payitforward wrote:So... what's going on with Brad?
The news isn't all bad. He's having a career year rebounding the ball.
He's tieing his career year in assists.
He's playing effortful, solid defense.
He's shooting FTs at a career high %. Though on way fewer attempts than last year.
His 2 pt. % is down, yes, but it's not a disastrous drop.
But... unfortunately, his 3pt% has fallen significantly -- plus he's shooting them more than last year! Last year just under 27% of his attempts were 3s. This year it's almost 34%. His shot attempts are down overall, but his 3 pt. attempts are actually up. That's not a good recipe given the way his % has tumbled.
The other problem is turnovers -- they are up by 31%.
Here's a way to think about it: per 40 minutes last year Brad had a combined 7.75 TOs & missed 3's. This year that number is over 10.15. That's over 30% more!
I posted this on the game thread, but it probably belongs here:
Beal was beyond awful in his first 3 games. Since then, he has merely been sub-par, but not really that terrible. Excluding his first 3 games, he is averaging 24.3 points, 6.9 assists, 5.4 rebounds and 4.0 turnovers while posting a TS% of .547 and a 3P% of .319. League average TS% is .549.
His 4.0 turnovers per game (excluding the first 3 games) hurts, but it's really not that bad for a high usage player. His TOV% (excluding the first 3 games) is 15.3. For comparison, there are 22 other guards in the league that are coughing up the ball more often per possession, including guys like Chris Paul, Jrue Holiday, Lonzo Ball, Darius Garland, Kyle Lowry and James Harden. That said, Beal's TOV% is a bit more painful because of his extraordinarily high USG%. But it probably falls on Wes Jr. to get his usage down a bit. Beal shouldn't have a 32.6% USG% (ranks 7th in the league) on a team with Dinwiddie.
