I just read an ESPN piece about reseeding the Sweet 16 and they had Kansas as overall #2 (2nd #1 seed) and AZ the 3rd #1 seed. But they had Houston, AZ's next opponent as the 4th #1 seed out of the 16.
Also on the ESPN matchup predictor, it shows Houston at 60.8% chance of winning and AZ only at 39.2%, though AZ is favored by 2.
https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401408622Probably doesn't help AZ the game is in San Antonio. Houston also just beat Illinois by 15 (AZ beat them by 4) and also Houston beat Memphis (who nearly beat Gonzaga) in their conference championship by 18.
I do think a close game scare may help AZ be more focused and clean up their rebounding issues. Hopefully they shoot better.
This has to be the toughest matchup for a top 3 seed in the Sweet 16.
538 gives Houston a 52% chance of winning.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-march-madness-predictions/