Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 (Kansas)

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Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 (Kansas) 

Post#1 » by trex_8063 » Sun Jun 5, 2022 3:35 pm

How it works
Simple ballot system: 3 votes/ballots [3-2-1 point system]. The "source" with the most points will take the spot.

It looks like interest in this project is limited, so I'm not going to have a designated time-limit for each place [though I don't want to leave each open for 4-5 days]; we'll probably aim for something in the neighborhood of 48 hours each, but we'll see.
This may be one of those projects that fizzles out quick due to lack of interest, but I'm hoping at least 2-3 people will come along with me for it.
There will be no approval of participants; anyone can pop in at any time to vote/contribute, even on a sporadic or part-time basis. No "arguments" will be required to accompany votes, though a list of notable players from each source being voted for is encouraged.....this will help jog memories, as well as stimulate conversation (and may help clarify the "source" in some rare cases where it is ambiguous). Hopefully we'll pick up some participants along the way.

How you want to consider those universities/sources (in terms of considerations of total players vs quality of players, etc) is entirely up to you [though others may wish to debate your selection criteria].

I'm hoping to make it out to around the top 20 [or so] "sources" of all-time for pro [NBA/ABA/BAA/NBL] players, but we'll see.


The "Talent Sources"
We are going to include non-university sources, as to do otherwise just leaves too many relevant players on the table.
Besides, it occurred to me that when scrutinizing the resulting list, one can just mentally exclude the non-university sources [I'll even colour-code those differently to make it easier], and what's left is an ordered list of the universities (as well as an ordered list of other sources)......two birds, right?
The source can be of the following three types:

a) (an American) University/College - if they played even one year at the university, that will be designated the default "source" of that pro player. If a player played at multiple universities, you can mentally factor that in to consideration for ALL universities played at, give preference to the university he had his BEST years at, or to the university he played LONGER at.....whatever; up to you.

b) a Non-USA Country (if not subject to "a" above) - This one is only to be considered a potential source IF they did not attend an American university. Examples would be guys like Dirk Nowitzki, Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, or Nikola Jokic.......their country of origin is considered the "source".
Someone like Hakeem Olajuwon, otoh, would be considered from the University of Houston [and not Nigeria].

In the event of using this designation, we may have individuals where consensus on just WHERE a player is "from" is debatable. Tony Parker is a good example: born in Belgium to an American father and Dutch mother, but raised in France (confusing already, right?). But most of us consider Tony from France [he played for their national team, too], as that's where he grew up.

And to me, that's what it's more about: where they grew up (rather than where they were born (or the nationality of his parents)). There may end up being a player for whom the "source" country is ambiguous and debatable; but we'll cross that bridge as we come to it (and again: that's why it's good to give at least a partial list of WHO you have in mind when placing a vote, so we can debate things like this as needed).

c) an American Highschool Zone - Self-explanatory: this is for American players who did NOT have a college career, but rather went straight to pro.
Having just "USA" as a single source for all American players who did NOT attend a university is just too great a source......it ends up blowing away all the competition at this point (we've just seen too many great players out of highschool now, it holds too much of a sample-size advantage over any American university).
So I've opted to break it up into three zones, which are as follows....

The East Coast Zone - This includes all states that actually make up part of America's eastern coastline [including Washington D.C. simply because it basically resides within Maryland]. That is: Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticutt. Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland [including D.C.], Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.

The East-Central Zone - This includes the states west of our "East Coast Zone", but east of [or inclusive of, in one case] the Missouri River. That is: West Virginia, Vermont, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Mississippi, Lousiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Missouri.

The Western Zone - All the states that are left: Texas, Arkansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Hawaii.


That's 14 states in the East Coast Zone, 16 in the East-Central Zone, and 20 in the Western Zone.
If you want to know why I broke them up in this manner, I wanted zones that had some geographical rhyme or reason, but also zones that had similar overall population.....
The East Coast Zone has a population of just over 108 million by recent census.
The East-Central Zone has just under 102 million.
The Western Zone has just over 119 million.

