Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 (Indiana)

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Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 (Indiana) 

Post#1 » by trex_8063 » Sat Jun 25, 2022 2:05 pm

How it works
Simple ballot system: 3 votes/ballots [3-2-1 point system]. The "source" with the most points will take the spot.

It looks like interest in this project is limited, so I'm not going to have a designated time-limit for each place [though I don't want to leave each open for 4-5 days]; we'll probably aim for something in the neighborhood of 48 hours each, but we'll see.
This may be one of those projects that fizzles out quick due to lack of interest, but I'm hoping at least 2-3 people will come along with me for it.
There will be no approval of participants; anyone can pop in at any time to vote/contribute, even on a sporadic or part-time basis. No "arguments" will be required to accompany votes, though a list of notable players from each source being voted for is encouraged.....this will help jog memories, as well as stimulate conversation (and may help clarify the "source" in some rare cases where it is ambiguous). Hopefully we'll pick up some participants along the way.

How you want to consider those universities/sources (in terms of considerations of total players vs quality of players, etc) is entirely up to you [though others may wish to debate your selection criteria].

I'm hoping to make it out to around the top 20 [or so] "sources" of all-time for pro [NBA/ABA/BAA/NBL] players, but we'll see.


The "Talent Sources"
We are going to include non-university sources, as to do otherwise just leaves too many relevant players on the table.
Besides, it occurred to me that when scrutinizing the resulting list, one can just mentally exclude the non-university sources [I'll even colour-code those differently to make it easier], and what's left is an ordered list of the universities (as well as an ordered list of other sources)......two birds, right?
The source can be of the following three types:

a) (an American) University/College - if they played even one year at the university, that will be designated the default "source" of that pro player. If a player played at multiple universities, you can mentally factor that in to consideration for ALL universities played at, give preference to the university he had his BEST years at, or to the university he played LONGER at.....whatever; up to you.

b) a Non-USA Country (if not subject to "a" above) - This one is only to be considered a potential source IF they did not attend an American university. Examples would be guys like Dirk Nowitzki, Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, or Nikola Jokic.......their country of origin is considered the "source".
Someone like Hakeem Olajuwon, otoh, would be considered from the University of Houston [and not Nigeria].

In the event of using this designation, we may have individuals where consensus on just WHERE a player is "from" is debatable. Tony Parker is a good example: born in Belgium to an American father and Dutch mother, but raised in France (confusing already, right?). But most of us consider Tony from France [he played for their national team, too], as that's where he grew up.

And to me, that's what it's more about: where they grew up (rather than where they were born (or the nationality of his parents)). There may end up being a player for whom the "source" country is ambiguous and debatable; but we'll cross that bridge as we come to it (and again: that's why it's good to give at least a partial list of WHO you have in mind when placing a vote, so we can debate things like this as needed).

c) an American Highschool Zone - Self-explanatory: this is for American players who did NOT have a college career, but rather went straight to pro.
Having just "USA" as a single source for all American players who did NOT attend a university is just too great a source......it ends up blowing away all the competition at this point (we've just seen too many great players out of highschool now, it holds too much of a sample-size advantage over any American university).
So I've opted to break it up into three zones, which are as follows....

The East Coast Zone - This includes all states that actually make up part of America's eastern coastline [including Washington D.C. simply because it basically resides within Maryland]. That is: Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticutt. Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland [including D.C.], Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.

The East-Central Zone - This includes the states west of our "East Coast Zone", but east of [or inclusive of, in one case] the Missouri River. That is: West Virginia, Vermont, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Mississippi, Lousiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Missouri.

The Western Zone - All the states that are left: Texas, Arkansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, Washington, Oregon, California, Alaska, Hawaii.


That's 14 states in the East Coast Zone, 16 in the East-Central Zone, and 20 in the Western Zone.
If you want to know why I broke them up in this manner, I wanted zones that had some geographical rhyme or reason, but also zones that had similar overall population.....
The East Coast Zone has a population of just over 108 million by recent census.
The East-Central Zone has just under 102 million.
The Western Zone has just over 119 million.

So the Western Zone has the largest population, BUT that's only by recent census. If we jumped back 60-70 years ago, that was not at all the case. Nearer the start of BAA/NBA history, the Western Zone would have been the LEAST populous zone. The population of states like California, Arizona, Nevada, and even Texas have really taken off in more modern eras.
Basketball also started out East, and spread west more gradually. So I intentionally made it the largest zone [today] to compensate somewhat for that consideration, while still having some manner of geographical demarkation to go with.

Gimme' your top 3 picks [in order] for the #13 spot.....

