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Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans

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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#361 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Fri Apr 15, 2022 12:34 am

nate33 wrote:
payitforward wrote:
pcbothwel wrote:PIF... Why are you being so evasive? Im literally quoting you from the last week(s) and you wont give me an answer:

You stated above that KP's stats before he got here "were, overall, below average for an NBA Center in every one of those seasons."

To counter that, I provided you KP's stats over the last two years(Yes, I know it included some games in DC, but was overwhelmingly taken from his time in Dallas) and asked you to provide me with a sample of Bigs that you deem to be better. After numerous vague post you have yet to do that

Of course I'm not going to get into that! It's a senseless way to discuss a player. I don't "deem" players better or worse. I'm not judging someone's floor routine in gymnastics. I just look at their actual numbers -- the players determine who's better or worse by the numbers they put up.

Let me just turn it around for you to answer. I don't think you will. Since, I assume, you think KP last season ('20-21) was an above average NBA Center, why don't you tell me whom you would compare him to? You think he had a sizable jump last year: who'd did his jump put him next to? I.e. who was an equally good Center in 2020-21?

Instead, let's just look at KP's per-40-minute numbers in 2020-21 compared to the average output of an NBA Center that year, ok? I'll do everything else first & then scoring last. & I'll give differences (better-worse, more-less) rather than raw numbers.

KP committed .5 fewer fouls per 40 minutes than the average of all Centers. That's good, right?
He had .67 fewer turnovers than average -- also good.
He blocked just slightly more shots than average per 40 -- @ .08 more. A tiny difference, but still on the plus side of average.
But, he also had .5 fewer steals per 40 minutes & 1 fewer assist as well. So, on the sum of all that, he's about average overall.

OTOH, he got .583 fewer defensive rebounds than average. & he got 1 fewer offensive rebound than average for an NBA Center in 40 minutes. In effect, that's @1.6 fewer possessions for his team in those 40 minutes.

So, before we get to scoring, KP is a bit behind the average in what he accomplished last season per 40 minutes.

However, KP scored almost 7.6 more points than an average NBA Center that year. Thing is, though, possessions aren't free, & to score those extra points, KP needed to use about 6.42 more possessions than an average Center.

In other words, with the 1.6 fewer possessions from rebounds, those 7.6 points cost his team something over 8 possessions. Which left Kristaps Porzingis, in 2020-21, as a significantly below average NBA Center in productivity. As he was the year before, & as he was for Dallas this year.

He's playing a lot better for us, fortunately. On 1.3 more shots & a couple more FTAs, he's producing almost 5 more points. The result is that his TS% is .601 rather than .561 as it was in Dallas before he was traded. Plus, his offensive rebounding is up, his defensive rebounding his up, & his assists are also up.

That's what "better" means.

Where I disagree with PIF's analysis is in how he compares players by position, rather than role. Yes, Porzingis is nominally a center, but he is not merely a low usage rim-roller. He plays a lot of pick and pop and a lot of high post, which are lower percentage endeavors. But because he can do it, it allows other players to get more shots at the rim in a higher percentage manner.

PIF will look at Porzingis and Gafford, see that Gafford scores with insanely high efficiency while rebounding just as much, and conclude that Gafford is better. His analysis doesn't factor that other players have more difficulty scoring efficiently with Gafford on the floor because Gafford occupies the paint and isn't much of a passer.

I wish PIF would compare players according to their role, more so than their nominal position. There are stretch bigs, post bigs, and rim running bigs. There are stationary shooting wings, slashing wings, and movement shooters like Kispert. There are primary ball handling guards and secondary ball handlers. Some of those jobs are easier than others. Being good at an easier job isn't necessarily as difficult as being mediocre at a harder job.
Zinger, like Pau Gasol, could play 2-5

Not my fault people can't fathom a great shooter playing SG at 7'3". Not my fault it SHOULD BE OBVIOUS Kristaps can line up as a SF. He's more of a 3 than a 4 imo. He's only a 5 because he's tall an can protect the rim.

If course I'm wrong...some of the time..


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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#362 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Fri Apr 15, 2022 12:39 am

Shoe wrote:
payitforward wrote:
nate33 wrote:...I wish PIF would compare players according to their role, more so than their nominal position. There are stretch bigs, post bigs, and rim running bigs. There are stationary shooting wings, slashing wings, and movement shooters like Kispert. There are primary ball handling guards and secondary ball handlers. Some of those jobs are easier than others. Being good at an easier job isn't necessarily as difficult as being mediocre at a harder job.


