2021-22 NBA Season Discussion

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#221 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Nov 1, 2021 8:58 pm

falcolombardi wrote:
parsnips33 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
I'm glad you asked.

1. The Lakers last year had a bunch of role players who had learned how to play Vogel's scheme together. They played hard without focusing on getting their own buckets, and they played their ass off mostly focusing on what the team needed.

2. The Lakers now have Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony.

I really hope LeBron is watching Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso play together right now and kicking himself.


I did not understand Lakers letting Caruso go at all. Feels like the type of guy who could get dropped on any team and immediately make winning contributions


maybe the buss family are cheaper than we thought

their money comes mostly from the lakers after all where for other owners teams are closer to semi Vanity projects


I absolutely think the Buss family is limited in what they can offer, but that's not why the franchise acquired Westbrook. Those involved in getting Westbrook - and Pelinka & LeBron at the very least are on the hook for this - think someone like him just gives you infinitely more than quality role players. And this is just plain naive.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#222 » by falcolombardi » Mon Nov 1, 2021 9:08 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
I'm glad you asked.

1. The Lakers last year had a bunch of role players who had learned how to play Vogel's scheme together. They played hard without focusing on getting their own buckets, and they played their ass off mostly focusing on what the team needed.

2. The Lakers now have Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony.

I really hope LeBron is watching Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso play together right now and kicking himself.


lomzo ball trade led to Anthony davis and a ring in 2020 so probably not


Right, but Chicago signed both Ball & Caruso to long term deals this off-season while the Lakers did what they did.

And I get why it might seem unfair that I'm bringing both these guys up given that Ball's been gone a while and helped bring in AD, but both Ball & Caruso got treated by the Lakers at the end as if they weren't very good, were easy to get rid of, and showed no indication in the 2021 off-season that getting/keeping either of these guys would be a good idea despite the fact that both were guys who could have been got.

Instead they acquired Westbrook as if he was a star who helps teams win championships.


as texas chuck said lakers could have kept caruso, westbrook is the. reason lakers dont have kcp or didnt get hield

but no caruso is on the lakers front Office

and considering that lonzo got traded alongside ingram for a much, much better player (davis) how can one say he was diarespected? or that it was not the correct decision?

did the suns disrespect Jeff hornacek by trading him to get barkley? i think even hornacek would tell you he would have done that trade himself if he was the suns gm
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#223 » by Homer38 » Mon Nov 1, 2021 9:09 pm

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#224 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Nov 1, 2021 10:36 pm

falcolombardi wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
lomzo ball trade led to Anthony davis and a ring in 2020 so probably not


Right, but Chicago signed both Ball & Caruso to long term deals this off-season while the Lakers did what they did.

And I get why it might seem unfair that I'm bringing both these guys up given that Ball's been gone a while and helped bring in AD, but both Ball & Caruso got treated by the Lakers at the end as if they weren't very good, were easy to get rid of, and showed no indication in the 2021 off-season that getting/keeping either of these guys would be a good idea despite the fact that both were guys who could have been got.

Instead they acquired Westbrook as if he was a star who helps teams win championships.


as texas chuck said lakers could have kept caruso, westbrook is the. reason lakers dont have kcp or didnt get hield

but no caruso is on the lakers front Office

and considering that lonzo got traded alongside ingram for a much, much better player (davis) how can one say he was diarespected? or that it was not the correct decision?

did the suns disrespect Jeff hornacek by trading him to get barkley? i think even hornacek would tell you he would have done that trade himself if he was the suns gm


The trading of Lonzo is not the issue in and of itself, because as you say, AD was worth whatever they gave up.

However, that doesn't mean that the story of Lonzo on the Lakers represents developing him as well as possible and being heart-broken to let him go. Through his time with LeBron, Lonzo looked like a bust, and this is part of a broader trend for the Lakers with their high draft picks in the 2010s. Randle, Russell & Ingram have all been named all-stars since leaving LA, and while I'm not super-high on any of them as core championship pieces, something they all have in common along with Lonzo is that they looked better after leaving LA.