1. UCLA
2. North Carolina
3. Kentucky
4. Kansas
5. East Coast Zone (highschool)
6. Duke
7. Georgetown
8. East-Central Zone (highschool)
9. Michigan State
10. Wake Forest
11. Houston
12. Ohio State

Spoiler:
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#2 » by trex_8063 » Sat Jun 25, 2022 2:50 pm

Total WS
Arizona - 974.3
Indiana - 949.7
Michigan - 897.7
UCONN - 828.9
Georgia Tech - 797.7
Notre Dame - 769.0
Texas - 746.6
Illinois - 695.9
Marquette - 671.9
LSU - 670.1
Spain - 411.6
France - 396.7
Western Zone - 317.8
Serbia - 275.9

Total Players (Mean WS)
Indiana - 68 (14.0)
Arizona - 62 (15.7)
Michigan - 62 (14.5)
Notre Dame - 60 (12.8)
LSU - 50 (13.4)
Illinois - 46 (15.1)
Marquette - 43 (15.6)
Georgia Tech - 41 (19.5)
UCONN - 39 (21.3)
Texas - 37 (20.2)
Serbia - 24 (11.5)
France - 21 (18.89)
Spain - 17 (24.21)
Western Zone - 9 identified so far (35.31)

Score [the one I'd previously shared]
Arizona - 414.89
Indiana - 372.88
Michigan - 360.12
UCONN - 359.22
LSU - 336.28
Notre Dame - 333.52
Georgia Tech - 326.66
Illinois - 324.78
Texas - 318.60
Marquette - 311.79
Spain - 210.49
France - 206.80
Western Zone - 155.11
Serbia - 154.86

All-Star Selections
LSU - 36
Indiana - 31
Marquette - 30
Texas - 27
Illinois - 24 (6 were ABA All-Stars [also a few from early 1950's; but otoh Illinois also claims Derek Harper, Eddie Johnson, Nick Anderson, and Kendall Gill.......who were all dubiously snubbed their entire careers)
UCONN - 22
Michigan - 18
Georgia Tech - 18
Notre Dame - 15
Spain - 11
France - 9
Arizona - 6 (although note they have Mike Bibby, Richard Jefferson, Jason Terry, and DeAndre Ayton......all of whom have had at least 1 or 2 All-Star level seasons, even if they weren't recognized; Iggy only got one, too)
Serbia - 5
Western Zone - 3

MVP's
LSU - 3
Serbia - 2
Texas - 1
Indiana - 1 (or 0.5?--->George McGinnis shared a co-MVP with Dr. J [in the ABA])

Michigan/Arizona/UCONN/Georgia Tech/Notre Dame/Spain/Western Zone/Illinois/Marquette/France - 0 each


Regarding Spain's figures:

Doncic was obviously already a very promising young player from a very young age growing up in Slovenia. But then he largely played in Spain from the age of 13 onward before entering the NBA. So I'm "crediting" Spain with all except his rookie season.

Serge Ibaka grew up in the Republic of Congo, and was a promising national prospect by age 16-17. They moved when he was 17, and he then played two seasons in Spain [one in a sort of junior semi-pro league, one in an actual pro league]. So I'm crediting Spain with a chunk of his early career, including what might be the bulk of his prime: '10-'16 [seven seasons, all his time in OKC].


Regarding France's numbers [newly added this thread]:
31 players are listed as born in France on bbref......but on closer exam you find several grew up in America and went to American universities. A few others grew up in France, but then attended American universities, most showing dramatic improvement while in that NCAA program. The one exception is Yakhouba Diawara, who entered Pepperdine in his early 20's, playing two seasons there [without showing notable improvement, by the numbers]; so I've credited the second half only of his meager NBA career to France.
Plus there's Tony Parker---who's not listed among those 31 because he was born in Belgium, but we know he's a product of France.

btw, found one more player to be credited to the East Coast Zone: William Howard. Born in France, but grew up in Maryland, came to NBA out of highschool. Played just 2 games in his NBA career. :-?

France is interesting: some nice talent at the top in Tony Parker and Rudy Gobert, followed up with Nicolas Batum, Boris Diaw, Evan Fournier (plus Ian Mahinmi and Alexis Ajinca). But it fairly well falls off a cliff after that. Their weighted avg WS is pretty strong (49.79), and their mean is decent as you can see above. The median WS is just 2.4, though, as there are 10 players with basically non-existent careers ranging from -0.5 to 1.1 WS.


Among foreign country sources, Spain still looks like the top candidate (unless putting huge stock in Jokic and his two MVP's).
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#3 » by penbeast0 » Sat Jun 25, 2022 2:59 pm

Just a clarification. I checked to make sure and the Eddie Johnson that played at Illinois isn't "Fast Eddie," the two way guard for the Hawks with legal issues, but the other Eddie Johnson, a 6'7 pure shooting wing who had a long career for a lot of teams.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#4 » by falcolombardi » Sat Jun 25, 2022 3:12 pm

trex_8063 wrote:Total WS
Arizona - 974.3
Indiana - 949.7
Michigan - 897.7
UCONN - 828.9
Georgia Tech - 797.7
Notre Dame - 769.0
Texas - 746.6
Illinois - 695.9
Marquette - 671.9
LSU - 670.1
Spain - 411.6
France - 396.7
Western Zone - 317.8
Serbia - 275.9

