College Football 2021 Pacer Freak Picks

Pacers_Freak · Post #1 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Thu Aug 26, 2021 3:44 pm

I'm back with my college football picks this year. Last year was a solid year and hoping to keep it going. Week 0 provides a few opportunities for us to dip our toe in the water before everyone starts next week.

Illinois/Nebraska over 55 (1 unit)
Fresno -27.5 (1 unit)
Fresno -15.5 1st half (1 unit)

Post #2 » by **bwgood77** » Sat Aug 28, 2021 8:53 pm

Pacers_Freak wrote:I'm back with my college football picks this year. Last year was a solid year and hoping to keep it going. Week 0 provides a few opportunities for us to dip our toe in the water before everyone starts next week.

Illinois/Nebraska over 55 (1 unit)
Fresno -27.5 (1 unit)
Fresno -15.5 1st half (1 unit)

Your first bet falls a tad short...Nebraska can't do anything at the end.

Huge wins with Fresno though.

Pacers_Freak · Post #3 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Fri Sep 3, 2021 2:54 pm

2-1 on the year. +0.9 units. I don't claim to be an expert so tail at your own risk.

UNC -5.5 (1 Unit)
Northwestern -3 (2 units)
Alabama -19.5 (2 units)
Indiana +4 (1 unit)
West Virginia/Maryland over 57 (2 units)
Mizzou -14 (1 unit)
USC -14 (3 units)
Purdue -7 (1 unit)
Georgia/Clemson over 50 (3 units)
LSU -2 (2 units)

Pacers_Freak · Post #4 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Wed Sep 8, 2021 2:26 pm

Yikes. Lost 7.2 units last week. Total on the season is 5-8 and -6.3 units. Gotta bounce back this week. Here are my plays:

Kansas +25 (1 unit)
Army/WKU over 52 (3 unit)
Oregon/Ohio State over 63.5 (2 unit)
South Carolina -2 (1 unit)
Toledo/ND over 54 (1 unit)
Iowa State -4.5 (1 unit)
Texas/Arkansas over 56 (2 unit)
NC State -2.5 (1 unit)
Liberty -4.5 (4 unit)
MEmphis/Ark State over 65 (1 unit)

azcatz11 · Post #5 » by **azcatz11** » Thu Sep 9, 2021 6:20 pm

Pacers_Freak wrote:Yikes. Lost 7.2 units last week. Total on the season is 5-8 and -6.3 units. Gotta bounce back this week. Here are my plays:

Kansas +25 (1 unit)
Army/WKU over 52 (3 unit)
Oregon/Ohio State over 63.5 (2 unit)
South Carolina -2 (1 unit)
Toledo/ND over 54 (1 unit)
Iowa State -4.5 (1 unit)
Texas/Arkansas over 56 (2 unit)
NC State -2.5 (1 unit)
Liberty -4.5 (4 unit)
MEmphis/Ark State over 65 (1 unit)

I'll be following you buddy - sports betting is finally legal out here in Arizona.

Pacers_Freak · Post #6 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Thu Sep 9, 2021 8:00 pm

azcatz11 wrote:
Pacers_Freak wrote:Yikes. Lost 7.2 units last week. Total on the season is 5-8 and -6.3 units. Gotta bounce back this week. Here are my plays:

Kansas +25 (1 unit)
Army/WKU over 52 (3 unit)
Oregon/Ohio State over 63.5 (2 unit)
South Carolina -2 (1 unit)
Toledo/ND over 54 (1 unit)
Iowa State -4.5 (1 unit)
Texas/Arkansas over 56 (2 unit)
NC State -2.5 (1 unit)
Liberty -4.5 (4 unit)
MEmphis/Ark State over 65 (1 unit)

I'll be following you buddy - sports betting is finally legal out here in Arizona.

