[Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain

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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#21 » by Odinn21 » Wed Oct 6, 2021 8:30 pm

70sFan wrote:
Odinn21 wrote:Game 1- The Celtics kept putting Chamberlain on the line at the start of the 2nd half and it paid so greatly that it turned out to be a blowout.

Don't you think that his teammates shooting 32% from the field also has something to do with that?

I won't deny, Wilt's FT issues certainly didn't help but this would be a clear blowout even without Wilt's missing FTs.

8 of 15 Wilt's ftas were in the 3rd quarter alone. Even with his teammates shooting that bad, it was still a 4 point game at the half time. The Celtics started to putting Wilt on the line and it paid off greatly.


70sFan wrote:
Game 5- Chamberlain came back to be aggressive as possible. He forced the Celtics so much that none of them ended the game with less than 4 fouls. But in doing so, he went 8-25 from the line. He was 2-11 in the first quarter which put the Sixers in a position of chase for the rest of the game and the Celtics held on.

Again - how much of a blame should we give Wilt for this loss when his teammates shot 30% from the field? It's true that his poor FT% hurt his team but without his herculean effort they would get blown out quickly.

His ft issues hurt the team in the 1st quarter so quickly. I mean forcing so many fouls so quickly was great but him producing 4 points over 6 possessions, not so much. Wilt's inability to shoot from the line created a gap that the Sixers had to come back from.


70sFan wrote:
This series should've been at least a 6 game series with more fight in it. Chamberlain's ft worries didn't let it to happen.

I think that Greer having the worst series of his career (16/7/4 on 40 TS%) is the bigger factor to be honest. Chet Walker didn't help either and Wali Jones clearly wasn't prepared for that in 1966 (13/3/4 on 37 TS%).

Of course. Though considering we got here from making a comparison to 2004 Duncan who had Tony Parker had a 17/2/6 on .421 ts (-9.4 rts), this kind of argument goes both ways in this one.

70sFan wrote:You can prove me wrong, but I also have a reason to believe that Sixers guards averaged a lot of turnovers in the series as well. Celtics defense simply shut them down and I don't think Wilt's better FT shooting would change the outcome.

I'm not saying Chamberlain's ft issues were the reason for the defeat. It's always a combination of things. Wilt's ft shooting was a major reason why the Sixers weren't competitive in a series that they should've been.

70sFan wrote:
Compared to Duncan who was struggling on offense himself (his game 3 performance was truly awful, it was probably the worst postseason game of Duncan's prime) but still 1 odd shot away from going up by 3-2 against a superior and a far deeper team, I very much disagree with the bolded part. Duncan put his team to in a competitive position, played goat level defense while directly facing one of the monsters in history.

To be honest, you may be right. Still, I don't think it's as simple as that. Spurs were on a good pace to beat Lakers going up 2-0 and after two strong performances, Duncan put up probably his worst postseason performance in his prime in game 3 and he wasn't great in game 4 either. These two games completely swung the momentum to the opposite direction. Even after getting a win with his heroics in game 5, I don't think Spurs would have won the series. They got blown out in game 6 and I can't be confident with Spurs chances when Duncan was so inconsistent throughout the series.

Again, I'm not arguing over "should've been a won series" for these 2. I think that your takes are far more result focused than what I've been saying. I was talking about being competitive and getting close to the win.

70sFan wrote:All these points should be taken with the prespective that Wilt had clearly better RS in 1966 than Duncan in 2004. Even if you believe that Duncan played better in postseason (which is arguable to me, but defensible), I don't think he played good enough to overcome the difference in RS performance.

Interesting that you'd take 1966 Wilt as the better rs performer. 2004 was one of the seasons Duncan was a goat level rs force, and I think Duncan produced enough wins/value to overcome 12 gp gap.

My points about Chamberlain's ps run in '66 were not necessarily about 2004 Duncan > 1966 Chamberlain btw. I got involved about the bolded part, that's all.

---

Edit; Btw, crazy close result. 234-231? I think we did these 2 legends justice. :D
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#22 » by Odinn21 » Wed Oct 6, 2021 8:38 pm

Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain results;

Code: Select all

1.   71 points / 0.986 share / '67 Wilt Chamberlain
2.   66 points / 0.917 share / '03 Tim Duncan
3.   58 points / 0.806 share / '02 Tim Duncan
4.   57 points / 0.792 share / '64 Wilt Chamberlain
5.   45 points / 0.625 share / '07 Tim Duncan
6.   40 points / 0.556 share / '68 Wilt Chamberlain
7.   35 points / 0.486 share / '01 Tim Duncan
8.   33 points / 0.458 share / '62 Wilt Chamberlain
9.   20 points / 0.278 share / '05 Tim Duncan
10.  18 points / 0.250 share / '65 Wilt Chamberlain
11.  12 points / 0.167 share / '66 Wilt Chamberlain
12.  10 points / 0.139 share / '04 Tim Duncan
                               
13.   2 points / 0.028 share / '99 Tim Duncan
14.   1 points / 0.014 share / '06 Tim Duncan