Total Players (Mean WS)
Indiana - 68 (14.0)
Arizona - 62 (15.7)
Michigan - 62 (14.5)
Notre Dame - 60 (12.8)
LSU - 50 (13.4)
Illinois - 46 (15.1)
Marquette - 43 (15.6)
Georgia Tech - 41 (19.5)
UCONN - 39 (21.3)
Texas - 37 (20.2)
Serbia - 24 (11.5)
France - 21 (18.89)
Spain - 17 (24.21)
Western Zone - 9 identified so far (35.31)

Score [the one I'd previously shared]
Arizona - 414.89
Indiana - 372.88
Michigan - 360.12
UCONN - 359.22
LSU - 336.28
Notre Dame - 333.52
Georgia Tech - 326.66
Illinois - 324.78
Texas - 318.60
Marquette - 311.79
Spain - 210.49
France - 206.80
Western Zone - 155.11
Serbia - 154.86

All-Star Selections
LSU - 36
Indiana - 31
Marquette - 30
Texas - 27
Illinois - 24 (6 were ABA All-Stars [also a few from early 1950's; but otoh Illinois also claims Derek Harper, Eddie Johnson, Nick Anderson, and Kendall Gill.......who were all dubiously snubbed their entire careers)
UCONN - 22
Michigan - 18
Georgia Tech - 18
Notre Dame - 15
Spain - 11
France - 9
Arizona - 6 (although note they have Mike Bibby, Richard Jefferson, Jason Terry, and DeAndre Ayton......all of whom have had at least 1 or 2 All-Star level seasons, even if they weren't recognized; Iggy only got one, too)
Serbia - 5
Western Zone - 3

MVP's
LSU - 3
Serbia - 2
Texas - 1
Indiana - 1 (or 0.5?--->George McGinnis shared a co-MVP with Dr. J [in the ABA])

Michigan/Arizona/UCONN/Georgia Tech/Notre Dame/Spain/Western Zone/Illinois/Marquette/France - 0 each


Regarding Spain's figures:

Doncic was obviously already a very promising young player from a very young age growing up in Slovenia. But then he largely played in Spain from the age of 13 onward before entering the NBA. So I'm "crediting" Spain with all except his rookie season.

Serge Ibaka grew up in the Republic of Congo, and was a promising national prospect by age 16-17. They moved when he was 17, and he then played two seasons in Spain [one in a sort of junior semi-pro league, one in an actual pro league]. So I'm crediting Spain with a chunk of his early career, including what might be the bulk of his prime: '10-'16 [seven seasons, all his time in OKC].


Regarding France's numbers [newly added this thread]:
31 players are listed as born in France on bbref......but on closer exam you find several grew up in America and went to American universities. A few others grew up in France, but then attended American universities, most showing dramatic improvement while in that NCAA program. The one exception is Yakhouba Diawara, who entered Pepperdine in his early 20's, playing two seasons there [without showing notable improvement, by the numbers]; so I've credited the second half only of his meager NBA career to France.
Plus there's Tony Parker---who's not listed among those 31 because he was born in Belgium, but we know he's a product of France.

btw, found one more player to be credited to the East Coast Zone: William Howard. Born in France, but grew up in Maryland, came to NBA out of highschool. Played just 2 games in his NBA career. :-?

France is interesting: some nice talent at the top in Tony Parker and Rudy Gobert, followed up with Nicolas Batum, Boris Diaw, Evan Fournier (plus Ian Mahinmi and Alexis Ajinca). But it fairly well falls off a cliff after that. Their weighted avg WS is pretty strong (49.79), and their mean is decent as you can see above. The median WS is just 2.4, though, as there are 10 players with basically non-existent careers ranging from -0.5 to 1.1 WS.


Among foreign country sources, Spain still looks like the top candidate (unless putting huge stock in Jokic and his two MVP's).


What are your thoughrs on LSU top heavyness vs indiana depth of talent?

I am thinkinh about that one right now
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#5 » by trex_8063 » Sat Jun 25, 2022 8:34 pm

penbeast0 wrote:Just a clarification. I checked to make sure and the Eddie Johnson that played at Illinois isn't "Fast Eddie," the two way guard for the Hawks with legal issues, but the other Eddie Johnson, a 6'7 pure shooting wing who had a long career for a lot of teams.


Correct: the smooth-shooting SG/SF who played thru pretty much all of the 80s and 90s [consequently scored almost 20k points in his career].
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#6 » by trex_8063 » Sat Jun 25, 2022 9:09 pm

falcolombardi wrote:
What are your thoughrs on LSU top heavyness vs indiana depth of talent?

I am thinkinh about that one right now


Well, based on my voting [not just with Indiana, but others too] obviously I'm leaning more toward the depth of talent side of the argument.

