Ferry Avenue wrote:stormi wrote:The most optimized roster James Harden ever played on:
Notable stats/attributes [per 100 possessions]
Chris Paul: Ballhandler, spacer, guard defender, playmaker - 10.1 3PA, 12.2 assists, 2.6% steal rate
James Harden
Trevor Ariza: 3&D wing, athlete, bomber - 10.0 3PA, 6'8, 36.8% from 3, 2.1% steal
PJ Tucker: 3&D wing, corner specialist - 6.7 3PA, 9.9 rebounds, 37.1% from 3
Clint Capela: Hard screen setter, roller, rim protector, ferocious rebounder
Bench: Eric Gordon (Secondary creator, relentless bomber - 13.9 3PA), Ryan Anderson (relentless bomber - 9.7 3PA), Gerald Green (6'6 athletic wing, bomber from 3 - 15.8 3PA)
The plan was pretty simple, everyone on the court was making the life on James Harden easier, whether it was through defensive intensity, floor spacing, or rim running / athleticism. And besides Ryan Anderson - who lost his playoff minutes to Gerald Green anyways - there were no exploitable defenders on the court.
We're built completely the opposite. Niang and Green are our only two bombers and both have either waning or no athleticism.
Maxey shoots 5.2 3PA/100, Harris 5.0 3PA, Thybulle 4.6 3PA
Not only are we not getting adequate floor spacing from our starting unit, but we're somehow not getting the size, length or defensive switchability...
We're also lacking another true playmaker.
It isn't realistic to expect this roster to be transformed into the 2018 Houston Rockets. We have Joel Embiid and James Harden has to adjust his playstyle to playing alongside a dominant big.
I do think Maxey can be that Eric Gordon type of secondary scorer, but we need another playmaker in that S5 (Mike Conley). The entirety of the halfcourt offense and facilitation cannot run through the the hands of a 33 year old James Harden. It's overly predictable.
And then we simply need more shooting and size. That's non negotiable.
Niang, Maxey, Furkan, Shake, Harris etc are all exploitable defenders and it's dangerous because realistically we're going to have multiple of these guys on the court at all times.
Thybulle is an exploitable offensive player that's going to have to be schemed into effectiveness.
Very interested to see what happens this season, and where we do go from here.
That team had the GS Warriors down 3-2 in the conference finals and lost the following two games to lose the series. In those two games Harden was 10 for 24 and 12 for 29 shooting.
He's now four years older, 32 as opposed to the 28 he was then, and of course 33, 34, and 35 are far different pro basketball years for a player than 29, 30, and 31.
So, is this really the player you want to build around?
When he was in his prime and surrounded by an optimal roster, on a team that went 65-17 and led the league in net rating at +8.7, he laid an egg in the conference finals and his team lost the series. He isn't going to do any better or get any closer than that at age 33, 34, or 35.
We just spent years in a misguided attempt to build around Ben Simmons. Building around James Harden at age 32 (and 33 and 34...) would be a similarly misguided attempt.
This is a Sixers fanbase that has been starving for someone to accompany Joel Embiid and get this team over the proverbial hump after watching a disappointing and demoralizing Ben Simmons fail to do so for several years. Just because someone has finally shown up and provided some hope in that regard doesn't mean it's the right person for the job.
This team still needs a centerpiece in my opinion. That player can be neither Embiid nor Harden.
Explore-exploit strategy.
When do you exploit?
When do you explore?
It depends on how much time you have.
We’ve been exploring since 2013.
We got Embiid and continued exploring.
We went after LeBron, and he used us as leverage.
We passed up on Kawhi, because we believed in Ben.
Got Jimmy and continued exploring.
We lose Jimmy, because we believed in Ben.
We hired Morey to get a chance on Harden.
We now have an MVP candidate player at his prime and one of the best player in the league right now on his last legs on Harden, there’s no way you can say those two are not a duo you can’t compete with (build around).
If we can go back and do it all over again since 2013. In 100 tries, how often can you get this version of Embiid and a player like Harden?
When you reach a certain threshold in probability and time remaining, you have to push all your chips. And that is right now for us. We just need to know when to cut our losses when the time is right then we do it all over again, much better because we have learned from our mistakes.
There’s never been a time in history when we look back and say that the people who were censoring free speech were the good guys.