Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat)

Moderators: Texas Chuck, BullyKing, Andre Roberstan, loserX, Trader_Joe, Mamba4Goat, pacers33granger, MoneyTalks41890, HartfordWhalers

Grade the Boston offseason

A+
21
17%
A
31
25%
A-
20
16%
B+
23
18%
B
9
7%
B-
4
3%
C+
9
7%
C
3
2%
D
1
1%
F
5
4%
 
Total votes: 126

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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#241 » by cl2117 » Mon Aug 7, 2017 11:19 am

bondom34 wrote:And Duncan and Leroux both with a C-.

Essentially, they didn't maximize their assets.

The only problem I have with that analysis is that it often ignores the fact that they've maintained their asset chest at the same time.

I think it's perfectly valid to look at this off-season and heavily criticize them for what could have been. And what I think is unique is that it's not just in one specific instances, but there were a myriad of opportunities: Cousins, George, Butler, Fultz, the Bradley deal. Each of those situations I think lend themselves to valid criticism. Which is why I can understand grades in the B range. Yes they got Hayward and drafted Tatum, but when you consider what they had at their disposal to potentially add players even better than both of those guys and they didn't then I can see that not being an A.

That being said they also didn't waste their assets and I think in today's NBA there is something to be said for that, which is why I find the C grades to be a bit baffling.

Sure you can say the lost value on the Fultz trade and the Bradley trade, but not a tremendous amount. They're still likely in the drivers seat for the next disgruntled star (as far as asset value). I feel like the floor has to be B- given that.

(I realize you gave them a B/B+, I just mean in general with the C grades I feel like it ignores that, while they didn't maximize their assets, they did a good job of kicking the can down the road with some of them and not losing too much out of it in the process).
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#242 » by HartfordWhalers » Mon Aug 7, 2017 1:03 pm

patman52 wrote:The consensus #1 pick was fultz, but that was where the consensus ended. A lot of people had the top players all grouped together, some had a #1 fultz and then the rest, some had two at the top and some had three or more. Ainge just thought that Tatum and his game was a better fit than Fultz and his game from what he could determine. Fultz might have been the consensus best player, but when you can get the the best player for your team and a lottery pick to me it is a no brainer. And the early reviews certainly bear that out.


Ball was really a second tier of his own everywhere (except the stat models that had him first).

After that it was chaos more than last year
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#243 » by HartfordWhalers » Mon Aug 7, 2017 1:09 pm

cl2117 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:And Duncan and Leroux both with a C-.

Essentially, they didn't maximize their assets.

The only problem I have with that analysis is that it often ignores the fact that they've maintained their asset chest at the same time.

I think it's perfectly valid to look at this off-season and heavily criticize them for what could have been. And what I think is unique is that it's not just in one specific instances, but there were a myriad of opportunities: Cousins, George, Butler, Fultz, the Bradley deal. Each of those situations I think lend themselves to valid criticism. Which is why I can understand grades in the B range. Yes they got Hayward and drafted Tatum, but when you consider what they had at their disposal to potentially add players even better than both of those guys and they didn't then I can see that not being an A.

That being said they also didn't waste their assets and I think in today's NBA there is something to be said for that, which is why I find the C grades to be a bit baffling.

Sure you can say the lost value on the Fultz trade and the Bradley trade, but not a tremendous amount. They're still likely in the drivers seat for the next disgruntled star (as far as asset value). I feel like the floor has to be B- given that.

(I realize you gave them a B/B+, I just mean in general with the C grades I feel like it ignores that, while they didn't maximize their assets, they did a good job of kicking the can down the road with some of them and not losing too much out of it in the process).


And rolling over a #1 pick isn't exactly maintainable.

I have no problem with people dinging the Celtics all the way to a C if they think that future pick and Tatum will be mediocre, but I also have no problem with a high A if you think the pick will be solid and Tatum will as well.

I don't think you can roll over the #1 much more than they did in terms of a future pick, so to me it comes down Tatum versus Fultz.

For what it's worth I think the review is unduly harsh.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#244 » by cl2117 » Mon Aug 7, 2017 2:02 pm

HartfordWhalers wrote:And rolling over a #1 pick isn't exactly maintainable.