If you saw my performance last week you may want to follow from afar.

azcatz11 · Post #7 » by **azcatz11** » Thu Sep 9, 2021 8:16 pm

Pacers_Freak wrote:
azcatz11 wrote:
Pacers_Freak wrote:Yikes. Lost 7.2 units last week. Total on the season is 5-8 and -6.3 units. Gotta bounce back this week. Here are my plays:

Kansas +25 (1 unit)
Army/WKU over 52 (3 unit)
Oregon/Ohio State over 63.5 (2 unit)
South Carolina -2 (1 unit)
Toledo/ND over 54 (1 unit)
Iowa State -4.5 (1 unit)
Texas/Arkansas over 56 (2 unit)
NC State -2.5 (1 unit)
Liberty -4.5 (4 unit)
MEmphis/Ark State over 65 (1 unit)

I'll be following you buddy - sports betting is finally legal out here in Arizona.

If you saw my performance last week you may want to follow from afar.

You just had a bad week - I’ve followed your picks for a couple years now

Post #8 » by **bwgood77** » Fri Sep 10, 2021 5:27 pm

azcatz11 wrote:
Pacers_Freak wrote:
azcatz11 wrote:
I'll be following you buddy - sports betting is finally legal out here in Arizona.

If you saw my performance last week you may want to follow from afar.

You just had a bad week - I’ve followed your picks for a couple years now

Pacers Freak...did you come out ahead $ wise last year? I saw you were 57-53-1 going into the final week but with juice it seems like that would be a slightly losing season.

I think you generally need to hit 55% to break even and you hit a little less than 52%, depending on your final week. Of course this also assumes you bet the same one each game.

And if you miss parlays obviously that adds to losses, though hits are nice.

I think the NFL is easier. And maybe baseball over/unders but I don't follow baseball much anymore.

Pacers_Freak · Post #9 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Fri Sep 10, 2021 8:40 pm

bwgood77 wrote:
azcatz11 wrote:
Pacers_Freak wrote:
If you saw my performance last week you may want to follow from afar.

You just had a bad week - I’ve followed your picks for a couple years now

Pacers Freak...did you come out ahead $ wise last year? I saw you were 57-53-1 going into the final week but with juice it seems like that would be a slightly losing season.

I think you generally need to hit 55% to break even and you hit a little less than 52%, depending on your final week. Of course this also assumes you bet the same one each game.

And if you miss parlays obviously that adds to losses, though hits are nice.

I think the NFL is easier. And maybe baseball over/unders but I don't follow baseball much anymore.

Easy to say because I didn’t post it but honestly I came out a bit ahead because I didn’t post units last year.

Post #10 » by **MickeyDavis** » Sat Sep 11, 2021 4:06 pm

Bettors always love betting on the favorites. Iowa is a big exception this week

Pacers_Freak · Post #11 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Mon Sep 13, 2021 3:41 pm

Went 6-4 on the weekend. More importantly ended +6.5 units. I forced the Kansas game and hate that I did that and got hit by the hook in the Ohio State game. Back in the green for the season. 11-12 and +0.2 units.

Pacers_Freak · Post #12 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Thu Sep 16, 2021 3:21 pm

Ok big bounce back week last week. Into the green numbers and looking to keep it going.

Coastal Carolina over 57.5 (3 units)
Purdue over 58 (2 units)
Alabama over 59.5 (2 units)
Ohio State -24.5 (1 unit)
SMU over 66 (1 unit)
Wake Forest -5 (1 unit)
Mississippi St over 64 (3 units)
Ball State over 53.5 (2 units)
Toledo -14.5 (2 units)
Penn State -5 (1 unit)
Ole Miss -14 (5 units)
Stanford -12 (2 units)
Fresno State over 63 (3 units)

azcatz11 · Post #13 » by **azcatz11** » Sat Sep 18, 2021 8:20 pm

I bet UF and took the 14.5 pts - I don't know what I'm thinking when I bet against Alabama.

Pacers_Freak · Post #14 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Mon Sep 20, 2021 2:19 pm

8-5 and +4.9 units this weekend.

19-17 and +5.1 units on the year.

