20, 2021 3:48 pm

After further review, and knowing how Monty likes to keep his in game thinking to a minimum, I think our second unit is may be the biggest edge we have. Payne, Shamet, Nader, Johnson, and McGee is a very athletic bunch with speed and shooting. Sprinkle in some hard nose smart D and they should roll some squads when they get going.

I won’t be surprised if Shamet does really well with in this system, playing alongside Payne and shouldbe starter Cam… well enough to not be here next yr. Not a big fan of the one and ‘done’er roster building mentality… but it’s what our unimaginative GM has copied as his blueprint in this CP era.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3613 » by RunDogGun » Fri Aug 20, 2021 4:04 pm

Frank Lee wrote:After further review, and knowing how Monty likes to keep his in game thinking to a minimum, I think our second unit is may be the biggest edge we have. Payne, Shamet, Nader, Johnson, and McGee is a very athletic bunch with speed and shooting. Sprinkle in some hard nose smart D and they should roll some squads when they get going.

I won’t be surprised if Shamet does really well with in this system, playing alongside Payne and shouldbe starter Cam… well enough to not be here next yr. Not a big fan of the one and ‘done’er roster building mentality… but it’s what our unimaginative GM has copied as his blueprint in this CP era.

That second unit has two of our best three point shooters last year in Payne 44% and Nader at 42%, and our best playoff three point shooter in Johnson 45%. And all those guys play decent defense. Hope Payne takes more threes this season, and although Johnson shot so well from three in the playoffs, his expanded game and drives to the hoop needs to come out more.

I would still like to find a better starting PF, someone that gets more than 10/4.7.

Damet, did I forget someone? 8-)
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3614 » by bwgood77 » Fri Aug 20, 2021 4:48 pm

Frank Lee wrote:After further review, and knowing how Monty likes to keep his in game thinking to a minimum, I think our second unit is may be the biggest edge we have. Payne, Shamet, Nader, Johnson, and McGee is a very athletic bunch with speed and shooting. Sprinkle in some hard nose smart D and they should roll some squads when they get going.

I won’t be surprised if Shamet does really well with in this system, playing alongside Payne and shouldbe starter Cam… well enough to not be here next yr. Not a big fan of the one and ‘done’er roster building mentality… but it’s what our unimaginative GM has copied as his blueprint in this CP era.


At least we have RFA rights and options to keep if he plays well and space if we dump Saric, as well as the option to S&T if a team would otherwise want him.

He should look pretty good. Nice spacing and Payne was a great 3pt shooter last year...his first when he played over 200 minutes in a season. Cam didn't shoot well but we know he has it in him. And of course Shamet has been the best over his career on our entire team, is consistent and the best hitting off the dribble.

Also, being that our best 3 pt shooters are all primarily catch and shoot on 3pt shooters, Shamet is over 42% on 265 attempts last year https://www.nba.com/stats/players/catch-shoot/?Season=2020-21&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&PerMode=Totals&CF=PLAYER_NAME*E*Shamet
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3615 » by Saberestar » Fri Aug 20, 2021 4:54 pm

Frank Lee wrote:After further review, and knowing how Monty likes to keep his in game thinking to a minimum, I think our second unit is may be the biggest edge we have. Payne, Shamet, Nader, Johnson, and McGee is a very athletic bunch with speed and shooting. Sprinkle in some hard nose smart D and they should roll some squads when they get going.

I won’t be surprised if Shamet does really well with in this system, playing alongside Payne and shouldbe starter Cam… well enough to not be here next yr. Not a big fan of the one and ‘done’er roster building mentality… but it’s what our unimaginative GM has copied as his blueprint in this CP era.

You maybe are right about our backup rotation, but I think it will be Payne, Shamet, C. Johnson J. Smith and McGee.

The way they used Jalen Smith in the Summer League tells me that they want him to play as a 4 and James Jones said that he expects him in the rotation.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3616 » by Ghost of Kleine » Fri Aug 20, 2021 7:01 pm

This is encouraging!


I really hope that he maintains and/ or elevates this pesky defense and modicum of playmaking. But nevertheless, if he can be consistent doing this, It'll be a good thing for us.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3617 » by matt131 » Fri Aug 20, 2021 7:24 pm

Dang 34?!?

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Whoever runs the media stuff now is uhhhhh a bit different than before. Not liking the style at all.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3618 » by Ghost of Kleine » Fri Aug 20, 2021 7:37 pm

matt131 wrote:Dang 34?!?

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Whoever runs the media stuff now is uhhhhh a bit different than before. Not liking the style at all.


Budget constraints apparently!! :o :lol:
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3619 » by Revived » Fri Aug 20, 2021 7:43 pm

I read somewhere that’s it’s 23 nationally televised games without including NBA TV games. That’s pretty solid.
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Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#3620 » by Revived » Fri Aug 20, 2021 7:45 pm

matt131 wrote:Dang 34?!?

Read on Twitter
?s=20

Whoever runs the media stuff now is uhhhhh a bit different than before. Not liking the style at all.

Tara Hughes was one of a kind.

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