Indiana and LSU is pretty close. I might kinda frame it like this (similar to how I had in prior threads)......

Which combination accounts for more career value: Shaq + Pettit? Or Isiah + Bellamy + McGinnis + Tom Van Arsdale?
Well, even though it's 2 against 4, I think the Shaq/Pettit combo probably makes up more value......but likely not by much, since I've allowed Indiana's top FOUR to weigh against them.


What about the NEXT five players for each?
LSU: Maravich [who is crazy overrated, imo], Ben Simmons [very short career], Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf, Brandon Bass, Marcus Thornton.
Indiana: Dick Van Arsdale, Eric Gordon, Jon McGlocklin, Victor Oladipo, Mike Woodson.

That's pretty close again; not sure I can call a winner there (gun to my head, I'm leaning toward Indiana).


What about the NEXT five after that?
LSU: John Williams [this is NOT John "Hot Rod" Williams, just to be clear; this is a decidedly lesser John Williams], Maurice Taylor [who is actually split between LSU and Michigan], Stromile Swift, Glen "Big Baby" Davis, and probably Anthony Randolph.
Indiana: Cody Zeller, Quinn Buckner, OG Anunoby, Alan Henderson, Calbert Chaney.

Yeah, we're down into role players, but this grouping isn't all that close: definitely swings in Indiana's favour (they claim the top 3-4 careers in this group of 10; could even make a weak case they claim ALL the top 5 out of these 10).


After that?
Naz Reid and maybe Randy Livingston are pretty much the only other even semi-serviceable players to come out of LSU, unless I've missed one or two. It's otherwise all scrubs and wash-outs.

Indiana, otoh, still has a couple handfuls of decent/serviceable players:
Kent Benson - certainly a disappointment for a #1 pick, but a 9/6/2 player over an 11-year span in a competitive era.
John Logan - BAA era, but was a GOOD guard for the time-period.
Slick Leonard - bit of a chucker, but had like a 7-year career playing mostly serious minutes circa-1960.
Plus Scott May, Lawrence Funderburke, Jordan Crawford, Yogi Ferrell, Jared Jeffries, Dean Garrett, and so on.

None of these guys were great [or necessarily even "good"] NBA players at any point.....but none of them were total wash-outs/scrubs either.

idk, for me it adds up. I realize this is really a philosophical distinction though: depth vs top-end talent. To each his own.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#7 » by falcolombardi » Sat Jun 25, 2022 9:17 pm

trex_8063 wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
What are your thoughrs on LSU top heavyness vs indiana depth of talent?

I am thinkinh about that one right now


Well, based on my voting [not just with Indiana, but others too] obviously I'm leaning more toward the depth of talent side of the argument.

Indiana and LSU is pretty close. I might kinda frame it like this (similar to how I had in prior threads)......

Which combination accounts for more career value: Shaq + Pettit? Or Isiah + Bellamy + McGinnis + Tom Van Arsdale?
Well, even though it's 2 against 4, I think the Shaq/Pettit combo probably makes up more value......but likely not by much, since I've allowed Indiana's top FOUR to weigh against them.


What about the NEXT five players for each?
LSU: Maravich [who is crazy overrated, imo], Ben Simmons [very short career], Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf, Brandon Bass, Marcus Thornton.
Indiana: Dick Van Arsdale, Eric Gordon, Jon McGlocklin, Victor Oladipo, Mike Woodson.

That's pretty close again; not sure I can call a winner there (gun to my head, I'm leaning toward Indiana).


What about the NEXT five after that?
LSU: John Williams [this is NOT John "Hot Rod" Williams, just to be clear; this is a decidedly lesser John Williams], Maurice Taylor [who is actually split between LSU and Michigan], Stromile Swift, Glen "Big Baby" Davis, and probably Anthony Randolph.
Indiana: Cody Zeller, Quinn Buckner, OG Anunoby, Alan Henderson, Calbert Chaney.

Yeah, we're down into role players, but this grouping isn't all that close: definitely swings in Indiana's favour (they claim the top 3-4 careers in this group of 10; could even make a weak case they claim ALL the top 5 out of these 10).


After that?
Naz Reid and maybe Randy Livingston are pretty much the only other even semi-serviceable players to come out of LSU, unless I've missed one or two. It's otherwise all scrubs and wash-outs.

Indiana, otoh, still has a couple handfuls of decent/serviceable players:
Kent Benson - certainly a disappointment for a #1 pick, but a 9/6/2 player over an 11-year span in a competitive era.
John Logan - BAA era, but was a GOOD guard for the time-period.
Slick Leonard - bit of a chucker, but had like a 7-year career playing mostly serious minutes circa-1960.
Plus Scott May, Lawrence Funderburke, Jordan Crawford, Yogi Ferrell, Jared Jeffries, Dean Garrett, and so on.