I have no problem with people dinging the Celtics all the way to a C if they think that future pick and Tatum will be mediocre, but I also have no problem with a high A if you think the pick will be solid and Tatum will as well.

I don't think you can roll over the #1 much more than they did in terms of a future pick, so to me it comes down Tatum versus Fultz.

For what it's worth I think the review is unduly harsh.

Eh, I still disagree with bringing it all the way down to a C even in that situation. I just think landing the #1 free agent levels out losing that trade even if you thought Ainge totally blew it.

I guess if you had the harshest view of the Fultz for Tatum and the pick swap, then I can see it. But you'd REALLY have to hate that deal. I guess I'm just surprised to see it as common a response as it has been given that I thought the consensus after the trade was that it was questionable for the C's and a win for Philly, but not to such an egregious level as it would have to be to negate landing Gordon and then a good bit.
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Re: RE: Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#245 » by bondom34 » Mon Aug 7, 2017 2:39 pm

cl2117 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:And Duncan and Leroux both with a C-.

Essentially, they didn't maximize their assets.

The only problem I have with that analysis is that it often ignores the fact that they've maintained their asset chest at the same time.

I think it's perfectly valid to look at this off-season and heavily criticize them for what could have been. And what I think is unique is that it's not just in one specific instances, but there were a myriad of opportunities: Cousins, George, Butler, Fultz, the Bradley deal. Each of those situations I think lend themselves to valid criticism. Which is why I can understand grades in the B range. Yes they got Hayward and drafted Tatum, but when you consider what they had at their disposal to potentially add players even better than both of those guys and they didn't then I can see that not being an A.

That being said they also didn't waste their assets and I think in today's NBA there is something to be said for that, which is why I find the C grades to be a bit baffling.

Sure you can say the lost value on the Fultz trade and the Bradley trade, but not a tremendous amount. They're still likely in the drivers seat for the next disgruntled star (as far as asset value). I feel like the floor has to be B- given that.

(I realize you gave them a B/B+, I just mean in general with the C grades I feel like it ignores that, while they didn't maximize their assets, they did a good job of kicking the can down the road with some of them and not losing too much out of it in the process).

I do agree they were a bit harsh with the grade, was just noting it. Again I didn't like the deal but was at a B due to Hayward.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#246 » by MoneyTalks41890 » Mon Aug 7, 2017 2:47 pm

If Boston takes Fultz they can trade Smart instead of Bradley and have much better positional fits now and in the future.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#247 » by cl2117 » Mon Aug 7, 2017 3:41 pm

MoneyTalks41890 wrote:If Boston takes Fultz they can trade Smart instead of Bradley and have much better positional fits now and in the future.

Bradley was likely the odd man out regardless because of his contract situation. I don't think it was realistic to think they'd bring back Bradley after landing Hayward given that I expect him to get something like 4/70. Smart on the other hand is much more retainable.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#248 » by Young_Star11 » Sat Aug 12, 2017 5:25 am

This team is making the ECF if not The Finals, so it is hard to be too critical of their offseason. But I'm scared of giving IT a max contract, particularly over just taking Fultz on a rookie deal for four years and bringing him along without as much expectation.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#249 » by Higgs Boston » Sat Aug 12, 2017 3:04 pm

Young_Star11 wrote:This team is making the ECF if not The Finals, so it is hard to be too critical of their offseason. But I'm scared of giving IT a max contract, particularly over just taking Fultz on a rookie deal for four years and bringing him along without as much expectation.


Boston will not have cap space with or without thomas. If Boston selected Fultz I doubt very much this would mean that thomas would't be in the team. Fultz could had Smart's role as a 6man.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#250 » by Mystical Apples » Tue Aug 15, 2017 1:04 am

Ewww....

Hgh mileage and a massive 14-game rest disadvantage. OKC at significant disadvantage too. Meanwhile, everything continues aligning for CHA.

