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2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll)

Moderators: fatlever, JDR720, Diop, BigSlam, yosemiteben

how many games will Hornets win?

Poll ended at Sun Oct 24, 2021 12:15 pm

less than 25
1
5%
25 to 29
1
5%
30 to 34
5
24%
35 to 39
3
14%
40 to 44
9
43%
45 to 49
1
5%
more than 50
1
5%
 
Total votes: 21

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2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#1 » by fatlever » Sun Oct 17, 2021 12:15 pm

I don't remember seeing an official prediction thread for this season yet. Let's get these predictions locked in before Wednesday.

How many games will we win?

Will we make the playoffs?

Who will be our leading scorer, rebounder, assists?

Any end of season awards for any of our players?

pleasant surprise? biggest disappointment?

Most likely to be traded?

Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals matchups? Who wins the finals? MVP? Rookie of the Year? Defensive player of the year? 1st Team all rookie? All-nba?

Over/under ? Make your choices
Melo 35% 3... over or under?
Hayward 50 games played....over or under?
Melo triple doubles 5...
Bouk 30% 3
Rozier 20ppg
Melo 20ppg
Hayward 20ppg
Miles 15ppg
Plumlee 9rpg
Melo 7apg
PJ Twitter meltdown 5
Kai 20 games played



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Re: Season prediction thread with poll 

Post#2 » by GiggitySmalls » Sun Oct 17, 2021 4:57 pm

Miles needs to be at about 17 ppg with oubre near 15

Melo 8 app
Rozier 19 ppg
Melo 21 ppg
Hayward 17 5 and 4 65 games.
Bouk 10
A lil Kai
Plum>zeller

Washington is up in the a air for me
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Re: Season prediction thread with poll 

Post#3 » by JDR720 » Sun Oct 17, 2021 6:39 pm

Wins: 41
Playoff: Yes? Play-in Tournament again.
Scorer: Rozier
Assists: Melo
Rebounds: PJ
Awards: No / LaMelo All-Star
Surprise: Martin
Disappointment: Bouknight
Traded: PJ

Over/under:
Melo 35% 3pt: Over
Hayward 50 games played: Over, but less than 60 games.
Melo triple doubles 5: Over
Bouk 30% 3pt: Over. 33%
Rozier 20ppg: Over 21-23
Melo 20ppg: Under 18-19
Hayward 20ppg: Under 18-19
Miles 15ppg: Under 14
Plumlee 9rpg: Under 6-7
Melo 7apg: Over 8-9
PJ Twitter meltdown 5: Infinite
Kai 20 games played: Over
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Re: Season prediction thread with poll 

Post#4 » by fatlever » Sun Oct 17, 2021 7:03 pm

How many games will we win? 34

Will we make the playoffs? no

Who will be our leading scorer, rebounder, assists? terry, plumlee, melo

Any end of season awards for any of our players? bouk 2nd team rookie, melo rookie/soph game

pleasant surprise? biggest disappointment? surprise - cody m, disappointment - pj is too easy... i'll go w oubre

Most likely to be traded? pj

Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals matchups? Who wins the finals? MVP? Rookie of the Year? Defensive player of the year? 1st Team all rookie? All-nba?
heat beat nets
lakers beat nuggets
lakers beat heat
mvp - durant
roy - green
all rook - green, cade, mobley, sengun, davion
2nd - trey, bouk, giddey, suggs, bones

Over/under ? Make your choices
Melo 35% 3 UNDER
Hayward 50 games played OVER
Melo triple doubles 5 UNDER
Bouk 30% 3 UNDER
Rozier 20ppg OVER
Melo 20ppg UNDER
Hayward 20ppg UNDER
Miles 15ppg OVER
Plumlee 9rpg UNDER
Melo 7apg OVER
PJ Twitter meltdown 5 OVER
Kai 20 games played OVER
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Re: Season prediction thread with poll 

Post#5 » by fatlever » Sun Oct 17, 2021 7:07 pm

SCORING
rozier 20.5
hayward 18.0
ball 16.5
bridges 15.0
washington 11
oubre 9.5
bouknight 9.0
smith 6.0
plumlee 5.5
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2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#6 » by BigSlam » Sun Oct 17, 2021 10:29 pm

How many games will we win?
45

Will we make the playoffs?
Yes

Who will be our leading scorer, rebounder, assists?
Hayward - Plumlee - Ball

Any end of season awards for any of our players?
Bridges = Most Improved

pleasant surprise? biggest disappointment?
Hayward plays 70+ games - Obrue

Most likely to be traded?
McDaniels

Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals matchups? Who wins the finals? MVP? Rookie of the Year? Defensive player of the year? 1st Team all rookie? All-nba?
Scottie Barnes for RoY.

Over/under ? Make your choices
Melo 35% 3... over or under?
Under

Hayward 50 games played....over or under?
Over

Melo triple doubles 5...
Under

Bouk 30% 3
Over

Rozier 20ppg
Under

Melo 20ppg
Over

Hayward 20ppg
Over

Miles 15ppg
Over

Plumlee 9rpg
Under (unless we’re rounding up?)