So the Western Zone has the largest population, BUT that's only by recent census. If we jumped back 60-70 years ago, that was not at all the case. Nearer the start of BAA/NBA history, the Western Zone would have been the LEAST populous zone. The population of states like California, Arizona, Nevada, and even Texas have really taken off in more modern eras.
Basketball also started out East, and spread west more gradually. So I intentionally made it the largest zone [today] to compensate somewhat for that consideration, while still having some manner of geographical demarkation to go with.

Gimme' your top 3 picks [in order] for the #4 spot.....

1. UCLA
2. North Carolina
3. Kentucky

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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#2 » by trex_8063 » Sun Jun 5, 2022 3:51 pm

Anyone wanna take a try making a case for Duke over Kansas?

If I recall from the last thread, they have a slight edge in total WS (but are behind in weighted avg WS), and have the slight edge in total players (91 to 81, iirc).

But they don't have anyone with as good a career as either of the top two [perhaps even three] best careers out of Kansas.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#3 » by trex_8063 » Sun Jun 5, 2022 8:13 pm

I'm going to tentatively put my ballots out:

1. Kansas
2. East Coast Zone [highschool]
3. Duke


Might switch 2 & 3 around, we'll see.

Duke's obviously got far more depth; but I don't think they have anyone whose career can top any of the top 3 [or perhaps top 4?] from the ECZ (even if I give the ECZ only about 80% credit for Garnett......80% of KG is still likely the best career between both sources; at least top 2 alongside Moses).

If I'm looking at those top 4 from the ECZ: KG, Moses, Howard, and McGrady........I mean, I'd take those four careers [even just 80% portion of KG] over the top six from Duke (likely Grant Hill, Elton Brand, Kyrie Irving, Carlos Boozer, Luol Deng, maybe Tatum [or Mullins, or Battier]).

And then the next five careers from the ECZ (likely Connie Hawkins, Amar'e Stoudemire, Jermaine O'Neal, Josh Smith, and Lou Williams) probably carry more value than the next half-dozen from Duke.

It's only after that where Duke begins to take over and dominate.
I still haven't 100% decided how I want to reconcile that; I may end up making Duke my #2 ballot.
Honestly, I think I may take a look at the BOTTOM 25-30 names on Duke's list, and see if they really warrant giving consideration to. If it's nothing but scrubs and guys who washed out of the league fairly quickly.......idk, then I might just leave ECZ as my #2.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#4 » by trex_8063 » Sun Jun 5, 2022 8:21 pm

I just looked at the bottom of Duke's list, and fwiw, the whole bottom third or more is a lot of nobodies. Perhaps the most relevant name in the bottom 30-35 [of 91] is Jay Williams.......who might have had a nice NBA career if he hadn't shattered his pelvis in a motorcycle accident after his rookie season [iirc]; thus he ultimately had just 75 games in his NBA career.

But there's no one definitively ahead of him in that bottom 30 or so.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#5 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jun 6, 2022 2:32 am

duke

total of nba players: 91 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low) ( maybe grant hill in a good day)

notable all star level players: 10* (high) (hill, brand, kyrie, tatum, deng, mullins, battier, ingram, zion*, maggete)
*zion played like an all star but exactly 1 season and no guarantee of more

notable: lots of quality players

vs

kansas

total of nba players: 79 ( High) (per realgm database)

mvp level players: 2 (high) ( wilt, embiid)

notable all star level players: 6 (mid) (wilt, embiid,pierce,lovellete, manning, jojo white?)

notable: lots of coaching contributions if that counts, phog allen, popovich, dean smith and many other were part of kansas stafd at some point and many solid nba careers

the difference in total of nba players is not too relevant for me so i will focus on other stuff

grant hill, tatum , brand, kyrie, deng vs embiid, pierce, loveletter, manning, jojo white

this one could go either way but i may pick kansas by the smallest margin

then it becomes a matter of

wilt vs battier, mullins, ingram, corey maggete, zion single all star season

there are 3 very good players and two guys with exactly one all star season (zion and ingram) vs a goat candidate

i feel like i have to go with kansas here
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#6 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jun 6, 2022 2:37 am

duke

total of nba players: 91 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low) ( maybe grant hill in a good day)

notable all star level players: 10* (high) (hill, brand, kyrie, tatum, deng, mullins, battier, ingram, zion*, maggete)
*zion played like an all star but exactly 1 season and no guarantee of more