Spoiler:
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#251 » by bondom34 » Tue Aug 22, 2017 11:25 pm

I think this just went to somewhere in the C/C+ range with a single trade.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#252 » by Mystical Apples » Tue Aug 22, 2017 11:49 pm

bondom34 wrote:I think this just went to somewhere in the C/C+ range with a single trade.


Feels generous.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#253 » by HartfordWhalers » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:22 am

Spoiler:
HartfordWhalers wrote:
Boston Offseason Review General Info
Key Losses:
Avery Bradley
Kelly Olynyk
Amir Johnson

Losses:
Tyler Zeller
Jordan Mickey
Demetrius Jackson
James Young
Jonas Jerebko
Gerald Green.

Draft:
#1 (traded)
#3 Jayson Tatum (traded for)
#37 Semi Ojeleye
#53 Kadeem Allen (two way contract)
#56 Jabari Bird (stashed)

Trades:
#1 for #3 and LAL ’18 1st (2-5) if best of SAC/Phi ’19 1st top 1 protected
Avery Bradley and 2019 2nd rounder for Marcus Morris

Free Agency:
Gordon Hayward 4/128m
Aron Baynes 1/4.3m
Jayson Tatum rookie scale
Guerschon Yabusele (2016 1st) rookie scale
ZIzic (2016 1st) rookie scale
Semi Ojeleye 3+1/6m with ~2m gtd.
Abdel Nader 3+1/6m with ~1.5m gtd.
Daniel Theis 2 year min contract, gtd this year only
Kadeem Allen two-way contract.

Current Depth Chart: (taken from bbinsiders)
PG: Isaiah Thomas, Terry Rozier
SG: Gordon Hayward, Marcus Smart
SF: Jae Crowder, Jaylen Brown, Semi Ojeleye, Abdel Nader
PF: Marcus Morris, Jayson Tatum, Guerschon Yabusele, Daniel Theis
C: Al Horford, Aron Baynes, Ante Zizic


HartfordWhalers wrote:HartfordWhalers Review

Key Losses:
Losing Amir and Olynyk to one of the worst rebounding big rotations, and positionally Boston's area of weakness feels like it deserves a lot more emphasis than it has gotten in light of the loss of Bradley. Boston's big rotation has been a problem, and its not about the outgoing so much as does the incoming replace/improve on it. After all Amir was a bad rebounder, and is old and heading downhill...

But I would pause when looking at who had Boston's best defensive ratings last season:
http://stats.nba.com/team/#!/1610612738/players-advanced/?sort=DEF_RATING&dir=-1
1 Rozier ~probably because he played so little with Bradley
2 Amir
3 Olynyk (who happened to lead Boston in Dreb%)

DBPM similarly loved Amir (led Celtics). And DRPM? It had him fully 9th in the league (next highest was Crowder at 63).

Amir's been a guy who does the dirty work and gets his team better, and I don't see that coming back in. This is a big loss. Olynyk's intriguing skill set hurts too, and losing the best defensive reboudner from a team that cannot rebound isn't the best thing that can happen.

Bradley's numbers kept declining, and all due deference to Joel Embiid calling for Bradley on the all defensive team, I think you need positive metrics to be considered for it. So we had: undersized, bad defensive numbers, expiring contract ... but 39% 3 point shooter and second on the team in scoring. Bradley being able to guard a pg and shoot the 3 felt pretty important as a possible backcourt mate to Smart, who looks less positionally flexible without Bradley.

Altogether, I think Boston gave up a lot this offseason.

Losses:
Jerebko is probably a bigger loss than Demetrius Jackson and James Young, which is meant as stinging criticism.

Draft:
Why Tatum? Why not Isaac? I'm fine skipping Josh Jackson -- between age and shot the red flags scared me out of him at 3 -- but Tatum just seems like a unsafely safe pick. Maybe he is the next Paul Pierce. But I would have been reaching for the raw potential of Isaac. DSJ did grade interesting as well, and Boston was rumored to have some interest. I'm not sold on Tatum for Boston, or in general as the guy at #3, but if you give up the idea of hitting a home run, then Tatum is actually a solid looking double and the pick is absolutely defensible.
Semi Ojeleye seems a decent 2nd rounder. More than that, he seems a steal. I like this pick tons. If it fails it fails, but it has room to be a brilliant pick.

