giannis and 1 wrote:rilamann wrote:giannis and 1 wrote:I actually think the Bulls are better than the Heat.
Bucks/Nets
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Bulls
Heat
Sixers
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Cavs
Hornets
Celtics
Hawks
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Wizards
Raptors
Knicks
Pacers
Bulls or Heat would be a good debate. The Heat scare me, not so much because of their overall talent, but because they have two guys in PJ and Bam who they can throw at Giannis. If the Heat can slow Giannis down and get hot from 3, they have the guys to make that a possibility, they could be some trouble for us. Or Giannis could go full goat on them and the Heat could go cold and it would be a quick series for us like it was last season.
Bulls strike me as a good regular season team that will fizzle out a bit in the playoffs. I think our defense would give them a lot of trouble in a best of 7 series. They have a bunch of good players, but they don't have a player on the level of Giannis. I think we'd just be too much for them.
I think the Heat would have a better chance against us, but in a series against each other, I think the Bulls would beat the Heat.
You could be right about that, it's one of those match up things. If you took the Bucks and Nets out of the argument in the east, who is the best team? I would be tempted to say the Bulls right now. With Miami being #2 when they're fully healthy. That said, I'd be more nervous from the Buck's perspective if we played the Heat than if we played the Bulls.
I don't think the Heat would beat the Bucks in a series if the Bucks are locked in and relatively healthy, I think we could beat Miami without Lopez, although he'd be big in that series no pun intended. Miami is just one of those teams I would rather not have to face in the playoffs if we can help it. Let them beat up the Nets in round 2.
If the Nets get the #1 seed, I will be hoping Miami is in that #4 vs #5 match up. If we get the #1 seed, hopefully Miami finishes #3.
Here's how I see the east finishing up as of right now, still got a long way to go obviously and a lot can change.
#1 Bucks 56-26 - I think we end up over taking the Nets by seasons end. Partly because I think we're going to pick it up a notch or two and partly because I think the Nets are going to load manage KD a bit in the 2nd half of the season. Although Bud could load manage Giannis and a few other guys in the 2nd half of the season for us and make it a wash.
#2 Nets 54-28 - Like I said, I think the Nets load manage KD and probably Harden too in the 2nd half of the season. I can't imagine that Nash is going to continue to play KD close to 40 minutes almost every night for the rest of the season. I could be wrong though, I think if the Nets go hard for the #1 seed and don't manage KD's minutes, they will win around 58 games and get the #1 seed. As of right now, I think the #1 seed is the Net's to lose. But is it worth driving KD into the ground by May? For some reason the Nets strike me as the type of team who would jeopardize winning the east to try and get the #1 seed. Maybe that's just me. If they want the #1 seed bad enough to drive KD into the ground to get it, be my guest. We know Bud isn't going to drive Giannis into the ground for the #1 seed.
#3 Bulls 51-31 - I think the Bulls will cool off a bit and not sneak up on people as much in the 2nd half of the season. 51-31 is still a really good record for them.
#4 Heat 49-33 - Would have had the Heat #3 if Bam hadn't gotten hurt. I don't think they can beat the Nets or Bucks in a series but they can put some scare into them.
#5 Sixers 48-34 - I think the Sixers come back and go on a good run, they were actually on a good track until Embiid got Covid. There's always that team or two who goes on a run and has a couple of the better records after the all star break. I think the Sixers will be one of those teams, like the Hawks last season. Plus they will probably end up getting some quality players for Simmons at some point before the deadline.
#6 Cavs 46-36 - I think the Cavs come back down to earth a bit, they're good but I think they are overachieving and like the Bulls, are sneaking up on people. 46-36 is a great season compared to where the Cavs were last season. One of the surprise teams and coolest stories of the season. If they trade for Simmons? I think they could drop out of #6 and end up in the play-in. If I am the Cavs I don't go for Simmons. They have a good thing going chemistry wise, it looks like they have a good group of guys who enjoy playing together, it's one of the reasons they are playing well, don't risk messing it up. I wouldn't at least
Those are my six who get in. Hard to say who is going to be #7 and #8 because of the play-in. The play-in is actually going to be pretty incredible because 2 really good teams aren't going to make the playoffs. My play-in teams would be the Hornets, Celtics, Hawks and Wizards. I think the Hawks end up #7 and stay #7 after the play-in. I'll say Hornets get #8. Celtics, Knicks and Wizards are all really solid teams that won't make the playoffs.
That's my take. I think the east is the Bucks and Nets and a bunch of really good teams who aren't quite good enough to beat the Bucks and Nets. If I had to sum it up.