Post#1220 » by pcbothwel » Fri Jan 21, 2022 4:59 pm
I just keep looking at the schedule and dont see how it shakes out well for us.
- Through the deadline, we have 9 games (Toronto, Boston, LAC, Memphis, Milwaukee, Philly, Suns, Heat, and Nets) in which I cant imagine we win more than 3...MAYBE 4 if we play well.
- That puts us at .500 AT BEST, with 28 games to go. If we overperform and play really well we win ~16/28, Moderate and win 14, poorly and win 10.
- So if everything falls into place, we'll be a 44 win team in the 7th seed... But more likely than not we are a <=.500 team and the 9th seed.
- The team(s) right in front of us (Hornets, Cavs, 76ers) appear to be getting better and will further the gap.
- The team(s) 3/4 teams right behind us (Boston, Toronto, Atlanta) are getting healthy and look to be real problems.
If we dont trade Beal. My first call is to OKC and see if we can get the 2022 Suns 1st (and a future 2nd, maybe our 2023 2nd) in exchange for removing all protections from our 2023 pick to them. Its a real gamble for us if Beal doesnt resign, but thats why OKC would do it.
We then have our unprotected 2022 1st to use in a trade, which I think is a decent asset.
I then monitor the Philly situation and see if a Dinwiddie, Bertans, Kuzma, Rui, Harrell, etc. plus 1st trade package is enough to get Simmons + Harris.
I.E.
Harris, Simmons, Springer, White (Bulls) to DC
Dinwiddie, Bertans, KCP, Harrell, DJJ(Bulls), Rui, Wiz 1st, POR 1st to Philly
Kuz + Holiday to Bulls
Run Beal as the PG in the half court and let Simmons run wild in transition
Beal / White / Springer
Kispert / Ayayi / Springer
Simmons / Deni
Harris / Gill
Bryant / Gafford / Bassey
- Philly: Dinwiddie is a better player, cheaper contract, and better fit in Philly than DeAaron Fox. And Rui + 2 1st is the perfect bridge value to keep their options open in future trades.
KCP + Harrell could also be sent to another team for additional value if Philly cant get them in the rotation.
- Bulls: This trade may not be doable with Ball going down for a few weeks, but they get a great fit for them.
- DC: We take a homerun swing and hope that:
A) Beal/Simmons Lead Guard duo can work, B) Harris bounces back to form, and C) White, Kispert, and Bryant and spread the floor enough for Simmons.