I do understand that that might sound reasonable ("Yeah guys get better, duh!"), but every single one of these guys went from hyped prospects that the Lakers were promoting the hell out of, to disappointments, over the course of their Laker years. And as someone who has been following the Lakers a long time, I think the Laker organization needs to seriously reflect on what all went wrong there because the reality is that the much mocked Jimmy Buss (with Mitch Kupchak's adult supervision) drafted about as well as you could expect in that timeframe, and yet those players just spun their wheels until they left.

But to reiterate: What I'm also talking about is that the Lakers very clearly could have gotten Lonzo back given the fact that NO basically just gave him away, so quite literally the idea of a Lonzo/Caruso backcourt right now was entirely plausible. And instead they went after Westbrook.

Re: could have still kept Caruso, not in the Westbrook trade. That's true, nevertheless, I think it's clear that Caruso wasn't considered a priority to retain, and if LeBron had said "Keep that guy!", I bet they would have.

In the end, Caruso was someone the Lakers really didn't seem to mind losing, and to me that's how Lonzo's inclusion in that trade felt as well. Yes he was an assert for NO, but at the time it felt like the Lakers were ready to wash their hands of him.

Re: Caruso is on the front office. It's all on the front office, and it's all on LeBron. I'm not someone suggesting that LeBron is actually the one calling the shots on every detail, but that doesn't mean he's not on the hook for it given the fact that LeBron has repeatedly used his weight to try to get what he wants with every franchise he's played for including the Lakers.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#225 » by parsnips33 » Mon Nov 1, 2021 10:47 pm

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Herro has been balling out for them. Would be cool to see him make the leap this season
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#226 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Nov 1, 2021 11:37 pm

For the record when the inevitable thread is posted criticizing the Kendrick Perkins top 75 list is posted I will not be defending him, it, or whatever process he might or might not have had.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#227 » by falcolombardi » Tue Nov 2, 2021 12:49 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
Right, but Chicago signed both Ball & Caruso to long term deals this off-season while the Lakers did what they did.

And I get why it might seem unfair that I'm bringing both these guys up given that Ball's been gone a while and helped bring in AD, but both Ball & Caruso got treated by the Lakers at the end as if they weren't very good, were easy to get rid of, and showed no indication in the 2021 off-season that getting/keeping either of these guys would be a good idea despite the fact that both were guys who could have been got.

Instead they acquired Westbrook as if he was a star who helps teams win championships.


as texas chuck said lakers could have kept caruso, westbrook is the. reason lakers dont have kcp or didnt get hield

but no caruso is on the lakers front Office

and considering that lonzo got traded alongside ingram for a much, much better player (davis) how can one say he was diarespected? or that it was not the correct decision?

did the suns disrespect Jeff hornacek by trading him to get barkley? i think even hornacek would tell you he would have done that trade himself if he was the suns gm


The trading of Lonzo is not the issue in and of itself, because as you say, AD was worth whatever they gave up.

However, that doesn't mean that the story of Lonzo on the Lakers represents developing him as well as possible and being heart-broken to let him go. Through his time with LeBron, Lonzo looked like a bust, and this is part of a broader trend for the Lakers with their high draft picks in the 2010s. Randle, Russell & Ingram have all been named all-stars since leaving LA, and while I'm not super-high on any of them as core championship pieces, something they all have in common along with Lonzo is that they looked better after leaving LA.

I do understand that that might sound reasonable ("Yeah guys get better, duh!"), but every single one of these guys went from hyped prospects that the Lakers were promoting the hell out of, to disappointments, over the course of their Laker years. And as someone who has been following the Lakers a long time, I think the Laker organization needs to seriously reflect on what all went wrong there because the reality is that the much mocked Jimmy Buss (with Mitch Kupchak's adult supervision) drafted about as well as you could expect in that timeframe, and yet those players just spun their wheels until they left.