Trades:
Easiest thing first, I think the Bradley trade was a loss. They obviously went for production now versus a protected pick future asset, and that makes sense. But they lost that end of the deal, and gave up a 2nd rounder to get a smaller contract. Marcus Morris fits more that Tweener forward mold then a guy who I say, who cares if Horford cannot rebound at center, we have Marcus Morris on the glass at pf with his 12.8% dreb%. Maybe Drummond suppressed the numbers some, but realistically, Boston looks tobe playing a bunch of 3's at the 2-4 spots and you can call the positions whatever is trendy but someone needs to do perimeter playmaking and someone needs to do interior rebounding. The second one is a problem. Did I mention I liked the idea of a guy like Isaac being picked to groom into the 4 spot of this position-less 2-4 mess so they could have a help defender and rebounder? No? I really should add that sporadically through here, so if he busts this can look bad everywhere.

What to say about the #1 for #3 + future pick trade?

Superstar or bust. How many NBA championship teams over the last 20-30 years did not have a 1st team All NBA player or a defending DPOTY? As in a top 6 player, not a top 15. Yes, most people don't think of the single best defensive player in the league as a top 6 player, but that bias doesn't change the reality that historically you need a guy in that top 6 tier to win it all.
Does Boston have that? Nope. Not even close. Did Boston draft that with Tatum? I'm saying no already. They might not have gotten it with Fultz either so I'm okay with the idea of making a move for the LAL '18 pick. After all, this has a chance at being that as much as Fultz perhaps. But top #1 protection and the chance that it isn't conveyed just makes me squeamish for liking it for Boston. And Tatum feels like a guy without Giannis level upside even if he is in 75% of scenarios a better player than say Isaac. And maybe that is what matters here, go for the safe pick that can always be leveraged in a trade later, but it is the opposite of the swing for the fence on Jaylen Brown taken last year (which I disliked there as well, although that was seeing more upside in Murray).

Still, I like the idea of trying to roll this one over. Especially when you ask:
Is Butler a top 6 player in the NBA?
Is George a top 6 player in the NBA?

I get two no's, so yeah, I'm good here.

Free Agency:
Is Baynes an upgrade on Amir, or did the Boston big man rotation get a downgrade? I'm leaning the latter, and yes, obviously Hayward is the lead story but the Boston big rotation scares me. It and Isaiah Thomas' hip are the two variables that look between Boston and getting to the finals. He is a better rebounder at least, but Boston seems in need of a solution here.

Hayward is great. Getting the Horford's and Hayward's not just keeps Boston as a 50 win team, it will make them seem areal destination for the Durant's when they come around. But Hayward is a lot more Horford than Durant, and Boston no longer has all that cap space the small AB/IT/Crowder contracts made available.

Current Depth Chart: (taken from bbinsiders)
I would probably start Crowder at the 4 before Marcus Morris when push comes to shove. Boston's depth chart makes me feel like the team is worse than the sum of its parts, and so far the Boston team has been the opposite, and greater than a bunch of (very) solid role players. I'm concerned we get a 'whats wrong with Boston' slew of articles come December when they are 15-10 and figuring it all back out again.

Needs:
A legit rim protector.
Another defensive glass rebounder at the 4 or 5.
IT's health.
Incorporating minutes and shots seamlessly -- player buy in that has been there in the past
A backup pg-sg for depth.
That top 5-6 NBA player

Additional Thoughts:
Ainge is a lightning rod. And next draft looks to be some sort of Waterloo for one side or another in the great Ainge debates. While I'm a fan of grading process over random results of a good (or bad) process, the random results Ainge gets next draft will deeply effect his legacy for the past two years.

I wish the Celtics had Noel. And even more so Cousins. Cousins is a guy who could come back with a yes to my question on Butler/George above if he gets it all together, and thats what Boston needed to go swinging for.

Trade idea: Crowder +for Cousins. Whats +? Just start adding and see when you have to stop. I'm not getting picky. Just make it happen.

Projected Win/Loss: 56-26 It should be higher but I have some concerns. I think a midseason trade is in order, or else I would have had it lower even.

