dhsilv2 wrote:CraftylikeaFox wrote:There’s absolutely more non Laker fans who think that Duncan was better than Kobe. If you did a poll without Laker fans Duncan would win in a landslide. Putting their resumes next to each other makes it easy. That’s why your arguments against him are reaches, like not winning back to backs and team USA performance.
Maybe 25% (or more) of non-Laker fans hate Kobe and the Laker's though, lol. So let's not pretend there's not a bias.
Duncan's resume may be slightly better but there is an argument for Kobe.
Both have 5 rings as the 1st or 2nd best player on the team, which is very rare/elite company.
I'm not saying that Kobe is tremendously worse than Duncan. In fact on my own list I have Kobe only one spot below Duncan and have them both in my top 10. For Laker fans, I definitely see how Kobe could be ranked higher. He means more to that fanbase than a top 10 ranking will ever be able to quantify. But for non Laker fans, stats and accolades are stats and accolades. Stats could probably be a wash, but Duncan has the same amount of championships, more playoff appearances, more MVP's, and more finals MVP's. Those last two things will always be the tie breaker.
I don't believe you're find any method of looking at stats and coming to a conclusion that Kobe and Duncan are a wash.
Here's a 97-2014 rapm study.
https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/97-14-rapm-2Clearly missing a few poor Duncan years and has Kobe's but with the sample size a year or two is not moving the needle at all here.
Here's top RAPM numbers, not full careers.
https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/top-rapmWS and VORP give Duncan a decided edge in career value. Even their playoff stats tell the same story.
Any argument to move Kobe over Duncan would require significant and fairly great effort to in depth explain how teammates, systems, coaching, and/or roles accounting for the statistical gap both in terms of your traditional box score metrics and the modern advanced ones.
No, the argument would include longevity, and it's not that hard to bring up a ton of stats that favor Kobe in that department. You didn't include any longevity stats, like career points, career assists, rebounds, steals, blocks, etc. Did you know
Kobe has 2000+ more career assists than Tim Duncan? Kobe's 4th all time in points at 33,000, where Duncan is 15th at 26,000, which is not even close. Duncan has a big lead in rebounds, which is countered by Kobe in steals - makes sense for their respective positions, so those two are kind of a wash. But I think the assists tells a HUGE part of the picture that Kobe accomplished a lot more in running an offense and making plays for others, his entire career, a lot more than Duncan did overall.
The idea is that while Duncan had a better peak, Kobe's longevity makes it a close contest between the two. It's reasonable to ague that if you think longevity is just as important to peak, that Kobe should rank higher. It's the same reason most rank Duncan is over Shaq, for example. Because they aren't just looking at 3-5 years. They are looking at entire careers. WS and VORP are efficiency based career numbers, yes, but they don't account for total career acccomplishments in stats, which very much do matter if we're talking all time greats.