Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly?

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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#21 » by Duke4life831 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:03 pm

meekrab wrote:
BNM wrote:PHI is struggling right now and not looking like a contender.

They were 8-2 looking like a well-oiled basketball machine before Embiid got Covid, this 5 game losing streak is not representative. :dontknow:


Sure but they only beat Chicago. They had a very easy schedule to start off the season.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#22 » by dirkforpres » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:03 pm

Considering how open the East is and how they have a real shot of making it out of it this year, I think Philly caves first.

They’ll be able to acquire real pieces to add to an already great roster that can push them above Milwaukee. I think he’s gone by February
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#23 » by HumbleRen » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:03 pm

Philly.

I believe Morey is that stubborn and is willing to sacrifice a precious prime Embiid year for his ego.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#24 » by SNPA » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:04 pm

Push comes to shove Simmons could come back, step on the court and get merciless booed and berated, go directly to the locker room and then restate his mental health claim (a whole city hates him) and continue to get paid.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#25 » by celticfan42487 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:05 pm

Ben just needs to hold out til the end of the year and when Philly flames out of the playoffs the fans will do the rest for him.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#26 » by alexintoronto » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:06 pm

If Philly is allowed to fine him: Philly holds out longer
If not then Simmons does.

In the NBA do players injured long term get payed by the team or by insurance? If insurance reviews and refuses to pay because they don't think he's injured then should Simmons lose his salary / pay the fines until he plays?
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#27 » by Duke4life831 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:10 pm

I think there are multiple issues coming from the Philly point of view.

1. The distraction. There is no denying this is a distraction for the team. Its basically the 1st thing anyone talks about when Philly gets brought up. That will become more and more of a drag for this team as time goes on.

2. You dont want to waste any prime years of Embiid. You have a MVP candidate who doesnt have the best history when it comes to health. You dont want to waste any of his prime seasons. Simmons is 30 million of wasted cap just sitting at home at the moment. That 30 million can be put to use and if youre trying to win a championship, every dollar needs to count.

The biggest issue from Ben's point of view.

If Morey chooses, he can drag this out for the next 4 years and Ben will take a massive hit financially because of it.

I think the most likely scenario is once December 15th comes around, we will start hearing trade talks start to really kick up. I also wont be shocked if behind doors the players and Doc start pressing Morey to make a move and to get the Simmons distraction away from them. Simmons will be traded sometime between December 15th and the trade deadline. I dont see Morey holding him till the summer.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#28 » by LakersLegacy » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:18 pm

Dec 15th - book it

They are just waiting for more players to be available for trade
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#29 » by jstross » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:36 pm

The playing time Maxey is getting is invaluable to speeding up his progression for sure. Thybulle getting more minutes wil help as well once he's back from covid. I'm in the campe that the trade deadline of 2022 draft are the most likely trade dates. A shame the Sivers fell for Simmons ploy to extract an extra $8 million when he had no intention of coming back. That $8 million goes a long way to helping Simmons with his financial obligations while not getting paid.
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Harry Garris wrote:I mean if Philly can't get a decent trade package in return for Simmons they can hold out the rest of his contract. No sense in trading him if the trade isn't going to result in a meaningful improvement in the team's title chances.


This is definitely not how I see it. If he doesn't play this year then his value just goes down. Those advocating on holding Simmons indefinitely feels like they just want to "stick it" to Simmons rather then good asset management.

His value has no way to improve. He won't play and even if he does it's plain to see that it wouldn't go very well. And as for the "teams getting desperate" to make his value go up. This discounts the fact that other teams are involved in bidding and can outbid a devalued Simmons quite easily. So how do you get a star with him by holding on to him?

Holding on to him without a realistic way to increase his value is just lunacy to me. There are still decent (albeit not franchise changing packages) out there that you can combine with your own assets to get their star at a later date.


Embiid isn't 32. He still has a 4-5 year window where he can be the anchor of a team that can potentially compete for a title. Even if this year isn't a year that they will maximize, the growth of young players like Maxey and Thybulle is incredibly important to the team's long-term potential - and in the absence of Simmons, both of those guys should get a lot of playing time this year to grow their games.

In the overall scheme of things, there are still a lot of potential dates that can lead to a transaction - December 15th (when new contracts can be traded), the trade deadline, or even before the 2022 draft.

#teamchill
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#30 » by jstross » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:41 pm

Only issue is they have lots of solid players so adding more of the same doesn't move the needle much
They need at least a quality starter, a quality bench player and some picks.
dirkforpres wrote:Considering how open the East is and how they have a real shot of making it out of it this year, I think Philly caves first.

They’ll be able to acquire real pieces to add to an already great roster that can push them above Milwaukee. I think he’s gone by February
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#31 » by Educator » Thu Nov 18, 2021 7:59 pm

"Wasting Embiid's prime"

This is an illogical argument. If they can't get a player or players who move the needle in return for Simmons, there is no reason to trade him. Trading Simmons for players who improve the team marginally does not help them. Philly does not have to give in just because Simmons is throwing a hissy fit. What would actually waste Embiid's prime would be if they traded an All-Star and All-Defensive player in the beginning of his prime for expensive role players. That would ensure a mediocre future. There's also no indication that Embiid considers this to be a 'waste of his prime'. Considering his personality, he is probably enjoying this.

