tsherkin wrote:Owly wrote:Can't agree that it's an outlier in fg%, it's substantially higher in '70 and adjacent in '69.
Yeah, 7 years later on 9 fewer FGA/g in a 54-game season, he shot better. His FG% in 63 is still a marked deviation from his performance over the bulk of his first decade and coupled to the best FT shooting season of his career as well. It's a peak season, not the norm for the player. It wasn't the norm for him during his high-volume seasons. His FG% of course rose as he shot less, that's pretty normal.
63 was also a notable outlier in his FG%
Yes it's a different role (though 9 fewer FGA/g ... there's more than 4 more possessions per game, are you really wedded to raw numbers?). But the statement wasn't this was a clear high amongst his early career highest primacy seasons or any variation thereof.
I've already said FT%.
He didn't hit TS% above 50 in the 50s because he's not an efficiency monster like a Robertson which is a known but also because he was in a lower era. But 107, 106, 106, 103, 105 TS+ ... it's year 4 that looks like the outlier and year 1 would have been well over .500 ts% adjusted and I think it would be over in year three given how close a slightly weaker efficiency year was.
Yeah but you can't JUST adjust for league-average TS%. His specific role matters a lot, and volume shooting was not his bag. He got better about it when he shot less during the back third of his career, for sure, but that doesn't really translate to the discussion of Baylor v West earlier in his career when he was merrily bombing away at high volume, you know? That's the concern. It's not that Baylor was incapable of playing efficient basketball, it's about him not adapting effectively earlier on with West.[/quote]
One could just as well say "You can't JUST use raw percentages". And I think whilst there's some truth in both depending on the context in which it is used, nuances etc, I think the latter generally the better statement. I can say Bob Feerick is a bad shooter because of his FG% or say that he was dominant within his era and I'd argue the latter is a lot more relevant, pertinent and perhaps accurate. It's possible Baylor was already being left behind and then had a fluke year. But it's possible that he remained a solid efficiency high volume scorer (arguably a playoff resilient one) through '63 who got slowed after by wear and injuries.
On "volume shooting was not his bag" ... look I'm a lower playoff weighter than the vast majority, the West was bad, Baylor was once overrated ... Baylor has 4 straight playoff runs with a playoff TS% above .500, at high volume, two of those featuring extended series with Boston (which at a first eyeball don't look bad). One can question whether his scoring value was as great as it may have been perceived or whether mid 60s roles were always properly commensurate with his skill relative to teammates (again, I haven't seen these offenses) but in his prime I think scoring
very much was one of Baylor's bags.
I don't know how the injuries line up with Baylor's decline, I haven't read the biographies on him yet and footage is limited ... there's a lot missing to my knowledge of his career arc. But you seem to be pushing debates had with others regarding West (I don't know how there offense work or how it could have optimally worked) and reiterated free throw accuracy point I made but there does still seem to be still a defense of this year ('63) is
the outlier and I think '62 (when Baylor is, let us not forget, playing at weekends and on leave whilst having been called up to active duty at Fort Lewis and players a smaller number and percentage of games to the amount you chose to mention contextualizing '70 [this is not to mention the impact on loss of practice etc]) is also viable.