But to reiterate: What I'm also talking about is that the Lakers very clearly could have gotten Lonzo back given the fact that NO basically just gave him away, so quite literally the idea of a Lonzo/Caruso backcourt right now was entirely plausible. And instead they went after Westbrook.

Re: could have still kept Caruso, not in the Westbrook trade. That's true, nevertheless, I think it's clear that Caruso wasn't considered a priority to retain, and if LeBron had said "Keep that guy!", I bet they would have.

In the end, Caruso was someone the Lakers really didn't seem to mind losing, and to me that's how Lonzo's inclusion in that trade felt as well. Yes he was an assert for NO, but at the time it felt like the Lakers were ready to wash their hands of him.

Re: Caruso is on the front office. It's all on the front office, and it's all on LeBron. I'm not someone suggesting that LeBron is actually the one calling the shots on every detail, but that doesn't mean he's not on the hook for it given the fact that LeBron has repeatedly used his weight to try to get what he wants with every franchise he's played for including the Lakers.


just to be clear when you criticize the players for influence in the front Office

are you criticizing any involvement by players making demands of the team or just the ones who are wrong in what to demand?

cause caruso criticism would be about NOT making demands of the front Office (as it was a tax move clearly decided by the ownership) and the westbrook criticism would be about the opposite (making the front Office DO somethingh)

in that case wouldnt you have to Blame the stars for every bad move their team makes (cause they could have stopped it) ans credit them for every good one too (cause they asked for it or allowed it)?

to put an example, if pj tucker loss affects the bucks should giannis be at fault for not pressuring the front Office into paying the tax for him, just like lebron didnt pressure the lakers into paying the tax for caruso?

if not trading simmons earlier ruins the sixers championship windows, should de Blame embiid instead of morey for not forcing sixers to trade him ?
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#228 » by Ballerhogger » Tue Nov 2, 2021 5:23 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
I'm glad you asked.

1. The Lakers last year had a bunch of role players who had learned how to play Vogel's scheme together. They played hard without focusing on getting their own buckets, and they played their ass off mostly focusing on what the team needed.

2. The Lakers now have Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony.

I really hope LeBron is watching Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso play together right now and kicking himself.


lomzo ball trade led to Anthony davis and a ring in 2020 so probably not


Right, but Chicago signed both Ball & Caruso to long term deals this off-season while the Lakers did what they did.

And I get why it might seem unfair that I'm bringing both these guys up given that Ball's been gone a while and helped bring in AD, but both Ball & Caruso got treated by the Lakers at the end as if they weren't very good, were easy to get rid of, and showed no indication in the 2021 off-season that getting/keeping either of these guys would be a good idea despite the fact that both were guys who could have been got.

Instead they acquired Westbrook as if he was a star who helps teams win championships.

Caruso unfortunately didn’t play very well for us down the stretch and it’s clear we needed guy who could create for others and get his own . We’re swinging for the fences and traded for Westbrook. Our title window is short so in that regard Westbrook made more sense. Lonzo was asset to get AD , lonzo as now doesn’t help us with shooting which was main reason we didn’t chase him.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#229 » by Ballerhogger » Tue Nov 2, 2021 5:26 am

Homer38 wrote:
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We play them 10th I hope we’re ready then . Bam is going destroy us on the boards :banghead:
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#230 » by Max123 » Tue Nov 2, 2021 1:37 pm

Mobley or Barnes so far? I really wanna say Mobley but I can’t be too sure.


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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#231 » by Outside » Tue Nov 2, 2021 4:01 pm

The league-wide downward scoring trend so far appears to be because shooting is down, and it appears more dramatic because shooting was up last year.

eFG%
.515 - 2021-22
.538 - 2020-21
.529 - 2019-20
.524 - 2018-19

TS%
.546 - 2021-22
.572 - 2020-21
.565 - 2019-20
.560 - 2018-19

Pace
99.9 - 2021-22
99.2 - 2020-21
100.3 - 2019-20
100.0 - 2018-19

ORtg/DRtg
106.8 - 2021-22
112.3 - 2020-21
110.6 - 2019-20
110.4 - 2018-19

Pace hasn't really changed, but eFG% and TS% certainly have, as has the resulting ORtg/DRtg. All three are down this year and were up significantly last year.

