Chanel Bomber wrote:B8RcDeMktfxC wrote:Chanel Bomber wrote:At this point the Knicks will have to overpay to sell Brunson on the idea of joining the Knicks, and trade significant value to Dallas to have the Mavs agree to a S&T, since the Knicks don't have the capspace to sign him outright.
The odds seem stacked against us.
The Knicks are in a sort of Catch-22 here in a straight up Knicks-Mavs deal. The more they (over)pay Brunson to encourage him, the more salary that Dallas would have to take back in the S&T - and the further over the luxury tax that would put them. I mean, its one thing for the Mavs to be $25m over the tax threshold on resigning Brunson, but quite another to be $25m over the threshold for the honour of having Nerlens Noel, Kemba Walker and Alec Burks on the roster.
It's an interesting angle. Thanks for sharing this.
I highly doubt the Mavs would see any of these players as actual value - rather salary fillers. The Knicks would need to send the Dallas pick, and one of their young players, in addition to salary filler in my opinion. Especially if a S&T further puts them over the luxury tax, as you mentioned. They will have to send actual value back, almost like a regular trade. Unless the Mavs actually value Randle.
Yeah. Randle is the mystery question. I kinda doubt Dallas value him, but arguably he can be the #2/#3 guy and be more efficient if he plays with Luka. So let's think about their playoff rotation this year: Luka, Brunson, DFS, Powell and Reggie Bullock. With Dinwiddie and Maxi Kleber playing ~30m each. Bertans is playing nothing. Josh Green plays a few minutes - but going forward they'd probably plan for him to play a bit more. Take out Brunson and sub Randle straight in. Does that make sense? I guess that's a possibility. I wouldn't love it, but it's not ridiculously stupid. Possibly Powell and Randle get in each other's way too much in the paint. But maybe just try to minimize those minutes?
[edit] I forgot (to say): they presumably get THJ back from injury next year and he would take up some guard minutes, so just in a straight Randle for Brunson swap and assuming no other moves maybe Dallas has a 8 or 8.5 man playoff rotation next year. (Again, not realistic, but just moving everything forward without changes/improvements/fallings-oo/trades etc.)
Other than that, Dallas is already $4.5m over the tax threshold assuming they pick up the player option on Kleber ($9.25m) - which I assume they will do, because how else are they going to engineer 20+m of time/playoff game? (They can turn down their $2m option on Frank, and they may do so, but it hardly saves salary - I guess they could save ~$1m with a non-first round rookie.)
Your idea of a straight trade between Dallas and the Knicks in which the Knicks would get Brunson ($30.25m) and Bertans and the Knicks would give up the Dallas FRP, a young player and filler works. It has to include Rose and would work with, eg, Rose, one of Obi and Cam and both Kemba and Noel (the math doesn't quite work with Burks instead of either of the latter two). Tbh, I don't think that is a great deal for Dallas as it is: they go a further $22m into the tax for Obi, the pick and the filler salary. However, if they can flip that filler salary as part of a deal for Gobert then things don't look so bad. So maybe that's an option.
The other speculative thought I just had (and which is a legal trade) was a trade in which the Knicks get Brunson, Dallas gets Fournier and the Dall2023FRP and Cam gets shipped off to OKC (for the sake of argument) with some amount of 2RP going to OKC to incentivize the deal and the sacremental swapping of draft rights to never-coming to the league players to consumate the deal (ensuring 'touching' all around). That seems like a reasonable deal for Dallas (if they believe in Fournier as a player). And then they try to palm Bertans off together with the Dall2023FRP in a trade for Gobert.