None of these guys were great [or necessarily even "good"] NBA players at any point.....but none of them were total wash-outs/scrubs either.

idk, for me it adds up. I realize this is really a philosophical distinction though: depth vs top-end talent. To each his own.


I think win shares total adds up to the idea here that indiana depth outperforms lousiana depth

Indiana seems to win 2 out of 3 main categpries i consider: super star talent, all star ish talent, above average talent

I am leaning a bit more into this 3-way criteria of sorts to avoid my rankings just boiling down to the top 2-3 players so i guess i would go with indiana here

If i was higher on maravich career as am actuall all time top 75 guy it may swing it enough to put lousiana on top
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#8 » by penbeast0 » Sat Jun 25, 2022 9:48 pm

What about the NEXT five players for each?
LSU: Maravich [who is crazy overrated, imo], Ben Simmons [very short career], Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf, Brandon Bass, Marcus Thornton.
Indiana: Dick Van Arsdale, Eric Gordon, Jon McGlocklin, Victor Oladipo, Mike Woodson.

That's pretty close again; not sure I can call a winner there (gun to my head, I'm leaning toward Indiana).


Dick Van Arsdale was a very good player, a step up from his twin brother, with good outside shooting, excellent foul draw, and some All-Defense team mention. Probably worth a good bit more than anyone on the LSU side; I'd call this piece of your analysis an easy win for Indiana.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#9 » by trex_8063 » Sat Jun 25, 2022 10:50 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
What about the NEXT five players for each?
LSU: Maravich [who is crazy overrated, imo], Ben Simmons [very short career], Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf, Brandon Bass, Marcus Thornton.
Indiana: Dick Van Arsdale, Eric Gordon, Jon McGlocklin, Victor Oladipo, Mike Woodson.

That's pretty close again; not sure I can call a winner there (gun to my head, I'm leaning toward Indiana).


Dick Van Arsdale was a very good player, a step up from his twin brother, with good outside shooting, excellent foul draw, and some All-Defense team mention. Probably worth a good bit more than anyone on the LSU side; I'd call this piece of your analysis an easy win for Indiana.


I agree, frankly. I didn't want to overstate things above, as any casual fans reading are probably already outraged at the "lack of respect" I'm giving Maravich. But from what I've seen, DVA was probably a better, more impactful player [with better longevity].

Actually, one of the games I logged when I was still active in that project was a Hawks/Suns game from '71 [Maravich vs DVA]......and Van Arsdale was monstrous: 30 pts @ 57% TS, 4 reb, 2 ast [+ 1 secondary or "hockey" assist], 1 stl, 1 blk [which his team recovered], 3 tov, 2 offensive fouls drawn.

Really it's the defense that arguably gives him a leg up on Maravich. DVA was a more than capable offensive player who actually played solid D [even has one All-D 2nd team honour, fwiw].
Maravich is quite possibly the worst defensive player I've EVER watched. No s***: EVER.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#10 » by falcolombardi » Sun Jun 26, 2022 3:09 am

My temptative picks are
1-indiana
2-lsu
3-marquette

May change later and think it mpre thoroughly, i leave them here just in case
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#11 » by jalengreen » Sun Jun 26, 2022 4:26 am

I think at this point I do favor the all-time talent of Shaq/Pettit although I certainly see the argument for Indiana - I remember picking them out rather early on as a team that may be underrated by win shares alone.

I would thus lean towards 1. LSU and 2. Indiana

And now taking a look at some of the other candidates:

Image

One thing I want to consider is Texas v. Marquette:

Both schools have three All-NBA players.

- Texas has Kevin Durant, LaMarcus Aldridge, Slater Martin.
- Marquette has Dwyane Wade, Jimmy Butler, and Maurice Lucas.

I'd take Texas' top 2 over Marquette's at this point. I can't say I know much of anything about Slater Martin, honestly - to be safe I'll favor Lucas and call it a wash between these teams' All-NBA players.

Texas doesn't have any other players who stand out all that much. Names include DJ Augustin, Tristan Thompson, PJ Tucker, LaSalle Thompson, Jarrett Allen, Myles Turner, Johnny Moore, Cory Joseph, Maurice Evans, and Avery Bradley. All guys who were relevant in the league to some degree while they played.

As for Marquette, we have Doc Rivers, Wes Matthews, Jim Chones, Jae Crowder, Don Kojis, and George Thompson.

It also proves to be a bit arbitrary for me to cut-off the initial comparison at each school's All-NBA players - Doc Rivers probably had a better career than any of the remaining Texas players so making it a top 4 would've given Marquette the advantage.

I think Texas has better depth (quantity of relevant players) but more of an immediate drop-off in quality after KD & LMA (again depending on how you rate Slater Martin). Marquette has their cream of the crop in Wade and Butler but also some other solid players like Lucas, Rivers, Wes. I think there's then a steeper drop-off after that bunch, though.

Might lean Texas here?