Off-Season Grade: A- If Boston couldn't get a top 6 NBA player, then shelling out future assets that *might* get one for a top 10-25 player is a risky way of cutting off upside, even if getting that top 25 player would have taken them to the finals.
The problem is might is a tricky low probability word, and there is always the chance of getting incredibly hot during exactly the right playoff series (or an opponent injury). This was such a high stakes set of gambles on moves both taken and not taken.

And as part of this A-, I'm also considering giving Ainge an F on not getting Cousins last trade deadline, even if it cost them Hayward. Maybe the cost was just too high, but anything with Crowder/Bradley/Brown (picked higher than Hield)/non-Brooklyn picks should have been offered.

And so this is all about Cousins (and Isaac), I will add that while the AD watch concept is absurdly premature, AD does qualify as someone (potentially) worth it by the criterion I have been using, and I'm okay with the idea of trying to preserve assets until then versus spending them on a lesser player. Porzingis I don't see that upside to, but thats probably best for another topic. (If Utah would have been a team to fall apart after losing Hayward, Gobert's defense would qualify him but thats another story.)


Slava wrote:Slava’s Boston Offseason Review

Key Losses:
Avery Bradley
Kelly Olynyk

I think the bigger loss here is going to be Olynyk rather than Bradley. Despite his 3 pt % dropping a whopping 5% from the season before his TS% & eFG% ticked higher last year owing to much improved finishing ability from < 10ft in and the mid range. His defensive rebounding percentage improved and he posted solid defensive metrics. Even though they got Morris as a cheaper replacement, he is not nearly the same caliber of offensive player as Olynyk.

There’s always rave reviews for Bradley but his DRPM has slid since 2014-15 into the negative territory and most of his minutes will be covered by a better play in Hayward.

Losses:
Amir Johnson +rest of above list

The losses of Zeller, Johnson and Mickey coupled with Olynyk is going to be interesting as this is not a very strong rebounding team and going even smaller with Horford and Morris in the frontcourt would put extra onus on Hayward, Tatum, Brown and Crowder to do their diligence by helping out in that department.


Draft:
They were obviously limited in their ability to maneuver at the top of the draft owing to workout withdrawals from Ball and Jackson and the Jackson withdrawal must have really hurt them as he’d have given them a good defensive player who is strong on the boards to play behind Hayward at SG instead of going with the undersized Smart.

I’m not very sure of the Tatum fit here, he is a smooth offensive player but someone who operates heavily in the midrange and mid post area in an era when teams are consciously going away from it. He was not an especially good 3 pt shooter in college (34% at 4 attempts a game) but he is a strong FT shooter (85% at 6 attempts) which has shown to be slightly better correlated when predicting the NBA 3 point %. He is probably not going to find it easy to come to terms with the depth and game plan the Celtics currently have and there are some growing pains to be expected here.

Ojelye on the other hand seems a very solid 2nd round pick as a versatile player who did well in the summer league even if summer league performance is less predictive for junior year level draft prospects than it is for freshmen level players.

Trades:
The biggest move other than getting Hayward was trading out of the #1 slot having worked out Fultz. I’m ambivalent about this move as they would have done every bit of diligence on Fultz and got a closer look at him before deciding to pass up. Fit wise, either him or Jackson would have been better for this roster than Tatum. Although Fultz’s stats seem quite impressive, its hard to gauge a player’s performance outside of the better conferences like the ACC or PAC12 especially without tournament play and if he maxes out as a Damian Lillard style player, you could argue that acquiring a lucrative future 1st for dropping two slots is a very good return.

Bradley and a 2nd for Morris is a trade that seems partly motivated by the unexpected squeeze of the final cap number coming well under estimates teams worked with and the sudden need to fit in Hayward’s salary. Considering the circumstances, it will probably look better in hindsight to give up Bradley approaching free agency than the more cost controlled contract of Crowder.

Free Agency:
Celtics finally hit their mark in free agency by landing Hayward who seemed a bit overwhelmed as the primary playmaker and scorer in Utah but he will suit perfectly well in Boston alongside someone like Thomas who can lessen the offensive burden on him. In a vacuum he is not worth the money he is getting but you have to pay premium to extract an all star from a team willing to match all offers.

