Brewers/Pirates Series

Post #1 » by **MickeyDavis** » Sun Aug 28, 2022 10:32 pm

Monday - 7:10 - Burnes vs. Brubaker
Tuesday - 7:10 - Houser vs. Keller
Wednesday - 1:10 - Peralta vs. Wilson

Post #2 » by **ReasonablySober** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 1:48 am

Cruz only does damage to Milwaukee.

blazza18 · Post #3 » by **blazza18** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 1:51 am

That was so predictable.

Turk Nowitzki · Post #4 » by **Turk Nowitzki** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 2:00 am

Burnes just has to be better.

thonnisbeastley · Post #5 » by **thonnisbeastley** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 2:15 am

Counsell outsmarting himself on a nightly basis. Tired of watching a game or checking the box score to see 3 pinch hitters already used by the 6th inning. You write the lineup, stick to the lineup. Seems like he has a 0% success rate with these in-game substitutions this year, especially since the all-star break. Absolutely atrocious managing.

Turk Nowitzki · Post #6 » by **Turk Nowitzki** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 2:36 am

thonnisbeastley wrote:Counsell outsmarting himself on a nightly basis. Tired of watching a game or checking the box score to see 3 pinch hitters already used by the 6th inning. You write the lineup, stick to the lineup. Seems like he has a 0% success rate with these in-game substitutions this year, especially since the all-star break. Absolutely atrocious managing.

I don't think Counsell has had his best year but he's not the problem at all.

Post #7 » by **MickeyDavis** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:04 am

Robo umps now

Post #8 » by **MickeyDavis** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:11 am

YES!!!!!

Post #9 » by **ReasonablySober** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:15 am

Ryan5UW · Post #10 » by **Ryan5UW** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:16 am

That was awesome!

Ryan5UW · Post #11 » by **Ryan5UW** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:28 am

What’s up with the cock cam? They don’t need to zoom in quite that far do that? :lol:

Post #12 » by **MickeyDavis** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:48 am

That was fun

Post #13 » by **MickeyDavis** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 3:54 am

Hopefully Rowdy doesn't miss too much time

blazza18 · Post #14 » by **blazza18** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 6:52 am

Awesome to see the rookie come through in some big spots.

thonnisbeastley · Post #15 » by **thonnisbeastley** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 1:17 pm

Turk Nowitzki wrote:
thonnisbeastley wrote:Counsell outsmarting himself on a nightly basis. Tired of watching a game or checking the box score to see 3 pinch hitters already used by the 6th inning. You write the lineup, stick to the lineup. Seems like he has a 0% success rate with these in-game substitutions this year, especially since the all-star break. Absolutely atrocious managing.

I don't think Counsell has had his best year but he's not the problem at all.

He's a great manager and we would be fools to get rid of him. Doesn't change the fact that he's been atrocious since the all-star break.

LUKE23 · Post #16 » by **LUKE23** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 4:45 pm

Hiura *1.100 OPS against RHP*

Counsell: "I'm gonna start Cutch"

And I do still love CC, but if Hiura doesn't start every game against a RHP he should be caned.

WeekapaugGroove · Post #17 » by **WeekapaugGroove** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 4:52 pm

LUKE23 wrote:Hiura *1.100 OPS against RHP*

Counsell: "I'm gonna start Cutch"

And I do still love CC, but if Hiura doesn't start every game against a RHP he should be caned.

I would DFA Cutch today to remove the temptation to put him in the lineup.

Sent from my SM-G986U using RealGM mobile app

Ron Swanson · Post #18 » by **Ron Swanson** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 5:13 pm

1.089 OPS through 3-games. Future MVP Garrett Mitchell confirmed.

Kerb Hohl · Post #19 » by **Kerb Hohl** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 6:41 pm

I understand the thought process behind the Hiura thing.

Guys that strike out 35+% of the time are on very thin ice to succeed. Hiura has been there basically his whole career.

You need elite power to provide value consistently.

Of guys that have even been able to stick all season, here are the names at 30+%:

Patrick Wisdom at 33.5%. .217/.311/.438 with 22 HR
Eugenio Suarez at 32.3%. Having a renaissance year at .226/.332/.442 with 24 HR
Luke Voit at 32.0% .226/.318/.414 with 17 HR
Kyle Schwarber at 30.9% .214/.313/.492 with 36 HR
Jared Walsh at 30.4% .215/.269/.374 with 15 HR

Hiura has so far struck out at 41.9% of his PAs.

He is closer to 35% for his career and will probably land back there.

But even back at 35%, you look at this collection of players and throw in Joey Gallo, they will either get some BABIP or ISO luck and the ball will find green or get over the fence more often in a season and they will be an All Star, or they will be the most hated bat in the lineup every night.

Suarez's K% went up after he used to be a .270 hitter and he struggled to find .200 for 2+ years after.
Schwarber hit .188 in the 60 game season.

Most of the other guys on this list used to be at 25%.

Here's a guy that has consistently been in the 35-40% in his career but doesn't have enough ABs to qualify this year. Note the variance in averages.
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joey-gallo/14128/stats?position=OF

;tldr - They should be playing Hiura. He is earning it and he can have value even striking out a ton. But if he hits .150 the rest of the way, don't let Counsell and Stearns be the first to tell you, "I told you so."

LUKE23 · Post #20 » by **LUKE23** » Tue Aug 30, 2022 7:46 pm

Kerb Hohl wrote:I understand the thought process behind the Hiura thing.

Guys that strike out 35+% of the time are on very thin ice to succeed. Hiura has been there basically his whole career.

You need elite power to provide value consistently.

Of guys that have even been able to stick all season, here are the names at 30+%:

Patrick Wisdom at 33.5%. .217/.311/.438 with 22 HR
Eugenio Suarez at 32.3%. Having a renaissance year at .226/.332/.442 with 24 HR
Luke Voit at 32.0% .226/.318/.414 with 17 HR
Kyle Schwarber at 30.9% .214/.313/.492 with 36 HR
Jared Walsh at 30.4% .215/.269/.374 with 15 HR

Hiura has so far struck out at 41.9% of his PAs.

He is closer to 35% for his career and will probably land back there.

But even back at 35%, you look at this collection of players and throw in Joey Gallo, they will either get some BABIP or ISO luck and the ball will find green or get over the fence more often in a season and they will be an All Star, or they will be the most hated bat in the lineup every night.

Suarez's K% went up after he used to be a .270 hitter and he struggled to find .200 for 2+ years after.
Schwarber hit .188 in the 60 game season.

Most of the other guys on this list used to be at 25%.

Here's a guy that has consistently been in the 35-40% in his career but doesn't have enough ABs to qualify this year. Note the variance in averages.
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joey-gallo/14128/stats?position=OF

;tldr - They should be playing Hiura. He is earning it and he can have value even striking out a ton. But if he hits .150 the rest of the way, don't let Counsell and Stearns be the first to tell you, "I told you so."

This doesn't really apply to someone that has the drastic splits Hiura does. For his career, Hiura is .873 OPS verses RHP with a HR every 16 PA. In 2022, he's 1.100 OPS verses RHP with a HR every 9.5 PA. Again, this is a nearly 700 PA sample now for his career mashing RHP. Hell, he leads the team in OVERALL OPS this year. We can't be nitpicking about K rate when half of this team can't get on base and the other half can't hit for power.

He shouldn't play every day. He SHOULD play every day against RHP especially factoring in the roster alternatives.