I guess my thought on offseason conversation is to try to figure realistically what the team will do, then see if there is a way to build around that. There may not be, but many of the wilder takes by fans are outside of the bounds of reality. Though if someone had proposed Tommy's 5-team trade last year I would have snorted in derision so you never know.
Still, like it or not, to start the year I think we will trot out a similar team this year as last. I am operating with these assumptions:
Brad will re-sign. I personally have been saying I think he does not get the supermax. After his injury and wrist surgery Tommy said he made clear the 'offer is on the table'. The offer being the extension presented at the beginning of the season. Brad has stated that once you sign a contract you are locked in with no say-so. I think he likes being courted. I expect he will ask for and get player option years. Though he will talk about family and loyalty as key reasons for re-signing, he enjoys having one foot out the door so other players can talk about how they would like him on their team.
The plan is to build around Porzingis as a centerpiece. Wes has played him as a high post Big, feeding him the ball early and revolving the action around him. We still lost, but Porzingis looked better in that role. Brad + Zinger has been cited as the new Jokic + Murray. Maybe it works. Maybe there is synergy there. Depends which Brad Beal we get back.
The team will still want to try the Cobb salad of forwards we get in Deni/Rui/Kuz to see how they look next to Porzingis and Brad. Unless something wild happens on draft night we will enter the season with them on the roster. How they play determines which to keep and which to dangle in trade. But the Wiz FO likes the guys they have, and here is the reasoning:
Deni: the Wiz statisticians love +/- data. Deni looks great in +/- stats. (Kispert too looks good here).
Rui: Market. Potential. Double bottom nice guy. Playing pre-season games in Japan. Double-bottom line, they stood by him when he was rehabbing from emotional exhaustion, doesn't look great to dump him. "He only got a partial season to develop, lets see how he looks with a full offseason" without heavy FIBA obligations. He has become a reliable shot-maker of wide open 3's, count that as development. The team will listen to offers, but only after the season starts, and if he does not mesh well with KP.
Kuz: Rumor coming from various reporters in other markets was that at the trade deadline all Wiz players were available except Brad and Kuzma. Ted attends games, Kuzma makes big shots, that looks good to the average fan, to Ted the fan. They like him, with the caveat below.*
Draft: we will draft best player available. We will not trade down. Tommy trusts his own gut and scouting. He will be excited for whichever player slips to us. He will of course say we had him higher rated and had discussed trading up to get him. Ok Tommy might agree to a pick swap as part of a draft day trade.
I do think it possible Tommy would package the pick plus someone for a current player (and future assets) if teams are offering something that makes the team look better. Look better to co-GM Brad that is. The timing of the offseason means Brad still has say in what the team does. The draft is June 23rd. Free agency begins August 1st. This may be the last offseason of Brad's influence on the team, but they still want to show him they can build around him.
* I get the sense Kuzma and Beal don't get along great, so the team may listen to offers of Kuzma plus a pick to land that Big Guard that Brad wants. When Beal was selling teammates out and throwing them under the bus, Kuz was tweeting "self awareness is a virtue". Addressed to no one in particular, but I bet Brad's wife had a lot to say about it. Co-GM Brad may have influence here.
Likewise the team will retain KCP to start the season. That's Beal's guy.
I think they will re-sign Satoransky since he and KP have chemistry.
Daniel Gafford is locked in long term. I doubt they dangle him for trade. Especially in his last year on a cheap contract. They liked the look of the super-big line.
Which means to start the year we'd be looking at something like:
..../ Sato.
Brad/...
KCP/Kispert
Kuz/Deni/Rui
Porzingis/Gafford
Draft picks 1: I expect some projected high pick will slip. Shaedon Sharpe, AJ Griffin. 50/50 chance the board collapses and explodes like a neutron star when Tommy skips the raw hypertalent for the most 'game-ready' player available (probably Johnny Davis). Possibly we see a pick swap on a draft day trade, falling back to pick up Nikola Jovic, who they had "rated far higher" on their boards.
2nd round: Ziga Samar. Book it.
6'6" PG out of Slovenia. Playing in Spain.
FA: I think Tommy will make a play for local kid Victor Oladipo. Figuring we get a rehabbed and rested version of the former MIP/All-star.
and the inevitable inimitable Ish Smith as a 3rd back-up PG.