Pacers_Freak · Post #15 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Thu Sep 23, 2021 3:37 pm

This week's pick:

Liberty -6 (2 units)
Notre Dame +6.5 (1 unit)
Texas Tech over 61 (1 unit)
Iowa State -7 (1 unit)
Buffalo -13.5 (1 Unit)
Michigan State -5 (2 units)
Louisiana Tech -11 (3 units)
Tennessee over 62 (2 units)
UNC -12.5 (3 units)
West Virginia over 55.5 (3 units)
Arizona State -14.5 (1 Unit)
USC over 62 (2 units)

Post #16 » by **bwgood77** » Fri Sep 24, 2021 8:39 pm

Pacers_Freak wrote:This week's pick:

Liberty -6 (2 units)
Notre Dame +6.5 (1 unit)
Texas Tech over 61 (1 unit)
Iowa State -7 (1 unit)
Buffalo -13.5 (1 Unit)
Michigan State -5 (2 units)
Louisiana Tech -11 (3 units)
Tennessee over 62 (2 units)
UNC -12.5 (3 units)
West Virginia over 55.5 (3 units)
Arizona State -14.5 (1 Unit)
USC over 62 (2 units)

Oregon is absolutely going to crush AZ. The spread looks like it's moved above 4 tds, but AZ lost to BYU, got beat by SDSU by 23 and nearly lost to NAU who any big conference team should crush. Oregon is far and away the best team they've played. Not saying to bet on Oregon but just letting you know.

azcatz11 · Post #17 » by **azcatz11** » Sat Sep 25, 2021 4:14 pm

I just did a 4 team parlay for $25

Notre Dame +6.5 @ Wisconsin
Georgia -35.5 @ Vanderbilt
LSU @ Miss St +1.5
Texas Tech @ Texas -8.5

Pacers_Freak · Post #18 » by **Pacers_Freak** » Sat Sep 25, 2021 5:13 pm

Adding Memphis over 66 (1 unit)

azcatz11 · Post #19 » by **azcatz11** » Sat Sep 25, 2021 11:19 pm

bwgood77 wrote:
Pacers_Freak wrote:This week's pick:

Liberty -6 (2 units)
Notre Dame +6.5 (1 unit)
Texas Tech over 61 (1 unit)
Iowa State -7 (1 unit)
Buffalo -13.5 (1 Unit)
Michigan State -5 (2 units)
Louisiana Tech -11 (3 units)
Tennessee over 62 (2 units)
UNC -12.5 (3 units)
West Virginia over 55.5 (3 units)
Arizona State -14.5 (1 Unit)
USC over 62 (2 units)

Oregon is absolutely going to crush AZ. The spread looks like it's moved above 4 tds, but AZ lost to BYU, got beat by SDSU by 23 and nearly lost to NAU who any big conference team should crush. Oregon is far and away the best team they've played. Not saying to bet on Oregon but just letting you know.

Unfortunately we did lose to NAU my friend...I try not to remember last weekend either lol

Post #20 » by **bwgood77** » Sun Sep 26, 2021 1:01 am

azcatz11 wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
Pacers_Freak wrote:This week's pick:

Liberty -6 (2 units)
Notre Dame +6.5 (1 unit)
Texas Tech over 61 (1 unit)
Iowa State -7 (1 unit)
Buffalo -13.5 (1 Unit)
Michigan State -5 (2 units)
Louisiana Tech -11 (3 units)
Tennessee over 62 (2 units)
UNC -12.5 (3 units)
West Virginia over 55.5 (3 units)
Arizona State -14.5 (1 Unit)
USC over 62 (2 units)

Oregon is absolutely going to crush AZ. The spread looks like it's moved above 4 tds, but AZ lost to BYU, got beat by SDSU by 23 and nearly lost to NAU who any big conference team should crush. Oregon is far and away the best team they've played. Not saying to bet on Oregon but just letting you know.

Unfortunately we did lose to NAU my friend...I try not to remember last weekend either lol

Not sure how I misread that. I have a hard time getting into college football given that games are meaningless for the most part. 4 teams make the playoffs but if you are not ranked to begin the year, you pretty much have to go undefeated to make it, so if you get 1 loss early you are likely out unless you run the table, and it's still unlikely.

If you are ranked to begin the season you can lose 1 early and still make the playoff, as usually a couple do. But 2 losses and you are almost certainly eliminated from playoff contention.

Bowl victories have always felt meaningless to me.