Zizic is a good rebounder who could help add versatility to the front court that needs his skill set and Baynes after an ill advised opt out from Detroit is a nice pick up as well for the price.

Current Depth Chart: (taken from bbinsiders)
They could likely use some third string guards as injury insurance, otherwise a very deep and flexible roster with future assets in the pipeline. 28 other teams could envy what the Celtics have.

Needs
Third string guard depth
Good health for Isiah Thomas
A higher risk tolerance from Ainge and the front office to make a move midseason if a high caliber player becomes available

Additional Thoughts:
In hindsight with the pandemonium in Cleveland, I think they missed a trick by not pushing for Butler or George to solidify themselves as the #1 seed in the East and increasing their odds at an NBA finals appearance.

Given the cap squeeze going into next summer's free agency with a star heavy market, they might still be in a position to benefit with some sign and trades.

Projected Win/Loss: 55-27

Off-Season Grade: A-



bondom34 wrote:Bondom34's Boston Offseason Review
Key Losses:

Losses:

Draft:

Trades:
As well as I felt they did in free agency, I'm a little meh on the trades. I don't hate either, but can't say I love either. I'll admit I'm not a big fan of Bradley and I do like Morris, but adding a 2nd and just the fact that the fit isn't great to me sways it so that I don't think they really did anything here other than decide they don't want to pay Bradley in a year. Morris plays their most stacked position and was a worse rebounded than Bradley at a bigger position. He's also possibly blocking Brown on the depth chart unless they go small with him at PF a lot (BBR has him listed at under 10 percent of minutes at PF the last 2 years).

The Philly trade was another that I didn't love but didn't hate. I'll say this first: I don't buy Ainge would have taken Tatum first overall. Not for a second. And he did pick up an extra asset, but one that may be a bit less valuable after the Lakers got a couple guys where they might not be quite bad enough to get that pick (though I do think they'll still be pretty bad and bottom 5 seems rather possible too). If I'm being honest I'd have just taken Fultz, but that will be seen in the future.

Free Agency:
They got their guy in Hayward. There's really not much else to be said here, was the number 1 player on the market and they pulled him in, great get. Baynes is a decent backup or 3rd big, I'd like to see this spot addressed maybe as well.

Outside of that it was pretty much all the rooks and some of the overseas crew from last year's draft which was mostly expected. That said free agency was obviously a big win for them.

Current Depth Chart: (taken from bbinsiders)

Needs:
A rebounding big is still a pretty big hole here. Rim protection too but I don't see how they don't struggle again with rebounding and I expect them to be good defensively either way.

Additional Thoughts:

Projected Win/Loss: 55-27

Off-Season Grade: B or B+, they got the top free agent but honestly I wasn't high on much else. If I'm grading based off the hand dealt to them, I can't go higher personally.


Mamba4goat wrote:Mamba4Goat's Review

Key Losses:
Avery Bradley
Kelly Olynyk

Bradley will be missed, but but his absence opens up time for Hayward and their young players so I'm not losing sleep over it. Olynyk is also a meh-ish loss.

Losses:
Amir Johnson + rest

None of these guys really helped or anything other than Amir, but Baynes should fill in sufficiently for him.

Draft:

I'm going to be honest, I don't know much about anyone other than Tatum, who I'll address below.

Trades:
I love the trade with Philly, especially if Tatum was their guy from the get go. They got another crazy asset for moving down to get the guy they want, and I've liked what I've seen from Tatum so far. The Bradley and Morris trade is also good with me. They got a legit PF which they were lacking on a great value contract.

Free Agency:
Love that Hayward came here, was really hoping he did. Imo he can put them over Cleveland and the C's are coming out of the East this year. Baynes was also a great signing, replaced a lot of the big man depth they lost with him along with the two Euro hogs coming over.

Current Depth Chart: (taken from bbinsiders)

Needs:
Meh, wouldn't mind another SG, maybe?

