sashae wrote:JaVale is a terrible counter-example, hands. He had a PER of 17 in 15 minutes a game as a rookie, and had multiple double-doubles that season, and 15 game scores of 10 or better -- in other words, dumb mistakes or not he passed the eye test.
KSera had /one/ game score over 10 last season, and had a PER of 7. Again, name one project big man that actually worked out, that looked as atrocious as Seraphin did last year.
KS actually had an 8.4 PER last year, according to BR. A search of forwards and centers 6'8" and taller w/ less than 10 PER in their rookie seasons produces hundreds of names (461 total). Most forgotten or remembered only because they should be forgotten, but looking only at the larger C/F types and ignoring ones that made a game on scoring (Cliff Robinson, Al Harrington, Rashard Lewis, etc.) some names still popped out.
Joel Przybilla, Jerome Whitehead, Mike Brown Blair Rasmussen, Mark West were there. Some on the list were key role players on contenders, like Joel Anthony and Will Perdue. Some were players I've heard people on this board admire, like Brandon Bass or Chris Kaman, Kris Humphries or...Andrew Bynum (whose first year PER was lower than Seraphin's). Some were former Bullets/Wizards who went on to success elsewhere, like Jim McIlvaine and Ben Wallace. One that had a negative rookie PER last year but seems to have turned it around a bit in his second year is Dexter Pittman.
Point is, most of those players looked horrible initially (and I can remember some of them looking horrible initially). I didn't look up every player on that long list, and I'm sure there are others that had credible careers despite the horrible 1st season (and in some cases, a few dreadful seasons). It's too early to trade Seraphin just to create a roster space. If he's traded, it should be to a team that views him as a prospect, just as I do, someone whose ceiling might still be somewhere in the Mike Brown/Mark West/Brandon Bass mix.
