Post#670 » by Jimako10 » Mon Apr 22, 2024 10:18 pm
Since I'm a Fantasy Football junkie, I'm going to post projections on what the potential offensive distribution looks like with and without that premier WR/TE draft pick. Assumptions being made are based on Shane Waldron's offense from the last 2 years, which basically was a slow pace, 60 pass/40 run offense. Also interesting to note, their WR target% went from 60% to 66% when they drafted JSN, which could be a similar situation if the Bears do decide to draft a WR. If they do decide to go with Bowers, might look similar to the Seahawks 2 years ago when they had a 24%target distribution to the TE position (60% to WR). All in all, I'm projecting about 34-35 pass attempts a game for Caleb based on the Waldron offense of the last 2 years.
Without a rookie WR/Bowers
Allen: 10 targets
Moore: 8 targets
Kmet: 5.5 targets
Everett: 2.5 targets
RBs: 5.5 targets
WR3: 2 targets
WR4: 1 target
With a rookie WR
Allen: 9 targets
Moore: 7 targets
WR3: 5.5 targets
Kmet: 5 targets
Everett: 2 targets
RBs: 5 targets
WR4: 1 target
With Bowers
Allen: 9 targets
Moore: 7 targets
Kmet: 5 targets
Bowers: 5 targets
Everett: 1.5 targets
RBs: 5 targets
WR3: 1 target
WR4: 1 target
I'm unsure about the last scenario since Bowers is this potential hybrid WR/TE and not exactly sure how he's going to be used, but all in all, I like the 2nd scenario just for the fact the offense will still look good even if there's an injury to the oldest (and most targeted) player. Also the best option long term as Caleb will always have at least 1 solid WR for the majority of his career. I can see the offense stalling if there's an injury in the 1st scenario, unless Jalin Hyatt turns out to be useful. The 3rd scenario is the biggest wild card since Bowers could also be this long term weapon for Caleb, but I think that's more of a risky proposition, not to mention it makes the Everett signing less impactful for the next 2 years.