notable: lots of quality players

vs

east coast

total of nba players: 24 ( moderate)

mvp level players: 2 (high) ( garnett, moses)

notable all star level players (10) (high): garnett, moses, howard, McGrady, stoudamire, dawkins, josh smith, connie hawkins, jermaine o'neal, bynum

notable: jr smith, lou williams

i actually prefer east coast top 10 players to duke top 10 players

so why do i weight more? duke 70 extra nba players with some good players

or east coast advantage in top 5 talent

garnett, moses, howard, McGrady, connie hawkins is a wild top 5, all of them mvp level players at some point and two of them with top 25 careers at minimum

duke top 5 is very weak in comparision: grant hill, tatum, kyrie, brand and battier/deng

one could argue east coast high school actually has the top 5 careers/players here which is pretty big

if there is any of the top 5 colleges that loses to east coast based on depth it is duke
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#7 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jun 6, 2022 2:39 am

umtimatelty i believe that people ultimately care about the stars, and east coast stars outclass duke ones up to 2022....

so while i dont feel comfortable with the 65 players gap...there is also a bit too much of a legendary careers gap at the top

so for me

1-kansas
2-east coast high school
3- duke
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#8 » by trex_8063 » Mon Jun 6, 2022 2:50 am

falcolombardi wrote:duke

total of nba players: 91 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low) ( maybe grant hill in a good day)

notable all star level players: 10* (high) (hill, brand, kyrie, tatum, deng, mullins, battier, ingram, zion*, maggete)
*zion played like an all star but exactly 1 season and no guarantee of more

notable: lots of quality players

vs

kansas

total of nba players: 79 ( High) (per realgm database)

mvp level players: 2 (high) ( wilt, embiid)

notable all star level players: 6 (mid) (wilt, embiid,pierce,lovellete, manning, jojo white?)

notable: lots of coaching contributions if that counts, phog allen, popovich, dean smith and many other were part of kansas stafd at some point and many solid nba careers

the difference in total of nba players is not too relevant for me so i will focus on other stuff

grant hill, tatum , brand, kyrie, deng vs embiid, pierce, loveletter, manning, jojo white

this one could go either way but i may pick kansas by the smallest margin

then it becomes a matter of

wilt vs battier, mullins, ingram, corey maggete, zion single all star season

there are 3 very good players and two guys with exactly one all star season (zion and ingram) vs a goat candidate

i feel like i have to go with kansas here


In terms of "All-star level players", I think Bill Bridges [Kansas] fits this label as much as Corey Maggette does. Also bbref lists 81 names for Kansas.

Agree gotta go with Kansas over Duke. Duke vs ECZ is still the one I'm hashing out.

I only know of 24 players in the ECZ......they probably out-do the top 24 from Duke, too. And as mentioned above, the bottom ~30 on Duke's list really don't amount to anything relevant. A tie-breaker consideration at best.

I think I need to look closely at those players who fill in the ranks of ~25-60 for Duke, see if it amounts to anything (or rather: enough to overcome ECZ's advantage at the top).
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#9 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jun 6, 2022 3:01 am

trex_8063 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:duke

total of nba players: 91 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low) ( maybe grant hill in a good day

notable all star level players: 10* (high) (hill, brand, kyrie, tatum, deng, mullins, battier, ingram, zion*, maggete)
*zion played like an all star but exactly 1 season and no guarantee of more

notable: lots of quality players

vs

kansas

total of nba players: 79 ( High) (per realgm database)

mvp level players: 2 (high) ( wilt, embiid)

notable all star level players: 6 (mid) (wilt, embiid,pierce,lovellete, manning, jojo white?)

notable: lots of coaching contributions if that counts, phog allen, popovich, dean smith and many other were part of kansas stafd at some point and many solid nba careers

the difference in total of nba players is not too relevant for me so i will focus on other stuff

grant hill, tatum , brand, kyrie, deng vs embiid, pierce, loveletter, manning, jojo white

this one could go either way but i may pick kansas by the smallest margin

then it becomes a matter of

wilt vs battier, mullins, ingram, corey maggete, zion single all star season

there are 3 very good players and two guys with exactly one all star season (zion and ingram) vs a goat candidate

i feel like i have to go with kansas here


In terms of "All-star level players", I think Bill Bridges [Kansas] fits this label as much as Corey Maggette does. Also bbref lists 81 names for Kansas.