And then there's the question of whether either of these schools should go before Arizona. Problem being that I remain unimpressed with Arizona's talent at the top ... really not sure I rate Terry as highly as win shares do, for instance. And I think I view the difference in top talent as enough to make up for the incredible amount of role players to come out of Arizona. I just don't really put too much stock into a solid role player like TJ McConnell, a caliber of player who Arizona produces plenty of players at.

So for now I'm going with

1. LSU
2. Indiana
3. Texas
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#12 » by giordunk » Sun Jun 26, 2022 5:39 am

We're not in Spain/Serbia territory yet?
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#13 » by falcolombardi » Sun Jun 26, 2022 5:41 am

Looking at the other posts

Shaq + petit vs indiana top 4 seems pretty close with maybe a small edge to louisiana cause i value goat tier players reakly high as a tiebreaker

And the talebt vs talent comparision after that is close....but win shares difference makes me think that the depth of indiana is a big edge over that of lousiana

Is shaq and petit veing the two best players in this comparision enough to not only win against indiana --top 4- but alsp beat indiana talent depth?

Is really close...but i would lean indiana here without feeling too convinced i am not underating the edge shaq and petit careers have over indiana top players
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#14 » by falcolombardi » Sun Jun 26, 2022 5:44 am

giordunk wrote:We're not in Spain/Serbia territory yet?


Not yet imo until we get past marquette/indiana/LSU/texas/maybe arizona

This is my comparision from the last thread to give you a idea about spain (imo the strongest foreign country pick)

total of nba players: 62 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star level players: 2 ( low) (Iguodala, arenas)

Borderline stars 4 (mid): ayton(really short career handicap), richard jefferson, terry, bibby

Total win shares:974(high)

Vs

lousiana

total of nba players: 47 ( mid)

mvp level players: 2 (high) (shaq, petit)

notable all star careers: 2 ( low) (shaq, petit)

Borderline stars 3 (mid): simmons*(longevity)abdul rauf(?), maravich(?)

Total win shares: 670 (mid)

Vs

Ohio

total of nba players: 48 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1 (mid) (havlicek)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (Havlicec, lucas, neil johnston,redd)

Borderline stars 2 (low): derek anderson(?) arnie risen

Total win shares: 965 (high)


Vs

Indiana

total of nba players: 77 ( high)

mvp level players: 1? (Mid) (isiah thomas)

notable all star careers: 4 (mid) (thomas, walt bellamy, tom van arsdale(?), george mcginnis)

Borderline stars 4 (mid): dick van arsdale, eric gordon oladipo, anunoby

Total win shares: 950 (high)

Vs

Marquette

total of nba players: 41 ( mid)

mvp level players: 2 (high) (wade, butler?)

notable all star careers: 4 ( mid) (wade, butler, maurice lucas?)

Borderline stars 1 (low): doc rivers?

Total win shares: 670 (mid)

Vs

Spain

total of nba players: 20( low)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (pau, marc, luka)

Borderline stars 2 (low): rubio?, ibaka?

Total win shares: 400 (low)

?
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#15 » by falcolombardi » Sun Jun 26, 2022 5:53 am

Marquette

total of nba players: 41 ( mid)

mvp level players: 2 (high) (wade, butler?)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (wade, butler, maurice lucas?)

Borderline stars 1 (low): doc rivers?

Total win shares: 670 (mid)

Vs

Texas

total of nba players: 38 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1 (mid) (durant)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (durant, aldridge, slater martin)

Borderline stars 1 (low): pj tucker? Jarret allen?

Total win shares: 747 (mid*) my high cut-off point is 750

I see the top as comparable, durant has the better career than wade thanks to longevity, butler over aldridge to me and i have no idea about lucas vs slater martin to be quite honest

Other than doc rivers i actually am a bit morr impressed with the texas depth and their future upside with players like jarret allen and maybe turner

Win shsres even prefers texas too which suggests marquette depth may be weaker than texas

I think i go texas 3rd

After that i have arizona vs marquette battle then is a brave new world out there for sources like spain, serbia, france to compete
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#16 » by falcolombardi » Sun Jun 26, 2022 5:54 am

1- indiana
2-lsu
3-texas

Hm:marquette
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#17 » by trex_8063 » Sun Jun 26, 2022 1:01 pm

I think I'm sticking with Indiana as my top pick; I looked at some of my other home-made metrics for "measuring" career value, and it came out more or less as I thought it would:

Shaq + Pettit > Isiah + Bellamy + McGinnis + DVA........but not by a lot.

The first "Next Five" grouping is very similar [LSU's being buoyed somewhat by Maravich and Simmons]; perhaps a negligible edge to Indiana in this group.

The second "Next Five" grouping goes solidly to Indiana, as suspected: by a margin similar to [or slightly bigger than] that by which Shaq + Pettit wins the battle at the top, according to my "measures".

And then LSU is just plum out of depth after that (whereas Indiana is not).

