Kilroy wrote:
He has to beat out either Boozer or Davis as a rookie, and he has to stay on the court all year... That's tough to do for Rooks... They tend to hit a wall at all star break.
That said, you're both getting tunnel vision on the number 10 and not thinking about what I wrote... Of course I hope he gets more PT... Of course I hope he has a phenomenal season... Hell I think ROY is possible...
But there's no pressure on him to do that. And even if all he gets is 10min a game, as long as he's learning, getting stronger, and developing as a player, it's still a successful season for him. There are no championship expectations for this team right now, so let's focus on developing our most valuable asset and keeping him healthy, rather than pushing him to overachieve right now.
Both of those guys are on 1 year deals and unlikely to be long term plans for the Lakers (especially Boozer, while Davis wasn't able to become a full time starter in either Toronto or Memphis. hell he barely got 15 mins a game with Memphis last year. )
So unless Randle suck so bad that he can't stay on the floor, or Davis / Boozer and the team somehow play well beyond expected, the odds seems pretty good that Randle should at least get 20mpg. Watching his scouting report you get the impression that
1. he has clear offensive skills that should translate right away in the NBA.
2. he's far from a freak athlete
3. he is bad in areas all rookies are bad at . (defense mainly.)
Most of the time rookies that have trouble staying on the floor tend to be those that has too raw of an offensive game (and doesn't have other obvious strength to make up for it.) Randle shouldn't have that problem, but I do have some doubts of his long term growth in that his sort of a prawling slow big in the Zbo mode, and he doesn't seem to have much of an game out of attacking in post ups (tunnel vision, no real outside touch, not much of an off ball game.) so he needs to either figure those out or be a good defender (not just a good rebounder.) to really be a star in this league, instead of just a solid player. we'll see.
Health is a real concern obviously, but that really should effect games played more than per game stats, since if there is a real concern there you just don't play him at all and let him rehab / rest. instead of playing him 10 min on a bad foot while he still need to go through all sorts of other workouts.
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