I'm only interested in judging how "good" a player is in the sense of measuring that guy's effect on wins & losses -- & wins/losses are measured by numbers exclusively. I.e. to understand how good a player is -- in the sense of how much effect he has on wins/losses -- you must be able to translate what he does into its impact on increasing/decreasing his team's TS% or his team's number of possessions


why are teams investing millions of dollars in optical tracking data when it's as simple as TS% and number of possessions

NATE is absolutely right about roles. Execs polled by hoopshype had LEBRON and DARKO as the closest thing to what NBA teams use. Both of those stats use a 12 archetype system to account for players roles.
People lock in on perceptions. Size. Conventional thinking.

NFL O-linemen...prototype has to be 6'5" and up. Why must every tackle be of height?

Look at the Brooklyn Net lineup. Looks like 6'4" and under plus KD for the most part

Wes Unseld was a 6'6" C.

I digress...

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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#363 » by Frichuela » Sat Apr 16, 2022 7:11 pm

Bertans being abused defensively in the first game vs the Jazz…good riddance..
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#364 » by FAH1223 » Sat Apr 16, 2022 8:13 pm

Frichuela wrote:Bertans being abused defensively in the first game vs the Jazz…good riddance..

Dinwiddie missed FTs too which were critical
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#365 » by CntOutSmrtCrazy » Sat Apr 23, 2022 5:41 pm

Despite Dallas being up 2-1 without Doncic, Dinwiddie has been awful from an efficiency point of view with .33/.17/.74 splits. Bertans had one of is better games for them in game 3 with 15 points on 4-7 from 3 and a +6. Any time you can get a positive plus minus out of Bertans were he's logging any type of significant minutes, it’s a huge deal.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#366 » by trast66 » Mon May 16, 2022 1:15 am

Spencer winning the trade single handedly tonight, so far. I thought Jason Kidd would ruin that team but he has been great. His assistant Sean Sweeney is going to get a head coaching job soon.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#367 » by badinage » Mon May 16, 2022 1:58 am

trast66 wrote:Spencer winning the trade single handedly tonight, so far.


No.

The only way to see what is happening tonight is — he could have done this here. And did do this here, for 15 games. And then HE QUIT ON OUR TEAM. QUIT ON OUR TEAM. Sowed discord. Poisoned the environment. Smart and thoughtful guy — but a straight-up snake.

But as the jocks say, it’s all goooood. We got Porzingis. We needed help for Beal and we got a guy who is better.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#368 » by NatP4 » Mon May 16, 2022 1:59 am

Hahahaha Dinwiddie dominated that game. What a monster
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#369 » by NatP4 » Mon May 16, 2022 2:00 am

badinage wrote:
trast66 wrote:Spencer winning the trade single handedly tonight, so far.


No.

The only way to see what is happening tonight is — the dude is a snake. He could have done this here. And did, for 15 games. And then HE QUIT ON OUR TEAM. QUIT ON OUR TEAM.

But as the jocks say, it’s all goooood. We got Porzingis. We needed help for Beal and we got a guy who is better.


Because entitled non/superstar Bradley Beal decided to tell everyone what their roles on the team should be.

I don’t blame Dinwiddie for quitting on that team.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#370 » by badinage » Mon May 16, 2022 2:01 am

To repeat: QUIT ON OUR TEAM. Sowed discord. Poisoned the environment.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#371 » by badinage » Mon May 16, 2022 2:07 am

NatP4 wrote:
badinage wrote:
trast66 wrote:Spencer winning the trade single handedly tonight, so far.


No.

The only way to see what is happening tonight is — the dude is a snake. He could have done this here. And did, for 15 games. And then HE QUIT ON OUR TEAM. QUIT ON OUR TEAM.

But as the jocks say, it’s all goooood. We got Porzingis. We needed help for Beal and we got a guy who is better.


Because entitled non/superstar Bradley Beal decided to tell everyone what their roles on the team should be.

I don’t blame Dinwiddie for quitting on that team.


But you agree he quit on the team. Which has to be the greatest crime you can commit as a team player, no?

Do I blame him? I do. I would blame anyone who quit on my team.

But — am I unhappy at this point? No, not at all. We got a player who is better than Beal. And who showed what he can be in the high-post and with an offense running through him. He’s very good and exciting, and the team became watchable and even intriguing.

As for Dinwiddie, evidently his snake ways are not showing themselves at this point in Dallas. So, good for them. For now. :)
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#372 » by barelyawake » Mon May 16, 2022 4:23 am

badinage wrote:To repeat: QUIT ON OUR TEAM. Sowed discord. Poisoned the environment.