I'll make the disclaimer that I can totally understand others going with a principle or criteria that hinges more on top-end talent; truly: I get it. I'm just going a different route, right or wrong.

This same principle then applies to Arizona. Whereas many people essentially disregard role players, I do not. I recognize the value of good limited minute role players, in particular. These guys may not move the needle a ton, but they DO move it.

Having someone like TJ McConnell [Arizona guy, since he was mentioned] as a back-up/sometime-starter PG instead of----let's say Norris Cole or Daniel Gibson........that makes a small difference: to not lose a lot when you go to your back-up matters. And those small differences add up. That's sort of how I view it.

I don't want to put too much stock in raw WS, as even BAD players typically accrue at least a scant amount of WS. Though between these sources, the bad players are probably roughly even(ish), and not adding much WS value to the totals anyway. It's the players who are actually above replacement level who are significantly moving the source totals.
So I'm still going with Arizona at 2nd.

For 3rd, I'm looking at some others that are among the higher WS candidates that aren't getting much mention: UCONN or Michigan (though also thinking on LSU).

Right now I'm kinda leaning toward UCONN.
They have some pretty good names near the top: Ray Allen, Richard Hamilton, Clifford Robinson, Rudy Gay, Caron Butler, Kemba Walker, Andre Drummond.
More than a few decent ones behind that, too.

1. Indiana
2. Arizona
3. UCONN
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#18 » by trex_8063 » Sun Jun 26, 2022 1:03 pm

Scores:

Indiana - 8 pts
LSU - 5 pts
Texas - 2 pts
Arizona - 2 pts
UCONN - 1 pt

Marquette and Michigan getting HM's.

So Indiana takes this spot.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#19 » by giordunk » Sun Jun 26, 2022 4:19 pm

falcolombardi wrote:
giordunk wrote:We're not in Spain/Serbia territory yet?


Not yet imo until we get past marquette/indiana/LSU/texas/maybe arizona

This is my comparision from the last thread to give you a idea about spain (imo the strongest foreign country pick)

total of nba players: 62 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star level players: 2 ( low) (Iguodala, arenas)

Borderline stars 4 (mid): ayton(really short career handicap), richard jefferson, terry, bibby

Total win shares:974(high)

Vs

lousiana

total of nba players: 47 ( mid)

mvp level players: 2 (high) (shaq, petit)

notable all star careers: 2 ( low) (shaq, petit)

Borderline stars 3 (mid): simmons*(longevity)abdul rauf(?), maravich(?)

Total win shares: 670 (mid)

Vs

Ohio

total of nba players: 48 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1 (mid) (havlicek)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (Havlicec, lucas, neil johnston,redd)

Borderline stars 2 (low): derek anderson(?) arnie risen

Total win shares: 965 (high)


Vs

Indiana

total of nba players: 77 ( high)

mvp level players: 1? (Mid) (isiah thomas)

notable all star careers: 4 (mid) (thomas, walt bellamy, tom van arsdale(?), george mcginnis)

Borderline stars 4 (mid): dick van arsdale, eric gordon oladipo, anunoby

Total win shares: 950 (high)

Vs

Marquette

total of nba players: 41 ( mid)

mvp level players: 2 (high) (wade, butler?)

notable all star careers: 4 ( mid) (wade, butler, maurice lucas?)

Borderline stars 1 (low): doc rivers?

Total win shares: 670 (mid)

Vs

Spain

total of nba players: 20( low)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (pau, marc, luka)

Borderline stars 2 (low): rubio?, ibaka?

Total win shares: 400 (low)

?


All Spanish/ACB

I'm sure Spain + ACB has more than 20? (I'm just listing random names as well based on Wikipedia dive for ACB players - not saying all these players are relevant, but the college numbers are quite inflated as well)

Using either the criteria that they are Spanish, or the last team the played for before joining the NBA was an ACB team

Gasol
Gasol
Rubio
Doncic
Sergio Rodriguez
Ibaka
Luis Scola
Rudy Fernandez
Mirotic
Maciej Lampe
Usman Garuba
Stanley Roberts
Raul Lopez
Mickael Gelabale
Alex Abrines
Jorge Garbajosa
Tiago Splitter
Salah Mejri
Anderson Varejao
Mario Hezonja
Rodions Kurucs
Leandro Bolmaro
Juancho Hernangomez
Willie Hernangomez
Victor Claver
Santi Aldama
Andres Nocioni
Pablo Prigioni
Marcelo Huertas
Mirza Teletovic
Tomas Satoransky
Gustavo Ayon
Facundo Campazzo
Walter Tavares
Arvydas Sabonis
Walter Herrmann

I guess you can make the argument that some of these guys were already playing pros before they were in the NBA (like Luis Scola) but the thread says pro talent so there's no reason why ACB shouldn't be included (especially if it seems like the BAA and NBL are included in the OP) and if you're including ACB as a pro league then the entire Spain/Serbia (or ex Yugo countries) should completely wipe out all but the most elite American universities.

