Draft lottery Thread - Mavs #10

Archx · Post #41 » by **Archx** » Wed Mar 8, 2023 1:38 pm

Mavrelous wrote:
Archx wrote:
kacey ring wrote:Anyone else want a first round matchup with the Grizzlies??

I would prefer Kings. Grizz have quite a depth, i somehow wouldn't feel comfortable playing them in the 1st round.

Depends on Ja status, w/o Ja and Clarke they don't have good depth, but choosing opponents is a privilege for those who win in RS, Mavs aren't one of those teams.

Heh yeah, Mavs had terrible past 2 weeks and they are somehow back at the 5th spot lol. It's a bloodbath out there.

ejs78 · Post #42 » by **ejs78** » Wed Mar 8, 2023 2:33 pm

Mavs back up to 5th vs Kings on 538
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nba-predictions/

5th vs Suns on BBR:
https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.html

3/8 Games
Blazers @ Celtics (-10.5)
Thunder @ Suns (-13.5)
Raptors @ Clippers (-2.5)

Pretty much just need to avoid the Suns in rd1

arkuo · Post #43 » by **arkuo** » Wed Mar 8, 2023 4:11 pm

The best finish I could see with Dallas is 4. With Denver, Sacramento and Phoenix above them.

If Dallas finishes for then there is a big likelihood that Memphis or Golden State finish 5. Which means they will have to fight tooth and nail to avoid a first round exit. I do not trust the team against Golden State so hoping its another team.

ejs78 · Post #44 » by **ejs78** » Thu Mar 9, 2023 2:50 pm

Down to 6th in both:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nba-predictions/

https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.html

Jazz @ Magic (-3.5)
Warriors @ Grizz (+2.5)
Knicks @ Kings (-2.5)

ejs78 · Post #45 » by **ejs78** » Thu Mar 9, 2023 7:21 pm

With KD out I am not 100% sure the Suns can catch the Kings or Grizz even with all their issues.

The 6th or 7th (yes I know) might be the best options if these teams stay put and would be the easiest route to the WCF to me which is still a long shot.

41Dirk41 · Post #46 » by **41Dirk41** » Thu Mar 9, 2023 7:53 pm

I'm so sorry for Booker :lol:

arkuo · Post #47 » by **arkuo** » Fri Mar 10, 2023 7:10 am

ejs78 wrote:With KD out I am not 100% sure the Suns can catch the Kings or Grizz even with all their issues.

The 6th or 7th (yes I know) might be the best options if these teams stay put and would be the easiest route to the WCF to me which is still a long shot.

I think the Suns are resting KD on purpose to also avoid Golden State in the standings.

arkuo · Post #48 » by **arkuo** » Fri Mar 10, 2023 7:11 am

The tough thing with Dallas is if they are included in the play in and Luka gets shut down by Vanderbilt again, that's it. You dont even get to make the first round.

41Dirk41 · Post #49 » by **41Dirk41** » Fri Mar 10, 2023 2:45 pm

arkuo wrote:The tough thing with Dallas is if they are included in the play in and Luka gets shut down by Vanderbilt again, that's it. You dont even get to make the first round.

If the Vanderbilt guy can shut down Luka then Luka isn't a superstar.

ejs78 · Post #50 » by **ejs78** » Fri Mar 10, 2023 3:12 pm

3/10 Games

Blazers @ Sixers (-8.5)
Nets @ Wolves (-4.5)
Raptors @ Lakers (+1.5)

ejs78 · Post #51 » by **ejs78** » Sat Mar 11, 2023 2:32 am

ejs78 wrote:3/10 Games

Blazers @ Sixers (-8.5)
Nets @ Wolves (-4.5)
Raptors @ Lakers (+1.5)

Embiid gives Sixers their first lead of the night with a GW.

Sent from my SM-G960U using RealGM mobile app

ejs78 · Post #52 » by **ejs78** » Sat Mar 11, 2023 3:37 am

ejs78 wrote:
ejs78 wrote:3/10 Games

Blazers @ Sixers (-8.5)
Nets @ Wolves (-4.5)
Raptors @ Lakers (+1.5)
Embiid gives Sixers their first lead of the night with a GW.

Sent from my SM-G960U using RealGM mobile app

Naz sending game to OT cuz Nets didn't foul up 3.

ISO Spencer and DFS big in OT

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Post #53 » by **Mavrelous** » Sat Mar 11, 2023 6:38 am

Mavs jumped 2 spots w/o playing.
Lakers are surging...

ejs78 · Post #54 » by **ejs78** » Sat Mar 11, 2023 7:54 pm

Really big day in the WC playoff race:

Knicks @ Clippers (-4.5)
Jazz @ Hornets (+1.5)
Thunder @ Pelicans (-2.5)
Bucks @ Warriors (-3.5)
Kings @ Suns (-4.5)

Post #55 » by **Mavrelous** » Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:12 pm

Brunson out for the Knicks

JWillTheFreak · Post #56 » by **JWillTheFreak** » Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:29 am

Bucks folded vs Warriors in the crunch time...

ejs78 · Post #57 » by **ejs78** » Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:22 pm

538 now has the Mavs ties for 7th with the Lakers:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nba-predictions/

BBR has them 5th:
https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.html

Blazers @ Pelicans (+1.5) These teams feel on life support
Thunder @ Spurs (+3.5)
Knicks @ Lakers (-3.5)

ejs78 · Post #58 » by **ejs78** » Mon Mar 13, 2023 3:36 am

Lakers letting that much time run off before a foul was terrible.

Thanks Knicks

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ejs78 · Post #59 » by **ejs78** » Mon Mar 13, 2023 2:09 pm

Semi decent night:

Wolves @ Hawks (-5.5)
Jazz @ Heat (-7.5)
Suns @ Warriors (-4.5)

Post #60 » by **Mavrelous** » Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:29 am

Mavs are tied with OKC (11th seed, outside of the playin) in the loss column and 2 games behind GSW/Clippers.
13 games left in the season, 3 of them B2B.
I expect a 7-6 record and a 41-41 record, which won't be enough for top 8 seed, they will either be 11th or need 2 play in to get the 8th spot.
Best case scenario is 10-3 run, and they finish 6th.