Agree gotta go with Kansas over Duke. Duke vs ECZ is still the one I'm hashing out.

I only know of 24 players in the ECZ......they probably out-do the top 24 from Duke, too. And as mentioned above, the bottom ~30 on Duke's list really don't amount to anything relevant. A tie-breaker consideration at best.

I think I need to look closely at those players who fill in the ranks of ~25-60 for Duke, see if it amounts to anything (or rather: enough to overcome ECZ's advantage at the top).



to me is not just that east coast top 11 is stronger, is the longevity lf their careers

i counted garnett as one all star and ingram and zion as two...but in a more granular level garnett has like 15 all star level years vs zion and ingram combined 2 (and garnett ones are better to boot)

i am thinking of not considerion zion amd ingram as all stars at all as they omly have one season of all star play each. if one great season is enough there are probably a bunch of players that could be included as all stars

duke stars overall have very weak longevity

so east coast stars are better and with much longer careers than duke ones, the amount of all star level seasons in each side musy be easily east coast, and the amount of mvp level seasons too

considering that i feel a lot more comfortable about yhe depth gap duke has
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#10 » by trex_8063 » Mon Jun 6, 2022 3:58 pm

I'm going to try a slight different method of comparing Duke to the ECZ: rating the best career [by my criteria] of one vs the best of the other; then the 2nd-best vs 2nd-best, and so on......out to about 15 or so at least.

If it looks like ECZ has a solid edge at that point, then I'm going to leave them ahead in my balloting; because I looked at the names that fill in the ranks from roughly 25-60.......the best of them are careers like maybe Gary Trent Jr, Rodney Hood, Tyus Jones, Austin Rivers, Chris Duhon, Jahlil Okafor, Marvin Bagley III, Grayson Allen, Kyle Singler. Which is to say "OK", but nothing great.

I do think Gary Trent Jr. is an excellent perimeter defender, and he makes his threes; so he's got the potential to be one of the better journeyman 3&D players of his generation. But as of where things sit right now.......certainly these guys move the needle somewhat for Duke, but I don't think it's a massive push or anything.

So let's see how those top 15+ size up [just in very rough/vague terms]. I'll list the ECZ guy first and then a > or < and the Duke player next.....

Kevin Garnett [even a fractionated ~80% portion of his career, like '96-'08] >> Grant Hill
Moses Malone >>> Elton Brand
Dwight Howard >>> Kyrie Irving
Tracy McGrady >> Carlos Boozer
Connie Hawkins >> Jayson Tatum
Amar'e Stoudemire > Luol Deng [I know others are lower on Stoudemire, and may question this, but it's how I'd arrange them in an all-time sense]
Jermaine O'Neal > Shane Battier
Josh Smith ~= Jeff Mullins
Lou Williams > Brandon Ingram [for now; Ingram will overtake him eventually, I think]

*Pause here to note that thru the top 9, ECZ is dominating the comparison so far. I'd perhaps take those top 5 from ECZ over all nine Duke players listed so far; definitely I'd take the top 6 from ECZ over these nine Blue Devils. Get's increasingly debatable as to who is 10th, 11th, 12th and so on from here; kinda just throwing some approximations together.....

Andrew Bynum < JJ Redick
JR Smith ~= Jack Marin
Al Harrington < Christian Laettner
Darryl Dawkins =/< Mike Gminski
Kwame Brown < Corey Maggette
DeSagana Diop < Mason Plumlee

I'll actually just stop there; they all end up being small edges to Duke hereafter.
Still, the edge for ECZ in the top 8-9 are so large at times, I'd still say ECZ probably has at least a tiny edge thru the top 25 names.....but Duke certainly cuts into the margin thru the latter half of those 25.

btw--I discovered a couple more ECZ players, bringing the total I have listed to 26 (the best new one I discovered was Dorell Wright, who had a reasonably respectable 11-year career as a role player).
I'm still not sure which way I want to go. Pretty much a coin-flip, imo.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#11 » by falcolombardi » Mon Jun 6, 2022 4:20 pm

trex_8063 wrote:I'm going to try a slight different method of comparing Duke to the ECZ: rating the best career [by my criteria] of one vs the best of the other; then the 2nd-best vs 2nd-best, and so on......out to about 15 or so at least.