Melo 7apg
Over

PJ Twitter meltdown 5
Over (well over)

Kai 20 games played
Over (named in the line up)
Under (actually getting playing time)
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#7 » by fatlever » Sun Oct 17, 2021 10:47 pm

I forgot about Barnes. He's definitely on 1st Team rookie.

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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#8 » by Chapelchilla » Mon Oct 18, 2021 1:18 pm

How many games will we win? 43

Will we make the playoffs? Play in

Who will be our leading scorer, rebounder, assists? Hayward - Plumlee - Ball

Any end of season awards for any of our players?

pleasant surprise? biggest disappointment? Bouknight is a solid rotation player by the all star break, PJ

Most likely to be traded? PJ
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#9 » by BigSlam » Mon Oct 18, 2021 1:53 pm

I've added a link to this thread in the "Hornets Board - Index of Threads" post for easy access at the end of the season so we can celebrate, or laugh at, our predictions.
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#10 » by HornetJail » Mon Oct 18, 2021 2:29 pm

How many games will we win?
41

Will we make the playoffs?
9th or 10th in the east, making the play-in game, but missing the playoffs

Who will be our leading scorer, rebounder, assists?
Scorer: Terry Rozier - 21.5ppg
Rebounder: Mason Plumlee - 7.6rpg
Assists: LaMelo Ball - 7.4apg


Any end of season awards for any of our players?
Does a former player count? Malik Monk for MIP. Otherwise no.

pleasant surprise? biggest disappointment?
Pleasant surprise - Kai Jones looks like a rotation player at the end of the season
Disappointment - the bench as a whole just looks rotten and JB doesn't stagger the lineups and Kupchak doesn't make a trade for an upgraded backup PG


Most likely to be traded?
Nick Richards for nothing

Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals matchups? Who wins the finals? MVP? Rookie of the Year? Defensive player of the year? 1st Team all rookie? All-nba?
Eastern: Nets vs Bucks
Western: Lakers vs Nuggets
Finals: Nets beat Lakers
MVP: Luka Doncic
ROY: Cade
DPOY: Simmons for the Timberwolves
All-Rookie: Cade/Green/Suggs/Barnes/Mobley (the top 5 picks)
All-NBA: Steph/Luka/LeBron/Durant/Jokic


Over/under ? Make your choices
Melo 35% 3? over
Hayward 50 games played? barely over
Melo triple doubles 5... over
Bouk 30% 3 over
Rozier 20ppg over
Melo 20ppg under
Hayward 20ppg under
Miles 15ppg over
Plumlee 9rpg under
Melo 7apg over
PJ Twitter meltdown 5 couldn't give less of a ****
Kai 20 games played over

--

Stat predictions:

LaMelo: 18.1ppg, 6.9rpg, 7.4ast, 1.5spg, 44/37/80 splits, 56 TS%
Rozier: 21.5ppg, 5.0rpg, 3.2apg, 1.1spg, 44/40/86 splits, 59 TS%
Hayward: 17.2ppg, 5.1rpg, 5.3apg, 1.0apg, 49/39/87 splits, 60 TS% (55 games, about 28mpg)
Miles: 16.4ppg, 7.3rpg, 2.2apg, 1.0spg, 1.0bpg, 46/37/81 splits, 58 TS% (averages 20ppg in games Hayward misses)
Plumlee: 7.8ppg, 7.6rpg, 3.1apg, 59/0/55 splits, 57 TS% (loses starting job to PJ for a bit, and then regains it before the final stretch)

PJ: 11.9ppg, 6.2rpg, 1.9apg, 1.0spg, 1.1bpg, 45/37/77 splits, 56 TS%
Oubre: 11.8ppg, 5.5rpg, 1.2spg, 47/34/70 splits, 55 TS%
Bouk: 7.6ppg, 1.6rpg, 1.4apg, 40/36/81 splits, 51 TS% (stays in the rotation all season, but doesn't necessarily wow us)
Ish: 6.1ppg, 2.5rpg, 3.0apg, 41/35/67 splits, 49 TS%

this bench needs help
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#11 » by CuseMayne » Mon Oct 18, 2021 2:47 pm

How many games will we win? We will win 43 games.

Will we make the playoffs? We will be the 8 seed and make the playoffs

Who will be our leading scorer, rebounder, assists? Scorer -Terry, 19.5ppg

Any end of season awards for any of our players? All-Rookie 2nd team, James Bouknight

pleasant surprise? biggest disappointment? Pleasant surprise = the immediate impact of Bouknight. Biggest disappointment = bad center play and the front office refusing to address it in a meaningful way.