The question is why. Why were they up so much last season? Why are they down so much this season? It may just be small sample size theater that will even out over the season. Maybe the officiating changes are having a tangible effect (fewer free throws, more aggressive defense since defenders aren't as worried about offensive players drawing cheap fouls). Maybe last year was reflective of COVID scheduling impact.

It will be interesting to see if the current trends hold up as the season goes along. If they do, then we'd need a deeper dive into Second Spectrum-level data to see what's going on.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#232 » by parsnips33 » Tue Nov 2, 2021 4:11 pm

Outside wrote:The league-wide downward scoring trend so far appears to be because shooting is down, and it appears more dramatic because shooting was up last year.

eFG%
.515 - 2021-22
.538 - 2020-21
.529 - 2019-20
.524 - 2018-19

TS%
.546 - 2021-22
.572 - 2020-21
.565 - 2019-20
.560 - 2018-19

Pace
99.9 - 2021-22
99.2 - 2020-21
100.3 - 2019-20
100.0 - 2018-19

ORtg/DRtg
106.8 - 2021-22
112.3 - 2020-21
110.6 - 2019-20
110.4 - 2018-19

Pace hasn't really changed, but eFG% and TS% certainly have, as has the resulting ORtg/DRtg. All three are down this year and were up significantly last year.

The question is why. Why were they up so much last season? Why are they down so much this season? It may just be small sample size theater that will even out over the season. Maybe the officiating changes are having a tangible effect (fewer free throws, more aggressive defense since defenders aren't as worried about offensive players drawing cheap fouls). Maybe last year was reflective of COVID scheduling impact.

It will be interesting to see if the current trends hold up as the season goes along. If they do, then we'd need a deeper dive into Second Spectrum-level data to see what's going on.


Apparently they switched from Spalding to Wilson balls this season? I saw a quote from Paul George saying that was 1 reason percentages are down
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#233 » by Outside » Tue Nov 2, 2021 4:20 pm

parsnips33 wrote:
Outside wrote:The league-wide downward scoring trend so far appears to be because shooting is down, and it appears more dramatic because shooting was up last year.

eFG%
.515 - 2021-22
.538 - 2020-21
.529 - 2019-20
.524 - 2018-19

TS%
.546 - 2021-22
.572 - 2020-21
.565 - 2019-20
.560 - 2018-19

Pace
99.9 - 2021-22
99.2 - 2020-21
100.3 - 2019-20
100.0 - 2018-19

ORtg/DRtg
106.8 - 2021-22
112.3 - 2020-21
110.6 - 2019-20
110.4 - 2018-19

Pace hasn't really changed, but eFG% and TS% certainly have, as has the resulting ORtg/DRtg. All three are down this year and were up significantly last year.

The question is why. Why were they up so much last season? Why are they down so much this season? It may just be small sample size theater that will even out over the season. Maybe the officiating changes are having a tangible effect (fewer free throws, more aggressive defense since defenders aren't as worried about offensive players drawing cheap fouls). Maybe last year was reflective of COVID scheduling impact.

It will be interesting to see if the current trends hold up as the season goes along. If they do, then we'd need a deeper dive into Second Spectrum-level data to see what's going on.


Apparently they switched from Spalding to Wilson balls this season? I saw a quote from Paul George saying that was 1 reason percentages are down


I wasn't aware of that, but they indeed changed for this season. That can definitely make a difference. In 2006, the NBA tried switching from a leather ball to a synthetic one, and the players hated it and forced them to backtrack fairly quickly. That's obviously a bigger change, but I would think that a different ball would have a different feel, and that will impact players at the NBA level.

We're just a couple of weeks into the season and shooting percentages are down across the board.

