Where is Kerrs stretch 4 if not Love

[Onus]

http://www.gotbuckets.com/2014/04/22/pa ... ful-is-it/

There’s no denying the trend of elite offenses relying on outside shots. In fact, both more recent finalists were three-point reliant, as the Spurs were ranked 9th in three-pointers per field goal attempt and the Heat 5th. Looking at the past 14 years, what has the strongest relationship to SRS (basketball-reference’s team rating for strength): turnovers, steals, free-throws per field goal attempt, assists per field goal, or three-point attempts per field goal? It’s three-pointers, and this doesn’t even include accuracy. Simply put, taking a lot of three-pointers is an indication of being a good team [...]

Table 1: Big men over +2.5 on offensive RAPM for 2014
Player Offensive RAPM PER estimate error
Dirk Nowitzki 4.54 3.04
Nick Collison 3.75 7.06
LaMarcus Aldridge 3.29 4.11
Kevin Love 2.94 -0.07
Channing Frye 2.61 3.36
Amir Johnson 2.55 4.97

This suggests spacing is more valuable for big men than many people think. And if so, just how valuable is it? It’s a question that’s affecting championship contenders right now, as the Spurs continue experimenting with lineups, the Thunder insist on starting Perkins, and the Heat encourage Bosh to hoist more three’s.

The charts in the article are quite telling.

http://www.gotbuckets.com/2014/05/01/pa ... -shooting/

part 2

[cj03]

With Curry, Iggy, Klay on the court, Dray had a 58.4% TS. David Lee had a 56.7% TS.

With Dray on the court, TS%: Curry - 64.8%, Klay - 58.7%, Iggy - 60.7%

With Lee on the court, TS%: Curry - 58.5%, Klay - 57%, Iggy - 56%

Granted the Lee sample size is much larger than the Dray sample size, but the Dray sample size isn't tiny (982 possessions). I'd say we explore playing Dray with those guys more. Not to mention the huge defensive upgrade Dray is over Lee.

People think Dray is some sort of high energy guy who wouldn't be able to sustain his level of production throughout the course of a game. This notion is completely ridiculous. In games 3-7 against the Clips in the playoffs, Dray played 33, 41, 27, 41, and 40 minutes for those games. And his defense on Blake actually gave the Dubs a chance to steal the series. I swear he stripped Blake 15 times in games 4-7. Someone else just picked up the ball so he didn't get credited for those steals.

I'm praying he gets more minutes, but man, I just have this feeling Kerr is going to limit him to 20 min/game. He needs 30 at least. If i had my way, I'd play him 35, Lee 13 at PF, Lee 16 at C, Bogut 27 at C, and Ezeli 5. Very unlikely he gets those kind of minutes though.

[turk3d]

I think Dray, if he continues to get the same kind of production he was getting towards the end of the season and into the playoffs should have no problems getting 30 mpg between playing 3 & 4. Wouldn't surprise me to see him even playing some 5 in certain situations although not too long but enough to get him up to the 30. If he continues to produce the way he's shown he can, it will be tough to keep him from getting a decent number of minutes.