Additional Thoughts:
I loved Boston's off season and I love Ainge's patience. He isn't in a rush to trade for a star and is waiting for the right move. If the asking price for PG and Butler were too much, oh well. They're still sitting pretty nicely. Their team is on position to compete for the title this year and has a very nice young nucleus thats only going to grow as they cash in on the BK, LA/Sac, LAC, and Memphis picks. The last two are also looking better as we go, so that's something to keep an eye on. I see Ainge making a move for AD when the time is right, I have no problem with what Boston has right now in the mean time. Also, I trust that Stevens will make the whole 4 SF's thing work perfectly.

Projected Win/Loss: 63/19
{I bet I have the most faith in Boston out of the Mods)

[u]Off-Season Grade: A [u].


We are regrading this. Everyone meet back at the batcave, and start to get your edits in.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#254 » by bondom34 » Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:25 am

I've said mine. I go from B/B+ down a full letter, so I'd say C. They got Hayward but I still don't care for the Fultz trade and right now they moved IT for a guy who's a slightly younger and taller version of IT while trading away their other best perimeter defender, IT, the Nets pick they've held for forever and Zizic. I'm baffled by this trade and have no idea the reasoning for it. I don't think it's an on court upgrade and it spent a ton of assets for it. They also strentghened the Cavs quite a bit in the process and gave them more future flexibility.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#255 » by Mystical Apples » Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:49 am

This body count can't be right. Looking at the C''s roster Smart and Rozier appear to be the longest tenured Celtics. Everyone else = the past 14 months.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#256 » by Pacersike » Wed Aug 23, 2017 3:13 am

If Irving is serious about wanting to win a ring as the top dog guy, it can be a really good trade for the Celtics.

Kyrie Irving got drafted #1 for a reason. He has legit clutch genes. Much more than for instance Paul George, who chokes under high pressure.
Jimmy Butler worked (and swallowed/injected) his way to the top, but he really isn't that talented as Irving. Not even close.
Demarcus Cousins just doesn't seem to be able to grow up mentally.

Isaiah Thomas is going to ask silly money and the team who is going to give it to him is deeply going to regret it. Ditching his ass for a better player is a good thing, not a bad thing. Cavs got a good veteran player and a high pick for Irving, not much more.

Irving's motivation has always been an issue with ups and downs, but the Celtics have to try it IMO. Irving can be really great if he really wants to. When he asked to be traded from a team that has Lebron on it, it kind of showed how motivated he is to win at least 1 ring as the one and only alpha dog. I'm a bit worried about what happens after he gets that ring, but it should be worth it for the Celtcs, 1 ring.

Nah, this trade could benefit both teams. Big chance Lebron is leaving again and the Celtics still have other assets to improve the power forward position.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#257 » by Mamba4Goat » Wed Aug 23, 2017 9:04 am

So I maintain that Boston deserves an A. Let's take their roster into perspective:
Last year:
IT/Rozier/Jackson
Bradley/Smart/Green
Crowder/Brown/Young
Johnson/Jerebko
Horford/Olynyk/Zeller
With rights to Yaba, Zizic, BK's 2017/2018 1sts, Clips/Mem 2019 1sts and all of their picks other than the one swapped to BK.

Now they have...
Kyrie/Rozier
Hayward/Smart
Brown/Tatum/Nader
Morris/Yabasule/Ojeleye
Horford/Baynes
With 2018 LA/Sac pick, 2019 Mem/Lax 1sts, all of their picks. Also, they avoided paying IT and Bradley.

Do the ends justify the means? I think so. Let me preface this by saying Kyrie hasn't played with a team like this. Hayward can be a great secondary ball handler and it helps a lot. None of Kyrie's coaches are close to as good as Stevens, and this is going to be a very athletic group around him. Hayward has never played with an offensive player in the same league as Kyrie either.