Clippers star Paul George thinks the new ball may have something to do with that.

"Not to make an excuse or anything, it's just a different basketball," George told reporters following a 99-94 Clippers victory over the Thunder. "It doesn't have the same touch or softness as the Spalding ball had.

"You'll see this year, there's going to be a lot of bad misses."


https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nba/news/new-nba-ball-wilson-spalding-paul-george-cj-mccollum/ug1p6mv5g1ki14sm5dmtw77bk
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#234 » by therealbig3 » Tue Nov 2, 2021 5:22 pm

Brooklyn, NY, and NO have simply been better at player development than LAL. I think much of that has to do with the fact that they DEPEND on player development, since they can't rely on the best players in the league forcing their way there every few years. I mean, Brooklyn just had that happen, but it's like a once in a lifetime thing, and that was after years of being at the bottom of the barrel. It's not like what the Lakers are used to. Lakers haven't needed to be great at player development, so they're not that good at it.

I mean, honestly, when was the last time the Lakers developed a drafted player into a stud...Kobe? We gotta go back more than 20 years in that case.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#235 » by Fadeaway_J » Tue Nov 2, 2021 5:32 pm

therealbig3 wrote:Brooklyn, NY, and NO have simply been better at player development than LAL. I think much of that has to do with the fact that they DEPEND on player development, since they can't rely on the best players in the league forcing their way there every few years. I mean, Brooklyn just had that happen, but it's like a once in a lifetime thing, and that was after years of being at the bottom of the barrel. It's not like what the Lakers are used to. Lakers haven't needed to be great at player development, so they're not that good at it.

I mean, honestly, when was the last time the Lakers developed a drafted player into a stud...Kobe? We gotta go back more than 20 years in that case.

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#236 » by Texas Chuck » Tue Nov 2, 2021 5:53 pm

therealbig3 wrote:Brooklyn, NY, and NO have simply been better at player development than LAL. I think much of that has to do with the fact that they DEPEND on player development, since they can't rely on the best players in the league forcing their way there every few years. I mean, Brooklyn just had that happen, but it's like a once in a lifetime thing, and that was after years of being at the bottom of the barrel. It's not like what the Lakers are used to. Lakers haven't needed to be great at player development, so they're not that good at it.

I mean, honestly, when was the last time the Lakers developed a drafted player into a stud...Kobe? We gotta go back more than 20 years in that case.


Their high draft picks took a minute to ramp up, but the Lakers have actually done pretty well with less hyped players. Kuzma isn't great but way more utility than an average late 1st. Same with Larry Nance. Hart was solid. Clarkson was solid. Caruso helped. THT showed enough to get himself paid. Austin Reaves is giving them 20 mpg and has the best on/off splits on the team. Others as well.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#237 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 2, 2021 9:11 pm

falcolombardi wrote:just to be clear when you criticize the players for influence in the front Office

are you criticizing any involvement by players making demands of the team or just the ones who are wrong in what to demand?

cause caruso criticism would be about NOT making demands of the front Office (as it was a tax move clearly decided by the ownership) and the westbrook criticism would be about the opposite (making the front Office DO somethingh)

in that case wouldnt you have to Blame the stars for every bad move their team makes (cause they could have stopped it) ans credit them for every good one too (cause they asked for it or allowed it)?

to put an example, if pj tucker loss affects the bucks should giannis be at fault for not pressuring the front Office into paying the tax for him, just like lebron didnt pressure the lakers into paying the tax for caruso?

if not trading simmons earlier ruins the sixers championship windows, should de Blame embiid instead of morey for not forcing sixers to trade him ?


So I'll lead with two things that are significant to me:

1. Once you start looking to move from team to team, you don't get to complain about your supporting cast because you chose it.

2. Once you start really, really twisting the arms of your franchise in undeniably political ways, then any time you don't use those techniques this is effectively your sealed approval for all that happens afterward.

