jbk1234 wrote:toooskies wrote:jbk1234 wrote:
If the Cavs want to eventually get to a place where they consistently beat good teams, then Lauri and Mobley are going to have to get shots in the 4th so the offense is less predictable and more difficult to defend. The way the Jazz sold out on Garland/Mobley on the last possession, and the Bucks began trapping Garland as soon as the Cavs closed the gap, is something you're going to see more and more often. The Spurs didn't have one guy that could beat you, they always had three (or even four with Green/Leonard). I'd rather Mobley and Lauri get pushed into being offensive threats in the fourth quarter and develop into legitimate secondary options with the game on the line than trade for a 2 guard who will have us defaulting into the Portland model. It's just a lot harder to scheme against multiple guys with size in the final two minutes and that's when games are won or lost in the post season. It's also a lot harder to defend them without fouling.
Mobley is 5/11 in crunch time, Lauri is 5/10 (1/6 on threes), Allen is 8/9. The big guys have done fine.
Garland is 8/23 (0/10 on threes), Rubio is 3/13 (1/9 on threes), Osman/Sexton/Okoro a combined 4/16 (2/9 on threes).
So I don't really see a big man problem in crunch time-- their volume is pretty much balanced as secondary guys. I see a problem with outside shooting that's mostly on our most-used guard pairing. We're a collective 5/41 from three in crunch time and Garland/Rubio are 1/19. Rubio's been fine historically in crunch time so maybe it's fatigue for him, or maybe he's got too much scoring responsibility; for Garland it's likely a combination of fatigue, adjusting to being the #1 option in crunch time. It's also a bit of small sample size individually, so either guy (or the whole team) may just turn it around without changing anything.
JBB's rotation has had Rubio play 14 of the last 18 minutes of the game and 16 of the last 18 minutes of the game the past two nights, and he's gone 0-4 at the end of games. That probably needs fixing, whether it's overlapping Rubio and Garland less during the game or putting Rubio/Garland on a similar rotation to Mobley/Allen, with Rubio in the starting lineup so he gets more than a few minutes of rest between his second-half stints.
Allen is essentially an extension of Garland in these numbers, but that aside, how are you defining crunch time? Are the games still close or are the Cavs up by 10+ points because it matters. I'm really curious as to how it's being defined as Garland is 0/10 on threes in your sample.
< 5 minutes left, score within 5. NBA.com's "Clutch" stats.
Edit: here's the link: https://www.nba.com/stats/players/clutch-traditional/?sort=MIN&dir=-1&Season=2021-22&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&TeamID=1610612739&PerMode=Totals