HomoSapien wrote:If a team has $7M to spend on a point guard, I can't imagine a single one pursuing Augustin over Lowry.
You're forgetting other key free-agents. Shaun Livingston is going to be really sought after, and I think he's gotten more credit from the media than DJ has (which isn't fair). There's also Sessions who has been having a great year statistically. Collison and Blake may offer some competition, though I think DJ has had the better season.
Only one team can sign Lowry. Even if you are correct that not one team would prefer the younger, more efficient, non known-trouble maker DJ over Lowry, once Lowry is signed, he's gone. Livingston is unable to shoot, scores and assists at a much lower rate than DJ, and is older and historically very injury prone.
But I generally agree - these guys will offer SOME competition for DJ. That's why he won't get the max. However, an argument can certainly be made that some teams would consider him the best available UFA PG for their system, and that they'd thus pay him the full MLE or slightly over it for that reason.
I just don't see how Jeremy Lin can get over 8 million, Tyreke Evans 12, OJ Mayo like 8 or whatever he got, and conclude that DJ can't get 5-7 in an increased cap environment. Again, I'm not claiming he will, I'm saying it's a realistic possibility and one that wouldn't make me rule out matching him on some vague principle for the purpose of overpaying somebody else by definition on principle.