People are complaining about the trade being lopsided towards Cleveland, and although I hate that it's helping out their competition, IT won't be able to replicate his numbers from Boston there due to Rose, Smith, and LeBron being ball handlers and good scorers. With his upcoming FA, hip surgery, and the likelihood of him being marginalized did Boston really do him a favor? Crowder is a big gain for Cleveland, but he was in the way of Brown and Tatum, and Brown is well on his way to being an adequate replacement. So now that leads us to Zizic and the BK pick...Zizic being involved sucks, and I don't have much for that unless Boston plans to use the Lakers/Sac pick on a center/PF, but Baynes and Horford even mittigate that loss. The BK pick is a loss, but you can only grow so many young players without stunting growth, not having enough playing time, or striking out on a stud. At some point you have to consolidate for a star. (Kyrie)

All of that being said, there was a report that came out saying Indy was asking for the moon from Boston for PG13 simply because they had the moon to give. It might have been an overpay but it's not like people haven't been taking shots at Ainge for sitting on his assets. At some point you need to liquidify your assets before they lose their value (see Noel/Okafor). I honestly think Ainge did good.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#258 » by Slava » Wed Aug 23, 2017 9:15 am

I think I'd go from A- to B+. I don't hate the trade and I get why they made it. If it was just IT + BKN pick for Irving, I'd give them an A but the addition of Crowder and Zizic tilts the balance in Cavs' favor for me. The two way effectiveness of Crowder is pretty underrated. I'm not ready to trust in Jaylen Brown or Tatum filling that void right away. Its better in the long term but next season will be a tiny step back especially if the idea was to challenge Cleveland.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#259 » by Gant » Wed Nov 1, 2017 5:54 pm

So far so good for Boston's summer moves, especially considering the loss of Hayward, Morris not playing yet, and Smart playing hobbled. Smart is lighter and quicker though, and Rozier has improved noticeably.

The Kyrie trade looks better and better. His defense has been shockingly good.

The Tatum trade and selection looks to be outstanding. He and Brown are both contributing and looking like the right picks in their respective years.

So far, the predictions of a drop in the Celtics' team defense due to the departures of Bradley and Crowder, have not at all come true. Their defense is dramatically improved, going from 12th in DefRtg last year to first at this early moment.

Similarly, predictions of poor rebounding have fallen flat. Their DefReb% has gone from 27th last season to 4th this season. Their overall increase in size at the smaller spots has been a huge benefit as they've switched IT, Bradley and Crowder, for Kyrie, Brown and Tatum.

They've gotten good defensive contributions from two other (and older) rookies, Ojeleye and Theis.

The team's overall defense has been great and is ahead of their offense to this point.

Baynes has been fantastic. His muscle has changed the team and brought out the best in Horford who is now freed from battling behemoths to do what he does best. Baynes has been a tremendous upgrade over the aging Amir Johnson.

Great offseason for Boston.
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Re: Boston Early Offseason in Review (HW/Slava/bondom34/Mamba4goat) 

Post#260 » by Captain_Caveman » Wed Nov 1, 2017 7:53 pm

Gant wrote:So far so good for Boston's summer moves, especially considering the loss of Hayward, Morris not playing yet, and Smart playing hobbled. Smart is lighter and quicker though, and Rozier has improved noticeably.

The Kyrie trade looks better and better. His defense has been shockingly good.

The Tatum trade and selection looks to be outstanding. He and Brown are both contributing and looking like the right picks in their respective years.

So far, the predictions of a drop in the Celtics' team defense due to the departures of Bradley and Crowder, have not at all come true. Their defense is dramatically improved, going from 12th in DefRtg last year to first at this early moment.

Similarly, predictions of poor rebounding have fallen flat. Their DefReb% has gone from 27th last season to 4th this season. Their overall increase in size at the smaller spots has been a huge benefit as they've switched IT, Bradley and Crowder, for Kyrie, Brown and Tatum.

They've gotten good defensive contributions from two other (and older) rookies, Ojeleye and Theis.

The team's overall defense has been great and is ahead of their offense to this point.

Baynes has been fantastic. His muscle has changed the team and brought out the best in Horford who is now freed from battling behemoths to do what he does best. Baynes has been a tremendous upgrade over the aging Amir Johnson.

Great offseason for Boston.


Reviewing past threads should be mandatory, IMO.

It's usually clear as day in retrospect who the posters are that really understand basketball. Let's bump this one again after Hayward gets back.

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