Most likely to be traded? PJ Washington

Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals matchups? Who wins the finals? MVP? Rookie of the Year? Defensive player of the year? 1st Team all rookie? All-nba? ECF = Milwaukee beating the Nets, WCF = Suns beating the Lakers, Suns win the finals in 6, MVP = Giannis, ROTY = Jalen Green, DPOY = Gobert (again, lame), All-Rookie 1st team = (Cade Cunningham, Jalen Suggs, Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun, Evan Mobley)

Over/under ? Make your choices
Melo 35% 3... over or under? Under
Hayward 50 games played....over or under? Over
Melo triple doubles 5... Under
Bouk 30% 3 Over
Rozier 20ppg Under
Melo 20ppg Under
Hayward 20ppg Under
Miles 15ppg Over
Plumlee 9rpg Under
Melo 7apg Over
PJ Twitter meltdown 5 Over
Kai 20 games played Under
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#12 » by Robot Rock » Mon Oct 18, 2021 3:04 pm

I’ll go 34-48, miss playoffs, Terry leading scorer, LaMelo All-Star, Miles walks in FA and we re-sign PJ to a big overpay.
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#13 » by Robot Rock » Mon Oct 18, 2021 3:05 pm

I say we’ll definitely be in the 34-36 win range, probably a play-in contender all year. Slow start, good January, wheels come off late.
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#14 » by Roll Tide 09 » Mon Oct 18, 2021 11:38 pm

I feel like we’ll have a 47+ win season.

I expect us to end up around the 5-7 seed.

Ball will probably average 18-8-8.

Bridges will probably average 17-8-4.

Rozier will probably average 20+ points per game.

Hayward will probably average around 20-5-5 and play over 50 games. If not, he can be shipped with Washington for a fairly nice return.

Bouknight has a decent chance at being on the All Rookie 1st Team. I can easily see 12+ points per game.

Oubre will probably give us 14+ points per game.

Cody Martin will more than likely carve out an official role off the bench.

Washington and Richards will probably and should be traded to a playoff contender for 2-4 future mid to late 1st round draft picks.


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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#15 » by luciano-davidwesley » Mon Oct 18, 2021 11:56 pm

46-50 wins. Lamelo has a big season and improves on his rookie production. Hayward gets menstrual cramps and misses a bunch of games.
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#16 » by Roll Tide 09 » Thu Oct 21, 2021 4:06 am

I’m feeling real good with those 47+ wins after a comeback win like tonight.


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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#17 » by GoBobs » Fri Oct 22, 2021 5:04 pm

I’m going to say 23 wins. We just don’t have any quality depth. If Melo goes down we have no playmakers. If plumbdog goes down we have no real centers. If gordo or Rozier goes down we have no vets.

Glad we got the win vs the Pacers, but it was a lucky win at home. We have to many young players and the only way to win with this type of group is to play high energy attacking defense and we don’t really do that.

Also I don’t believe JB is a good coach. He is an average to below average coach at best.
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#18 » by HornetJail » Fri Oct 22, 2021 5:30 pm

GoBobs wrote:I’m going to say 23 wins. We just don’t have any quality depth. If Melo goes down we have no playmakers. If plumbdog goes down we have no real centers. If gordo or Rozier goes down we have no vets.

Glad we got the win vs the Pacers, but it was a lucky win at home. We have to many young players and the only way to win with this type of group is to play high energy attacking defense and we don’t really do that.

Also I don’t believe JB is a good coach. He is an average to below average coach at best.

I agree with every negative you said about this team but I'm not seeing how this squad goes 23-59 unless all of Melo/Rozier/Hayward miss the season. I would not be shocked with a 33-49 record but that's the worst we can realistically be without some apocalyptic injury situation
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#19 » by GoBobs » Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:33 pm

KEMBAtheMETEOR wrote:
GoBobs wrote:I’m going to say 23 wins. We just don’t have any quality depth. If Melo goes down we have no playmakers. If plumbdog goes down we have no real centers. If gordo or Rozier goes down we have no vets.

Glad we got the win vs the Pacers, but it was a lucky win at home. We have to many young players and the only way to win with this type of group is to play high energy attacking defense and we don’t really do that.

Also I don’t believe JB is a good coach. He is an average to below average coach at best.

I agree with every negative you said about this team but I'm not seeing how this squad goes 23-59 unless all of Melo/Rozier/Hayward miss the season. I would not be shocked with a 33-49 record but that's the worst we can realistically be without some apocalyptic injury situation


Last year we went like 33-39 in a little bit of a shortened season. In those 21 games that LaMelo missed we went 10-11 because Devonte played well. If we went through last year without Devonte we prob finish with 20 something wins.

Other teams have gotten better as well. The Bulls got a lot better. The Pacers have a better coach. All the teams that finished below up likely gained more through the draft than we did.
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Re: 2021/22 Season Prediction Thread (with poll) 

Post#20 » by fatlever » Fri Oct 22, 2021 10:33 pm

Our record last year was Fool's Gold, because we had something like a plus 60 net rating in the last 5 minutes of a close game. Terry Rozier probably shot 100% on 3-pointers in the last 5 minutes of that game within plus or minus five points. Just going like five hundred in those close games last year would have probably resulted in five less wins for us. Regression incoming.

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