trwi7 wrote:They should've gone for it because there was a decent chance they get the ball back in pretty good field position if they don't get it. Packers would go ultra conservative in play calling and with 2 timeouts, if they made a stop, they could've gotten the ball back with around 30 seconds and the Packers punting deep in their own territory. Possibly from deep in the end zone.
We then go back into our same awful defensive coverage and a couple of 10 yard sideline passes later and they're likely back in FG range, albeit a further and much more difficult FG attempt.
We would have had the ball with 1:12 to go and the Bears would have "only" had 2 TO's. With 3 runs the clock would have practically expired by the time they received the punt. 47 seconds for one play (typical 40 runoff after + an estimated 7 for the play) + 7 + 7 + 7 for 4 total downs = 68 seconds run off. 72 - 68 = 4. They'd have to already be in fg range in super cold weather, which is HIGHLY unlikely, or just resort to a hail mary. The Bears would have been pretty much done if they didn't score on 4th down, which they were underdogs for. They had a better shot tying the game and hoping our offense sputtered, which it almost did, before getting the ball back with enough time in regulation for a fg against our leaky d or facing us in OT where we had lost like 7 straight and were playing on the road. They made the right call in reality. You can make the right call and get the wrong result. That will happen when you get a 60 yard pass ripped off on you unexpectedly. Packers executed at the very end and the Bears didn't. That's why the Packers won.