If it looks like ECZ has a solid edge at that point, then I'm going to leave them ahead in my balloting; because I looked at the names that fill in the ranks from roughly 25-60.......the best of them are careers like maybe Gary Trent Jr, Rodney Hood, Tyus Jones, Austin Rivers, Chris Duhon, Jahlil Okafor, Marvin Bagley III, Grayson Allen, Kyle Singler. Which is to say "OK", but nothing great.

I do think Gary Trent Jr. is an excellent perimeter defender, and he makes his threes; so he's got the potential to be one of the better journeyman 3&D players of his generation. But as of where things sit right now.......certainly these guys move the needle somewhat for Duke, but I don't think it's a massive push or anything.

So let's see how those top 15+ size up [just in very rough/vague terms]. I'll list the ECZ guy first and then a > or < and the Duke player next.....

Kevin Garnett [even a fractionated ~80% portion of his career, like '96-'08] >> Grant Hill
Moses Malone >>> Elton Brand
Dwight Howard >>> Kyrie Irving
Tracy McGrady >> Carlos Boozer
Connie Hawkins >> Jayson Tatum
Amar'e Stoudemire > Luol Deng [I know others are lower on Stoudemire, and may question this, but it's how I'd arrange them in an all-time sense]
Jermaine O'Neal > Shane Battier
Josh Smith ~= Jeff Mullins
Lou Williams > Brandon Ingram [for now; Ingram will overtake him eventually, I think]

*Pause here to note that thru the top 9, ECZ is dominating the comparison so far. I'd perhaps take those top 5 from ECZ over all nine Duke players listed so far; definitely I'd take the top 6 from ECZ over these nine Blue Devils. Get's increasingly debatable as to who is 10th, 11th, 12th and so on from here; kinda just throwing some approximations together.....

Andrew Bynum < JJ Redick
JR Smith ~= Jack Marin
Al Harrington < Christian Laettner
Darryl Dawkins =/< Mike Gminski
Kwame Brown < Corey Maggette
DeSagana Diop < Mason Plumlee

I'll actually just stop there; they all end up being small edges to Duke hereafter.
Still, the edge for ECZ in the top 8-9 are so large at times, I'd still say ECZ probably has at least a tiny edge thru the top 25 names.....but Duke certainly cuts into the margin thru the latter half of those 25.

btw--I discovered a couple more ECZ players, bringing the total I have listed to 26 (the best new one I discovered was Dorell Wright, who had a reasonably respectable 11-year career as a role player).
I'm still not sure which way I want to go. Pretty much a coin-flip, imo.


are you accounting for longevity?

someone like garnett is not only better than grant hill and elton brand, he probably has a longer prime than both combined

in my case that is what made me flip to east coast, the difference in quakity and longevity among their best players

duke is full of bad longevity or young players while east coast is (for obvious reasons) finished careers with better longevity
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#12 » by jalengreen » Mon Jun 6, 2022 4:51 pm

My ranking last time around would make my ballot 1. Kansas 2. Duke 3. East Coast.

I think I'm sticking with Kansas at #1 but I'm not sure about 2 & 3. Reading through this thread has definitely made me consider making the swap between them
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #4 

Post#13 » by trex_8063 » Mon Jun 6, 2022 5:32 pm

jalengreen wrote:My ranking last time around would make my ballot 1. Kansas 2. Duke 3. East Coast.

I think I'm sticking with Kansas at #1 but I'm not sure about 2 & 3. Reading through this thread has definitely made me consider making the swap between them


Ah, keep it as is. I've presently got ECZ at #2, but am considering swapping it. Between the two of us, maybe we're giving them an honest assessment.


Scores are:

Kansas - 9 pts
East Coast Zone - 5 pts
Duke - 4 pts

There isn't enough participation to possibly turn that result, so I think I'll call it and we'll move on....
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