I also think depending on how you want to count Yugoslavia, or ex-Yugoslavia countries (don't see why we don't call it ex-Yugoslavia if you can lump Ohio and Philadelphia in the same high school zone) then Sabonis, Jokic, Doncic, Petrovic, Divac, Stojakovic, Radja Kukoc wipe out the IU all-time team.
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Re: Top Pro Talent Sources of All-Time: #13 

Post#20 » by falcolombardi » Sun Jun 26, 2022 4:56 pm

giordunk wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
giordunk wrote:We're not in Spain/Serbia territory yet?


Not yet imo until we get past marquette/indiana/LSU/texas/maybe arizona

This is my comparision from the last thread to give you a idea about spain (imo the strongest foreign country pick)

total of nba players: 62 ( High)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star level players: 2 ( low) (Iguodala, arenas)

Borderline stars 4 (mid): ayton(really short career handicap), richard jefferson, terry, bibby

Total win shares:974(high)

Vs

lousiana

total of nba players: 47 ( mid)

mvp level players: 2 (high) (shaq, petit)

notable all star careers: 2 ( low) (shaq, petit)

Borderline stars 3 (mid): simmons*(longevity)abdul rauf(?), maravich(?)

Total win shares: 670 (mid)

Vs

Ohio

total of nba players: 48 ( mid)

mvp level players: 1 (mid) (havlicek)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (Havlicec, lucas, neil johnston,redd)

Borderline stars 2 (low): derek anderson(?) arnie risen

Total win shares: 965 (high)


Vs

Indiana

total of nba players: 77 ( high)

mvp level players: 1? (Mid) (isiah thomas)

notable all star careers: 4 (mid) (thomas, walt bellamy, tom van arsdale(?), george mcginnis)

Borderline stars 4 (mid): dick van arsdale, eric gordon oladipo, anunoby

Total win shares: 950 (high)

Vs

Marquette

total of nba players: 41 ( mid)

mvp level players: 2 (high) (wade, butler?)

notable all star careers: 4 ( mid) (wade, butler, maurice lucas?)

Borderline stars 1 (low): doc rivers?

Total win shares: 670 (mid)

Vs

Spain

total of nba players: 20( low)

mvp level players: 0 (low)

notable all star careers: 3 ( mid) (pau, marc, luka)

Borderline stars 2 (low): rubio?, ibaka?

Total win shares: 400 (low)

?


All Spanish/ACB

I'm sure Spain + ACB has more than 20? (I'm just listing random names as well based on Wikipedia dive for ACB players - not saying all these players are relevant, but the college numbers are quite inflated as well)

Using either the criteria that they are Spanish, or the last team the played for before joining the NBA was an ACB team

Gasol
Gasol
Rubio
Doncic
Sergio Rodriguez
Ibaka
Luis Scola
Rudy Fernandez
Mirotic
Maciej Lampe
Usman Garuba
Stanley Roberts
Raul Lopez
Mickael Gelabale
Alex Abrines
Jorge Garbajosa
Tiago Splitter
Salah Mejri
Anderson Varejao
Mario Hezonja
Rodions Kurucs
Leandro Bolmaro
Juancho Hernangomez
Willie Hernangomez
Victor Claver
Santi Aldama
Andres Nocioni
Pablo Prigioni
Marcelo Huertas
Mirza Teletovic
Tomas Satoransky
Gustavo Ayon
Facundo Campazzo
Walter Tavares
Arvydas Sabonis
Walter Herrmann

I guess you can make the argument that some of these guys were already playing pros before they were in the NBA (like Luis Scola) but the thread says pro talent so there's no reason why ACB shouldn't be included (especially if it seems like the BAA and NBL are included in the OP) and if you're including ACB as a pro league then the entire Spain/Serbia (or ex Yugo countries) should completely wipe out all but the most elite American universities.

I also think depending on how you want to count Yugoslavia, or ex-Yugoslavia countries (don't see why we don't call it ex-Yugoslavia if you can lump Ohio and Philadelphia in the same high school zone) then Sabonis, Jokic, Doncic, Petrovic, Divac, Stojakovic, Radja Kukoc wipe out the IU all-time team.


For spain i think i am not sure about giving them credit for professional players that went to the acb first before the nba

Ayon for exanple played here in mexico first, scola and the other argentinians were pro players in argentina first,etc. Is not the same as a luka that spend his formative years in real madrid

For yugoslavia it would be awkward to give a non existing country credit. Petrovic (RIP) or kukok would be the first people to tell you they are croatians, not yugoslavians.

Someone like luka was not even born when yugoslavia stopped existing, he was born in slovenia

Same with sabonis and lithuania, lithuania was nor part of yugoslavia in the first place but of the soviet union and lithuanians like him would be the first to refuse to be considered for soviet union rather than lituania





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