Now, I have LeBron at the top of my GOAT list so I shouldn't give the impression that I'm absurdly harsh here, but yeah, to me he's long since transgressed these traditional boundaries.

On Giannis: If Giannis were behaving like this at all, he'd have gotten the hell off the Bucks before he won that title last year. The GM deserved to lose him, as did his coaches. To me he's about as clean of a modern superstar you'll find in terms of just being a player.

On "blame Embiid for not forcing the trade of Simmons". So this one's interesting because it's in an entirely different category. Here you're not talking about a superstar advocating for the keeping of a vital player, but the trading of a potential rival who is adding value to your team while you yourself are still learning the game. My immediate thought there is that that would be a red flag and something I'd seriously consider trading Embiid away if he did that.

Historically, this is more likely to happen with players demanding coaches being fired, and I feel similarly about that.

Of course the key trump card that can make me change my mind is if I think that the player was right and wasn't just lucky. The example there I always point to is Magic Johnson with his "I am the offense!" rant against Westhead. The truth is, not only was Magic right there, but the modern heliocentric approach to offense essentially begins with Magic right then and there. So while Magic perhaps could have handled the situation better, him in the end being correct makes it hard for me to look at what he did in a negative light - and in fact tends to make me see his behavior as a positive.

Of course you can certainly argue that Embiid would have been just as right to demand Simmons get removed years earlier, but this is where that "lucky" part comes in to me. I don't see any reason to think of young Embiid being smarter at basketball strategy than everyone else in the 76ers organization, so to me Embiid behaving in this way really would have come across as someone who just doesn't get along with others well.

Back to LeBron: I think the reality with him is that he planted his "I am smarter than everyone else about basketball" flag years ago. He was still coy about it during the Miami years, but in his struggle with Blatt back in Cleveland, he might clear that he basically saw everyone "above" him as just his helpers. And to be clear, I don't knock him for doing this, it's just that once he did this, it shifted my perspective of what had to be included under the umbrella of LeBron's impact.

As I say that though, I did kind of give him a fresh start on that front when he went to the Lakers and signed a long contract. But his behavior after that made clear he was by no means just content to play with whoever the Lakers put next to him. There was massive turnover in play before the Lakers won that championship, and it's not so much that I blame LeBron for that as it is that I credit him with that.

Nevertheless, I've been pretty firmly viewing LeBron's performance in LA since that time as someone who was not just a player.

Of course, new facts can come to light. Maybe the Lakers' moves this off-season blindsided LeBron. Or maybe they were literally the opposite of what LeBron said they should do. I don't claim absolute certainty into how these things transpired. It is however part of my philosophy of knowledge building to make the best estimations of things I can at any given time while knowing not all is certain, and with the goal of identifying any wrong assumptions I make and re-examining the facts when this occurs.

I'd be very, very surprised if LeBron didn't know what decisions the Lakers had to make this last off-season, didn't have opinions about those decisions, or wasn't solicited to see how he felt about the options. The Lakers FO has been a dysfunctional place for a long time but not because they didn't listen to their stars enough.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#238 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 2, 2021 9:26 pm

therealbig3 wrote:Brooklyn, NY, and NO have simply been better at player development than LAL. I think much of that has to do with the fact that they DEPEND on player development, since they can't rely on the best players in the league forcing their way there every few years. I mean, Brooklyn just had that happen, but it's like a once in a lifetime thing, and that was after years of being at the bottom of the barrel. It's not like what the Lakers are used to. Lakers haven't needed to be great at player development, so they're not that good at it.

I mean, honestly, when was the last time the Lakers developed a drafted player into a stud...Kobe? We gotta go back more than 20 years in that case.


So, I think there's a lot of truth in what you say, but wanted to add a couple things:

1. The Lakers were great at player development in the Magic Johnson years. And I say that in the Magic years, rather than Riley years or West years, because I feel like it really seems to coincide with Magic more than anyone else. I think there's just plain a truth that much of allows for a great player development culture comes from having a superstar who is buys in to player development and actively mentors others well.