Yep, this all day. He purposefully quit on the team and tanked games to get traded. Games he napped before. Then, he lied about it in the press to make himself sound better and sell us down the river. And he assumed he could because, you know, we are the Wizards.

F’ that guy. He’s no loss.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#373 » by badinage » Mon May 16, 2022 4:56 am

A-effing-men.

But, it is a loss. We lost out on the playoffs and had to make trades to change course. We might have won a bunch more games. Probably would have. He created dissent and a pr debacle. The first-year coach never recovered until he essentially got to start over.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#374 » by barelyawake » Mon May 16, 2022 5:25 am

badinage wrote:A-effing-men.

But, it is a loss. We lost out on the playoffs and had to make trades to change course. We might have won a bunch more games. Probably would have. He created dissent and a pr debacle. The first-year coach never recovered until he essentially got to start over.


Just an expression. What you said is all true. And he brought down a lot of value for all the players. And none of our guys made him pay for it in the press, because we have class guys.

That said, I kinda like where we are at (if we play it right).
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#375 » by FAH1223 » Mon May 16, 2022 6:00 am

Spencer has not had a good postseason outside of like 2 games.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#376 » by 9 and 20 » Mon May 16, 2022 9:32 am

I still don't really get what happened with Dinwiddie. I thought he and Beal were friends and that was how Dinwiddie ended up signing here anyway. Then we started 10-3 (banner hanging in the rafters yet???), and then it all went to crap. I know Harrell probably played a role in complaining about touches, but Harrell is a career backup. It had to Beal who got his feelings hurt enough to go complain to Sheppard and crew.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#377 » by queridiculo » Mon May 16, 2022 1:41 pm

I don't get it.

Dinwiddie is one of those guys that has people succumb to collective amnesia every time he's got a sustained run of looking the part.

Bertans has had a better playoff run than Crypto daddy until last nights game ffs.

He is who he's always been, a chucker on below average efficiency that doesn't defend worth a lick.

Giving Dinwiddie credit as the difference maker for last night's game is absurd.

The Suns scored 27 points in the first half!

Sub him for any other average starter and the Mavericks still would have dismantled the Suns last night, you don't win a game 7 with a JV league offensive performance.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#378 » by StateoftheWiz05 » Mon May 16, 2022 1:57 pm

[quote="9 and 20"]I still don't really get what happened with Dinwiddie. I thought he and Beal were friends and that was how Dinwiddie ended up signing here anyway. Then we started 10-3 (banner hanging in the rafters yet???), and then it all went to crap. I know Harrell probably played a role in complaining about touches, but Harrell is a career backup. It had to Beal who got his feelings hurt enough to go complain to Sheppard and crew.[/quote]

That is what no one is talking about. The style of play changed when he returned from his grandmother's funeral. During that 10-3 stretch Beal was playing poorly and he was not the reason for the wins. This season was an important one b/c he was trying to show his value to the team. He had career lows and he went out with an injury. Even with all that Tommy is still willing to give him the super duper max.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#379 » by payitforward » Mon May 16, 2022 2:18 pm

badinage wrote:To repeat: QUIT ON OUR TEAM. Sowed discord. Poisoned the environment.

Look... I suppose it's inevitable that this kind of exchange goes further & further downhill, but neither you nor I nor Nat nor any of us has much idea at all of what went down.

The trade was good for us in a number of ways -- we shed Bertans' really bad contract, we moved a guy who wasn't working out, we got a chance to see how much of his enormous talent Porzingis can bring to bear in a new environment, & we got a R2 pick that, who knows, may turn out to be the key to the whole deal.

It's bad ethics, period, to label people negatively in this way when you aren't really inside the situation. & that applies equally to bad-mouthing Brad as Nat is doing. There's just no need to pour abuse on Spence, Brad, or anybody.
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Re: Porzingis + 2nd round pick for Dinwiddie, Bertans 

Post#380 » by nate33 » Mon May 16, 2022 3:02 pm

FAH1223 wrote:Spencer has not had a good postseason outside of like 2 games.

This is the most important point of this exchange.

Let's not act like Dinwiddie was the key to Dallas' playoff run. The guy is averaging 13 points on a .534 TS% and has had the luxury of disappearing on many nights with no consequence.

I'll give him credit for helping to deliver two wins in the Utah series when Luka was out, but outside of those games, he has had no impact whatsoever. He was invisible the entire Phoenix series except the last two games, when his performance was meaningless because they were blowouts anyhow.

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