And I don't buy that Simmons's value is dropping. His value is what it is. Everyone knows what kind of player he is and what that's worth.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#32 » by Trey24 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:26 pm

Philly can hold out WAY longer, as the franchise has no relative "shelf-life". Meanwhile, Simmons is in his Athletic prime and that will end at some point.

Is Simmons willing to sit out for 4 years of his prime with no pay? Doubt it.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#33 » by celtics543 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:28 pm

Educator wrote:"Wasting Embiid's prime"

This is an illogical argument. If they can't get a player or players who move the needle in return for Simmons, there is no reason to trade him. Trading Simmons for players who improve the team marginally does not help them. Philly does not have to give in just because Simmons is throwing a hissy fit. What would actually waste Embiid's prime would be if they traded an All-Star and All-Defensive player in the beginning of his prime for expensive role players. That would ensure a mediocre future. There's also no indication that Embiid considers this to be a 'waste of his prime'. Considering his personality, he is probably enjoying this.

And I don't buy that Simmons's value is dropping. His value is what it is. Everyone knows what kind of player he is and what that's worth.


I'd argue the other way. You aren't getting a star for Simmons. By not trading him you're just handicapping Embiid and wasting 31 million on nothing. If you at least bring in some guys that can play then you're getting something for him. I agree that Philly doesn't have to just give in but if this is his value then it's not changing if he doesn't play.

I'll challenge you to name the trade that you think would be fair for both teams that gets the Sixers what they want for Ben Simmons. I just don't see one where a superstar or even an all star comes back.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#34 » by jokeboy86 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:44 pm

What is this, Seinfeld now?
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#35 » by Lockdown504090 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:58 pm

jokeboy86 wrote:What is this, Seinfeld now?

who will be the master of the 76ers domain :lol: 8-)
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#36 » by mademan » Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:59 pm

I just don’t see how this works out for philly. No team is gonna get desperate and think Ben Simmons is the panacea to their problems. That’s already happened and those were pick packages being offered and I don’t see that changing.

Like I don’t see a team thinking Ben Simmons can be built around at this point. He’s just too risky, on the court obviously but even off the court after this stunt. Who wants to be in the Ben Simmons business? No decent gm imo. Best you’re gonna find are teams who think he might be the missing piece to them winning not teams that want to trade their star for him
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#37 » by dhsilv2 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:03 pm

alexintoronto wrote:If Philly is allowed to fine him: Philly holds out longer
If not then Simmons does.

In the NBA do players injured long term get payed by the team or by insurance? If insurance reviews and refuses to pay because they don't think he's injured then should Simmons lose his salary / pay the fines until he plays?


The team pays here no matter what. Even if they fine him, the team still pays out his salary, it just goes to charity and not Ben. Insurance might reimburse them...but I doubt this will qualify. Would be a hell of a legal precedent actually.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#38 » by dhsilv2 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:05 pm

Duke4life831 wrote:I think there are multiple issues coming from the Philly point of view.

1. The distraction. There is no denying this is a distraction for the team. Its basically the 1st thing anyone talks about when Philly gets brought up. That will become more and more of a drag for this team as time goes on.

2. You dont want to waste any prime years of Embiid. You have a MVP candidate who doesnt have the best history when it comes to health. You dont want to waste any of his prime seasons. Simmons is 30 million of wasted cap just sitting at home at the moment. That 30 million can be put to use and if youre trying to win a championship, every dollar needs to count.

The biggest issue from Ben's point of view.

If Morey chooses, he can drag this out for the next 4 years and Ben will take a massive hit financially because of it.

I think the most likely scenario is once December 15th comes around, we will start hearing trade talks start to really kick up. I also wont be shocked if behind doors the players and Doc start pressing Morey to make a move and to get the Simmons distraction away from them. Simmons will be traded sometime between December 15th and the trade deadline. I dont see Morey holding him till the summer.


76ers are over the cap beyond Simmons contract. They can only "use" that via trade for similar salary back. It isn't like they have cap space to go sign a player. It's trade or nothing, even if they could void his contract, they'd not get any more room.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#39 » by Anti Chalmers » Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:07 pm

IMO, Philly will cave first. Embiid is in his prime and I think Philly can beat any east team, especially if they can get some nice pieces for Simmons. I think they’re just waiting until Decembers when a lot of contracts are eligible to be traded. Will they get fair value for Simmons? I doubt it, that ship has sailed and there’s probably not a team desperate enough to give up tons of asset for him, especially if they think he’s a diva and using the mental issue card to get out of playing. There’s no doubt that he would try it again when’s he unhappy.
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Re: Who can hold out longer? Ben or philly? 

Post#40 » by dhsilv2 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:09 pm

mademan wrote:I just don’t see how this works out for philly. No team is gonna get desperate and think Ben Simmons is the panacea to their problems. That’s already happened and those were pick packages being offered and I don’t see that changing.

Like I don’t see a team thinking Ben Simmons can be built around at this point. He’s just too risky, on the court obviously but even off the court after this stunt. Who wants to be in the Ben Simmons business? No decent gm imo. Best you’re gonna find are teams who think he might be the missing piece to them winning not teams that want to trade their star for him


Philly is waiting for another star to demand out which happens every year or so. Ben's a perfectly logical piece to take back for a star if you're one of the many teams that is small market and doesn't want to go through a few years of being really bad.

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