Points within top 12 seasons voted;
Tim Duncan 40 - 38 Wilt Chamberlain

Points totals in top 12 seasons voted;
Tim Duncan 234 - 231 Wilt Chamberlain

Winner: Tim Duncan


Results on Google Sheets
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#23 » by homecourtloss » Wed Oct 6, 2021 8:41 pm

Odinn21 wrote:Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain results;

Code: Select all

1.   71 points / 0.986 share / '67 Wilt Chamberlain
2.   66 points / 0.917 share / '03 Tim Duncan
3.   58 points / 0.806 share / '02 Tim Duncan
4.   57 points / 0.792 share / '64 Wilt Chamberlain
5.   45 points / 0.625 share / '07 Tim Duncan
6.   40 points / 0.556 share / '68 Wilt Chamberlain
7.   35 points / 0.486 share / '01 Tim Duncan
8.   33 points / 0.458 share / '62 Wilt Chamberlain
9.   20 points / 0.278 share / '05 Tim Duncan
10.  18 points / 0.250 share / '65 Wilt Chamberlain
11.  12 points / 0.167 share / '66 Wilt Chamberlain
12.  10 points / 0.139 share / '04 Tim Duncan
                               
13.   2 points / 0.028 share / '99 Tim Duncan
14.   1 points / 0.014 share / '06 Tim Duncan


Points within top 12 seasons voted;
Tim Duncan 40 - 38 Wilt Chamberlain

Points totals in top 12 seasons voted;
Tim Duncan 234 - 231 Wilt Chamberlain

Winner: Tim Duncan


Results on Google Sheets


Closest one yet.
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#24 » by 70sFan » Wed Oct 6, 2021 8:44 pm

Odinn21 wrote:Interesting that you'd take 1966 Wilt as the better rs performer. 2004 was one of the seasons Duncan was a goat level rs force, and I think Duncan produced enough wins/value to overcome 12 gp gap.

I'll only touch this point.

I agree that Duncan was GOAT-level RS force in 2004, it seems that we value 1966 Wilt's RS a bit different. Wilt's scoring production was massive in that season and his defensive performance was also very strong (though not as strong as Duncan's). I think he was good enough that 10 additional games gives him the edge.
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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#25 » by falcolombardi » Wed Oct 6, 2021 8:48 pm

uff, so close

wilt fails under the duncan line for goat contention ("either you are a legit goat candidate or tim duncan has a better career than you") that i think someone here said
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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#26 » by Odinn21 » Wed Oct 6, 2021 8:50 pm

homecourtloss wrote:
Odinn21 wrote:Points totals in top 12 seasons voted;
Tim Duncan 234 - 231 Wilt Chamberlain


Closest one yet.

Yeah, it was pretty tight.

The closest battles we had so far;
234 - 231 (50.3 - 49.7) in Duncan vs. Chamberlain
197 - 186 (51.4 - 48.6) in Russell vs. Chamberlain
397 - 426 (51.8 - 48.2) in Olajuwon vs. Bird
245 - 219 (52.8 - 47.2) in O'Neal vs Bird
341 - 270 (55.8 - 44.2) in James vs. Abdul-Jabbar

This outlook makes me very curious about how it'll turn out between any combination left on the board between Russell, Duncan, Chamberlain, O'Neal, Olajuwon and Bird. That is one tight group.
(Came to realise that, that is actually every top 10 player minus the top 3 and Magic. Goes to show how competitive it is to be a top 10 level player.)
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#27 » by ty 4191 » Wed Oct 6, 2021 9:20 pm

70sFan wrote:Alright, my list:

1. 1967 Wilt Chamberlain - it's GOAT level season and although I feel uncomfortable with having peak Duncan lower, I just think that Wilt's offensive output was more dominant than Duncan's.


Great call, Sir!!!

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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#28 » by homecourtloss » Thu Oct 7, 2021 2:30 pm

ty 4191 wrote:
70sFan wrote:Alright, my list:

1. 1967 Wilt Chamberlain - it's GOAT level season and although I feel uncomfortable with having peak Duncan lower, I just think that Wilt's offensive output was more dominant than Duncan's.


Great call, Sir!!!

Read on Twitter


1967 Wilt is definitely in contention for GOAT peak. How would you rank the 12 beet seasons between Duncan and Wilt?
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
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Re: [Project:Primes of the top 10 ever] List the top 12 seasons between Tim Duncan vs. Wilt Chamberlain 

Post#29 » by ty 4191 » Thu Oct 7, 2021 8:25 pm

homecourtloss wrote:1967 Wilt is definitely in contention for GOAT peak. How would you rank the 12 beet seasons between Duncan and Wilt?


It's awfully tough, brother. Directly comparing players (based on stats alone) who were born 40 years apart. How can we do so with any confidence?

That said, Duncan is one of my favorite players, ever, and one of the greatest players in NBA History. Period.

This is as strong and well composed a tribute as I've seen:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fancy-stats/wp/2016/07/11/tim-duncan-retires-as-one-of-the-nbas-best-players-of-all-time/

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