Suffice to say, the Lakers basically haven't said that since. I think LeBron has the capacity for this, but when you see role players as disposable and have even the success stories of the lot ship out pretty quickly in the name of just hoarding big name talent, you're not going to get that. You might argue in this day and age this is not nearly as unrealistic as it used to be, but no player is more known for writing off teammates and pushing the front office to trade them than LeBron is.

2. I think there was a specifically horrible environment for the '10s Laker draft picks. You had a situation where Kobe continued to play superstar long after he stopped being worthy of that kind of primacy. Frankly it probably was worth it for virtue signaling to the basketball world that superstars get everything they want on the Lakers given that LeBron soon after came to the franchise...but that's a toxic environment for coaching in general, and I think it makes players likely to learn bad, or at least not-helpful-on-smart-teams, habits.

And then of course not long after Kobe leaves, LeBron comes, and player development stops being the priority. Given the Lakers got a chip out of it, and could easily have gotten another last year with good health, I can't say it wasn't worth it, but yeah, objectively speaking, their player development went to hell.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#239 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 2, 2021 9:29 pm

Outside wrote:
parsnips33 wrote:
Outside wrote:The league-wide downward scoring trend so far appears to be because shooting is down, and it appears more dramatic because shooting was up last year.

eFG%
.515 - 2021-22
.538 - 2020-21
.529 - 2019-20
.524 - 2018-19

TS%
.546 - 2021-22
.572 - 2020-21
.565 - 2019-20
.560 - 2018-19

Pace
99.9 - 2021-22
99.2 - 2020-21
100.3 - 2019-20
100.0 - 2018-19

ORtg/DRtg
106.8 - 2021-22
112.3 - 2020-21
110.6 - 2019-20
110.4 - 2018-19

Pace hasn't really changed, but eFG% and TS% certainly have, as has the resulting ORtg/DRtg. All three are down this year and were up significantly last year.

The question is why. Why were they up so much last season? Why are they down so much this season? It may just be small sample size theater that will even out over the season. Maybe the officiating changes are having a tangible effect (fewer free throws, more aggressive defense since defenders aren't as worried about offensive players drawing cheap fouls). Maybe last year was reflective of COVID scheduling impact.

It will be interesting to see if the current trends hold up as the season goes along. If they do, then we'd need a deeper dive into Second Spectrum-level data to see what's going on.


Apparently they switched from Spalding to Wilson balls this season? I saw a quote from Paul George saying that was 1 reason percentages are down


I wasn't aware of that, but they indeed changed for this season. That can definitely make a difference. In 2006, the NBA tried switching from a leather ball to a synthetic one, and the players hated it and forced them to backtrack fairly quickly. That's obviously a bigger change, but I would think that a different ball would have a different feel, and that will impact players at the NBA level.

We're just a couple of weeks into the season and shooting percentages are down across the board.

Clippers star Paul George thinks the new ball may have something to do with that.

"Not to make an excuse or anything, it's just a different basketball," George told reporters following a 99-94 Clippers victory over the Thunder. "It doesn't have the same touch or softness as the Spalding ball had.

"You'll see this year, there's going to be a lot of bad misses."


https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nba/news/new-nba-ball-wilson-spalding-paul-george-cj-mccollum/ug1p6mv5g1ki14sm5dmtw77bk


Ooh, right on cue.

It bears reminding to folks that the last time the NBA changed their ball the players successfully got the decision reversed. Difference this time though is that the NBA changed suppliers. This could get really awkward.

I'd really like to see scientific studies on all of these balls compared to each other - and in the case of the last failed new ball, specifically what objective evidence was found that would either support or deny the players' claims. (With that ball, there were complaints of micro-abrasions to the players' palms. To me that's something ought to have been able to be verified - and frankly probably should have been identified ahead of time.)
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#240 » by MisterHibachi » Wed Nov 3, 2021 1:15 am

Are the Heat basically the 2019 Raptors? Should they be considered title favorites right now?
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