oreon wrote:contract wrote:Tony15 wrote:They really ought to just postpone the season for a month.
Omicron is spreading like wildfire, but it could still be kicking around for months. And that's assuming that yet another variant doesn't pop up. Mandatory vaccines and boosters and daily testing and strict protocols is the way to mitigate this, but the union will never agree to it.
At the current rate teams are going to have to expand rosters and create split squads like MLB in spring training.
In SA it spread fast and there was also a quick decline. Fauci estimates peak should be end of Jan and there might be a steep decline as well. I don't have the numbers but in the NBA it seems half the players have gotten covid so this tracks with what Fauci is saying. For the people that are vaccinated the speed of which Omicron spreading might not be the worst thing. The hope is it becomes dominant and snuffs out the other variants and a majority get immunity from it. So to be positive we could see not an end but covid kinda become like the seasonal flu where it is manageable. So the NBA and everyone at large could be in a good position2 months or so.
But that in the case we don't get another variant then its back to one. This really needs to end, another year of Covid is depressing.
There has been over 1000 confirmed variants so far, but only a handful of variants of concern (VoCs) like delta & omicron. The way we get variants is is via more hosts, increasing the chances of stable and useful variations happening. The reason we have delta & omicron is due to certain countries not being able to contain it. The long-term outlook is probably the flu-like seasonal change thing, but a potentially more deadly version.
The steps mentioned by contract are the only way to beat this, but humans seem to not want to follow these guidelines. We’ve seen it in Australia, and now WA has only a month left of border control, while NSW is experiencing the highest rate of community transmission Australia’s ever had (at a rate 4 times previous highs).
NBA needs to permanently expand roster spaces, and ensure the expansion has no cap/tax implications. The league needs to encourage teams expanding the pool of players and almost incentivise it.